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紫光股份(000938):AI业务全面高增助力收入加速增长
Haitong Securities International· 2025-10-12 13:32
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company, projecting significant revenue and profit growth over the next few years [3][7]. Core Insights - The company is expected to achieve revenues of RMB 95.2 billion, RMB 114.7 billion, and RMB 136.2 billion for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with net profits attributable to shareholders of RMB 2.04 billion, RMB 2.71 billion, and RMB 3.36 billion during the same period [3][7]. - The quarterly revenue has shown acceleration, with a 24.96% year-on-year increase in 2025H1, reaching RMB 47.43 billion [3][7]. - The growth in the internet business is significant, with a 37.75% increase in revenue for New H3C in 2025H1, driven by strong demand in the internet sector [3][7]. Financial Summary - The total revenue for 2023 is projected at RMB 77.31 billion, with a growth rate of 4.4%. By 2027, revenue is expected to reach RMB 136.23 billion, reflecting an 18.8% growth rate [2][4]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to decline to RMB 2.10 billion in 2023, but is expected to recover to RMB 3.36 billion by 2027, with corresponding EPS increasing from RMB 0.74 to RMB 1.17 [2][4]. - The gross profit margin for 2025H1 was reported at 15.24%, a decrease of 3.80 percentage points year-on-year [3][7]. Business Segments - The domestic government and enterprise revenue for New H3C reached RMB 31.04 billion in 2025H1, a 53.55% increase, while international revenue grew by 60.25% to RMB 1.92 billion [3][7]. - The ICT infrastructure and services revenue was RMB 36.04 billion in 2025H1, with a gross profit margin of 18.06%, down 6.32 percentage points year-on-year [3][7]. Inventory and Liabilities - As of the end of 2025H1, inventory stood at RMB 43.84 billion, up 19.0% from the beginning of the year, while contractual liabilities increased by 9.7% to RMB 15.91 billion [3][7].