Company and Industry Summary Company: Schneider Electric Key Points - **North America Business**: The rectifier modules related to Zhongheng are expected to enter the supply chains of Schneider and Eaton, with HVDC solutions being a focus for 2026-2027, primarily involving upstream manufacturers of Schneider [1] - **Market Share**: In 2026, the total expected capacity for ±400V and 800V in North America is projected to be 5GW, with a penetration rate of 16%. Schneider is anticipated to hold a 20% market share, while Megmeet and Zhongheng are assumed to each capture 50%, translating to approximately 500MW to 1GW in orders [1] - **Average Selling Price (ASP)**: In 2026, the supply of edge cabinet power modules in North America is expected to be influenced by Zhongheng's technology in transformers and medium-low voltage distribution panels, allowing entry from rectifier modules to complete cabinets (leasing projects) [1] - **Technology Trends**: From 2026 to 2028, the ±400V technology route is expected to account for nearly 50% of mainstream data centers, although it is considered a transitional solution. The future mainstream power supply method for data centers and microgrids is anticipated to be 800V SST [1] - **Importance of Power Electronics**: The significance of power electronics is expected to increase as the capacity of data centers grows, indicating a short-list of critical components [1] Additional Insights - **Business Progress**: It is expected that in Q1/Q2 of 2026, there will be sample submissions and technical exchanges with North American manufacturers, with bidding and supply expected to materialize in Q3 of 2026 [2] - **Key Timelines**: The bidding process is set to finalize in Q3 of 2026, with medium-low voltage equipment requiring a lead time of three months [2] - **Domestic New Projects**: Most new projects led by Alibaba are adopting HVDC, with Tencent's penetration rate at 40-50% and ByteDance starting at over 30% in Q1 of 2026 [2] - **North American HVDC Penetration**: The penetration rate for HVDC in North America is currently low, but high voltage is rapidly penetrating the market, with an expected increase from 16% in 2026 to over 30% in 2027 [2]

Group 1 - The report highlights that Zhongheng Electric (002364.SZ) is a leader in HVDC solutions and is poised to benefit from the AI wave, with a focus on the digital energy industry chain, including data centers, digital grids, and electric vehicle charging [4][6] - The company was founded in 1996 and went public in 2010, with a stable shareholding structure and experienced management. It is projected to achieve significant profit growth in 2024 and 2025, with expected revenues of 1.96 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 26.1%, and a net profit of 110 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 178.5% [6] - The hardware business is stable, with HVDC solutions expected to see increased market penetration due to their advantages in long-distance transmission, low loss, stability, and efficiency. The company is a pioneer in HVDC solutions and has established national standards for direct current power supply systems [6][7] Group 2 - The report notes that the Panama solution, developed in collaboration with Alibaba, is expected to significantly contribute to the company's performance, with Alibaba's infrastructure investment projected to exceed the total of the past decade over the next three years [6] - The communication power segment remains stable, with revenue expected to be 306 million yuan in 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 4.5%. The electric power segment is projected to grow by 20.5% year-on-year, reaching 479 million yuan in 2024 [6] - The software business focuses on digital grid development and new comprehensive energy services, with the company leveraging its subsidiary Zhongheng Borui's 20 years of experience in power digitalization [6] Group 3 - The revenue forecast for Zhongheng Electric from 2025 to 2027 is 2.67 billion yuan, 3.63 billion yuan, and 5.24 billion yuan, representing year-on-year growth rates of 36.2%, 35.7%, and 44.6% respectively. The net profit is expected to be 210 million yuan, 310 million yuan, and 440 million yuan for the same period, with year-on-year growth rates of 89.2%, 51.1%, and 40.6% [7] - The report maintains a "Buy-B" rating for the company, with projected EPS of 0.37, 0.56, and 0.78 for 2025 to 2027, corresponding to PE ratios of 41.1x, 27.2x, and 19.3x based on the closing price on July 10 [7]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy-B" rating for the company [1] Core Viewpoints - The company is a leader in HVDC solutions and is poised to benefit from the AI wave, with significant profit growth expected in 2024 and continued growth in 2025 [1][7] - The company focuses on the digital energy industry chain, integrating software and hardware development, and has established stable partnerships with major clients in the internet and telecommunications sectors [2][18] Company Overview - Founded in 1996 and listed in 2010, the company specializes in data center energy, digital grid services, power supply, and new energy vehicle charging [1][18] - The company has a stable shareholding structure and an experienced management team, with significant improvements in performance and cost control [29][24] Hardware Business - The power supply business is stable, with HVDC solutions expected to gain market share due to their advantages in efficiency and reliability [2][41] - The Panama power module, developed in collaboration with Alibaba, is anticipated to contribute significantly to revenue growth, with Alibaba's infrastructure investment projected to exceed the total of the past decade [3][67] - Communication power revenue is stable, while power supply revenue is expected to grow due to market expansion and overseas business development [75][76] Software Business - The company is deeply involved in the digital transformation of the power grid and the construction of new power systems, providing various software solutions for energy management and optimization [86][79] - The demand for digital and intelligent solutions in the energy sector is increasing, driven by the growth of renewable energy and electric vehicles [81][82] Financial Forecast and Valuation Analysis - Projected revenues for 2025-2027 are expected to be 2.67 billion, 3.63 billion, and 5.24 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 36.2%, 35.7%, and 44.6% respectively [7][90] - Net profits for the same period are forecasted to be 210 million, 310 million, and 440 million yuan, with growth rates of 89.2%, 51.1%, and 40.6% respectively [7][90]