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Will Quantum Computing Stocks IonQ, Rigetti Computing, and D-Wave Quantum Plunge 80% (or More)? History Offers a Chilling Answer.
The Motley Fool· 2025-12-03 08:51
Core Insights - Quantum computing has emerged as the hottest stock market trend in 2025, surpassing artificial intelligence as the primary catalyst on Wall Street [1] - Quantum computing pure-play stocks have seen significant price increases, with some rising by up to 965% over the past year [2] - The technology is expected to create substantial economic value, with estimates ranging from $450 billion to $850 billion by 2040 [7] Industry Overview - Quantum computing utilizes specialized computers based on quantum mechanics to solve complex problems that classical computers cannot address, potentially revolutionizing various industries [3][6] - Applications include drug development and accelerating AI learning processes, which are driving investor excitement [6] Market Dynamics - Institutional investors, including JPMorgan Chase, are recognizing the potential of quantum computing, with the bank identifying it as a key area in its $1.5 trillion Security and Resiliency Initiative [9][10] - Collaborations with major tech companies like Amazon and Microsoft are providing quantum computing firms access to significant customer bases [10] Historical Context - Historical trends indicate that new technologies often face significant adoption delays, with investors typically overestimating the speed of market acceptance [11][12] - Previous tech trends, such as the internet and blockchain, have experienced bubble-bursting events, suggesting that quantum computing may follow a similar trajectory [13][14] Valuation Concerns - Current price-to-sales (P/S) ratios for quantum computing stocks are significantly above historical bubble thresholds, indicating potential overvaluation [17] - Historical data shows that leading companies in tech trends can lose 80% or more of their value during market corrections [18][20]
Billionaires Have a Clear Favorite Quantum Computing Stock (and It's Not IonQ, Rigetti Computing, or D-Wave Quantum)
The Motley Fool· 2025-11-26 08:51
Core Insights - The article highlights the significant gains in quantum computing stocks, with companies like IonQ, Rigetti Computing, D-Wave Quantum, and Quantum Computing Inc. experiencing increases of up to 1,490% over the trailing year, yet billionaire investors are favoring Alphabet as a more stable investment in this sector [4][5][22]. Quantum Computing Industry - Quantum computing is described as a transformative technology capable of solving complex problems that classical computers cannot, with potential applications in drug development, weather forecasting, and cybersecurity [6]. - Boston Consulting Group estimates that quantum computing could generate between $450 billion to $850 billion in global economic value over the next 15 years [7]. Investment Trends - Despite the impressive performance of quantum computing stocks, billionaire investors have largely avoided these companies, preferring to invest in Alphabet, a member of the "Magnificent Seven" [5][14]. - Historical trends indicate that early-stage innovations often experience bubble bursts, as seen with the internet boom, leading to cautious investment strategies among billionaires [10][12]. Financial Metrics - The trailing-12-month price-to-sales (P/S) ratios for IonQ, Rigetti Computing, D-Wave Quantum, and Quantum Computing Inc. range from 130 to 2,661, indicating potential overvaluation compared to historical standards [13]. - Alphabet, on the other hand, is seen as a safer investment due to its established and profitable operating segments, including Google and YouTube, which provide substantial cash flow [15][20]. Alphabet's Position - Alphabet has a market capitalization of approximately $3,903 billion and maintains a strong position in the internet search market with a share of 89% to 93% [16][18]. - The company also has a significant presence in cloud services, with Google Cloud generating over $60 billion in annual run rate sales [19]. - With $98.5 billion in cash and equivalents, Alphabet is well-positioned to invest in quantum computing without jeopardizing its existing operations [20].
Amazon Just Sold Shares of 2 of the Hottest Stocks in Quantum Computing and Artificial Intelligence (AI)
Yahoo Finance· 2025-11-19 14:01
For example, quantum computers can be used to run rapid, simultaneous molecular interaction simulations to assist drug developers. These simulations can improve clinical trials and aid drugmakers in targeting hard-to-treat/deadly diseases. This is just one of the real-world use cases that has Boston Consulting Group estimating this technology will create $450 billion to $850 billion in global economic value by 2040.Quantum computing is, arguably, the hottest trend of the year. Quantum computing relies on sp ...
