A desire for deep discounts inspired 202.9 million U.S. consumers to shop during the five-day stretch from Thanksgiving Day through Cyber Monday, according to a survey by the National Retail Federation and Prosper Insights & Analytics released on Tuesday.That estimated total surpassed the major trade group's forecast that 186.9 million people would shop during the five-day period. It also increased from last year's turnout of 197 million shoppers during the same period. The shopping turnout is the largest s ...

Company Overview - Guess (NYSE:GES) is a prominent brand in the fashion industry, focusing on clothing and accessories within the Consumer Discretionary sector, currently ranked 12 in the Zacks Sector Rank based on earnings estimates and revisions [1] Stock Performance - The current stock price of Guess is $17.07, reflecting a slight increase of $0.01 or about 0.06%. The stock has experienced a low of $17.03 and a high of $17.08 today, with a yearly high of $17.43 and a low of $8.48, indicating volatility [3][5] - Guess has a market capitalization of approximately $890.2 million, calculated by multiplying the current stock price by the total number of outstanding shares. Today's trading volume is 163,250 shares, showing investor interest and activity [4][5] Analyst Ratings - UBS has updated its rating for Guess to Neutral, advising investors to hold the stock, while the Zacks Rank system assigns Guess a rank of 2 (Buy), suggesting an expectation for the company to outperform the market in the short term, over the next one to three months [2][5]

Core Insights - Urban Outfitters (URBN) reported quarterly earnings of $1.28 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.19 per share, and showing an increase from $1.1 per share a year ago, resulting in an earnings surprise of +7.56% [1] - The company achieved revenues of $1.53 billion for the quarter ended October 2025, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 2.43% and up from $1.36 billion year-over-year [2] - Urban Outfitters has consistently surpassed consensus EPS and revenue estimates over the last four quarters [2] Earnings Performance - The earnings surprise for the previous quarter was +9.72%, with actual earnings of $1.58 per share compared to an expected $1.44 per share [1] - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $1.34, with projected revenues of $1.77 billion, and for the current fiscal year, the EPS estimate is $5.24 on revenues of $6.1 billion [7] Stock Performance and Outlook - Urban Outfitters shares have increased by approximately 13.4% since the beginning of the year, compared to a 14% gain in the S&P 500 [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating expected performance in line with the market in the near future [6] - The outlook for the industry, particularly the Retail - Apparel and Shoes sector, is favorable, ranking in the top 24% of over 250 Zacks industries [8]

The market expects Urban Outfitters (URBN) to deliver a year-over-year increase in earnings on higher revenues when it reports results for the quarter ended October 2025. This widely-known consensus outlook is important in assessing the company's earnings picture, but a powerful factor that might influence its near-term stock price is how the actual results compare to these estimates.The earnings report might help the stock move higher if these key numbers are better than expectations. On the other hand, if ...

Core Insights - Consumer spending showed a rebound in October, indicating a strong start for the retail sector in the fourth quarter, which is promising for the upcoming holiday season [1][6] Retail Performance - The CNBC NRF retail monitor reported a 0.6% increase in retail spending excluding auto and gas compared to a 0.7% decline in September, with a year-over-year rate decreasing to 5% from 5.4% [2] - Core retail measures, excluding restaurants, also saw a 0.6% increase from a 0.5% decline, with the year-over-year rate dropping to 4.9% from 5.7% [2] Economic Factors - NRF economists noted that consumer spending remains robust, supported by wage growth outpacing inflation, low unemployment rates, and positive wealth effects from strong stock market performance [3][8] - Despite high inflation and tariffs affecting consumer sentiment, nine out of twelve retail sectors experienced growth in October, particularly digital products (up 2%) and clothing and accessories (up 1.4%) [4] Sector Analysis - The only sectors showing negative performance included building and garden supplies (down 0.8%) and gas station sales, highlighting a mixed picture in retail [4][5] - There is a notable split in spending patterns between higher and lower-income consumers, with wealthier consumers potentially driving spending increases due to stock market gains [6][7] Future Outlook - The October performance is seen as a positive indicator for November and December, which are critical months for retail, with historical data suggesting that a good October can lead to strong holiday sales about 40% of the time [9][10]

Core Insights - Consumer spending rebounded in October after a decline in September, indicating a strong start for the retail sector in Q4 [2][6] - The retail monitor, based on credit card spending data, showed a 0.6% increase in retail sales excluding auto and gas, compared to a 0.7% decline in September [2][3] - Year-over-year growth rates for core retail sales decreased slightly, with a drop from 5.4% to 5% [3] Sector Performance - Most retail sectors experienced growth, with digital products leading at a 2% increase, followed by clothing and accessories at 1.4% [4] - Restaurants, beverages, and health and personal care sectors also performed well, while building and garden supplies saw a decline of 0.8% [5] Economic Context - Consumer spending remains robust, supported by wage growth exceeding inflation, low unemployment rates, and positive wealth effects from strong stock market performance [6] - Despite mixed economic data, October's performance is seen as a positive indicator for the upcoming holiday season, although historical correlations between October gains and holiday sales are weak [6] Challenges Ahead - Key concerns for the retail sector include the impact of goods inflation, tariffs, and early signs of a cooling job market on holiday shopping [7] - The ongoing government shutdown has affected the release of critical economic data, creating uncertainty about the accuracy and timeliness of upcoming reports [9][10]

