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Can Fortinet's SASE & SecOps Surge Reinforce Its Competitive Edge?
ZACKS· 2025-10-07 17:41
Core Insights - Fortinet (FTNT) is focusing on two rapidly growing areas in cybersecurity: Secure Access Service Edge (SASE) and Security Operations (SecOps) to strengthen its position in integrated network security [1][12] Business Strategy - In late 2025, Fortinet advanced its unified SASE platform and AI-driven SecOps capabilities, being recognized as a Leader in the 2025 Gartner Magic Quadrant for SASE Platforms, with increased momentum from multi-product enterprise deals [2] - Fortinet expanded its partnership with Armis to enhance asset visibility and AI-led threat detection, emphasizing automation, scalability, and long-term growth in intelligent security solutions [3] - The company’s unified FortiOS architecture integrates all core SASE elements, simplifying deployment and improving operational efficiency for global customers [5] Financial Performance - Fortinet raised its full-year 2025 billing guidance by $100 million to $7.44 billion, indicating a 14% year-over-year growth driven by strong demand for FortiSASE and SecOps offerings [6][12] - In Q2 2025, SASE and SecOps billings increased by 21% and 31% year-over-year, respectively, showcasing accelerating enterprise adoption [7] Competitive Landscape - Fortinet's main competitor, Palo Alto Networks (PANW), utilizes advanced next-generation firewalls and AI-driven platforms, although its premium pricing may deter cost-sensitive organizations [8][9] - Cisco Systems (CSCO) competes by integrating security across its networking ecosystem, leveraging its scale and infrastructure, though it is less specialized in niche security domains compared to Fortinet [10] Valuation and Earnings Estimates - Fortinet's shares have declined by 8.6% year-to-date, underperforming the Zacks Security industry's 21% growth and the broader Computer and Technology sector's 22.7% increase [13] - The company appears overvalued with a forward 12-month price-to-sales ratio of 8.98, higher than the sector average of 6.94 [15] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Fortinet's earnings is $2.52 per share for 2025 and $2.78 per share for 2026, indicating year-over-year earnings growth of 6.33% for 2025 and 10.18% for 2026 [18]
Fortinet's Geographic Mix Improves: Can EMEA Drive More Upside?
ZACKS· 2025-09-23 15:16
Core Insights - Fortinet's geographic mix is shifting, with EMEA becoming a crucial growth driver, showing an 18% year-over-year revenue increase in Q2 2025, compared to 11% growth in the Americas and APAC [1][9] - The demand for advanced cybersecurity and secure networking solutions is rising, particularly in EMEA, driven by hybrid work models and stricter data-sovereignty regulations [2] - Fortinet is investing in regional infrastructure, exemplified by a €40 million high-security data center in Spain to enhance its services in key European markets [3] Revenue Growth Projections - The Zacks model forecasts continued momentum, projecting 2025 revenue growth of 13% for EMEA, 12% for the Americas, and 14% for APAC, indicating a balanced expansion strategy [4] Competitive Landscape - Palo Alto Networks generates 67% of its revenues from the Americas, with EMEA at 21% and APAC at 13%, indicating a reliance on the U.S. market but also showing international growth potential [5] - Zscaler has a strong international presence with 55% of revenues from the Americas, 29% from EMEA, and 16% from APAC, demonstrating superior scalability and growth in cloud-first regions [6] Stock Performance and Valuation - Year-to-date, Fortinet shares have declined by 10.1%, underperforming the Zacks Security industry's 21.2% gain and the Zacks Computer and Technology sector's 22.4% rise [7] - Fortinet appears overvalued with a forward 12-month price-to-sales ratio of 8.85, exceeding the sector average of 7.1 [10] - The consensus estimate for 2025 earnings is $2.52 per share, reflecting a 6.33% year-over-year growth [13]
Will FTNT's Heavy Infrastructure Build-Out Drive Next Phase of Growth?
