“The most important item we sell is the membership card,” Costco CEO Ron Vachris told Fortune in an April interview Costco has steadily added to its membership base. "Revenue from membership fees increased 5% to $4.8 billion, and our membership base grew to nearly 137 million cardholders, with a 90% renewal rate," the chain shared in its 2024 annual report. The chain raised its membership fees in September, 2024. "In July, we announced our first membership fee increase in seven years, increasing our G ...

Costco Wholesale Corporation (NASDAQ:COST) is included among the 13 Best Debt Free Dividend Stocks to Buy Now. Wells Fargo Trims Costco (COST) Target Amid Mixed Retail Backdrop Niloo / Shutterstock.com On December 19, Wells Fargo analyst Edward Kelly lowered the firm’s price target on Costco Wholesale Corporation (NASDAQ:COST) to $900 from $1,000 and kept an Equal Weight rating. The firm sees a mixed setup for 2026 across the group, though opportunity remains. Wells is constructive on broadlines and foo ...

Core Insights - Costco's business model is centered around membership, which generates a reliable revenue stream and fosters strong customer loyalty [2][3] - The company has seen significant growth in membership numbers, with total paid members reaching 81.4 million, a 5.2% increase year-over-year [8] - Costco's performance has been bolstered by the current economic climate, as high prices encourage more consumers to seek membership and purchase goods at discounted rates [4][11] Membership and Revenue - Membership fees are a crucial source of revenue, allowing Costco to maintain lower prices on merchandise compared to traditional retailers [3] - Membership income grew by 7.3% year-over-year, driven by an increase in the membership base and upgrades to higher-tier memberships [7] - The company reported net sales of $65.98 billion for the first quarter, an 8.2% increase from $60.99 billion the previous year [5] Economic Positioning - Analysts suggest that Costco is well-positioned to thrive in a struggling economy, alongside competitors like Amazon and Walmart, due to its focus on value and consumer staples [11] - The economic downturn may lead to increased membership sign-ups as consumers look for cost-effective shopping options [4][12] - Historical data indicates that during economic crises, Costco's revenue may drop due to a shift in product mix towards lower-margin items, although customer visits remain strong [13] Performance Metrics - At the end of Q1, Costco had 39.7 million paid executive memberships, a 9.1% increase year-over-year [8] - The renewal rate for U.S. and Canada members was 92.2%, while the worldwide renewal rate was 89.7%, reflecting a slight decline [8][9] - The decline in renewal rates is attributed to a higher percentage of new online members, who renew at a lower rate compared to traditional warehouse sign-ups [9][10]

Core Viewpoint - Costco's stock has underperformed recently, declining about 7% over the past year, but it remains a strong buy due to solid sales growth and earnings performance [2][11]. Group 1: Financial Performance - Costco's fourth-quarter sales increased by 8% to $86.1 billion, and earnings per share rose by 11% to $5.87, surpassing analysts' expectations [4]. - Membership fees reached $1.7 billion in the fourth quarter, marking a 17% increase from the previous year [7]. Group 2: Competitive Advantage - Costco has approximately 80 million members globally, with a high membership renewal rate of about 90%, indicating strong customer loyalty [6]. - The company holds 60% of the domestic warehouse club market, and there has been an 11% increase in signups for its more expensive Executive Membership over the past decade [8]. Group 3: Resilience in Economic Downturns - Costco's business model allows it to thrive during economic downturns, as consumers seek to save money, making membership a financially prudent choice [9][10]. - The high renewal rates suggest that members are likely to maintain their memberships even in challenging economic conditions [10].