Pullbacks for Quantum Computing Stocks IonQ, Rigetti Computing, and D-Wave Quantum Appear Set to Accelerate
The Motley Fool· 2025-11-17 08:51
Core Insights - The rapid rise of quantum computing stocks has faced a significant slowdown, with concerns about their sustainability and future performance [1][3]. Stock Performance - Over the past year, quantum computing stocks such as IonQ, Rigetti Computing, D-Wave Quantum, and Quantum Computing Inc. have seen remarkable gains of 97%, 1,590%, 1,420%, and 627% respectively, leading to substantial returns for early investors [2]. - Despite these gains, recent operating results indicate that these stocks may be overvalued, with significant pullbacks expected [3][18]. Revenue and Market Capitalization - IonQ reported $39.9 million in revenue for the September quarter, a 222% increase year-over-year, but this revenue does not justify its market cap, which has decreased to $16.1 billion [11]. - Rigetti Computing's revenue fell to $1.9 million, down from nearly $2.4 million the previous year, highlighting its struggles despite a previous market cap exceeding $15 billion [12]. - D-Wave Quantum achieved approximately $3.7 million in sales, a 100% increase from the prior year, but its annual sales run rate of $15 million is insufficient compared to its market cap of almost $14 billion [13]. Valuation Metrics - The price-to-sales (P/S) ratio for quantum computing stocks is currently in unsustainable territory, with IonQ at 141, Rigetti at 967, D-Wave at 282, and Quantum Computing Inc. at 4,729 [19]. - Historical trends suggest that premium valuations are not sustainable over long periods, as seen in past technology bubbles [16][17]. Future Outlook - The Boston Consulting Group estimates that quantum computing could generate between $450 billion and $850 billion in global economic value by 2040, while The Quantum Insider predicts $1 trillion by 2035 [7]. - Partnerships with major tech companies like Amazon and Microsoft are enhancing the visibility and potential of quantum computing, but the recent disappointing financial results may dampen investor enthusiasm [8][10].
Quantum Computing Pure-Play Stocks IonQ, Rigetti Computing, D-Wave Quantum, and Quantum Computing Inc. Just Issued a $749 Million Warning to Wall Street
Yahoo Finance· 2025-11-12 08:51
Core Insights - Artificial intelligence (AI) has significantly contributed to the rally of Wall Street's major stock indexes, reaching new all-time highs in 2025, driven by its long-term use cases and vast addressable market [2] - Quantum computing is emerging as a major player, with stocks in this sector showing extraordinary returns, ranging from 260% to 2,710% over the trailing 12 months [3][8] - Despite the hype surrounding quantum computing, insiders of leading quantum stocks have been selling their shares, indicating a cautious outlook [8] Quantum Computing Industry - Quantum computers leverage quantum mechanics to perform complex calculations that traditional computers cannot, potentially enhancing various applications such as weather forecasting and drug development [6] - The global economic value of quantum computing is projected to reach between $450 billion and $850 billion by 2040, although this is significantly smaller than the $15.7 trillion opportunity for AI [7] - Major tech companies like Amazon and Microsoft are integrating quantum computing into their cloud services, providing practical applications and access to quantum hardware for their subscribers [7]
This Is the Smartest Stock to Buy to Take Advantage of the Quantum Computing Revolution -- and It Isn't IonQ, Rigetti Computing, or D-Wave Quantum
The Motley Fool· 2025-11-07 08:51
Core Insights - Quantum computing is emerging as a significant technological innovation alongside artificial intelligence, with substantial market potential projected for the future [1][3]. Quantum Computing Industry - Quantum computing stocks have seen remarkable growth, with IonQ shares increasing by 294%, Rigetti Computing by 3,080%, D-Wave Quantum by 8.48%, and Quantum Computing Inc. by 1,260% as of November 3, 2025 [2]. - The economic impact of quantum computing is estimated to reach between $450 billion to $850 billion by 2040, with some forecasts suggesting it could hit $1 trillion by 2035 [3]. - Despite the hype, pure-play quantum computing stocks may not be the best investment strategy due to historical patterns of market corrections following technological bubbles [4][5]. Investment Risks in Quantum Computing - Historical trends indicate that major technological innovations often experience a bubble-bursting event early in their expansion, affecting stocks like IonQ, Rigetti Computing, and D-Wave Quantum [6]. - There is a lack of widespread commercialization and evidence of profitability among quantum computing companies, which may hinder their long-term success [7][9]. - These companies are expected to rely on capital raises through dilutive share offerings or convertible bonds, which could negatively impact existing shareholders [10]. Strategic Investment Approach - A more prudent investment strategy involves acquiring shares in a profitable company with established operations that can invest in quantum computing as demand grows, such as Amazon [12][13]. - Amazon's AWS segment, which accounts for about 60% of its operating income, is integrating quantum computing services, providing investors with exposure to this technology while maintaining a strong financial foundation [14][15][18]. - Amazon's stock is currently trading at a historically low multiple of 13 times forward-year cash flow, making it an attractive investment option compared to the high-risk pure-play quantum stocks [20][21].
