Core Insights - The small nucleic acid drug sector is experiencing a significant surge, marking the beginning of a golden era driven by technological breakthroughs and capital enthusiasm [2][11][22] Industry Developments - On January 5, 2026, Sanofi's APOC3 siRNA drug Plozasiran was approved for domestic market use to treat hyperlipidemia [1] - On January 9, 2026, Rebio Biotech, known as "China's first small nucleic acid stock," successfully listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, with its stock price soaring by 40% on the first day, leading to a market capitalization exceeding 13 billion HKD [1] - China National Pharmaceutical Group announced a 1.2 billion CNY acquisition of Hegia Biotech, securing the world's first clinically validated liver-targeted delivery platform capable of annual dosing [1] Market Trends - The global small nucleic acid drug market has seen nearly 100 business development (BD) collaborations in the past three years, with transaction numbers and amounts increasing annually, reaching over 30 BD deals in 2025 totaling nearly 30 billion USD [4][9] - Notable transactions in 2025 included Novartis acquiring Avidity Biosciences for 12 billion USD and multiple other significant deals involving RNA therapies [7][9] Clinical Advancements - Ionis's APOC3 ASO drug Olezarsen showed promising results in reducing triglyceride levels by up to 72% in patients with severe hypertriglyceridemia, leading to an increase in peak annual sales forecast from 1.5 billion USD to 2.5 billion USD [12] - GSK's ASO therapy Bepirovirsen is expected to be the first drug to achieve functional cure for chronic hepatitis B, with a peak annual sales potential of 2 billion USD [12] Emerging Opportunities - The small nucleic acid drugs are expanding into various therapeutic areas, including obesity and kidney diseases, with promising results from clinical trials demonstrating significant weight loss and metabolic health improvements [13][15] - The number of small nucleic acid drugs in development globally has surpassed 1,200, with siRNA and ASO therapies being the most prominent [17] Strategic Collaborations - Domestic companies are increasingly recognized for their innovative value in small nucleic acid drugs, with active BD transactions, including significant collaborations by Rebio Biotech and other firms [18][21] - Companies like Saintin Biotech are forming strategic partnerships with major pharmaceutical firms to advance their small nucleic acid drug pipelines [19] Conclusion - The convergence of technological advancements, capital influx, and successful clinical outcomes is propelling small nucleic acid drugs into a pivotal position within the pharmaceutical industry, with China poised to become a global innovation hub [22]

Macro and Strategy - The macroeconomic report indicates a recovery in China's economy with a monthly GDP growth of 4.5% in December 2025, an increase of 0.4 percentage points from the previous month [6][7] - The service sector is recovering faster than industrial production, with high-tech manufacturing showing significant growth compared to traditional industries [6] - The demand side shows a structural characteristic of weak domestic demand and strong external demand, with exports remaining a crucial support for the economy [7] Industry and Company Agriculture Industry - The report highlights a bullish outlook for cattle prices, indicating a potential reversal in the beef cycle, with prices for fattened cattle at 25.66 CNY/kg, up 0.59% month-on-month and 9.38% year-on-year [11][12] - The pig market is expected to stabilize, with prices at 12.69 CNY/kg, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 1.44% [11] - The poultry sector shows mixed signals, with chicken prices slightly increasing while egg prices are under pressure due to high supply levels [11][12] Banking Industry - The banking sector is facing challenges due to an expanding gap between deposits and loans, with the gap reaching approximately 58 trillion CNY in 2025, up from about 40 trillion CNY in 2019 [16][17] - The report suggests that banks need to diversify their middle business operations to address this issue, with smaller banks focusing on wealth management and larger banks enhancing their comprehensive service capabilities [17] - The forecast for 2026 indicates a significant reduction in the decline of net interest margins, suggesting a potential recovery in the banking sector's fundamentals [18] Pharmaceutical Industry - The pharmaceutical sector is underperforming compared to the overall market, with a reported decline of 0.68% in the biopharmaceutical sector [19] - The report notes the successful IPO of Rebio Biotech, which focuses on small nucleic acid drugs, and highlights its partnerships