Key Takeaways Fortinet outperforms Check Point in network security stock comparison with stronger growth. FTNT shares gained 11.6% in three months while CHKP returned 5.8% in same period. Fortinet's SASE strategy and firewall refresh cycle position it for 2025 growth.The cybersecurity landscape continues to evolve rapidly, with network security remaining a critical priority for enterprises worldwide. Two industry stalwarts, Fortinet (FTNT) and Check Point Software Technologies (CHKP) , have established th ...

Key Takeaways Fortinet is gaining traction with its unified SASE platform, integrating multiple security functions. The company is enhancing SASE with cloud-native tools to secure hybrid and multi-cloud workloads. Intensifying competition and a cautious outlook are weighing on investor sentiment toward FTNT.Fortinet (FTNT) is strengthening its enterprise cybersecurity position through a unified Secure Access Service Edge (SASE) strategy that combines next-generation firewall, SD-WAN, secure web gateway an ...

Key Takeaways PANW's SASE business grew ARR 36% YoY in Q3 FY25, more than double the overall market growth. Prisma Access Browser drove one-third of seats sold, with 3M licenses sold since acquiring Talon. PANW added 6,000 SASE customers, with 40% of Q3 additions being net new to the company.Palo Alto Networks (PANW) is showing robust growth in Secure Access Service Edge (SASE), its cloud-based network security offering. In the third quarter of fiscal 2025, SASE was its fastest-growing business, with the ...

Core Insights - Fortinet (FTNT) and Cisco Systems (CSCO) are significant players in the network security market, with Fortinet focusing solely on security and Cisco integrating security with broader networking solutions [1][2] Market Overview - The network security market is projected to grow from $24.95 billion in 2025 to $42.93 billion by 2030, reflecting a CAGR of 11.47% during the forecast period [2] Fortinet's Performance - Fortinet has shown strong momentum in network security, maintaining its position as the leading firewall vendor globally and achieving double-digit growth in FortiGate hardware revenues [3][4] - The unified Secure Access Service Edge (SASE) platform has been a key growth driver, with 18% year-over-year growth in SASE billings and a 73% penetration rate in large enterprise SD-WAN [4][6] - The launch of the FortiGate 700G series has enhanced Fortinet's competitive edge, delivering 5x to 10x performance over competitors [5] - Fortinet's sovereign SASE solution is gaining traction in regulated sectors, ensuring compliance while maintaining performance [6] Cisco's Performance - Cisco's network security business reported strong results, with security orders rising in the high double digits year over year, driven by product innovation and customer demand [7] - The company added over 370 new customers, benefiting from partnerships that enhance its AI-ready secure infrastructure [8] - Despite strong performance, Cisco faces challenges with historical growth comparisons and uncertainties related to tariffs and macroeconomic conditions [9] Stock Performance and Valuation - Year-to-date, FTNT shares have returned 10.2%, outperforming CSCO's 7.7% gain and the sector's decline of 1.5% [10] - FTNT's forward 12-month P/S ratio is 11.16X, significantly higher than CSCO's 4.38X, reflecting investor confidence in FTNT's growth potential [13] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for FTNT's 2025 earnings is $2.47 per share, indicating a 4.22% year-over-year increase, while CSCO's estimate is $3.73 per share, showing no change year over year [16][17] Investment Outlook - Fortinet presents a stronger investment opportunity with consistent double-digit revenue growth and expanding SASE adoption [19] - Cisco, while promising, faces delayed revenue realization and macro uncertainties, making its near-term outlook less compelling compared to Fortinet [20]

Core Viewpoint - Fortinet's valuation is a concern for investors as it trades at a significant premium compared to the broader Zacks Security industry, with a Price/Book ratio of 53.65 versus the industry's 25.04, indicating high growth expectations from investors [1][2] Valuation Concerns - The current Price/Book ratio of Fortinet is 53.65, significantly higher than the industry average of 25.04, suggesting a stretched valuation [1] - The Value Score of F indicates that Fortinet's valuation is currently stretched [1] Competitive Landscape - Fortinet operates in a highly competitive cybersecurity market, facing strong competition from companies like Palo Alto Networks, Zscaler, and CrowdStrike [5] - Competitors are rapidly innovating and making strategic acquisitions, which could impact Fortinet's market share and technological relevance if it fails to keep pace [6][7] Macroeconomic Pressures - Fortinet is experiencing pressures from macroeconomic uncertainties, including trade tensions and economic instability in key markets such as Latin America, Mexico, and Canada [8] - The company faces potential disruptions in the U.S. federal market due to staffing issues, which could negatively affect sales [8] - Broader stock market weakness and high interest rates are also impacting Fortinet, making its elevated valuations more risky [9] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Q1 2025 earnings is 53 cents per share, indicating a year-over-year growth of 23.26%, with revenues expected to reach $1.54 billion, reflecting a 13.54% year-over-year growth [11] - Fortinet has consistently beaten earnings estimates in the past four quarters, with an average surprise of 24.76% [11] Stock Performance - Fortinet shares have gained 10.3% year-to-date, outperforming the Zacks Computer and Technology sector and the S&P 500 index, which declined by 10.7% and 5.8%, respectively [13] - The company's outperformance is attributed to its strong position in the SASE solutions market, which is seeing accelerated adoption [14] Growth Drivers - Fortinet's growth is driven by its Unified SASE strategy integrated into the FortiOS operating system, providing seamless networking and security [16] - SASE Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) has grown by 96%, and FortiSASE deals have increased by 60% in 2024, indicating strong customer interest and adoption [17] - A recent partnership with Vodafone Business aims to expand Fortinet's reach in European markets, enhancing its growth potential [18] Conclusion - Current valuations suggest that investors might benefit from waiting for a better entry point, as Fortinet's strengths are countered by challenges from increased competition and macroeconomic uncertainties [19][20]