This Is the Biggest Threat to Quantum Computing Stocks IonQ, Rigetti Computing, and D-Wave Quantum That Virtually No One Is Talking About
The Motley Fool· 2025-10-24 07:06
Core Insights - The rise of quantum computing presents significant investment opportunities, with notable returns for companies like IonQ, Rigetti Computing, D-Wave Quantum, and Quantum Computing Inc. [2] - Despite the potential, these companies face substantial challenges, including historical precedents of technology bubbles and unsustainable valuations [5][9]. Investment Opportunities - Quantum computing stocks have shown impressive trailing-12-month returns: IonQ at 347%, Rigetti Computing at 3,500%, D-Wave Quantum at 2,650%, and Quantum Computing Inc. at 1,640% [2]. - The technology has applications in drug development, internet security, weather modeling, financial risk management, and AI algorithm acceleration, indicating a large addressable market [3]. Valuation Concerns - The price-to-sales (P/S) ratios for these quantum computing companies are extremely high, with IonQ at 259, Rigetti at 1,280, D-Wave at 370, and Quantum Computing Inc. at 7,546, suggesting that these stocks are overpriced [10][9]. - Historical data indicates that companies at the forefront of new technologies have struggled to maintain P/S ratios above 30 for extended periods, raising concerns about the sustainability of current valuations [9][6]. Competitive Landscape - The "Magnificent Seven" tech giants, including Amazon, Alphabet, and Microsoft, are investing heavily in quantum computing, which could threaten the market position of pure-play quantum companies [12][19]. - Amazon's Braket service allows access to quantum computers from IonQ and Rigetti, providing a platform for practical applications, but this could also lead to increased competition [13][18]. Financial Challenges - The pure-play quantum computing companies are currently unprofitable and face ongoing cash outflows, which may necessitate reliance on dilutive share offerings or debt financing [15]. - In contrast, members of the Magnificent Seven are generating substantial cash flow, positioning them to dominate the quantum computing space [16].
News Flash: Amazon Is Piling Into Wall Street's Hottest Quantum Computing Stock
The Motley Fool· 2025-10-07 07:51
The new apple of Amazon's eye has seen its shares skyrocket by almost 700% over the trailing year.For most investors, earnings season is the pinnacle of every quarter. Over a six-week period, the stock market's most-influential businesses lift their proverbial hoods and give investors a look at how they've performed over the prior three-month period. It serves as an excellent barometer of Wall Street's health.But earnings reports aren't the only way to judge which stocks and trends are firing on all cylinde ...
8 Quantum Computing Stocks to Buy Now
The Motley Fool· 2025-05-26 12:00
Core Insights - Quantum computing is poised to unlock trillions of dollars in value by 2040, with its ability to solve complex problems much faster than traditional computers [1] - Recent advancements in qubit stability and error correction are bringing quantum computing closer to mainstream commercial use, with potential transformative impacts across various sectors [2] Company Summaries - **Amazon (AMZN)** is leveraging its AWS cloud infrastructure to democratize quantum computing through Braket, potentially creating a new multibillion-dollar revenue stream as it becomes a go-to quantum cloud provider [5] - **Alphabet (GOOGL)** continues to advance its quantum efforts with the Willow chip, which shows significant improvements in error reduction, positioning the company to commercialize breakthroughs that could transform its core businesses [6][7] - **IBM (IBM)** leads in enterprise quantum computing with over 60 quantum systems deployed globally and a comprehensive software platform, giving it a first-mover advantage in capturing corporate quantum spending [8] - **Microsoft (MSFT)** is pursuing a topological qubit approach and building a comprehensive Azure Quantum ecosystem, which could lock in corporate customers for decades [9] - **D-Wave Quantum (QBTS)** focuses on quantum annealing systems that generate revenue today, positioning itself as a near-term winner in commercial quantum computing [10] - **IonQ (IONQ)** develops trapped ion quantum computers with superior qubit connectivity, demonstrating real-world applications and offering direct exposure to quantum computing's growth potential [11] - **Rigetti Computing (RGTI)** provides end-to-end quantum solutions and controls its technology stack, combining startup agility with the necessary vertical integration for commercial viability [12] - **Nvidia (NVDA)** powers quantum computing through its CUDA-Q platform, enabling significant speedups for quantum simulations and ensuring profitability from quantum breakthroughs regardless of hardware approach [13][14]