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DAVE Stock Soars 79% in a Year: Should Investors Buy It Now?
ZACKS· 2026-02-10 17:21
Core Insights - Dave Inc. (DAVE) stock has experienced significant growth, increasing by 78.5% over the past year, outperforming both the industry and the Zacks S&P 500 composite, which grew by 18.3% [1][7]. Group 1: Business Model and Customer Growth - In Q3 2025, DAVE added 843,000 members, demonstrating consistent growth across previous quarters, driven by a simplified fee model that includes a $0 transaction fee and a 5% fee structure capped at $15 [5][7]. - The CashAI v5.5 technology has been crucial for customer acquisition, contributing to a 20% increase in average ExtraCash size while maintaining high credit quality [6][7]. Group 2: Financial Performance and Margins - DAVE boasts a 30.6% EBITDA margin, significantly higher than competitors Upstart (6.9%) and Affirm (6.9%), indicating superior operational efficiency [7][8]. - The company has a trailing 12-month return on equity (ROE) of 77.8% and a return on invested capital (ROIC) of 48.8%, both exceeding industry averages [10][12]. Group 3: Liquidity and Valuation - As of September 2025, DAVE holds $92 million in cash reserves with no debt, resulting in a current ratio of 8.7, well above the industry average of 1.6 [12]. - The stock is currently valued at 12.7 times forward earnings per share, below the industry average of 22.8 times, presenting a value investment opportunity [13]. Group 4: Analyst Outlook - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for DAVE's 2026 revenues is $656.4 million, reflecting a 19.6% year-over-year growth, with EPS expected to rise by 8.6% to $14.07 [15]. - Recent upward revisions in EPS estimates indicate growing analyst confidence in the company's financial outlook [15].
Dave's Revenues Soar 63% Y/Y: Is Its Profitability Truly Durable?
ZACKS· 2026-01-14 17:00
Core Insights - Dave Inc. (DAVE) experienced a 63% year-over-year revenue growth and a 15% sequential increase in Q3 2025, marking its fifth consecutive quarter of revenue growth driven by a new pricing model, higher average revenues per user (ARPU), and increased ExtraCash originations [1][7]. Financial Performance - The company reported a 193% year-over-year increase in adjusted net income and a 137% rise in adjusted EBITDA, despite a 16.6% increase in total operating expenses, which decreased as a percentage of revenue by 2,800 basis points [2]. - DAVE achieved an 85% flow-through to adjusted EBITDA, with a 1,200 basis points expansion in adjusted EBITDA margin, indicating effective scaling and potential for long-term profitable growth [3][7]. Operational Efficiency - The implementation of modified underwriting and acquisition strategies, along with strict fixed cost control, contributed to the company's operational efficiency [3]. - CashAI v5.5 improved underwriting precision, enhancing approval rates and reducing manual labor costs, while customer acquisition costs remained consistent at $19 with a gross profit payback period of under four months [4]. Market Position and Valuation - DAVE's stock surged 158.1% over the past year, outperforming peers LiveRamp (RAMP) and Fathom (FTHM), which saw declines of 4.2% and 12.6%, respectively, while the industry overall gained 22.3% [5]. - The company trades at a 12-month forward price-to-sales ratio of 4.32, significantly higher than LiveRamp's 1.92 and Fathom's 0.09 [9]. Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for DAVE's earnings is $12.96 per share for 2025 and $14 per share for 2026, remaining unchanged over the past 30 days [12].
Can Dave Sustain Its ExtraCash Surge While Managing Credit Risks?