Core Viewpoint - Growth stocks are appealing due to their potential for above-average financial growth, but identifying those that can fulfill their potential is challenging [1] Group 1: Growth Stock Characteristics - The Zacks Growth Style Score helps identify promising growth stocks by analyzing real growth prospects beyond traditional metrics [2] - Urban Outfitters (URBN) is highlighted as a recommended stock with a favorable Growth Score and a top Zacks Rank [2] Group 2: Earnings Growth - Earnings growth is crucial for attracting investor attention, with double-digit growth seen as a strong indicator of future stock price gains [3] - Urban Outfitters has a historical EPS growth rate of 49.2%, with projected EPS growth of 29% this year, significantly outperforming the industry average of 12.1% [4] Group 3: Cash Flow Growth - High cash flow growth is essential for growth-oriented companies, allowing them to fund new projects without relying on external financing [5] - Urban Outfitters currently has a year-over-year cash flow growth of 22%, compared to an industry average of -3.2% [5] - The company's annualized cash flow growth rate over the past 3-5 years is 9.1%, exceeding the industry average of 7.6% [6] Group 4: Earnings Estimate Revisions - Positive trends in earnings estimate revisions correlate strongly with near-term stock price movements [7] - Urban Outfitters has seen upward revisions in current-year earnings estimates, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate increasing by 0.9% over the past month [8] Group 5: Conclusion - Urban Outfitters has achieved a Growth Score of A and a Zacks Rank 2, indicating its potential as an outperformer and a solid choice for growth investors [10]

Core Viewpoint - Momentum investing focuses on "buying high and selling higher" rather than traditional strategies of "buying low and selling high" [1] Group 1: Momentum Investing Strategy - Momentum investors often face challenges in determining the right entry point for fast-moving stocks, which can lead to limited upside or downside risks [2] - A safer approach involves investing in bargain stocks that exhibit recent price momentum, utilizing tools like the Zacks Momentum Style Score to identify these opportunities [3] Group 2: Tilly's (TLYS) Stock Analysis - Tilly's has shown a price increase of 9.9% over the past four weeks, indicating growing investor interest [4] - The stock has gained 22.1% over the past 12 weeks, demonstrating its ability to deliver positive returns over a longer timeframe [5] - TLYS has a Momentum Score of B, suggesting it is an opportune time to invest in the stock [6] - The stock has received a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy) due to upward revisions in earnings estimates, which typically attract more investors [7] - TLYS is trading at a Price-to-Sales ratio of 0.11, indicating it is relatively undervalued, as investors pay only 11 cents for each dollar of sales [7] Group 3: Additional Investment Opportunities - Besides TLYS, there are other stocks that meet the criteria of the 'Fast-Paced Momentum at a Bargain' screen, presenting further investment opportunities [8] - The Zacks Premium Screens offer over 45 different strategies tailored to help investors find winning stock picks [9]

Core Viewpoint - Investors are increasingly seeking growth stocks that demonstrate above-average growth potential, with Urban Outfitters identified as a strong candidate due to its favorable growth metrics and Zacks Rank [1][2]. Earnings Growth - Urban Outfitters has a historical EPS growth rate of 49.2%, with projected EPS growth of 27.6% for the current year, significantly outperforming the industry average of 9.9% [5]. Cash Flow Growth - The company exhibits a year-over-year cash flow growth of 22%, which is notably higher than the industry average of -3.2%. Its annualized cash flow growth rate over the past 3-5 years stands at 9.1%, compared to the industry average of 6.2% [6][7]. Earnings Estimate Revisions - There has been a positive trend in earnings estimate revisions for Urban Outfitters, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate for the current year increasing by 4.8% over the past month [9]. Overall Positioning - Urban Outfitters has achieved a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy) and a Growth Score of A, positioning it well for potential outperformance in the growth stock category [10][11].

Core Insights - The back-to-school and college shopping season in the U.S. is experiencing a significant increase in early shopping, with 67% of shoppers starting their purchases by early July, up from 55% last year, marking the highest level since 2018 [1][2] Spending Trends - K-12 shoppers have an average budget of $295.81 for electronics, totaling $13.5 billion, $249.36 for clothing and accessories ($11.4 billion), $143.77 for school supplies ($6.6 billion), and $169.13 for shoes ($7.8 billion [3] - College students and parents are expected to spend an average of $309.50 on electronics ($20.7 billion), $191.39 on dorm furnishings ($12.28 billion), $166.07 on clothing and accessories ($11.1 billion), $140.24 on food ($9.4 billion), and $117.95 on shoes ($7.9 billion) [4] Company Insights - Costco Wholesale (COST) operates membership warehouses selling food and general merchandise at discounted prices, holding a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) and a VGM Score of B [5] - Lowe's Companies (LOW) is a leading home improvement retailer with a Zacks Rank of 3 and an upbeat VGM Score of A, offering essentials for back-to-campus needs [6] - Ambarella (AMBA) develops semiconductors for video compression and image processing, holding a Zacks Rank of 3 [7] - Amazon.com (AMZN) is a major e-commerce provider with a Zacks Rank of 3 [8] ETF Insights - ProShares Online Retail ETF (ONLN) tracks online retailers and charges 58 bps in fees with a yield of 0.65% annually [9] - VanEck Retail ETF (RTH) tracks the performance of various retail companies and charges 35 bps in fees with a yield of 0.70% annually [10][11] - Invesco Food & Beverage ETF (PBJ) focuses on U.S. food and beverage companies, charging 62 bps in fees with a yield of 1.68% annually [12] - VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) tracks semiconductor companies and charges 35 bps in fees with a yield of 0.37% annually [13]