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敏感时刻,今晚美国CPI“姗姗来迟”
Hua Er Jie Jian Wen· 2025-10-23 01:05
Core Insights - Investors are anxiously awaiting the delayed September CPI inflation report, which is the only key economic data available during this data vacuum period [1][2] - The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics is set to release the September CPI data, with Goldman Sachs predicting a month-on-month increase of 0.33% and a year-on-year increase of 3.02% [1][3] - The ongoing government shutdown has led to a lack of regular data releases, causing market tension and uncertainty regarding the economic outlook [2] Economic Data Impact - The anticipated CPI data could lead to fluctuations in long-term bond yields, with potential upward pressure if the data exceeds expectations [1][3] - The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield has declined this year, reflecting risk-averse sentiment, partly due to credit concerns related to regional banks [3] - Analysts suggest that if the 10-year Treasury yield falls below 3.75%, it may indicate doubts about the U.S. economy achieving a "soft landing" [3] Market Sentiment - The current lack of hard data has left the market in a state of anxiety, as investors are missing critical economic indicators that typically provide insights into the economic direction [2] - There is a strong potential buying interest in the bond market, driven by increasing economic uncertainty [3]