EDA(电子自动化软件工具)

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EDA巨头解除断供!科创芯片50ETF(588750)探底回升,资金逢跌布局,连续两日增仓超6400万元!国产替代走到哪了?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-03 06:47
Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is experiencing a rebound, particularly in the semiconductor sector, with significant capital inflow into the Sci-Tech Chip 50 ETF, indicating a bullish sentiment among investors [1][5]. Group 1: Market Performance - The Sci-Tech Chip 50 ETF (588750) has seen a capital inflow exceeding 64 million yuan over the past two days, despite a slight decline of 0.1% [1]. - The performance of constituent stocks within the ETF is mixed, with notable movements including a 2.32% increase in Lanke Technology and a 4.63% decrease in Chip Origin Technology [6]. Group 2: EDA Market Developments - Major EDA software companies, including Synopsys, Cadence, and Siemens, have resumed services to China, which is crucial for the semiconductor design process [3]. - The global EDA market is dominated by these three companies, holding a combined market share of over 70% [3]. Group 3: Domestic EDA Industry Growth - The domestic EDA industry is expected to accelerate its development, with companies like Huada Jiutian and Gai Lun Electronics making significant advancements [4]. - The Chinese EDA market is projected to reach 4.22 billion yuan by 2028, with a compound annual growth rate of 21.2% from 2024 to 2028 [4]. Group 4: Semiconductor Industry Outlook - The semiconductor sector is entering an upward cycle, with a projected global sales growth rate of 17% in 2024 [5]. - The net profit of the semiconductor sector is expected to increase by 15.1% year-on-year in Q1 2025, with the Sci-Tech Chip 50 ETF's constituent companies projected to see a net profit growth of 70% in Q1 2025 [5]. Group 5: AI and Semiconductor Demand - The rapid growth of AI is anticipated to create a second growth curve for the semiconductor industry, with major internet companies increasing their capital expenditures on AI-related chips [7]. - The global AI chip market is expected to grow significantly, reaching over $400 billion by 2027 [7]. Group 6: Domestic Equipment Replacement - The trend of domestic equipment replacement in the semiconductor industry is gaining momentum, with local equipment manufacturers increasing their market share from 7% in 2020 to an estimated 19% in 2024 [4]. - The average validation cycle for domestic semiconductor equipment is expected to decrease from 24 months to 14 months by 2024 [4].