ZACKS· 2025-09-16 18:01
Core Insights - Fortinet is heavily investing in infrastructure to transition towards a cloud- and service-first growth model, with Q2 2025 infrastructure spending reaching $168 million, a $145 million increase year-over-year [1][9] - The demand for cloud-delivered security is increasing, leading Fortinet to raise its full-year billings outlook by $100 million, with projected revenues for 2025 between $6.67 billion and $6.82 billion [2][9] - Fortinet has invested nearly $2 billion in building a global footprint of 5 million square feet across various facilities, enhancing customer experience and operational efficiency [3] - The infrastructure expansion is a strategic move to capture growth in the expanding cybersecurity market [4] Infrastructure Investments - Fortinet's management has guided infrastructure investments of $380 million to $430 million for 2025, emphasizing its importance for long-term growth [1][9] - The company is focusing on controlling its own infrastructure to optimize performance and deliver tailored services to enterprise customers [2] Competitive Landscape - Zscaler, a competitor, operates 150 global data centers and focuses on a SaaS model, which provides it with an edge in cloud security, although it lags behind Fortinet in hardware performance [5] - Cisco Systems is also evolving rapidly in the cloud infrastructure space, with significant acquisitions and investments aimed at enhancing its competitive position [6] Financial Performance - Fortinet's shares have declined 14.3% year-to-date, underperforming the Zacks Security industry's 12.6% gain and the broader Computer and Technology sector's 18.8% rise [7] - The consensus estimate for 2025 earnings is $2.52 per share, reflecting a 6.33% year-over-year growth [13]
Fortinet Gains From SASE & SecOps Momentum: More Upside Ahead?
ZACKS· 2025-09-04 17:56
Core Insights - Fortinet (FTNT) is experiencing significant growth driven by the rising demand for Unified SASE and SecOps, with Unified SASE billings increasing by 21% year over year and SecOps billings rising by 31% in Q2 2025, together accounting for approximately 35% of total billings [1][10] - The company has raised its full-year billings outlook midpoint by $100 million, reflecting strong enterprise adoption and demand for cloud-delivered services [3][10] - Fortinet's unique position as the only vendor to develop all core SASE capabilities within a single operating system, FortiOS, enhances its competitive edge by reducing cost and complexity [4] Financial Performance - Projected revenues for 2025 are expected to grow by 12.8% year over year to $6.72 billion, with total billings anticipated to increase by 13.9% to $7.44 billion, highlighting the momentum from SASE and SecOps as long-term growth drivers [5] - The consensus estimate for 2025 earnings is $2.51 per share, indicating a year-over-year growth of 5.91% [14] Competitive Landscape - Cisco Systems (CSCO) leverages its network dominance to provide integrated security solutions, focusing on large enterprises with advanced threat protection and scalability, contrasting with Fortinet's cost-effective approach [6] - Check Point Software (CHKP) is recognized for its Infinity Platform and emphasizes real-time threat prevention, often outperforming Fortinet in malware and phishing benchmarks, thus strengthening its market position [7] Market Performance - Year to date, FTNT shares have declined by 19%, underperforming the Zacks Security industry's gain of 8.6% and the Zacks Computer and Technology sector's rise of 11.8% [8][11]
Fortinet(FTNT) - 2025 Q2 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-08-06 21:30
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total billings grew by 15% to €1,780,000,000, driven by 21% growth in unified SASE and 31% growth in SecOps [12][13] - Total revenue increased by 14% to €1,630,000,000, with EMEA leading growth at 18% [15] - Non-GAAP operating margin was 33.1%, exceeding guidance by 60 basis points [20] - Free cash flow was $284,000,000, with adjusted free cash flow reaching $428,000,000, up $104,000,000 [21] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Unified SASE and SecOps now account for 24% and 11% of total billings, respectively, both up one point [12] - ARR for unified SASE increased by 22% to $1,150,000,000, while SecOps increased by 35% to $463,000,000 [14] - Product revenue increased by 13% to $509,000,000, benefiting from upgrade buying and strong growth in operational technology [15][16] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The Americas and APAC both grew by 11%, while EMEA led with 18% growth [15] - Among the top five verticals, financial services led with over 30% billings growth [13] - The number of deals greater than $1,000,000 increased by 29%, with total dollar value growing by 51% [13] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on the fast-growing markets of unified SASE and AI-driven secure operations, with investments yielding strong returns [6] - Fortinet aims to maintain its competitive advantage by owning and managing its infrastructure, ensuring better customer experience and cost efficiency [9] - The company is recognized as a leader in the 2025 Gartner Magic Quadrant for SASE platform, highlighting its strong market position [6] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the resilience of the cybersecurity market despite macroeconomic uncertainties [24] - The company raised its full-year billings guidance by €100,000,000, reflecting strong performance in the first half of the year [25] - Management noted