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瑞博生物转战港交所:18年“烧钱”未果 “技术换现金”能否撑起35亿估值?
Xin Lang Zheng Quan· 2025-05-21 01:20
Core Viewpoint - Suzhou Rebio Biotechnology Co., Ltd. is attempting to re-enter the capital market by submitting a prospectus to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange after failing to launch on the STAR Market four years ago, despite being one of the earliest companies in China to focus on small RNA drugs [1][3] Group 1: Company Overview - Founded in 2007, Rebio focuses on developing innovative therapies for cardiovascular, metabolic, renal, and liver diseases, particularly siRNA therapies [1] - The company has six self-developed drug pipelines currently in clinical trials, with four in Phase II and one in Phase III [1] Group 2: R&D Progress and Challenges - The fastest progressing pipeline, RBD1007, completed international Phase II/III research data analysis in 2021 but has not yet resulted in a marketable product [3] - Previous key pipelines RBD4988 and RBD1006 are not mentioned in the latest prospectus, indicating they may have "failed" [3] - The new core pipelines include RBD4059 for thrombotic diseases, RBD5044 for hypertriglyceridemia, and RBD1016 for chronic hepatitis B and D, all currently in Phase II, facing significant uncertainty regarding clinical efficacy and market viability [3][4] Group 3: Market Competition - Rebio's R&D progress is lagging behind competitors, with its core product RBD4059 in Phase II while similar products from Novartis have reached Phase III [4] - Ionis's APOC3-targeted drug has already been launched, raising doubts about Rebio's "Best-in-Class" potential for RBD5044, which has yet to release clinical data [4] Group 4: Financial Performance and Valuation - Rebio's valuation has fluctuated significantly, from 456 million yuan in 2015 to 3.15 billion yuan in 2020, peaking at 4.87 billion yuan in 2024, but has since dropped back to 3.58 billion yuan, equivalent to its valuation five years ago [5][6] - In 2023, the company reported revenue of only 44,000 yuan, which is expected to rise to 143 million yuan in 2024 through a partnership with Boehringer Ingelheim, but 90% of this revenue relies on a single partner, indicating a fragile income structure [6] - Total R&D expenses for 2023 and 2024 are projected to be 590 million yuan, with cumulative net losses reaching 718 million yuan, and cash reserves expected to be only 168 million yuan by the end of 2024, against interest-bearing loans of 399 million yuan, putting significant pressure on the company's cash flow [6] Group 5: Strategic Partnerships and Risks - Rebio has frequently utilized licensing agreements to alleviate financial pressure, including a deal with Boehringer Ingelheim worth over $2 billion and a licensing agreement for RBD7022 in Greater China for over 700 million yuan [7] - While these partnerships provide short-term cash flow, they may compromise future value, as the agreements do not clearly define patent ownership improvements, potentially limiting Rebio's share in future developments based on its core delivery technology [7]