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Fortinet's Geographic Mix Improves: Can EMEA Drive More Upside?
ZACKS· 2025-09-23 15:16
Core Insights - Fortinet's geographic mix is shifting, with EMEA becoming a crucial growth driver, showing an 18% year-over-year revenue increase in Q2 2025, compared to 11% growth in the Americas and APAC [1][9] - The demand for advanced cybersecurity and secure networking solutions is rising, particularly in EMEA, driven by hybrid work models and stricter data-sovereignty regulations [2] - Fortinet is investing in regional infrastructure, exemplified by a €40 million high-security data center in Spain to enhance its services in key European markets [3] Revenue Growth Projections - The Zacks model forecasts continued momentum, projecting 2025 revenue growth of 13% for EMEA, 12% for the Americas, and 14% for APAC, indicating a balanced expansion strategy [4] Competitive Landscape - Palo Alto Networks generates 67% of its revenues from the Americas, with EMEA at 21% and APAC at 13%, indicating a reliance on the U.S. market but also showing international growth potential [5] - Zscaler has a strong international presence with 55% of revenues from the Americas, 29% from EMEA, and 16% from APAC, demonstrating superior scalability and growth in cloud-first regions [6] Stock Performance and Valuation - Year-to-date, Fortinet shares have declined by 10.1%, underperforming the Zacks Security industry's 21.2% gain and the Zacks Computer and Technology sector's 22.4% rise [7] - Fortinet appears overvalued with a forward 12-month price-to-sales ratio of 8.85, exceeding the sector average of 7.1 [10] - The consensus estimate for 2025 earnings is $2.52 per share, reflecting a 6.33% year-over-year growth [13]
Will FTNT's Heavy Infrastructure Build-Out Drive Next Phase of Growth?
ZACKS· 2025-09-16 18:01
Core Insights - Fortinet is heavily investing in infrastructure to transition towards a cloud- and service-first growth model, with Q2 2025 infrastructure spending reaching $168 million, a $145 million increase year-over-year [1][9] - The demand for cloud-delivered security is increasing, leading Fortinet to raise its full-year billings outlook by $100 million, with projected revenues for 2025 between $6.67 billion and $6.82 billion [2][9] - Fortinet has invested nearly $2 billion in building a global footprint of 5 million square feet across various facilities, enhancing customer experience and operational efficiency [3] - The infrastructure expansion is a strategic move to capture growth in the expanding cybersecurity market [4] Infrastructure Investments - Fortinet's management has guided infrastructure investments of $380 million to $430 million for 2025, emphasizing its importance for long-term growth [1][9] - The company is focusing on controlling its own infrastructure to optimize performance and deliver tailored services to enterprise customers [2] Competitive Landscape - Zscaler, a competitor, operates 150 global data centers and focuses on a SaaS model, which provides it with an edge in cloud security, although it lags behind Fortinet in hardware performance [5] - Cisco Systems is also evolving rapidly in the cloud infrastructure space, with significant acquisitions and investments aimed at enhancing its competitive position [6] Financial Performance - Fortinet's shares have declined 14.3% year-to-date, underperforming the Zacks Security industry's 12.6% gain and the broader Computer and Technology sector's 18.8% rise [7] - The consensus estimate for 2025 earnings is $2.52 per share, reflecting a 6.33% year-over-year growth [13]
Fortinet vs. Cisco: Which Networking Security Stock Has Better Upside?