that ongoing upgrade cycles for firewalls present valuable opportunities for customer engagement [22] Other Important Information - The company announced the expansion of its Forti Cloud offering with three new services: Forti Identity, Forti Drive, and Forti Connect [9] - Total RPO grew by 12% to €6,640,000,000, while current RPO grew by 15% to €3,450,000,000 [14] - The company has invested around $2,000,000,000 in building and operating a global infrastructure [8] Q&A Session Summary Question: Concerns about FortiSASI cannibalizing core appliance business - Management clarified that SASE is enhancing rather than replacing traditional firewalls, with both segments experiencing growth [29][30][32] Question: Specifics on the 2027 product refresh cohort - Management indicated that the 2027 cohort consists of lower-end products, which are significant in unit numbers but less impactful on product revenue [34] Question: Insights on services guidance - Management noted that services billings to revenue conversion takes longer, but they remain confident in product revenue strength for the rest of the year [39][41] Question: Profile of SASE customers - Management stated that over 90% of SASE customers are existing firewall customers, with some displacing competitors [59][60] Question: Margin outlook and investment balance - Management emphasized a long-term strategy, investing in infrastructure for better cost advantages while maintaining healthy margins [62] Question: Growth beyond the upgrade cycle - Management highlighted the new SASE firewall as a significant growth opportunity, addressing new infrastructure security needs [95][96]
Fortinet(FTNT) - 2025 Q2 - Earnings Call Presentation
2025-08-06 20:30
Financial Performance Highlights - Total billings grew by 15% year-over-year, reaching $1.778 billion in Q2 2025 [5, 21] - Unified SASE billings experienced significant growth of 21% year-over-year [5, 21] - SecOps billings also showed strong growth, increasing by 31% year-over-year [5, 21] - Total revenue increased by 14% year-over-year, reaching $1.630 billion in Q2 2025 [5, 31] - The company achieved a non-GAAP operating margin of 33% [5] - Unified SASE ARR (Annual Recurring Revenue) grew by 22% year-over-year, reaching $1.150 billion in Q2 2025 [26] - SecOps ARR grew by 35% year-over-year, reaching $463 million in Q2 2025 [27] - Adjusted Free Cash Flow reached $428 million [42] Product and Service Performance - Product revenue grew by 13% year-over-year [31] - Service revenue grew by 14% year-over-year [31] - The company shipped >50% of market global firewall units [7] Guidance - The company expects full year 2025 billings to be between $7.325 billion and $7.475 billion [47]
FTNT vs. CHKP: Which Network Security Stock is the Better Pick?
ZACKS· 2025-07-09 17:01
Core Insights - The cybersecurity landscape is rapidly evolving, with network security being a critical priority for enterprises globally. Fortinet (FTNT) and Check Point Software Technologies (CHKP) are leading providers of network security solutions, offering comprehensive platforms to protect organizations from sophisticated threats [1][2] Group 1: Company Performance - Fortinet is experiencing exceptional growth momentum across multiple business segments, with a unified SASE strategy gaining traction, leading to security service building growth exceeding 110% and unified SASE representing 25% of total business [4][6] - Fortinet's Quantum Force appliances have driven product revenues up by 14% year over year, with 73% of large enterprise customers adopting their SD-WAN solution, facilitating FortiSASE expansion [5] - Check Point's Quantum Force appliances show strong demand, with revenues exceeding the midpoint of guidance ranges, and the Infinity platform demonstrating over 15% of total revenues with strong double-digit growth year over year [8][11] Group 2: Leadership and Strategy - Fortinet is well-positioned for growth with a record free cash flow of $783 million and a margin of 51%, benefiting from an anticipated firewall refresh cycle in the second half of 2025 [6] - Check Point is under new CEO Nadav Zafrir's leadership, implementing a transformation strategy focused on growth and enhancing go-to-market capabilities, including a strategic partnership with Wiz for cloud security [9][10] Group 3: Financial Metrics and Valuation - Fortinet's Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 earnings is $2.48 per share, indicating a growth of 4.64% year-over-year, while Check Point's estimate is $9.91 per share, reflecting an 8.91% growth year-over-year [7][12] - Fortinet's shares gained 11.6% in three months, outperforming Check Point's 5.8% return, with both stocks trading at premium valuations; Fortinet has a price-to-sales ratio of 11.5x compared to CHKP's 8.91x [13][15] Group 4: Investment Outlook - Fortinet is identified as the superior investment choice for 2025 due to stronger revenue growth momentum, a better-positioned SASE strategy, and clear catalysts like the firewall refresh cycle [19] - Check Point offers stability and transformation potential but faces execution risks and a slower growth trajectory, suggesting investors may consider holding existing positions or waiting for more attractive entry points [19]
FTNT's Unified SASE Strategy Drives Growth: Hold or Fold the Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-06-26 16:01
