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乐鑫科技(688018):AIoT生态持续扩张,智能家居与AI端侧双引擎驱动成长
Soochow Securities· 2025-11-26 05:06
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, Luxin Technology (688018), marking its first coverage [1]. Core Insights - Luxin Technology is positioned as a leading AIoT solution provider, focusing on chip design and overall solutions in the IoT sector. The company aims to expand its product lines and applications, particularly in smart home and AI edge computing markets, which are expected to drive significant growth [9][14]. - The company anticipates substantial revenue growth, projecting total revenues of 20.07 billion yuan in 2024, a 40.04% increase year-over-year, and further growth in subsequent years [1][23]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - Luxin Technology specializes in "connection + processing" for AIoT solutions, having launched its first chip in 2013 and achieving over 1 billion units shipped by September 2023. The company has expanded its product lines from smart home applications to industrial control and AI toys [14][9]. Financial Analysis - The company reported total revenue of 14.33 billion yuan in 2023, a 12.74% increase from the previous year. The projected revenues for 2024 and beyond are 20.07 billion yuan and 26.79 billion yuan for 2025, respectively, indicating a strong growth trajectory [1][23][26]. Market Dynamics - The global smart home market is expected to reach 154.4 billion USD by 2025, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 10.67% from 2024 to 2028. Luxin's strategic positioning in this market is expected to support its business growth [36][38]. Product Development - Luxin is actively expanding its chip product lines, including Wi-Fi 6, Bluetooth, and Thread/Zigbee technologies, while enhancing edge AI capabilities. The company is also developing a one-stop AI development kit, EchoEar, to facilitate smart home applications [40][41]. AI Edge Opportunities - The AI toy market presents new opportunities for Luxin, with products integrating AI capabilities for educational and companionship purposes. The market for AI toys is projected to grow significantly, driven by the increasing acceptance of AI technologies [46][48]. Revenue Projections - The report forecasts that Luxin will achieve revenues of 26.79 billion yuan in 2025, with net profits of 5.42 billion yuan, corresponding to a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 48 times [1][23].