DDR5 16G内存条
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“缺货潮恐到2027年”
财联社· 2025-11-17 11:35
Core Viewpoint - The storage chip price surge is driven by supply shortages and increased demand from AI applications, leading to a new order in the storage market [1][2]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - The price of 32GB DDR5 server memory from Samsung has increased from $149 in September to $239 in November, a rise of 60% [1]. - Kingston's DDR5 16GB memory price has escalated from around 350 RMB in late September to nearly 850 RMB currently [1]. - The demand for AI computing power is causing manufacturers to prioritize high-margin products like HBM and server DDR5, resulting in record sales for companies like Samsung and SK Hynix [1][3]. Group 2: Supply and Demand Forecast - A storage module manufacturer predicts that the supply shortage will last at least until Q3 of next year, with some experts suggesting it could extend to 2027 [3]. - The DRAM market is expected to grow by 24.7% to $40.037 billion in Q3 2025, while NAND market growth is projected at 16.8% to $18.422 billion [4]. - Demand for server storage products is forecasted to increase by 40% to 50% in 2026, while supply growth is expected to be only 20% to 30% [4]. Group 3: Pricing Strategies and Market Reactions - The supply constraints from upstream manufacturers are pushing storage module manufacturers to stockpile inventory, leading to increased profit margins for those with existing stock [6]. - The current pricing structure is causing a disparity where major clients receive more stable contract prices, while smaller clients face significantly higher spot market prices [9]. - End-user manufacturers are compelled to accept rising contract prices, resulting in increased retail prices for consumer products, with some models seeing price hikes of 100 to 400 RMB [10][12]. Group 4: Impact on Consumer Market - The rising costs of storage components are expected to negatively impact consumer electronics sales, with forecasts for smartphone and laptop production being downgraded [12].
华强北商家称“一天一价”存储价格仍在涨 业内预测缺货至明年
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-11-05 06:10
Core Viewpoint - The prices of memory modules have been significantly increasing since September, with a notable upward trend starting from August, affecting both memory chips and mobile flash storage prices [1] Price Trends - In August, the price of a DDR4 8GB memory module was below 90 yuan, which increased to between 100 and 130 yuan within a month [1] - By the end of September, the price of DDR4 16GB memory modules was over 200 yuan, while DDR5 16GB modules were around 390 yuan [1] - Currently, popular DDR4 16GB memory modules are priced between 350 and 520 yuan, and DDR5 16GB modules have reached approximately 600 yuan [1] Supply Situation - Industry insiders believe that the supply shortage is unlikely to be resolved in the short term [1]