Core Insights - Fortinet is enhancing its enterprise cybersecurity position through a unified Secure Access Service Edge (SASE) strategy, integrating next-generation firewall, SD-WAN, secure web gateway, and Data Loss Prevention (DLP) into a single operating system, FortiOS [1] - The company is experiencing strong momentum, with unified SASE billings growing 18% year over year, representing 25% of total billings [3] - Fortinet's share price has gained 9.8% year-to-date, underperforming the Zacks Security industry's growth of 23.8% [9] Company Developments - Fortinet's SASE journey typically begins with FortiGate firewalls, expanding to SD-WAN and FortiSASE, with 73% of large enterprises expected to adopt SD-WAN by Q1 2025, and FortiSASE penetration rising to 11% [2] - The company is strengthening its SASE architecture with cloud-native solutions to secure hybrid and multi-cloud environments, including updates to FortiCNAPP and new services like FortiAppSec Cloud [4] - Enhancements to FortiMail and FortiDLP are expanding protection to browsers and collaboration apps, which are crucial for SASE [5] Competitive Landscape - The cybersecurity market is highly competitive, with key rivals including Palo Alto Networks, Zscaler, and CrowdStrike [6] - Competitors are driving growth through strategic partnerships and acquisitions, highlighting the intense competition Fortinet faces [7][8] Financial Performance - Fortinet's valuation is a concern, with a Price/Book ratio of approximately 40.40, significantly above the industry's 24.95 [15] - For Q2 2025, Fortinet expects revenues between $1.59 billion and $1.65 billion, indicating a growth of 13% at the midpoint, with non-GAAP earnings per share projected between 58-60 cents [18] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Q2 2025 revenues is $1.62 billion, suggesting a year-over-year growth of 12.94% [19] Investor Sentiment - Despite strong SASE growth and new cloud-based offerings, tough competition and cautious guidance suggest limited short-term gains for Fortinet's stock [22] - The company has consistently beaten earnings estimates, with an average surprise of 23.83% over the trailing four quarters [21]
Will Prisma Access Browser be Key to PANW's SASE Expansion?
ZACKS· 2025-06-17 16:21
Core Insights - Palo Alto Networks (PANW) is experiencing significant growth in its Secure Access Service Edge (SASE) business, with annual recurring revenue (ARR) increasing by 36% year-over-year in Q3 FY25, outpacing the overall market growth by more than double [1][9] Group 1: SASE Business Performance - SASE is the fastest-growing segment for Palo Alto Networks, driven by the success of Prisma Access Browser, which accounted for one-third of all Prisma Access seats sold during the quarter [2][9] - Since acquiring Talon 18 months ago, Palo Alto Networks has sold three million license seats, representing over a tenfold increase from the previous year [2] - The company now has approximately 6,000 SASE customers, reflecting a 22% year-over-year increase, with 40% of new customers in Q3 being net new to the company [3][9] Group 2: Market Trends and Competitive Landscape - The rise of artificial intelligence (AI) is pushing more applications and data into the cloud, positioning the browser as a new interface for work, which aligns with Palo Alto Networks' SASE strategy [4] - Key competitors in the SASE space include Zscaler and Fortinet, both of which are expanding their offerings in browser-based security and SASE solutions [5][6] Group 3: Financial Performance and Valuation - Palo Alto Networks shares have gained 8.9% year-to-date, compared to a 20.2% growth in the security industry [7] - The company trades at a forward price-to-sales ratio of 12.69X, which is lower than the industry's average of 14.52X [11] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fiscal 2025 and fiscal 2026 earnings indicates year-over-year growth of 15.14% and 11.19%, respectively, with upward revisions in estimates over the past 30 days [14]
Fortinet Named a Challenger in the 2025 Gartner® Magic Quadrant™ for Security Service Edge
Globenewswire· 2025-05-23 15:14
Core Insights - Fortinet has been recognized as a Challenger in the Gartner Magic Quadrant™ for Security Service Edge (SSE) and has maintained its position as a Leader in the SD-WAN category for four consecutive years, indicating strong performance and execution in the unified SASE platform market [1][2]. Company Performance - Fortinet continues to show strong momentum and growth in the SSE market, with positive customer feedback and an aggressive roadmap that includes monthly releases [2]. - The company has been recognized with the Gartner Peer Insights™ Customers' Choice Recognition for Security Service Edge for two consecutive years, highlighting customer satisfaction with FortiSASE [3]. Product Differentiation - FortiSASE is noted for its unified, flexible, and intelligent solution that enhances user experience while reducing complexity and strengthening security across hybrid environments [3][4]. - The architecture of FortiSASE is built on a single operating system, FortiOS, which ensures consistent security policy enforcement and streamlined operations across various environments [4]. - Fortinet's investment in global cloud infrastructure aims to enhance performance, scalability, and control over its SASE services, particularly in regulated sectors like finance and healthcare [4]. Customer Experience - Customers have reported a highly positive experience with FortiSASE, emphasizing its ability to provide secure access regardless of user location and its robust security features [5]. - The solution accommodates a growing user base without compromising performance, providing web filtering and compliance checks for secure internet access [5].