Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Consolidated revenues for Q3 2025 were down 5% at $4.4 billion, with global ag segment sales down 11% and North America down 29% [9][10] - Industrial adjusted EBIT was $104 million, down 69% year over year, reflecting lower industry demands and tariffs [10][16] - Adjusted net income decreased to $109 million, with adjusted EPS for the quarter at $0.08, down from $0.24 [10][16] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Agriculture Q3 net sales were just under $3 billion, down 10% year over year, primarily due to a 29% decrease in North America [17] - Construction third quarter net sales were $739 million, up 8% year over year, driven by higher sales in North America and EMEA [20] - Adjusted gross margin for agriculture was 20.6%, down from 22.7% in Q3 2024, affected by lower volumes and tariff costs [17][18] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - North America experienced a 29% decline in agriculture sales, while EMEA saw a 16% increase, particularly in tractors [9][17] - Conditions in South America remain challenging, with geopolitical and market circumstances impacting farmers [5][6] - The overall industry retail demand is expected to be down around 10% from 2024, with construction volumes expected to decline about 5% [27][28] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on five strategic pillars: expanding product leadership, advancing iron and tech integration, driving commercial excellence, operational excellence, and quality as a mindset [10][18] - The company is transforming its global supply chain and dealer network to mitigate risks from market volatility [4][6] - Upcoming product launches at Agritechnica are aimed at filling market gaps and gaining ground in EMEA [9][11] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that market fundamentals remain uncertain and challenging for farmers, particularly in North America and South America [5][6] - The company expects to navigate near-term challenges while investing in business improvements and preparing for future product launches [6][7] - The outlook for 2026 anticipates flat to slightly down global industry retail demand compared to 2025 [31][32] Other Important Information - The company has reduced quality costs by over $60 million year to date, reflecting improvements in operational efficiency [15] - The company repurchased $50 million worth of stock at an average price of $11.25 per share during Q3 [24] - The company is maintaining a focus on margin improvement initiatives despite the current trade environment [33] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you elaborate on the decremental margin on the volume mix? - The decremental margin was primarily driven by the 29% decline in North America, with EMEA up 16% [35] Question: What is the impact of SG&A on the margin? - SG&A increased due to higher variable compensation accruals, contributing to the margin decline [36] Question: Can you unpack the product cost changes? - Product costs were favorable by $33 million year over year, despite $44 million in tariff costs [38] Question: How much of the tariff cost is tied to different tariff categories? - About 20% of the tariff costs are from Section 232, with no reliance on potential relief from the Supreme Court [43] Question: What gives confidence in achieving desired dealer levels in three to four months? - The company expects to achieve a $1 billion inventory reduction by year-end, allowing for increased production in 2026 [41]

Financial Performance - Consolidated revenues decreased by 5% year-over-year to $4.4 billion[11] - Industrial Activities net sales decreased by 7% year-over-year to $3.7 billion[11] - Industrial Activities adjusted EBIT decreased by 69% year-over-year to $104 million[11] - Net income decreased by 78% year-over-year to $67 million[11] - Adjusted diluted EPS decreased by $0.16 to $0.08[11] Segment Results - Agriculture net sales decreased by 10% year-over-year to $2.963 billion[28] - Agriculture adjusted EBIT decreased by $200 million to $136 million[28] - Construction net sales increased by 8% year-over-year to $739 million[30] - Construction adjusted EBIT decreased by $26 million to $14 million[31] - Financial Services Q3 retail originations decreased by $0.2 billion year-over-year to $2.7 billion[34] - Financial Services managed portfolio decreased by $0.5 billion year-over-year to $28.5 billion[34] Outlook - Agriculture industry retail demand forecast is expected to decrease by 13%-11% year-over-year[39] - Agriculture net sales are expected to be $14.0 billion[39] - Construction industry retail demand forecast is expected to decrease by 5%-3% year-over-year[41] - Construction net sales are expected to be $3.1 billion[41]