ZACKS· 2026-01-09 18:40
Core Insights - Dave Inc. (DAVE) experienced a 49% year-over-year increase in ExtraCash originations, reaching $2 billion in the third quarter of 2025, raising concerns about credit risks [1][8] Group 1: Financial Performance - The company reported a 49% year-over-year rise in ExtraCash originations, amounting to $2 billion in Q3 2025 [1][8] - DAVE's net monetization rate improved by 45 basis points compared to the previous year, indicating enhanced underwriting precision [3] - The stock price surged by 177.5% over the past year, outperforming peers Jamf (down 7.8%) and Kyndryl Holdings (down 27.8%), while the industry overall gained 16.9% [5] Group 2: Technology and Risk Management - DAVE has integrated its proprietary AI and machine learning model, CashAI v5.5, which is trained on over 7 million ExtraCash originations, resulting in a reduction of the 28-day delinquency rate to 2.33% from 2.4% in the previous quarter [2][8] - The partnership with Coastal Community Bank is crucial for maintaining high ExtraCash originations while managing credit risks, allowing for efficient customer onboarding and supporting a capital-light model [4][8] Group 3: Valuation and Estimates - DAVE's forward price-to-earnings ratio stands at 16.77, higher than Jamf's 13.08 and Kyndryl Holdings' 8.94 [9] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for DAVE's earnings is $12.96 per share for 2025 and $14 for 2026, remaining unchanged over the past 30 days [12]
DAVE Stock Skyrockets 174% in a Year: Will the Rally Continue?
ZACKS· 2026-01-07 18:45
Core Insights - Dave Inc.'s shares have increased by 173.5% over the past year, outperforming the industry growth of 17.8% and the Zacks S&P 500 Composite's rise of 20.3% [1][6] - The company has added 843,000 members in Q3 2025, bringing total membership to 13.5 million, a 17% year-over-year increase [5][15] - Dave's new fee model and CashAI v5.5 have significantly contributed to customer growth and retention [8][15] Performance Comparison - Dave's stock has outperformed peers such as LiveRamp, which saw a 6.3% decline, and Nable, which experienced a 22.9% drop [1][4] - In the last month, Dave's shares gained 15.2%, while LiveRamp and Nable lost 2.6% and 3.9%, respectively [4] Customer Growth and Acquisition - The increase in membership was driven by a 25% year-over-year rise in Dave Card spend, while customer acquisition cost (CAC) remained stable at $19 [5][6] - ExtraCash origination increased by 49% year-over-year, indicating successful marketing efforts [5] Financial Metrics - Dave's current ratio improved to 8.7 in Q3 2025, up from 6.81 a year ago, significantly exceeding the industry average of 1.58 [13] - The company trades at 16.56 times forward 12-month EPS, below the industry average of 26.11 times, making it attractive for value-oriented investors [9] Profitability - Dave's return on equity (ROE) stands at 77.8%, compared to the industry average of 15.3%, while its return on capital invested (ROIC) is 48.8%, well above the industry average of 7.7% [11] - These metrics indicate strong profitability and efficient shareholder return generation [11] Revenue and Earnings Projections - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 revenues is $546.1 million, reflecting a 57.3% increase from the previous year, with a further 20.2% anticipated growth in 2026 [14] - The consensus estimate for 2025 earnings per share is $12.96, indicating a 147.3% increase from the prior year, with an expected 8% rise in 2026 [14]
Here's How Dave's Ecosystem Strategy Supports Robust User Engagement
ZACKS· 2026-01-02 17:50
Core Insights - Dave Inc. (DAVE) achieved a 17% year-over-year growth in membership, ending Q3 2025 with 13.5 million members and acquiring 843,000 new members in the quarter [1][8] - Monthly transacting members increased by 17% year-over-year to 2.8 million, driven by a 25% rise in Dave Card spending to $510 million [1][8] Customer Acquisition and Marketing - Customer acquisition cost (CAC) remained flat at $19, despite a 22.3% increase in advertising and activation costs, indicating improved conversion rates and effective marketing strategies [2] - A 49% year-over-year increase in ExtraCash origination reflects the success of DAVE's marketing campaigns [2] Product and Fee Structure - The CashAI v5.5 underwriting engine contributed to a 20% increase in average ExtraCash size, enhancing wallet share without compromising credit quality [3] - DAVE introduced a new fee model with a flat 5% fee on ExtraCash transactions, making it more accessible and affordable for the underbanked population [4] Stock Performance and Valuation - DAVE's stock price surged 146.4% over the past year, outperforming peers AppLovin (92.2%) and Coherent Corp. (73.7%), while the industry overall gained 14% [5] - DAVE trades at a 12-month forward price-to-earnings ratio of 17.07, significantly lower than AppLovin's 72.08 and Coherent's 32.19 [9] Earnings Estimates and Rankings - DAVE holds a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy), indicating strong market confidence [13] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for DAVE's earnings for 2025 and 2026 has increased by 24.6% and 11.4%, respectively, over the past 60 days [12]
Dave vs. OppFi: Which Fintech Stock Is the Smarter Bet Right Now?
