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ASMPT(0522.HK):SEMI产品结构变化导致毛利低于预期
Ge Long Hui· 2025-10-30 21:14
Core Viewpoint - ASMPT reported a revenue of HKD 36.6 billion for Q3 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 9.5% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 7.6% [1] - The company anticipates optimistic revenue guidance for Q4, projecting between USD 4.70 billion and USD 5.30 billion, with a median growth of 14.3% year-on-year and 6.8% quarter-on-quarter [1] Business Performance - SMT business showed strong revenue growth, reaching HKD 17.8 billion, with year-on-year growth of 14.6% and quarter-on-quarter growth of 28.0%, driven by demand from AI servers and electric vehicles in Asia [1] - SEMI business revenue was HKD 18.8 billion, with a year-on-year increase of 5.0%, primarily due to strong demand for power management applications [1] Orders and Market Trends - The order amount for Q3 was HKD 36.2 billion, a year-on-year increase of 14.2% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 3.5% [1] - SMT orders increased by 51.8% year-on-year to HKD 19.9 billion, driven by strong momentum in telecommunications and electric vehicles, although there was a quarter-on-quarter decline of 5.0% due to high base effects from Q2 smartphone orders [1] Advanced Packaging Developments - The company secured multiple orders for the HBM4 12H TCB solution, maintaining its position as a major supplier [3] - The C2W TCB solution has successfully passed final verification and is preparing for mass production [3] - Advanced packaging demand is expected to remain strong, particularly in the storage sector, with significant contributions anticipated in 2026 [3] Investment Recommendations - The target price has been raised to HKD 103.6, maintaining a "buy" rating, reflecting confidence in SMT order recovery and advanced packaging demand [4] - Adjustments were made to the 2025 estimated net profit, down by 28% to HKD 3.4 billion, while revenue estimates for 2025, 2026, and 2027 were increased by 2%, 3%, and 3% respectively [4]