with major pharmaceutical companies, indicating strong growth potential in this niche [19][20] Tencent Holdings - Tencent is expected to report a revenue of 194.6 billion CNY for Q4 2025, a year-on-year increase of 13%, driven by stable growth in gaming and advertising sectors [20][21] - The company is increasing its investment in AI, which is anticipated to enhance its operational capabilities and support future growth [20][23] - The gaming segment is projected to generate 58 billion CNY in revenue, with strong performances from titles like "Honor of Kings" and "Peacekeeper Elite" [21][22]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the pharmaceutical and biotechnology sector [4] Core Insights - The pharmaceutical sector underperformed the overall market this week, with a 0.68% decline in the biotechnology sector compared to a 0.03% increase in the overall A-share market [1] - The report highlights the successful listing of Rebio Biotech on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, focusing on the small RNA industry and its potential [2] - Rebio Biotech has established a proprietary delivery platform, RiboGalSTAR, and has entered into commercialization partnerships valued at over $2 billion [2] - The core asset RBD4059, targeting FXI, is currently in clinical phase 2a studies in Sweden, showing promise in treating thrombotic diseases [2][21] Summary by Sections Market Performance - The overall A-share market increased by 0.03%, while the Shanghai Composite Index decreased by 0.57%. The biotechnology sector saw a decline of 0.68% [1][26] - Within the biotechnology sector, chemical pharmaceuticals fell by 2.40%, while medical services rose by 3.29% [1][26] Company Overview - Rebio Biotech focuses on small RNA drug development, with seven products in clinical research, four of which are in phase 2 trials [2][9] - The company has a strong management team with extensive experience in drug development and production [16][18] Financial Projections - The report provides earnings forecasts for key companies, with Rebio Biotech's core asset RBD4059 showing significant potential in the thrombotic disease market [3][21] - The report recommends investment opportunities in the CXO sector and highlights the clinical progress of innovative drugs overseas [2][36] Valuation Metrics - The TTM P/E ratio for the pharmaceutical and biotechnology sector is 38.70x, compared to 22.18x for the overall A-share market [31] - Specific sub-sectors show varying P/E ratios, with chemical pharmaceuticals at 47.60x and medical services at 36.15x [31]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the pharmaceutical and biotechnology sector [4] Core Insights - The pharmaceutical sector underperformed the overall market, with a TTM P/E ratio of 38.70x, which is at the 84.85th percentile of the past five years [1][31] - The report highlights the recent IPO of RiboBio, a leading company in the small RNA drug development sector, which has established a proprietary delivery platform, RiboGalSTAR, focusing on cardiovascular, metabolic, renal, and liver diseases [2][9] - RiboBio has seven products in clinical research, with four advancing to Phase II trials, demonstrating the effectiveness and safety of its delivery system [2][17] Summary by Sections Market Performance - The overall A-share market increased by 0.03%, while the biopharmaceutical sector declined by 0.68%, with chemical pharmaceuticals dropping by 2.40% [1][26] - The report notes significant individual stock movements, with some companies experiencing substantial gains and others facing steep declines [26][30] Company Focus: RiboBio - RiboBio has formed strategic partnerships with Boehringer Ingelheim and Qilu Pharmaceutical, with a total transaction value exceeding $2 billion, validating the platform's value [2][17] - The core asset, RBD4059, is in Phase IIa trials in Sweden for treating thrombotic diseases, showing promising results in reducing thrombus formation without increasing bleeding risk [2][21] - RBD4059's clinical data indicates a significant reduction in FXI activity, with a maximum percentage change of 91.6% at the highest dosage [22] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on investment opportunities in the CXO sector and the clinical progress of innovative drugs overseas [2] - Specific companies recommended for investment include Mindray Medical, WuXi AppTec, and Aier Eye Hospital, all rated as "Outperform" [3][36]