ZACKS· 2025-12-24 18:41
Core Insights - Both OppFi Inc. (OPFI) and Dave (DAVE) are key players in the fintech sector, focusing on digital lending solutions for customers [1] - DAVE offers interest-free cash advances, while OPFI collaborates with banks to serve the underbanked population [1] Group 1: Performance Metrics - DAVE's ExtraCash service allows customers to borrow up to $500 without interest, achieving a 49% year-over-year growth in originations in Q3 2025, resulting in a 63% increase in top-line growth and a 137% rise in adjusted EBITDA [3][9] - OPFI reported a 13.5% year-over-year revenue increase in Q3 2025, with adjusted net income growing by 41.4% and adjusted EPS rising by 39.1% [7][9] Group 2: Credit Risk Management - DAVE's average 28-day delinquency rate decreased by 7 basis points to 2.33% in Q3 2025, aided by the CashAI v5.5 rollout, which also improved the 28-day days past due metric [4][9] - OPFI's Model 6 led to a 430 basis point reduction in net charge-offs as a percentage of total revenues year-over-year, indicating effective credit risk management [8] Group 3: Financial Guidance and Estimates - DAVE raised its revenue guidance for the year to $544-$547 million, up from $505-$515 million, and adjusted EBITDA guidance to $215-$218 million from $180-$190 million [5] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for DAVE's 2025 sales is $546.1 million, reflecting a 57.3% year-over-year increase, while OPFI's estimate is $597.6 million, suggesting a 13.6% growth [12][13] Group 4: Valuation Comparison - OPFI is trading at a forward P/E ratio of 6.47X, significantly lower than DAVE's 15.81X, making OPFI a more attractive investment option [14] - Both companies are rated Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy), indicating strong potential for investors [17]
4 Business Services Stocks Set to Shine Strongly Into 2026
ZACKS· 2025-12-18 18:41
Core Insights - Corporate demand for business services is evolving and accelerating, viewed as strategic enablers of growth and efficiency [1] - Service providers embedding technology are becoming essential partners for enterprises navigating complex environments [2] - The essential nature of services like payroll and AI-driven tools creates sticky relationships and recurring revenues [3] Company Highlights - **Dave**: Achieved over 60% year-over-year revenue growth in Q3 2025, with adjusted EBITDA more than doubling for four consecutive quarters, reflecting scalability [5][6] - **Coherent**: Reported $1.58 billion in revenues with a 19% year-over-year pro forma growth, driven by AI-related data center demand [10][12] - **GigaCloud**: Total revenues increased by 10% year-over-year, with a strong operating cash flow of $78 million, supported by a diversified business model [13] - **LiveRamp**: Surpassed revenue guidance with strong adoption of its Data Collaboration Network, indicating increasing demand for data collaboration services [16][18] Future Outlook - Dave is projected to achieve revenues of $544 - $547 million for the full year 2025, indicating a 57.3% year-over-year growth [7] - Coherent is expected to see around 15% year-over-year revenue growth in fiscal 2026, benefiting from sustained corporate technology spending [12] - GigaCloud anticipates around 9% year-over-year revenue growth in 2025, driven by its channel-agnostic marketplace model [15] - LiveRamp expects around 9% year-over-year revenue growth in fiscal 2026, as demand for data collaboration intensifies [18] Investment Considerations - Each highlighted company addresses critical corporate needs, suggesting they are well-positioned to benefit from structural shifts in business operations [20]
Prospect Capital Bets Heavily on Dave Stock With a 23,K Shares
The Motley Fool· 2025-11-16 19:44