Core Insights - CNH Industrial reported third quarter consolidated revenues of $4.4 billion, a decrease of 5% compared to Q3 2024, driven by decreased industry demand and ongoing channel destocking [1][4] - The company’s net income for the quarter was $67 million, down 78% from $310 million in the same period last year, with diluted earnings per share (EPS) falling to $0.06 from $0.24 [1][4] - Despite the challenging market conditions, CNH is focused on cost management and operational excellence, while also increasing net sales guidance but lowering profit guidance due to tariff headwinds and an unfavorable geographic sales mix [1][2] Financial Performance - Consolidated revenues for Q3 2025 were $4.4 billion, down from $4.65 billion in Q3 2024 [4] - Net sales from Industrial Activities were $3.7 billion, a decrease of 7% year-over-year [4] - Adjusted EBIT for Industrial Activities fell to $104 million, down 69% from $336 million in Q3 2024, with an adjusted EBIT margin of 2.8% compared to 8.4% in the previous year [4][5] - The gross profit margin for Industrial Activities decreased to 19.1%, down 260 basis points from 21.7% in Q3 2024 [4] Segment Performance Agriculture - Agriculture net sales decreased by 10% to $2.96 billion, primarily due to lower shipment volumes and decreased industry demand in North America [7][8] - Adjusted EBIT for the Agriculture segment dropped to $137 million, down 59% from $336 million in Q3 2024, with an adjusted EBIT margin of 4.6% [9] Construction - Construction net sales increased by 8% to $739 million, reflecting higher shipment volumes in North America and EMEA [10][11] - Adjusted EBIT for the Construction segment decreased to $14 million, down 65% from $40 million in Q3 2024, with an adjusted EBIT margin of 1.9% [11] Financial Services - Financial Services revenues increased by 4% to $684 million, driven by higher yields in Brazil [12] - Net income for Financial Services was $47 million, a decrease of 40% compared to Q3 2024, primarily due to increased risk costs and lower volumes [13] Outlook - The company updated its 2025 outlook, projecting Agriculture segment net sales to decline between 11% and 13% year-over-year, and Construction segment net sales to decrease between 3% and 5% [17] - Adjusted diluted EPS is expected to be between $0.44 and $0.50 [18] - CNH is focusing on reducing operating costs and managing SG&A and R&D expenses to mitigate margin erosion [15][16]

Financial Performance - Net sales for Q3 2025 were $24763 million, a decrease of 47% compared to Q3 2024[7] - Operating income for Q3 2025 was $1516 million, a 321% increase compared to Q3 2024[7] - Adjusted operating income for Q3 2025 was $1850 million, a 287% increase compared to Q3 2024[7] - Year-to-date net sales in 2025 were $71618 million, an 184% decrease compared to the same period in 2024[7] - Year-to-date adjusted operating income was $4859 million, a 359% decrease compared to the same period in 2024[7] - The company generated $65 million in free cash flow through September YTD 2025[34] Market Overview - North America industry tractor sales are down approximately 10% year-to-date in September 2025 compared to 2024[9] - Brazil industry tractor sales are down approximately 29% year-to-date in September 2025 compared to 2024[9] - Western Europe industry tractor sales are down approximately 8% for tractors and up 3% for combines year-to-date in September 2025 compared to 2024[9] Strategic Initiatives - The company is executing a restructuring program expected to capture $175-200 million in expense savings[17]

Core Insights - Illinois soybean growers are facing significant financial losses, averaging up to $64 per acre due to low crop prices and weak exports, as estimated by the University of Illinois [1][8] - The U.S. soybean industry is struggling to find alternative markets to replace China, which has historically been the largest importer of U.S. soybeans [2][15] - The trade war between the U.S. and China has led to a 39% drop in U.S. soybean exports to China by volume, resulting in a 51% decrease in value, equating to a loss of billions for farmers [8][18] Market Dynamics - Farmers are storing their crops in hopes of price recovery, as they have sold some harvests at prices below production costs [2][5] - The U.S. has seen a slight increase in exports to countries like Bangladesh and Vietnam, but these markets are not sufficient to offset the losses from the absence of Chinese demand [9][12] - The U.S. Agriculture Secretary announced a commitment from Taiwan for $10 billion in U.S. agricultural purchases over four years, but this does not represent an increase in demand [11] Industry Impact - The decline in soybean exports has negatively affected related industries, including equipment manufacturers like CNH, which reported a 20% drop in net sales in its agriculture business [19] - The financial strain on farmers is expected to have broader implications for rural America, affecting various sectors beyond agriculture [18] - The U.S. soybean industry is exploring new markets in regions like Southeast Asia and North Africa, but these efforts are still in early stages and may take time to yield results [10][14]

