GB300 Blackwell 芯片

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周观点:AI芯片出口限制缩减,NV需求高增
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-05-18 00:25
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Shenghong Technology (300476.SZ) with projected EPS of 1.34 in 2024 and 12.30 in 2027, indicating a significant growth potential with a PE ratio decreasing from 61.60 in 2024 to 6.26 in 2027 [5]. Core Insights - The U.S. BIS has revoked the AI chip diffusion rules, leading to a substantial increase in chip demand, particularly benefiting companies in Nvidia's core supply chain [10][12]. - Nvidia is set to supply over 18,000 GB300 Blackwell chips to Saudi AI company Humain for a 500 MW AI infrastructure project, marking a significant order that represents 12% of its global shipments in Q1 2025 [21]. - The capital expenditure of major overseas CSPs (Cloud Service Providers) is projected to remain high, with a total of $71.1 billion in Q1 2025, reflecting a 64% year-on-year increase [13][20]. Summary by Sections Section 1: AI Chip Demand and Regulations - The U.S. BIS announced the cancellation of the AI diffusion rules, which previously restricted AI chip exports, thus increasing global demand for AI chips [10][12]. - Nvidia and AMD are actively engaging in projects in Saudi Arabia, with AMD providing $10 billion in chip and software support for the "Transatlantic AI Corridor" project [26][27]. Section 2: CSP Capital Expenditure - The report highlights that the combined capital expenditure of the four major overseas CSPs reached $71.1 billion in Q1 2025, maintaining a high growth trajectory [13][20]. - Meta has raised its capital expenditure guidance for 2025 to between $64 billion and $72 billion, reflecting increased investments in AI infrastructure [20]. Section 3: Market Performance - The electronic sector experienced a slight decline of 0.75% in the recent week, with notable performances from semiconductor and consumer electronics stocks [28][31]. - The report indicates that the overall valuation of the electronic industry is at a relatively high level, suggesting potential for upward adjustment driven by AI advancements [34]. Section 4: Related Companies - Key companies in Nvidia's supply chain include Shenghong Technology, Industrial Fulian, and Huadian [36]. - Domestic computing power leaders mentioned include SMIC, Cambrian, and Haiguang Information [36].
周观点:AI芯片出口限制缩减,NV需求高增-20250517
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-05-17 14:41
证券研究报告 | 行业周报 gszqdatemark 2025 05 17 年 月 日 电子 周观点:AI 芯片出口限制缩减,NV 需求高增 美国 BIS 废除 AI 芯片扩散规则,新增大量芯片订单。规则废除后, 以英伟达、AMD 为代表的美企芯片出口限制缩减,芯片需求增量较大, 英伟达核心产业链上的公司有望充分受益于新增需求。 NV 芯片出口限制缩减,中东新增较大芯片需求。2025 年 5 月 13 日, 美国 BIS 宣布撤销拜登政府时期的《人工智能扩散暂行最终规则》,原 规则规定了对全球 AI 芯片出口的限制措施,将全球划分为三个不同 "层级"的区域,并据此决定不同国家和地区从美国获取先进的人工 智能技术和 CPU 芯片的范围。在 2025 年 5 月 13 日沙特—美国投资论 坛期间,英伟达宣布将向沙特 AI 公司 Humain 交付超过 1.8 万颗最新 GB300 Blackwell 芯片,以共同部署一个 500 兆瓦的 AI 基础设施项目。 此外,AMD 为沙特的"跨大西洋 AI 走廊"项目提供价值百亿美元的芯 片与软件支持,高通与 Humain 签署谅解备忘录,计划在沙特开发和 构建基于高通边 ...