Core Insights - The small nucleic acid drug sector in China is entering a "capital year" in 2026, with increasing market interest and significant transactions, such as the successful IPO of Rebio and the acquisition of Hegia Biotech by China National Pharmaceutical Group for 1.2 billion yuan [1] - The global small nucleic acid drug market is characterized by a "three strong" dominance, with Alnylam, Ionis, and Sarepta leading the industry due to their technological barriers and commercialization advantages [1][5] - The market for small nucleic acid drugs is projected to grow from $5.247 billion in 2024 to $46.7 billion by 2033, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 25% [10] Market Dynamics - In 2024, global sales of small nucleic acid drugs reached $5.247 billion, with Ionis and Biogen's Spinraza leading at $1.573 billion, followed by Alnylam's Amvuttra at $0.971 billion and Sarepta's DMD treatments at $0.967 billion [2] - The current landscape features two main technological routes: Antisense Oligonucleotides (ASO) and small interfering RNA (siRNA), each with distinct mechanisms and advantages [4][7] - Alnylam has established itself as a leader in RNAi therapy, with a high clinical conversion rate of 64.3%, significantly above the industry average of 5.7% [7] Competitive Landscape - Ionis focuses on ASO technology, having launched the first ASO drug in 1998 and currently holding nine of the twelve approved ASO drugs globally, including the top-selling Spinraza [7][8] - Sarepta has specialized in muscle diseases, particularly DMD, with four approved drugs and a revenue growth of over 50% in 2024, reaching $1.9 billion [9] - The competitive landscape is evolving, with multinational corporations (MNCs) increasingly entering the market through acquisitions and collaborations, reflecting a growing interest in the sector [16][19] Emerging Opportunities - The market is entering a commercialization phase, with potential blockbuster products needed to transition from niche to mainstream [10] - Alnylam's Amvuttra and Novartis's Leqvio are identified as strong candidates for future blockbuster status, with Amvuttra projected to exceed $2 billion in sales by 2025 [12][13] - New products like Arrowhead's Plozasiran and Alnylam's Zilebesiran are expected to broaden the treatment landscape, moving from rare diseases to more common conditions [15] Strategic Movements - MNCs are actively pursuing partnerships and acquisitions to enhance their presence in the small nucleic acid space, with notable transactions in 2025 exceeding $36.473 billion [16][18] - Companies like Novartis are building comprehensive pipelines across various therapeutic areas, including cardiovascular and rare diseases, to strengthen their competitive position [18] - Chinese biotech firms are emerging as significant players, leveraging unique delivery technologies and cost advantages, leading to increased collaborations with MNCs [19][20]

Core Viewpoint - Suzhou Rebio Biotech (6938.HK) has successfully listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, marking the arrival of the first mRNA concept stock in the market and becoming a significant target for investors looking to enter the mRNA sector [1][3]. Group 1: IPO Details - Rebio's stock surged 42% on its debut, closing at HKD 82.10, with continued growth in the following week [3]. - The company issued 31.6 million shares at HKD 57.97 each, raising approximately HKD 1.7 billion (around USD 218 million) [3]. - The IPO attracted 11 cornerstone investors, including Taikang Life and Da Cheng International Asset Management, who collectively subscribed to 13.4 million shares, accounting for 42.5% of the total offering [3]. - The public offering was oversubscribed more than 100 times, with international investors oversubscribing by over 15 times [3]. Group 2: Product Pipeline and Collaborations - Rebio currently has seven self-developed drug assets in clinical trials targeting cardiovascular, metabolic, renal, and liver diseases [4]. - Among these, RBD4059 is the world's first siRNA drug for treating thrombotic diseases, while RBD5044 is the second siRNA drug in clinical development for treating hypertriglyceridemia [4]. - All products are still in clinical stages, with RBD4059 set to enter phase 2b trials and RBD5044 in phase 2 trials [4]. - Rebio has secured recognition and partnerships with several pharmaceutical companies, leading to significant revenue opportunities, including a collaboration with Qilu Pharmaceutical for the commercialization of RBD7022 and a partnership with Boehringer Ingelheim for innovative nucleic acid therapies, with a total collaboration value of up to USD 2 billion [4]. Group 3: Financial Projections - Rebio's revenue is projected to grow from nearly zero in 2023 to CNY 143 million (approximately USD 20.5 million) in 2024, with expectations to reach CNY 104 million in the first half of 2025 [5]. - The company reported a loss of CNY 97.8 million in the first half of 2025, an improvement compared to a loss of CNY 142 million in the same period of 2024 [5].