Core Insights - Prospect Capital Advisors increased its stake in Dave Inc. by 23,455 shares during Q3 2025, bringing its total position to 40,000 shares valued at $7,974,000 as of September 30, 2025 [1][6] - Dave Inc. shares have surged approximately 1,790% over the past three years, with the firm expecting further gains [6] - The company's third-quarter revenue grew by 63% year over year to $150.8 million, marking the second consecutive quarter of over 60% growth [7][10] Company Overview - As of November 14, 2025, Dave Inc. had a market capitalization of $2.77 billion and a stock price of $205.30, reflecting a 156.75% increase over the past year [3][8] - The trailing twelve months (TTM) revenue was reported at $347.08 million, with a net income of $57.87 million [3][8] Business Model - Dave Inc. utilizes a digital platform to simplify money management and provide alternatives to traditional overdraft and credit products, focusing on technology and innovation [5][9] - The company offers digital banking services, including checking accounts, personal finance tools, and short-term credit solutions [9] Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, Dave Inc. achieved a record net income of $92 million on a GAAP basis, with adjusted net income increasing by 193% to $61.6 million [10] - The five-year revenue compound annual growth rate (CAGR) stands at 35.41% [8]
Dave Reports Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results
Globenewswire· 2025-11-04 12:00
Core Insights - Dave Inc. reported record Q3 revenue of $150.8 million, representing a 63% year-over-year increase, driven by accelerating MTM growth and record ARPU [1][2] - The company achieved record profitability with net income reaching $92.0 million and adjusted net income increasing by 193% to $61.6 million [1][3] - Dave raised its 2025 revenue and adjusted EBITDA guidance to $544 - $547 million and $215 - $218 million, respectively [1][5] Financial Performance - Q3 operating revenues were $150.8 million, up from $92.5 million in Q3 2024, marking a 63% increase [3][16] - Adjusted EBITDA for Q3 was $58.7 million, a 137% increase compared to the same quarter last year [1][3] - The company reported a non-GAAP gross profit of $104.2 million, with a gross profit margin of 69% [3][19] Customer Metrics - New members increased significantly, with 843,000 new members acquired at a customer acquisition cost of $19 [3][6] - Monthly transacting members (MTMs) rose by 17% to 2.77 million [3][6] - ExtraCash originations grew by 49% to over $2 billion, with a monetization rate net of losses expanding to 4.8% [1][3] Liquidity and Capital Management - As of September 30, 2025, the company had $93.6 million in cash and cash equivalents, down from $104.7 million at the end of Q2 2025, primarily due to $25 million in share repurchases [4][6] - The average 28-day delinquency rate increased to 2.33% from 1.78% in the comparable period [4][6] Strategic Initiatives - The rollout of CashAI v5.5 led to improvements in origination size and delinquency rates [3][6] - The company emphasized its focus on directing acquisition spend toward high gross profit opportunities, resulting in improved payback periods [6][6]
Dave Introduces CashAI v5.5
Globenewswire· 2025-09-10 12:00
Core Insights - Dave Inc. has fully implemented CashAI v5.5, an advanced AI-driven cash flow underwriting engine that nearly doubles its feature set compared to previous models, optimizing for the new fee structure [2][4] - The new model is expected to enhance credit performance, increase average approval amounts, and reduce delinquency and loss rates, with full benefits anticipated in the fourth quarter of 2025 [2][4] Company Overview - Dave Inc. is a leading neobank in the U.S., utilizing disruptive technologies to provide banking services at lower costs compared to traditional banks [5] - The company serves millions of everyday Americans and offers products like ExtraCash™ through partnerships with banks [5] Technology and Data Utilization - CashAI assesses credit risk in real-time by analyzing cash flow data from members' primary bank accounts, leveraging insights from 150 million ExtraCash™ originations and billions of bank transactions [3] - The extensive dataset and rapid training feedback from ExtraCash™ provide a competitive advantage in consumer credit underwriting [3] Leadership and Vision - The CEO of Dave emphasized that CashAI is a key differentiator for the company, driving consistent and profitable credit outcomes while enhancing access to credit for consumers [4]