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HVDC(高压直流)继电器
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AI数据中心电力供应链,高盛最偏好“燃气轮机叶片和变压器”,对这类中国企业是大机遇
Hua Er Jie Jian Wen· 2026-01-14 04:09
Core Insights - The global AI data center construction is facing a significant "power bottleneck," particularly in the U.S. market, creating historic opportunities for Chinese power supply chain companies with advantages in technology, cost, and delivery speed [1][2]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - Global AI data center capacity is expected to increase by approximately 73 gigawatts (GW) from 2025 to 2030, primarily concentrated in the U.S. and China [2]. - The U.S. is experiencing a more severe power supply bottleneck compared to other countries, with local power equipment capacity only meeting about 40% of domestic demand [4]. - The average power reserve capacity in the U.S. is projected to be around 100 GW from 2025 to 2030, while China's average reserve capacity is expected to reach 300 GW, indicating a more robust system [4]. Group 2: Supply Chain Challenges - Power generation equipment, particularly gas turbines and transformers, is identified as the most critical supply chain bottleneck, with shortages expected to persist until 2028-2030 [3]. - The production of gas turbine blades and transformers faces significant technical barriers and customization requirements, leading to slow capacity expansion [5]. Group 3: Competitive Advantages of Chinese Suppliers - Chinese suppliers are positioned to capture overflow demand due to their shorter delivery times compared to the 3-5 year wait for key components in the U.S. [7]. - The core competitive advantages of Chinese suppliers include not only cost but also faster delivery times and competitive products, particularly in high-voltage direct current (HVDC) technology and high-density power conversion [8][10]. - Chinese companies are expected to achieve an average sales compound annual growth rate of 23% from 2025 to 2030, with overseas AI data center markets contributing an average of 23% to their revenue by 2030 [1]. Group 4: Financial Implications - The pricing premium for Chinese suppliers in overseas markets can reach 10% to 80%, leading to significant gross margin expansion despite additional tariffs and logistics costs [9]. - The transition to 800V direct current architecture is anticipated to save 5-15% in energy consumption, benefiting suppliers with expertise in this area [6][12].