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“缺货潮恐到2027年”
财联社· 2025-11-17 11:35
Core Viewpoint - The storage chip price surge is driven by supply shortages and increased demand from AI applications, leading to a new order in the storage market [1][2]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - The price of 32GB DDR5 server memory from Samsung has increased from $149 in September to $239 in November, a rise of 60% [1]. - Kingston's DDR5 16GB memory price has escalated from around 350 RMB in late September to nearly 850 RMB currently [1]. - The demand for AI computing power is causing manufacturers to prioritize high-margin products like HBM and server DDR5, resulting in record sales for companies like Samsung and SK Hynix [1][3]. Group 2: Supply and Demand Forecast - A storage module manufacturer predicts that the supply shortage will last at least until Q3 of next year, with some experts suggesting it could extend to 2027 [3]. - The DRAM market is expected to grow by 24.7% to $40.037 billion in Q3 2025, while NAND market growth is projected at 16.8% to $18.422 billion [4]. - Demand for server storage products is forecasted to increase by 40% to 50% in 2026, while supply growth is expected to be only 20% to 30% [4]. Group 3: Pricing Strategies and Market Reactions - The supply constraints from upstream manufacturers are pushing storage module manufacturers to stockpile inventory, leading to increased profit margins for those with existing stock [6]. - The current pricing structure is causing a disparity where major clients receive more stable contract prices, while smaller clients face significantly higher spot market prices [9]. - End-user manufacturers are compelled to accept rising contract prices, resulting in increased retail prices for consumer products, with some models seeing price hikes of 100 to 400 RMB [10][12]. Group 4: Impact on Consumer Market - The rising costs of storage components are expected to negatively impact consumer electronics sales, with forecasts for smartphone and laptop production being downgraded [12].
服务器内存条跳涨,DDR4 RDIMM 16GB涨价66.67%;工信部发文,开展城域“毫秒用算”专项行动——《投资早参》
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-10-16 23:11
Market News - The three major US stock indices closed lower, with the Dow Jones down 0.65%, Nasdaq down 0.47%, and S&P 500 down 0.63%. Most popular tech stocks fell, with Tesla and AMD down over 1%, while Nvidia rose over 1% [1] - Spot gold surpassed $4300 per ounce, rising 2.85% to set a new historical high; spot silver increased by 2.06% to $54.14 per ounce, also a historical high [1] - International oil prices collectively fell, with WTI crude down 1.54% to $56.95 per barrel and Brent crude down 1.37% to $61.06 per barrel [1] - European stock indices closed higher, with Germany's DAX up 0.38%, France's CAC40 up 1.38%, and the UK's FTSE 100 up 0.12% [1] Industry Insights - According to CFM, prices for all resources including NAND and DRAM are rapidly increasing, with DDR4 16Gb 3200 jumping 47%, and SSD 1TB Pcie3.0 rising over 19% [2] - The demand for high-capacity storage products is being driven by AI inference applications, leading HDD and SSD suppliers to expand their offerings [2][3] - The DRAM price index has increased by approximately 72% over the past six months, indicating a recovery in the storage industry driven by limited capacity and unexpected demand [3] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology has initiated a special action for "millisecond computing" to enhance computing network development, aiming for a significant increase in computing power by 2025 [4] - The hydrogen energy sector is being supported by the National Energy Administration, which is promoting pilot projects for hydrogen energy development across various regions [5][6] - The green hydrogen project initiation rate is expected to rise due to falling electricity prices, increasing carbon prices, and growing orders for green fuels [6]
半导体ETF(159813)涨近1%,多重利好释放存储芯片再度走强
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-10-16 03:09
Group 1 - The storage chip sector is experiencing a strong rebound, with significant stock price increases in the US and South Korea, including SanDisk up 13%, Western Digital up 6.5%, and Micron up 2.61% [1] - Weekly price increases for storage products have been notable, with DDR4 16Gb 3200 rising by 47%, DDR4 RDIMM 16GB 3200 increasing by 66.67%, and SSD products seeing an approximate 18% rise [1] - The semiconductor index (980017) has shown a positive trend, with notable increases in component stocks such as Zhaoyi Innovation up 4.96% and Tongfu Microelectronics up 4.52% [1] Group 2 - As of September 30, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the semiconductor index (980017) include Cambricon, SMIC, and Haiguang Information, collectively accounting for 71.38% of the index [2]