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名创优品(MNSO):同店战略收效,海外延续强劲增长
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2025-05-25 15:40
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for MINISO, indicating a positive outlook for the company's performance in the market [5]. Core Insights - MINISO's same-store sales have significantly improved, driving accelerated revenue growth, with a notable performance from TOP TOY, which achieved a revenue increase of 58.9% [5]. - The company reported a total revenue of 4.43 billion RMB in Q1 2025, reflecting an 18.9% year-on-year growth, although adjusted net profit fell by 4.8% to 587 million RMB [3][5]. - The overseas expansion continues to contribute positively, with overseas store count reaching 3,213, leading to a 30.3% increase in overseas revenue [5]. Financial Data and Earnings Forecast - Revenue projections for MINISO are as follows: - 2023: 13.839 billion RMB - 2024: 16.994 billion RMB - 2025E: 20.979 billion RMB - 2026E: 24.765 billion RMB - 2027E: 28.718 billion RMB - The expected growth rates for revenue are 39.4% in 2023, 22.8% in 2024, and 23.4% in 2025 [4][6]. - Adjusted net profit forecasts are: - 2025E: 2.845 billion RMB - 2026E: 3.343 billion RMB - 2027E: 3.794 billion RMB [4][6].