Core Insights - Deere & Company and AGCO Corporation are prominent players in the agricultural machinery industry, both investing in advanced technologies like precision agriculture and smart farming solutions [1][2] - Both companies are positioned to benefit from long-term trends such as rising food demand and sustainable farming practices, but face challenges due to weakened farmer sentiment stemming from lower commodity prices and higher costs [2][22] Deere & Company - Deere has a market capitalization of $127 billion and specializes in agricultural, forestry, and turf equipment, with a strong focus on precision farming technology [4] - The company has experienced declining revenues for eight consecutive quarters and expects a continued decline in fiscal 2025, particularly in the large agriculture equipment market, projected to drop by 30% [5][6] - Net income for fiscal 2025 is anticipated to be between $4.75 billion and $5.25 billion, significantly lower than the $7.1 billion reported in fiscal 2024 [7] - Deere is managing production levels and cutting costs to maintain margins, while focusing on innovation and geographic expansion to drive long-term growth [8] - Recent acquisitions, such as GUSS Automation, aim to enhance competitive edge through advanced technology [9] AGCO Corporation - AGCO has a market capitalization of approximately $8.2 billion and offers a range of agricultural machinery and precision agriculture technology [10] - The company has also seen declining revenues and earnings for seven consecutive quarters, with a revised net sales guidance of $9.8 billion for 2025, indicating a 15.5% year-over-year decline [11] - In North America, AGCO expects a 25-30% decline in sales volumes of large agricultural equipment and a 5% decline in small agricultural equipment [12] - AGCO is implementing aggressive production cuts and restructuring actions to focus on core agricultural equipment [12] - The company continues to invest in premium technology and sustainable farming solutions to enhance product offerings and improve margins [13][14] Financial Comparisons - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Deere's fiscal 2025 earnings is $18.58 per share, reflecting a 27.6% year-over-year decline, while AGCO's estimate is $4.77 per share, indicating a 36.4% decline [15] - Year-to-date, AGCO shares have increased by 17.4%, outperforming Deere's 10.8% gain [17] - AGCO trades at a lower forward earnings multiple of 18.20X compared to Deere's 22.84X, making AGCO more attractive from a valuation perspective [19][23]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Net sales and revenues decreased by 9% to DKK 12.018 billion, with equipment operations net sales also down 9% to DKK 10.357 billion [10] - Net income attributable to Deere and Company was €1.289 billion, or $4.75 per diluted share [10] Business Segment Data and Key Metrics Changes - Production and Precision Ag segment net sales fell 16% year over year to €4.273 billion, primarily due to lower shipment volumes and unfavorable price realization [10][11] - Small Ag and Turf segment net sales decreased by 1% year over year to €3.025 billion, with operating profit declining slightly to €485 million, resulting in a 16% operating margin [12] - Construction and Forestry segment net sales were down 5% year over year to DKK 3.059 billion, with an operating profit of €237 million and a 7.7% operating margin [19][20] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - In the U.S. and Canada, large ag equipment industry sales are expected to decline approximately 30% in fiscal year 2025 due to high interest rates and elevated used inventory levels [13] - Small ag and turf industry demand in the U.S. and Canada is projected to decrease by 10% [14] - European market sentiment is improving, with expectations for industry sales to be flat to down 5% in fiscal year 2025 [15] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on disciplined execution amidst challenging market dynamics, with a strong emphasis on managing production costs and inventory levels [6][8] - Deere is positioning itself to respond effectively to market demand inflections, having reduced inventories significantly across all business segments [29][32] - The company is investing in technology and precision agriculture solutions to drive future growth and improve customer outcomes [59][110] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that global uncertainty and high interest rates are impacting customer sentiment, leading to cautious capital purchases [28] - Despite challenges, there are signs of optimism in certain markets, with improved retail sales and order activity in specific segments [9][44] - The company remains committed to delivering long-term value for customers and shareholders, leveraging its operational efficiencies and market position [67][68] Other Important Information - Tariff costs in the quarter were approximately $200 million, with a forecasted pretax impact of nearly $600 million for fiscal year 2025 [37][38] - The company has seen a positive response to pricing actions taken in the North American earthmoving market, with retail settlements up mid-single digits year over year [39] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you provide additional color on the quarter's performance? - Management highlighted the challenges posed by global trade dynamics and interest rate expectations, emphasizing the importance of focusing on controllable factors like production and inventory management [28] Question: What are the expectations for production in relation to retail demand next year? - Management indicated that production is expected to align closely with retail demand, particularly in large ag, while small ag and turf may see some lift due to underproduction this year [75] Question: Can you elaborate on the early order programs and their trends? - Management noted that while there is caution in ordering due to market uncertainty, early returns on planters and combines are positive, though it is still early in the programs [81][82] Question: How is the company addressing pricing competition in the market? - Management acknowledged the competitive pricing environment but expressed optimism about the market's ability to bear higher pricing, especially with positive retail sales trends [86] Question: What is the outlook for cash flow guidance? - Management explained that the cash flow guidance remains unchanged due to the uncertain environment, but they feel confident about inventory levels and retail sales trends [94]

