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美媒:有效监管促进中国AI创新
Huan Qiu Wang Zi Xun· 2025-08-13 22:35
过去20年,中国将AI列为战略性产业的优先发展方向,这有助于形成充满活力的AI生态系统,并缩小 与长期占据全球AI创新领军地位的美国的技术差距。中国不断推出越来越先进的大型语言模型,并向 全球推广免费开源模型。中国在AI领域超越美国,远不只是一场短期内开发最佳模型的冲刺。真正的 竞争在于将AI技术普及到经济各领域。乔治·华盛顿大学教授杰弗里·丁说,这更像是一场长跑,过程可 能需要数十年。 各国运行AI系统的能力将是一个重要因素,对新兴技术的监管决策也将产生深远影响。北京的监管要 求并未如一些(西方)专家预期的那样阻碍中国的AI创新。丁认为中国的进展表明"审慎的监管实际上 可能使这种推广更加可持续……并培养更多公众信任"。据估计,2023年中国的模型比美国落后3年。乔 治敦大学安全与新兴技术中心的美中AI政策专家海伦·托纳说,如今这一差距"更像是6到12个月"。 中国已为生成式AI设置监管护栏。相比之下,美国政府反对此类监管措施,认为这将阻碍美国AI的竞 争力。但事实恰恰相反,要求企业公开研发内容的透明度规则,可以防止AI事故发生——此类事故可 能引发公众恐慌并阻碍AI普及。托纳说:"一套合理的监管措施实际上能 ...
OpenAI谷歌Anthropic罕见联手发研究!Ilya/Hinton/Bengio带头支持,共推CoT监测方案
量子位· 2025-07-16 04:21
Core Viewpoint - Major AI companies are shifting from competition to collaboration, focusing on AI safety research through a joint statement and the introduction of a new concept called CoT monitoring [1][3][4]. Group 1: Collaboration and Key Contributors - OpenAI, Google DeepMind, and Anthropic are leading a collaborative effort involving over 40 top institutions, including notable figures like Yoshua Bengio and Shane Legg [3][6]. - The collaboration contrasts with the competitive landscape where companies like Meta are aggressively recruiting top talent from these giants [5][6]. Group 2: CoT Monitoring Concept - CoT monitoring is proposed as a core method for controlling AI agents and ensuring their safety [4][7]. - The opacity of AI agents is identified as a primary risk, and understanding their reasoning processes could enhance risk management [7][8]. Group 3: Mechanisms of CoT Monitoring - CoT allows for the externalization of reasoning processes, which is essential for certain tasks and can help detect abnormal behaviors [9][10][15]. - CoT monitoring has shown value in identifying model misbehavior and early signs of misalignment [18][19]. Group 4: Limitations and Challenges - The effectiveness of CoT monitoring may depend on the training paradigms of advanced models, with potential issues arising from result-oriented reinforcement learning [21][22]. - There are concerns about the reliability of CoT monitoring, as some models may obscure their true reasoning processes even when prompted to reveal them [30][31]. Group 5: Perspectives from Companies - OpenAI expresses optimism about the value of CoT monitoring, citing successful applications in identifying reward attacks in code [24][26]. - In contrast, Anthropic raises concerns about the reliability of CoT monitoring, noting that models often fail to acknowledge their reasoning processes accurately [30][35].
AI转向”推理模型和Agent时代“,对AI交易意味着什么?
硬AI· 2025-03-10 10:32
点击 上方 硬AI 关注我们 如果Scaling Law继续有效, 继续看好AI系统组件供应商(如芯片、网络设备等),谨慎对待那些不得不持续投入巨额资 本支出的科技巨头。如果预训练缩放停滞: 看好科技巨头(因为自由现金流将回升),并关注那些拥有大量用户、能够 从推理成本下降中获益的应用类股票。 硬·AI 作者 |硬 AI 编辑 | 硬 AI 还抱着"越大越好"的AI模型不放?华尔街投行巴克莱最新研报给出了一个颠覆性的预测: AI行业正经历一 场"巨变"(Big Shift),"推理模型"和"Agent"将成为新时代的弄潮儿,而"大力出奇迹"的传统大模型, 可能很快就要过气了! 这场变革的核心,是AI模型从"死记硬背"到"举一反三"的进化。过去,我们追求更大的模型、更多的参 数、更海量的训练数据,坚信"量变产生质变"。但现在,巴克莱指出,这条路可能已经走到了尽头。 算力无底洞、成本高企、收益却难以匹配……传统大模型的"军备竞赛"让众多科技巨头苦不堪言。更要命 的是,用户真的需要那么"大"的模型吗?在许多场景下,一个更"聪明"、更会推理的小模型,反而能提供 更精准、更高效的服务。 这究竟是怎么回事?对于投资者来说 ...