Group 1 - Costco Wholesale is perceived primarily as a big-box retailer, but it operates more like a subscription business, which is crucial for investors [2][4] - Membership is central to Costco's business model, generating $5.3 billion in revenue in fiscal 2025, with minimal operational costs leading to high profitability [4][5] - The company had 81 million paid memberships in Q4 of fiscal 2025, reflecting a 6.3% year-over-year increase, and membership revenue grew by 14% year-over-year due to fee increases [5][6] Group 2 - Membership renewal rates are exceptionally high at 90% globally, contributing to a resilient customer base similar to streaming services [6][7] - The membership model supports Costco's low-cost strategy, allowing the company to maintain low prices that attract more shoppers, enhancing sales volume and supplier leverage [7][9] - Costco's self-reinforcing model encourages customer loyalty without relying on promotions or advertisements, leading to greater predictability in revenue [9]

Group 1: Company Overview - Visa is a payment processor in the financial sector, collecting small fees for facilitating transactions via its branded cards [2] - Costco operates as a warehouse club retailer and issues credit cards within the Visa system, charging an annual membership fee for shopping [5] Group 2: Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, Visa processed 60.7 billion transactions, a 9% year-over-year increase, resulting in a revenue of $9.6 billion, also up 9% [3] - Costco's revenue in the fiscal Q3 2025 increased by 8% to nearly $62 billion, with membership fees contributing significantly to operating income [5] Group 3: Growth Potential - Both Visa and Costco are well-managed companies with strong growth prospects; Visa benefits from the shift to digital transactions, while Costco is expanding its store base due to high demand [6] Group 4: Valuation Concerns - Both companies are currently considered expensive, with Visa's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio about 5% above its five-year average, while Costco's is approximately 25% above [9][10] - Visa's dividend yield is 0.7%, and Costco's is less than 0.6%, indicating limited income generation for value investors [8] Group 5: Investment Considerations - Visa appears to be the better value option compared to Costco for growth investors, given its relatively lower valuation metrics [10] - Caution is advised for investors, as economic downturns could negatively impact both companies [12]

Group 1: Earnings Outlook - Many big technology stocks are expected to perform well, while consumer staples stocks are projected to have negative earnings growth of around 3% and consumer discretionary stocks are expected to average negative growth of approximately 5.4% [1] - Persistent inflation in consumer-facing areas, particularly food, is affecting earnings outlook, leading companies to hedge or refrain from issuing future guidance due to uncertainties around tariffs [2] Group 2: Company-Specific Insights - PepsiCo's stock is down 11.75% in 2025 and over 18% in the last 12 months, with revenue declining year-over-year for four consecutive quarters, resulting in negative earnings per share growth [4][5] - Procter & Gamble's stock is down 9.1% in 2025, hitting a 52-week low, as consumers shift towards private label brands, and the company missed on topline expectations while beating EPS expectations by 1 cent [8][9] - Costco Wholesale has delivered a total return of 233.5% over the last five years, but its high P/E ratio over 55x may deter some investors despite its strong growth and profitability [12][13] Group 3: Technical Analysis - PepsiCo's stock shows signs of a bullish reversal with the price above the 50-day simple moving average, although potential resistance exists at the current level [6] - Procter & Gamble's stock is trading at 24x earnings, around the average of the S&P 500, but at a discount to its historical averages, with a significant portion of revenue generated overseas [10] - Costco's stock may face further declines if it breaks support at its 200-day SMA, with a notable support and resistance area around $957 [15]

Core Insights - Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST) reported a 10.4% year-over-year increase in membership fee income for Q3 of fiscal 2025, totaling $1,240 million, driven by a membership fee hike and an expanding member base [1][8] - Paid household memberships rose 6.8% year-over-year to 79.6 million, with executive memberships growing 9% to 37.6 million, representing 47.3% of paid memberships and driving 73.1% of worldwide sales [2][8] - The membership fee increase, effective from September last year, was complemented by product innovations and enhanced digital offerings, which helped maintain customer loyalty [4][3] Membership Growth and Retention - Costco achieved a 92.7% renewal rate in the U.S. and Canada, with a global renewal rate of 90.2%, indicating strong member retention despite some volatility in new digital memberships [2][8] - The growth in executive memberships, which are the most lucrative, highlights Costco's ability to enhance recurring revenues through pricing power and scale without alienating its core customer base [3][2] Competitive Landscape - Walmart Inc. reported a 15% rise in membership income in Q1 of fiscal 2026, with a 9.6% increase in U.S. membership income, showcasing its successful diversification of revenue streams [5] - BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc. experienced an 8.1% year-over-year increase in membership fee income to $120.4 million, attributed to strong member acquisition and retention [6] Financial Performance and Valuation - Costco's stock has outperformed the industry, rallying 14.1% over the past year compared to the industry's 5.6% growth [7] - The forward 12-month price-to-earnings ratio for Costco stands at 50.75, significantly higher than the industry average of 32.42, indicating a premium valuation [9] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate projects year-over-year growth of 8% in sales and 12% in earnings per share for the current financial year [10]

