Summary of Marvell Technology FY Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Marvell Technology (NasdaqGS:MRVL) - **Date of Conference**: December 10, 2025 Key Industry Insights - **AI Investment Cycle**: The industry is in the early stages of a long investment cycle, likely lasting 10-15 years, initiated by the launch of ChatGPT in 2022. There is a constant demand for faster computing power and higher speed I/O to meet workload requirements [7][8] - **Data Center Architecture**: Marvell is focusing on enhancing connectivity within data centers, particularly through acquisitions like Innovium and Inphi, which target switching and optical interconnect technologies [11][12] - **Traffic Distribution**: Currently, 80%-90% of data center traffic is within the scale-up portion (XPU to XPU), while the optical and switching market accounts for only 10% of traffic [11][12] Product Portfolio and Acquisitions - **Celestial AI Acquisition**: This acquisition is expected to enhance Marvell's product offerings, particularly in optical interconnect technology, with the first chiplet being a 16-terabyte chiplet, significantly larger than the current state-of-the-art [12][13] - **Interconnect Business Growth**: Marvell's interconnect business is valued at $3 billion, primarily in scale-out, with significant growth potential in scale-up markets due to the Celestial AI acquisition [14] Revenue Projections - **Future Revenue Estimates**: Marvell anticipates a run rate of $500 million by the end of 2027, potentially doubling to $1 billion by the end of 2028, based on the adoption of new technologies [19][20] - **Optical Business Growth**: The optical interconnect technology has seen a 50% CAGR since the Inphi acquisition, with record bookings in recent quarters, indicating strong demand driven by AI-related cloud CapEx [27][28] Market Dynamics - **Custom ASIC Business**: Marvell's custom ASIC business is expected to double by 2027, driven by long lead times for orders and the introduction of new customers [35][36] - **XPU Attach Business**: The XPU attach business is projected to reach $2 billion by 2028, with significant contributions from SmartNICs and CXL memory expanders [40][41] Challenges and Risks - **Supply Chain Concerns**: Potential supply constraints and market digestion of CapEx could impact revenue growth, particularly in 2027 [62][63] - **Market Adoption of New Technologies**: The transition from electrical to optical technologies in data centers is still in progress, with varying adoption rates across different segments [18][19] Strategic Initiatives - **Golden Cable Initiative**: This initiative aims to provide multi-sourced solutions for copper cables, addressing customer demands for flexibility and reliability in the supply chain [22][23] - **Participation in NVLink Fusion**: Marvell is involved in the NVLink Fusion ecosystem, providing custom products for customers looking to integrate this technology into their architectures [50][51] Conclusion Marvell Technology is strategically positioned to capitalize on the growing demand for AI and data center technologies, with a robust product portfolio and significant growth projections. However, the company must navigate potential supply chain challenges and market adoption hurdles to achieve its ambitious revenue targets.