ZACKS· 2025-09-04 17:31
Core Insights - The cybersecurity landscape is rapidly evolving, with Fortinet (FTNT) and Cisco Systems (CSCO) as key competitors in the network security market, which is projected to grow from $24.95 billion in 2025 to $42.93 billion by 2030, at a CAGR of 11.47% [1][8] Fortinet (FTNT) Overview - Fortinet's investment thesis is based on its strong execution and focused strategy in the high-growth security market, reporting Q2 revenues of $1.63 billion, a 14% year-over-year increase, and billings of $1.78 billion, up 15% [3][4] - The company boasts industry-leading non-GAAP operating margins of 33% in Q2, reflecting operational efficiency, and has raised its full-year 2025 billings guidance to $7.325-$7.475 billion [4] - Fortinet's competitive edge comes from its FortiAI innovations, with over 500 AI patents, and its recognition in multiple Gartner Magic Quadrants, indicating its leadership in various security segments [5] - The company is successfully transitioning to recurring revenue models, with Unified SASE ARR growing 22% and Security Operations ARR expanding 35% year-over-year [5] - Fortinet's proprietary ASIC-driven architecture and recent product launches position it well to capitalize on the convergence of networking and security [6] Cisco Systems (CSCO) Overview - Cisco reported fiscal Q4 revenues of $14.67 billion, a 7.6% increase year-over-year, with product orders growing 7% across all regions [7][10] - The integration of Splunk enhances Cisco's observability capabilities but complicates its security innovation efforts, leading to operational challenges [10][11] - Cisco's fiscal Q1 2026 revenue guidance of $14.65-$14.85 billion suggests modest growth, with management acknowledging headwinds from tariffs and challenges in converting AI investments into revenue [10] - Despite introducing innovations, Cisco struggles to maintain relevance in pure security, with security revenue growth coming from a smaller base and including Splunk contributions [11] Valuation and Performance Comparison - Fortinet trades at a forward P/S ratio of 8.09X, significantly higher than Cisco's 4.49X, justified by Fortinet's superior growth profile and execution consistency [12][15] - Fortinet's revenues are projected to grow 13.29% to $6.75 billion in 2025, while Cisco's fiscal 2026 revenue growth is estimated at 5.19% to $59.59 billion [15] - Year-to-date, Fortinet shares have declined 20%, while Cisco's shares have gained 14.6%, indicating differing market perceptions of their respective strategies [15] Conclusion - Fortinet is positioned as a superior investment opportunity due to its focused security strategy, consistent double-digit revenue growth, and leadership in critical technologies [19] - Cisco's execution challenges and legacy portfolio complexity limit its near-term growth potential, making Fortinet's premium valuation justified [19]
FTNT Rides on Strong Billings Trend: Will the Momentum Sustain?
ZACKS· 2025-08-19 16:41
Core Insights - Fortinet (FTNT) is experiencing strong momentum, with billings growing 15% year-over-year in Q2 to $1.78 billion, following a 13.5% increase in Q1, indicating a robust demand pipeline and positive outlook for future quarters [1][9] - Unified SASE and Security Operations (SecOps) solutions are key contributors to this growth, expanding 21% and 31% year-over-year, respectively, and now accounting for approximately 35% of total billings [2][9] - Management has raised the full-year billings outlook for fiscal 2025 to a range of $7.325-$7.475 billion, reflecting confidence in ongoing demand driven by cloud security and enterprise adoption [3][4][9] Financial Performance - For fiscal 2025, Fortinet's billings guidance suggests a 13.3% growth at the midpoint, supported by strong cloud security demand and a healthy renewal cycle [4] - Services billings increased by 17% year-over-year, marking the strongest growth in six quarters, which enhances the long-term revenue base [3] Competitive Landscape - Fortinet faces significant competition from Palo Alto Networks (PANW), which is enhancing its market position with advanced security solutions, reporting a 34% increase in cloud ARR to $5.09 billion [5] - Check Point Software (CHKP) is also solidifying its position in network security, experiencing double-digit growth in product and license revenues due to strong demand for its solutions [6] Valuation and Market Performance - Year-to-date, Fortinet shares have declined by 14.6%, underperforming the Zacks Security industry's 7.2% gain and the Zacks Computer and Technology sector's 13.7% rise [7] - Fortinet's current Price/Book ratio is 30X, which is higher than the industry average of 20.15X, indicating potential overvaluation [10] - The consensus estimate for fiscal 2025 earnings is $2.51 per share, reflecting a 5.91% year-over-year growth [12]
Fortinet Q2 Earnings Surpass Estimates, Sales Increase Y/Y
ZACKS· 2025-08-07 14:06
Core Insights - Fortinet Inc. (FTNT) reported strong second-quarter 2025 results, with both earnings and revenues surpassing estimates and showing year-over-year improvement [1][9]. Financial Performance - Non-GAAP earnings per share (EPS) for Q2 2025 were 64 cents, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 8.47% and growing 12.3% from 57 cents in the same quarter last year [1][9]. - Total revenues reached $1.63 billion, beating the consensus mark by 0.65% and improving 13.6% year over year, driven by an 18% increase in EMEA and 11% growth in both the Americas and APAC [2][9]. - Remaining performance obligations (RPO) rose 12% year over year to $6.64 billion, with current RPO increasing 15% to $3.45 billion [2]. - Total billings increased 15% year over year to $1.78 billion, led by a 21% growth in Unified SASE and a 31% surge in SecOps [2]. Segment Performance - Product revenues increased 12.6% year over year to $508.9 million, accounting for 31.2% of total revenues, driven by upgrade buying and strong growth in operational technology [3]. - Service revenues grew 14.1% year over year to $1.12 billion, representing 68.8% of total revenues, with security subscription revenues rising 15.3% and support services increasing 12.5% [4]. - Service billings grew 17%, marking the highest growth rate in the past six quarters [4]. Margins and Costs - Total gross margin increased by 10 basis points to 81.6%, exceeding the high end of the guided range by 60 basis points due to strong execution and cost control [6]. - Product gross margin rose 180 basis points to 67.8%, while service gross margin declined 80 basis points year over year to 87.8% due to increased investments in hosted security solutions [6]. - Operating margin decreased 200 basis points year over year to 33.1%, but remained 60 basis points above the high end of guidance, impacted by increased investments in sales headcount and foreign exchange headwinds [7]. Cash Flow and Balance Sheet - Fortinet ended Q2 2025 with cash and cash equivalents and short-term investments of $4.56 billion, down from $4.78 billion at the end of Q1 2025 [10]. - Cash flow from operations was $451.9 million for Q2 2025, a decrease from $863.3 million in the previous quarter, while free cash flow was $284.1 million, down from $782.8 million [10]. Guidance - For Q3 2025, Fortinet estimates revenues between $1.67 billion and $1.73 billion, with billings expected in the range of $1.76 billion to $1.84 billion [11]. - For the full year 2025, revenues are projected between $6.675 billion and $6.825 billion, with services revenues expected between $4.55 billion and $4.65 billion [12].