3Q 2025 Financial Performance - Net sales and revenues increased by 9% from $12.018 billion in 3Q 2024 to $13.152 billion in 3Q 2025[7] - Net sales for Equipment Operations increased by 9% from $10.357 billion in 3Q 2024 to $11.387 billion in 3Q 2025[7] - Net income attributable to Deere & Company decreased by 26% from $1.734 billion in 3Q 2024 to $1.289 billion in 3Q 2025[7] - Diluted EPS decreased by 24% from $6.29 per share in 3Q 2024 to $4.75 per share in 3Q 2025[7] Segment Performance - Production and Precision Ag net sales decreased by 16% from $5.099 billion in 3Q 2024 to $4.273 billion in 3Q 2025[9] - Small Ag and Turf net sales slightly decreased by 1% from $3.053 billion in 3Q 2024 to $3.025 billion in 3Q 2025[11] - Construction and Forestry net sales decreased by 5% from $3.235 billion in 3Q 2024 to $3.059 billion in 3Q 2025[22] - Financial Services net income increased from $153 million in 3Q 2024 to $205 million in 3Q 2025[30] FY 2025 Outlook - The company forecasts a net income attributable to Deere & Co of $4.75-5.25 billion[32] - The company anticipates net operating cash flow of $4.5-5.5 billion[32]

Financial Performance - Consolidated revenues decreased by 14% year-over-year to $4.7 billion[10] - Net sales for Industrial Activities decreased by 16% year-over-year to $4.0 billion[10] - Adjusted EBIT for Industrial Activities decreased by 55% year-over-year to $224 million[10] - Net income decreased by 46% year-over-year to $217 million[10] - Adjusted diluted EPS decreased by $0.18 year-over-year to $0.17[10] Segment Performance - Agriculture net sales decreased by 17% year-over-year to $3.248 billion, with adjusted EBIT decreasing to $263 million[21] - Construction net sales decreased by 13% year-over-year to $773 million, with adjusted EBIT decreasing to $35 million[24] - Financial Services retail originations decreased by $0.2 billion year-over-year to $2.7 billion, while the managed portfolio increased by $0.2 billion year-over-year to $28.7 billion[27] Outlook - The company reaffirmed its 2025 outlook for Industrial Activities, including net sales decreasing by 11% year-over-year from $17.1 billion, adjusted EBIT margin between 4.5% and 6.5%, and free cash flow between $0.1 billion and $0.5 billion[38] - The company also reaffirmed its 2025 outlook for adjusted diluted EPS between $0.50 and $0.70[38] Other Highlights - Production hours decreased by 12% year-over-year to reduce dealer inventory[8] - The company announced a collaboration with Starlink to expand connectivity for CNH customers[8]

Core Insights - Deere & Company is committed to supporting Brazil's agricultural transformation, positioning itself as a key player in the country's rise as a global agricultural superpower [1] - Brazil's agricultural production is expected to increase significantly over the next decade, with soybeans projected to rise by 46%, corn by 50%, sugarcane by 20%, and cotton by 38% [1] Group 1: Market Position and Growth - Corn and soy account for 90% of Brazil's total grain production, highlighting the strategic importance of these crops for Deere [1] - Deere's tractor market share in Brazil has nearly doubled from 2009 to 2024, with significant growth in the combine (1.5 times), planter (2.5 times), and sprayer (2 times) markets [4] - The company has made substantial investments in Brazil, including eight factories, four facilities, and one R&D center, diversifying its product portfolio beyond just soybeans [3] Group 2: Technological Innovations - Expanding farming areas by utilizing degraded land and implementing double cropping practices will support agricultural growth, with Deere's precision solutions playing a crucial role [2] - Deere is addressing poor cell coverage in Brazil by developing satellite-based solutions for real-time data management, expecting its connected machines to grow from 17 in 2020 to 200 by 2030 [3] Group 3: Competitive Landscape - Other players like AGCO Corporation and CNH Industrial are also focusing on the Brazilian market, with AGCO announcing new facilities and investments to enhance its manufacturing presence [5][7] - CNH Industrial showcased innovative products at Agrishow 2025, indicating a competitive environment in agricultural machinery [6] Group 4: Financial Performance - Deere's shares have increased by 21.9% this year, outperforming the industry growth of 21% and the S&P 500's gain of 1.7% [8] - The forward 12-month price/earnings (P/E) ratio for Deere is 25.11X, compared to the industry average of 23.46X, suggesting it may not be a compelling value proposition at current levels [10] Group 5: Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Deere's fiscal 2025 earnings indicates a year-over-year decline of 26.5%, with revenues expected to drop by 15% [11] - However, fiscal 2026 estimates show a potential recovery with earnings growth of 17% and a revenue increase of 7.3% [11]