S&P 500 Nears Record as Markets Shrug Off Shutdown Fears.LIVE[S&P 500 Nears Record as Market Shrugs Off Shutdown Fears]Last Updated:---Updated 14 min ago# S&P 500 Nears Record as Markets Shrug Off Shutdown Fears.By[George Glover]The S&P 500 and tech-heavy Nasdaq looked set to cruise higher on Tuesday as Wall Street looked past the threat of another government shutdown, while the [precious metals rally] was running out of steam.Futures tracking the S&P 500 climbed 0.3%, putting the market benchmark on course ...

Market Analysis by covering: Gold Spot US Dollar, S&P 500, Dow Jones Industrial Average, US Small Cap 2000. Read 's Market Analysis on Investing.com ...

Group 1 - The Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&P 500 reached new record highs, with the Dow increasing by 238 points, or 0.5%, and the S&P rising by 0.7% [1] - The Nasdaq Composite also gained 0.8%, although it remains significantly below its all-time high levels [1] Group 2 - The Russell 2000 index, which tracks smaller market capitalization stocks, rose by 0.8% on Friday, indicating a shift in investor focus away from popular tech stocks [2] - This performance suggests that investors are diversifying their investments beyond the major tech stocks [2]

When adjusted for inflation, the real month-over-month changes for each index become 0.4% for the S&P 500, 1.2% for the Dow 30, and -0.1% for the Nasdaq. The charts require little explanation. The first 15 years of the 21st century was not kind to equity investors. However, the market has bounced back over the last 10 years with each index growing 138% (S&P 500), 118% (Dow), and 144% (Nasdaq) in real terms. The indexes differ in several key ways such as weighting methods, coverage, and criteria for includin ...

Futures tracking the Dow climbed 22 points, nearly trading flat. But S&P 500 futures were 0.1% lower, and contracts tied to the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 slipped 0.3%. Both the Dow and the S&P closed at all-time highs on Tuesday as the market rally broadened to lift sectors like materials, health care, industrials, and consumer discretionary. Wall Street remains unfazed by geopolitical tensions, particularly given that there weren't any major developments linked to the U.S. military operation that ousted Venezu ...

Group 1 - The article provides a market analysis covering major indices including Nasdaq 100, S&P 500, and Dow Jones Industrial Average, indicating current trends and performance metrics [1] Group 2 - The analysis includes insights on S&P 500 Futures, highlighting their implications for future market movements and investor sentiment [1]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses historical correlations between U.S. presidential terms and S&P 500 returns, suggesting that the stock market may experience significant gains during the sixth year of a two-term presidency, particularly under Donald Trump [2][4][7]. Group 1: Historical Performance of S&P 500 - Since 1950, the S&P 500 has shown average returns of 3.4%, 6.9%, 22.2%, 10.5%, and 15.5% during the first to fifth years of a two-term president's tenure [1]. - The average annual return of the S&P 500 during the sixth year of a two-term presidency over the last 75 years is 20.9% [7]. - In 2025, the Dow Jones, S&P 500, and Nasdaq Composite gained 13%, 16%, and 20% respectively, continuing the upward trend from Trump's first term [5]. Group 2: Factors Influencing Future Performance - A more aggressive rate-easing cycle by the Federal Reserve could lead to increased borrowing and investor willingness to accept higher valuations, potentially supporting continued market gains [7]. - The ongoing AI revolution, characterized by strong demand for AI infrastructure and enterprise adoption, may further fuel the S&P 500's bull market [8]. Group 3: Market Valuation Concerns - The Shiller Price-to-Earnings (P/E) Ratio, which averaged 17.3 since 1871, reached 40.23 by the end of 2025, indicating the second priciest stock market in 155 years [12]. - Historical data shows that Shiller P/E readings above 30 are unsustainable, often leading to declines in major indexes ranging from 20% to 89% [13]. Group 4: Potential Risks to Market Trends - The article highlights the risk of a potential AI bubble bursting, which could undermine the current bull market [14]. - Trump's tariff and trade policies have shown a negative impact on labor productivity, employment, sales, and profits for affected companies, which could pose challenges in the upcoming year [16].

Core Viewpoint - Wall Street analysts are optimistic about the S&P 500's performance in 2026, but historical trends suggest that these forecasts may be overly optimistic and could lead to significant market corrections [4][11][21] Market Performance - Major stock indexes, including the Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500, and Nasdaq Composite, have seen substantial gains in 2025, with increases of 14%, 17%, and 21% respectively [2] - The S&P 500 is expected to rise further in 2026, with predictions ranging from a conservative estimate of 7,100 (3% increase) to a more optimistic target of 8,100 (18% increase) [7][8] Historical Context - The S&P 500 has historically risen in approximately 70% of all years since 1926, with no rolling 20-year period showing a negative total return [7] - The current Shiller Price-to-Earnings (P/E) Ratio for the S&P 500 is at 40.40, significantly above the historical average of 17.3, indicating a potentially overvalued market [14][15] Economic Indicators - The Federal Reserve's recent rate cuts have led to increased borrowing, which may stimulate hiring and corporate innovation, contributing to market optimism [9] - However, historical data shows that high valuations often precede significant market downturns, as seen in previous bear markets [16][20] Technological Trends - The rise of artificial intelligence and quantum computing presents significant long-term opportunities, but these technologies are still in early stages and may take time to mature [10][19] - Historical patterns indicate that while technological innovations can drive growth, they often require years for businesses to fully optimize and capitalize on [18][19]

The right time for investors to make a move may be sooner than they think. - MarketWatch/iStockphoto The investments that have made the biggest gains this year are ending on a high note. Silver SI00, gold GC00, shares of Nvidia NVDA, and stock-market indexes like the Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA, the S&P 500 SPX and the Nasdaq composite COMP have all surged in December, capping in some cases a remarkable run. Silver, up over 150% this year, rose more than 4% on the day after Christmas. Most Read f ...

Group 1 - The article provides a market analysis focusing on major indices such as Nasdaq 100, S&P 500, and Dow Jones Industrial Average, highlighting their recent performance trends [1] - NVIDIA Corporation is specifically mentioned, indicating its significant role in the current market landscape and potential investment opportunities [1] Group 2 - The analysis includes detailed performance metrics of the Nasdaq 100, S&P 500, and Dow Jones Industrial Average, showcasing their respective movements and market sentiment [1] - Insights into NVIDIA Corporation's market position and its impact on the technology sector are discussed, emphasizing its growth trajectory and investment potential [1]