Core Viewpoint - The listing of Rebio Biotech (6938.HK) on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange marks a significant milestone for China's small nucleic acid drug development, transitioning from "technical accumulation" to "value realization" [1] Group 1: Market Reaction and Financial Performance - The market reacted positively, with Rebio's stock price rising over 29% in pre-listing trading and closing at 82.1 HKD per share on its first day, reflecting strong investor confidence in Chinese innovative pharmaceuticals [1] - Rebio's financial performance shows a strong revenue growth of 56.57% year-on-year, reaching 1.04 million RMB in the first half of 2025, while losses narrowed by 30.94% during the same period [4][5] - The revenue growth is primarily driven by licensing and collaboration agreements with major players like Boehringer Ingelheim and Qilu Pharmaceutical, indicating recognition of its underlying platform technology [4] Group 2: Strategic Development and R&D - Rebio's platform-based R&D approach is transforming the traditional investment model in biotechnology, moving from betting on single molecules to a modular and scalable development strategy [6] - The company aims to advance 2-4 assets to clinical trials annually, leveraging its platform's efficiency and confidence in its development capabilities [6] - Rebio has established a strong competitive barrier through its intellectual property, holding 255 granted patents and 218 pending applications, alongside a GMP-compliant production facility in Jiangsu [7] Group 3: Ecosystem and Global Strategy - Rebio's strategy combines internal development with external collaboration, targeting global diseases with significant patient populations, such as cardiovascular conditions [9] - The company has formed strategic partnerships, such as with Boehringer Ingelheim, to enhance its technology platform's recognition and optimize commercialization efficiency [11] - Establishing a clinical team in Sweden allows Rebio to conduct high-quality clinical trials independently, enhancing global development efficiency and regulatory communication [12] Group 4: Industry Implications - Rebio's listing signifies a shift in the Chinese biotechnology sector from "following innovation" to "source innovation," showcasing its platform-based R&D capabilities and global operational vision [13] - The company is positioned to accelerate its transition from clinical to commercial stages, with the potential for its platform value and pipeline to resonate in the emerging nucleic acid drug era [13]

Core Viewpoint - Ribo Life Science, a leader in the small nucleic acid pharmaceutical field, successfully listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, achieving a market capitalization exceeding HKD 13 billion, representing over 30 times growth compared to its valuation after the A-round investment by Panlin Capital [1][5]. Company Overview - Ribo Life Science was founded in 2007 and is a pioneer in small nucleic acid (siRNA) drug research and development in China, establishing a comprehensive platform for small nucleic acid drug development [7]. - The company focuses on iterative research and development of small nucleic acid chemical modifications and drug delivery technologies, supporting all stages from early research to commercialization [7]. Product Pipeline - Ribo Life Science has developed a robust product pipeline, including: - RBD4059, a siRNA drug targeting FXI for treating thrombotic diseases, which has completed all subject enrollments in Phase IIa clinical trials [8]. - RBD5044, targeting APOC3 for treating hypertriglyceridemia, has received EU approval for Phase II clinical trials [8]. - RBD7022, targeting PCSK9 for treating hypercholesterolemia, has completed Phase I trials in China and is advancing to Phase II trials [8]. - RBD1016, targeting HBV for chronic hepatitis B treatment, is in Phase II trials and has received orphan drug designation from the EMA [10]. Globalization and Commercialization Strategy - Ribo Life Science integrates local R&D advantages with international expertise, establishing a world-class small nucleic acid drug development system [12]. - The company has multiple R&D centers in Suzhou, Beijing, and Europe, and successfully completed a USD 33 million equity financing for its overseas R&D center in Sweden [12]. Strategic Partnerships - In December 2023, Ribo Life Science entered into a licensing and collaboration agreement with Qilu Pharmaceutical for the development and commercialization of RBD7022 in Greater China, receiving over RMB 700 million in upfront and milestone payments [13]. - The company also signed a collaboration agreement with Boehringer Ingelheim to develop innovative therapies for NASH/MASH using its proprietary RiboGalSTAR™ technology, with a total transaction value exceeding USD 2 billion [13]. Investment Journey - Panlin Capital has been a key investor in Ribo Life Science since its A-round financing in 2015, providing crucial support during challenging times in the small nucleic acid industry [5][14]. - The investment journey includes six rounds of funding, demonstrating a commitment to supporting the company's growth and innovation in the biopharmaceutical sector [14][19].