Fortinet(FTNT) - 2025 Q2 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-08-06 21:32
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total billings grew by 15% to €1,780 million, driven by 21% growth in unified SASE and 31% growth in SecOps [12][13] - Total revenue increased by 14% to €1,630 million, with product revenue rising by 13% to $509 million [16][20] - Non-GAAP operating margin was 33.1%, slightly above guidance, while total gross margin increased to 81.6% [21][20] - Free cash flow reached $284 million, with adjusted free cash flow at $428 million, reflecting strong cash generation [22] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Unified SASE and SecOps now account for 24% and 11% of total billings, respectively, both up one percentage point [13] - ARR for unified SASE increased by 22% to $1,150 million, while SecOps ARR grew by 35% to $463 million [15] - The number of deals over $1 million increased by 29%, with total dollar value growing by 51% [13] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - EMEA led revenue growth at 18%, while the Americas and APAC both grew by 11% [16] - The financial services sector showed strong performance with over 30% billings growth [13] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on expanding its unified SASE and AI-driven secure operations, which are expected to continue delivering strong returns [8] - Fortinet aims to maintain its competitive advantage by owning and managing its infrastructure, enhancing customer experience and cost efficiency [10] - The company is investing in AI and has over 500 issued and pending AI patents, positioning itself as a leader in AI-driven security solutions [11] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the resilience of the cybersecurity market despite macroeconomic uncertainties [24][73] - The company raised its full-year billings guidance by €100 million, reflecting strong performance in the first half of the year [25] - Management noted that the ongoing firewall upgrade cycle presents significant opportunities for customer engagement and upselling [23][96] Other Important Information - The company announced the expansion of its Forti Cloud offering with three new services: Forti Identity, Forti Drive, and Forti Connect [10] - The company has invested approximately $2 billion in building a global infrastructure to support its services [9] Q&A Session Summary Question: Concerns about FortiSASI cannibalizing core appliance business - Management clarified that SASE does not replace traditional firewalls but enhances them, with both markets growing [30][32] Question: Insights on services guidance - Management indicated that services billings to revenue conversion takes longer, but product revenue is expected to be stronger for the rest of the year [39][41] Question: Profile of SASE customers - Management noted that over 90% of SASE customers are existing firewall customers, with some displacing competitors [57][58] Question: Growth beyond the upgrade cycle - Management highlighted the new SASE firewall as a significant growth opportunity, alongside the expansion of cloud services [94][96] Question: OT opportunity and competition - Management reported over 20% growth in OT, emphasizing their leadership in the sector and the potential for further expansion [76][80]
Fortinet(FTNT) - 2025 Q2 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-08-06 21:30
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total billings grew by 15% to €1,780,000,000, driven by 21% growth in unified SASE and 31% growth in SecOps [12][13] - Total revenue increased by 14% to €1,630,000,000, with EMEA leading growth at 18% [15] - Non-GAAP operating margin was 33.1%, exceeding guidance by 60 basis points [20] - Free cash flow was $284,000,000, with adjusted free cash flow reaching $428,000,000, up $104,000,000 [21] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Unified SASE and SecOps now account for 24% and 11% of total billings, respectively, both up one point [12] - ARR for unified SASE increased by 22% to $1,150,000,000, while SecOps increased by 35% to $463,000,000 [14] - Product revenue increased by 13% to $509,000,000, benefiting from upgrade buying and strong growth in operational technology [15][16] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The Americas and APAC both grew by 11%, while EMEA led with 18% growth [15] - Among the top five verticals, financial services led with over 30% billings growth [13] - The number of deals greater than $1,000,000 increased by 29%, with total dollar value growing by 51% [13] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on the fast-growing markets of unified SASE and AI-driven secure operations, with investments yielding strong returns [6] - Fortinet aims to maintain its competitive advantage