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DAVE vs. SOFI: Which Fintech Disruptor Offers More Growth Potential Now?
ZACKS· 2025-08-27 18:20
Core Insights - SoFi Technologies (SOFI) and Dave Inc. (DAVE) are both innovative fintech companies that provide digital banking services, targeting underserved or digitally savvy audiences [1] - SOFI is focusing on scaling and innovation to enhance profitability, while DAVE is a newer player emphasizing short-term cash advances and budgeting tools [1][10] Summary of SOFI - SOFI's Q2 2025 results show strong performance with adjusted earnings of 8 cents per share, exceeding estimates by 33.3% and more than doubling year-over-year [3] - Revenues reached $858.2 million, surpassing estimates by 6.6% and growing 43.4% year-over-year, driven by a growing customer base and product portfolio [3][11] - The company added a record 850,000 new members in Q2, bringing total membership to 11.7 million, a 34% annual increase [4] - Fee-based revenue increased by 72% year-over-year to $378 million, contributing to a more than $1.5 billion annualized fee-based income [5] - Adjusted EBITDA rose 80.6% year-over-year to $249.1 million, with a margin improvement of 600 basis points [6] - SOFI raised its 2025 guidance, expecting adjusted net revenues of approximately $3.375 billion, implying about 30% annual growth [7][20] - The company anticipates adding at least 3 million new members in 2025, representing roughly 30% year-over-year growth [9] Summary of DAVE - DAVE's revenues grew 64% in Q2 2025, with monthly transacting members reaching 2.6 million, a 16% increase year-over-year [12][11] - The company experienced a 51% surge in ExtraCash originations and a 27% increase in Dave Debit Card usage [13] - However, DAVE faces challenges with rising delinquency rates, which increased to 2.4% from 2% a year earlier [14] - Competition from fintech peers and traditional banks is intensifying, putting pressure on DAVE's business model [15][16] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for DAVE's 2025 sales is set at $512.4 million, indicating a 47.6% year-over-year increase [17] Comparative Analysis - SOFI is trading at a forward P/E ratio of 53.56X, while DAVE is at 18.05X, indicating a significant valuation difference [24] - SOFI demonstrates balanced growth with scaling membership and expanding product adoption, while DAVE's growth is challenged by its smaller scale and rising delinquency rates [25] - SOFI's raised guidance and strong EPS momentum reinforce its leadership in digital finance, despite a richer valuation [25][26]
Dave Stock Skyrockets 416% in a Year: Should You Play or Let Go?
ZACKS· 2025-08-13 15:36
Core Insights - Dave Inc. (DAVE) stock has experienced a remarkable growth of 416% over the past year, significantly outperforming the industry average of 77.2% and the Zacks S&P 500 composite's growth of 17.7% [1] - Despite the impressive annual performance, DAVE's shares have recently declined by 13.7% in the past month, contrasting with the industry's growth of 10.4% and the S&P 500's 3.3% growth, indicating a potential correction phase [4] - The company's membership base has grown by 16% year-over-year, reaching 2.6 million Monthly Transacting Members, which has driven a 64% increase in revenue and a 236% rise in adjusted EBITDA [6][9][10] Financial Performance - DAVE's revenue growth of 64% and adjusted EBITDA increase of 236% are attributed to a 51% rise in ExtraCash originations and a 27% growth in Dave Debit Card usage, reflecting high customer engagement [10] - The company reported a 28-day delinquency rate of 2.4% in Q2 2025, up from 2% in the same quarter last year, raising concerns about credit risk amid rising inflation and economic challenges [13] Competitive Landscape - DAVE faces intense competition from both neobanks and traditional banks, which are targeting the same demographic of tech-savvy millennials and Gen Zs [16][17] - Traditional banks are introducing small-dollar loans and overdraft protection services, increasing competition for DAVE [17] Investment Considerations - DAVE has never paid dividends since its inception in 2016, which may deter income-seeking investors despite its growth-oriented strategy [18] - The company is recommended for existing investors to consider booking profits due to recent corrections, while potential buyers are advised to refrain from investing at this time [20]
Dave Reports First Quarter 2025 Financial Results
Globenewswire· 2025-05-08 11:00
Financial Performance - Q1 revenue reached $108.0 million, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 47% [1][4] - Net income for Q1 was $28.8 million, while Adjusted EBITDA surged 235% year-over-year to $44.2 million [1][2] - The company raised its 2025 revenue guidance to a range of $460-$475 million and Adjusted EBITDA guidance to $155-$165 million [1][10] Operational Highlights - ExtraCash originations increased by 46% year-over-year to over $1.5 billion, despite typical seasonal demand patterns [3][8] - The 28-day delinquency rate improved by 33 basis points year-over-year, reaching 1.50% [3][8] - Monthly Transacting Members (MTMs) grew by 13% to 2.5 million, with new member acquisition costs remaining efficient at $18 [8] Profitability Metrics - Non-GAAP variable profit for Q1 was $83.4 million, with a variable profit margin of 77%, nearly doubling over the past three years [4][27] - Adjusted net income for Q1 was $36.3 million, compared to $8.1 million in Q1 2024 [30] - The company reported a significant increase in Adjusted EBITDA, which rose to $44.2 million from $13.2 million in the same quarter last year [29] Liquidity and Capital Management - As of March 31, 2025, the company had $89.7 million in cash and cash equivalents, down from $91.9 million at the end of 2024 [9][32] - The Board authorized a $50 million share repurchase program, with over $20 million deployed during the quarter [12]