Core Viewpoint - Suzhou Rebio Technology Co., Ltd. (Rebio) has successfully listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, with its share price closing at HKD 82.10, reflecting a 41.62% increase from the issue price of HKD 57.97 [1][2]. Group 1: Company Overview - Rebio is focused on the research and development of small nucleic acid drugs, particularly specializing in siRNA therapies [1]. - The total number of shares issued in this offering was 31,610,400 H-shares, with 2,748,800 shares allocated for public offering in Hong Kong and 28,861,600 shares for international placement [2]. Group 2: Financial Details - The total proceeds from the offering amounted to HKD 1,832.45 million, with net proceeds of HKD 1,701.80 million after deducting estimated listing expenses of HKD 130.65 million [2][3]. - The funds raised will be allocated to the research and development of core products RBD4059, RBD5044, and RBD1016, as well as to support pipeline assets in preclinical stages and enhance the technology platform [3]. Group 3: Investor Participation - Key cornerstone investors include Arc Avenue Asset Management, Bright Stone Holdings, and several asset management firms, collectively acquiring 42.5% of the offering [6][7]. - The cornerstone investors' total shareholding includes significant contributions from various funds and insurance companies, indicating strong institutional interest in Rebio [6]. Group 4: Financial Performance Projections - For the fiscal years ending December 31, 2023, and December 31, 2024, Rebio is projected to generate revenues of RMB 0.04 million and RMB 142.6 million, respectively, with net losses of RMB 437.3 million and RMB 281.5 million [8]. - The company anticipates a continued trend of net losses in the upcoming periods, with projected losses of RMB 141.6 million for the six months ending June 30, 2025 [8].

Core Viewpoint - Suzhou Ribo BioTechnology Co., Ltd. (Ribo Bio) officially listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, attracting significant investor interest due to its solid technology and clear pipeline in the biotech sector [1] Company Overview - Ribo Bio's global offering consisted of 31.61 million shares at an issue price of HKD 57.97 per share, with the first-day opening price at HKD 75, reflecting a 29.38% increase from the issue price [1] - The public offering was oversubscribed over 100 times, and the international offering was 16.7 times oversubscribed, raising over HKD 1.8 billion [1] - The company is recognized as a key player in the small nucleic acid technology and pharmaceutical field in China, attracting participation from notable domestic and international investment institutions [1] Technology and Product Pipeline - Ribo Bio possesses a clinically validated liver-targeting GalNAc delivery technology, RiboGalSTAR™, which enables efficient and specific delivery of siRNA to liver cells [2] - The company has established a robust product pipeline with seven self-developed siRNA candidates in clinical stages, including RBD4059, the first siRNA drug targeting FXI for thrombotic diseases [2][3] - RBD4059 shows potential advantages in reducing bleeding risk while effectively combating thrombosis, with a long-acting profile that may extend dosing intervals to several months [2] Market Potential - The global small nucleic acid drug market is experiencing rapid growth, projected to increase from USD 2.7 billion in 2019 to USD 5.7 billion in 2024, and expected to reach USD 20.6 billion and USD 54.9 billion by 2029 and 2034, respectively [3] - Ribo Bio's pipeline aligns with significant unmet clinical needs, particularly in thrombotic diseases and hypertriglyceridemia, which are prevalent and have substantial patient populations [4] - RBD4059 and RBD5044 are positioned to address limitations of current therapies, with RBD5044 targeting high triglyceride levels showing potential to become a best-in-class therapy [4] Future Outlook - The successful listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange marks a new chapter for Ribo Bio, providing capital to support its development [5] - With a solid research foundation, differentiated product pipeline, and clear commercial strategy, Ribo Bio is poised to become an influential player in the global small nucleic acid therapy landscape, offering new treatment hopes for millions of patients worldwide [5]