by owning and managing its infrastructure, ensuring better customer experience and cost efficiency [9] - The company is recognized as a leader in the 2025 Gartner Magic Quadrant for SASE platform, highlighting its strong market position [6] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the resilience of the cybersecurity market despite macroeconomic uncertainties [24] - The company raised its full-year billings guidance by €100,000,000, reflecting strong performance in the first half of the year [25] - Management noted that ongoing upgrade cycles for firewalls present valuable opportunities for customer engagement [22] Other Important Information - The company announced the expansion of its Forti Cloud offering with three new services: Forti Identity, Forti Drive, and Forti Connect [9] - Total RPO grew by 12% to €6,640,000,000, while current RPO grew by 15% to €3,450,000,000 [14] - The company has invested around $2,000,000,000 in building and operating a global infrastructure [8] Q&A Session Summary Question: Concerns about FortiSASI cannibalizing core appliance business - Management clarified that SASE is enhancing rather than replacing traditional firewalls, with both segments experiencing growth [29][30][32] Question: Specifics on the 2027 product refresh cohort - Management indicated that the 2027 cohort consists of lower-end products, which are significant in unit numbers but less impactful on product revenue [34] Question: Insights on services guidance - Management noted that services billings to revenue conversion takes longer, but they remain confident in product revenue strength for the rest of the year [39][41] Question: Profile of SASE customers - Management stated that over 90% of SASE customers are existing firewall customers, with some displacing competitors [59][60] Question: Margin outlook and investment balance - Management emphasized a long-term strategy, investing in infrastructure for better cost advantages while maintaining healthy margins [62] Question: Growth beyond the upgrade cycle - Management highlighted the new SASE firewall as a significant growth opportunity, addressing new infrastructure security needs [95][96]
Fortinet Expands FortiCloud with Identity, Secure Storage, and Communication Services to Power the Modern Enterprise
Globenewswire· 2025-08-06 13:00
New services enhance identity management, secure file storage and recovery, and communication, advancing the Fortinet Security Fabric and global cloud network vision SUNNYVALE, Calif., Aug. 06, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- News Summary FortiIdentity: A long-established Fortinet identity and access management (IAM) solution, now delivered from FortiCloud, offers enterprises a full-featured, cloud-native approach to secure identity management. It provides secure single sign-on (SSO), multifactor authentication (M ...
FTNT's Subscription-Based Services Gain Steam: A Sign of More Upside?
ZACKS· 2025-07-10 16:16
Core Insights - Fortinet's transition to a subscription-driven business model is driving significant growth in recurring service revenues, with service revenues increasing by 14% year-over-year to $1.08 billion in Q1 2025, representing 70% of total revenues [1][11] - The Unified SASE strategy has reported recurring revenues of $1.15 billion, up 25.7% year-over-year, while Security Operations' recurring revenues surged 30.3% year-over-year to $434.5 million [1][11] - Fortinet is aggressively investing in its SASE and SSE offerings to expand subscription-based revenue streams, with notable traction in large-scale enterprise deals [3] Revenue Growth - Multi-year contracts for services such as FortiGuard, FortiCare, FortiCloud, Unified SASE, and Security Operations are driving revenue growth [2] - The company expects service revenues to reach approximately $4.6 billion in 2025, indicating a year-over-year growth of 13.4% [5] Market Position and Competition - Fortinet faces stiff competition in the enterprise security market from companies like Palo Alto Networks and Zscaler [6] - Palo Alto Networks is expected to deliver recurring revenues between $5.52 billion and $5.57 billion for fiscal 2025, while Zscaler has a customer base of over 8,650 organizations [7][8] Pricing and Future Outlook - Fortinet's scalable, per-user pricing model with multi-year discounts is expected to enhance future recurring revenues [4] - Unified SASE and Security Operations are projected to experience a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 24% through 2026 [4][11] Stock Performance and Valuation - Fortinet's shares have risen 13.9% year-to-date, underperforming the Zacks Security industry's growth of 27.1% [9] - The stock is currently trading at a Price/Book ratio of 41.98X, compared to the industry's 25.76X, indicating a lower valuation score [14]