Group 1: Market Overview - Trump's trade policies have caused volatility in broader equities, leading to investor concerns about future market conditions [1] - Despite short-term uncertainties, the stock market is expected to provide competitive returns over the long term [1] Group 2: Coca-Cola - Coca-Cola has outperformed the market this year, benefiting from its position in the consumer staples industry, which is perceived as a safe haven during economic downturns [4] - The company's forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 24.2, which is reasonable compared to the industry average of 22.2 [4] - Coca-Cola's extensive global presence and local manufacturing reduce the impact of tariffs, making it resilient to trade policy changes [5] - The brand's strong recognition and adaptability to changing consumer demands provide a competitive advantage [6][7] - Coca-Cola has a remarkable dividend track record, having increased payouts for 63 consecutive years, indicating robust underlying operations [8] Group 3: Costco - Costco's stock appears expensive with a forward P/E of 56.7, which is significantly above the average for consumer staples [9] - The company's membership model fosters customer loyalty and encourages repeat visits, enhancing its competitive position [10] - Costco has substantial growth opportunities, particularly in international markets, with 69% of its warehouses located in the U.S. [11] - The company holds a 1.5% share of the U.S. e-commerce market, with e-commerce sales growing faster, providing a long-term growth tailwind [12] - Although tariffs may impact margins, Costco's strong brand and global expansion strategy are expected to sustain its appeal and performance in the long run [13]

Core Viewpoint - The technology sector is experiencing a sell-off due to concerns over new tariffs announced by U.S. President Donald Trump, with the Nasdaq-100 index dropping by 11% since April 2. However, Costco is highlighted as a potential investment opportunity amidst these concerns due to its unique business model and financial profile [1][2]. Company Financials - For the quarter ended February 16, Costco reported net sales of $62.5 billion and total revenue of $63.7 billion, with merchandise costs at $55.7 billion and operating income of $2.3 billion. Membership fees contributed $1.2 billion to total revenue, indicating a significant recurring revenue stream [4][5]. - Costco's operating expenses totaled $61.4 billion, suggesting a thin margin on merchandise sales, which is typical for brick-and-mortar retailers [4]. Membership Model - The subscription model of Costco, which generates high profit margins, is expected to help the company withstand the impact of tariffs. This model differentiates Costco from other retailers like Walmart and Target [6][5]. - CEO Ron Vachris indicated that about one-third of Costco's U.S. sales are imported, with less than half of those from countries directly targeted by tariffs, providing some reassurance regarding the company's exposure to tariff impacts [8]. Market Positioning - Costco's bulk-buying model and competitive pricing may attract cost-conscious consumers, potentially increasing foot traffic and membership volume as tariffs affect the retail economy [9][10]. - Compared to traditional retailers, Costco may be better positioned to navigate the tariff environment, as consumers may seek alternatives that offer better value [10]. Valuation Insights - Costco's forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is currently at 50, significantly higher than the average of 20 for the S&P 500, indicating that while the stock is not cheap, it has normalized from a peak of nearly 60 earlier in the year [11][13]. - Despite near-term uncertainties, Costco is seen as well-prepared to manage the effects of tariffs, particularly on its high-margin subscription business, suggesting a potential buying opportunity for long-term investors [14].