数据来源：公司财务报表，广发证券发展研究中心 [Table_Page] 年报点评|软件开发 证券研究报告 [Table_Title] 石基信息（002153.SZ） 全球化进展顺利，有望受益于超级入口之争 [Table_Summary] 核心观点： 盈利预测： | [Table_ 单位:人民币百万元 Finance] | 2024A | 2025A | 2026E | 2027E | 2028E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入 | 2,947 | 2,790 | 3,063 | 3,428 | 3,910 | | 增长率（ % ） | 7.2% | -5.3% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 14.1% | | EBITDA | 204 | 212 | 376 | 569 | 780 | | 归母净利润 | -199 | -166 | 117 | 254 | 400 | | 增长率（ % ） | 90.0% | - | - | 116.4% | 57.4% | | EPS（元/股） | -0.07 | -0.06 | 0.04 | 0.09 | ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for its stock performance relative to the benchmark index [7]. Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 2.947 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 7.20%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders was -199 million yuan, a decline compared to the previous year [1]. - In Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 592 million yuan, down 6.20% year-on-year, but the net profit attributable to shareholders was 21.11 million yuan, an increase of 85.36% [1]. - The SaaS business showed significant growth, with the Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) reaching 523.29 million yuan in 2024, a growth of approximately 25.1% from 418.29 million yuan in 2023 [3]. - The company has signed contracts with major hotel groups, enhancing its market position and expanding its international presence [4]. Financial Performance Summary - The gross profit margin for 2024 was 34.87%, a slight decrease from the previous year. In Q1 2025, the gross profit margin was 49.17%, remaining stable compared to the same period last year [2]. - Operating cash flow improved, with a net cash flow of 67.13 million yuan in 2024, up from 63.45 million yuan in the previous year. In Q1 2025, the operating cash flow was -110 million yuan, an improvement from -150 million yuan in Q1 2024 [2]. - The company expects revenues of 3.665 billion yuan in 2025, with a growth rate of 24.4%, and a projected net profit of 146 million yuan, marking a significant turnaround from the previous year's loss [8][9].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for its stock performance relative to the benchmark index [7]. Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 2.947 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 7.20%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders was -199 million yuan, showing a decline compared to the previous year [1]. - In Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 592 million yuan, down 6.20% year-on-year, but the net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 85.36% to 21.11 million yuan [1]. - The SaaS business showed significant growth, with the Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) reaching 523.29 million yuan in 2024, a 25.1% increase from 418.29 million yuan in 2023 [3]. - The company has signed contracts with major hotel groups, enhancing its market position and expanding its international presence [4]. Financial Performance Summary - The gross profit margin for 2024 was 34.87%, a slight decrease from the previous year. In Q1 2025, the gross profit margin improved to 49.17% [2]. - Operating cash flow improved, with a net cash flow of 67.13 million yuan in 2024, compared to 63.45 million yuan in the previous year. However, Q1 2025 showed a negative cash flow of -110 million yuan [2]. - The company expects revenues of 3.665 billion yuan in 2025, with a growth rate of 24.4%, and a projected net profit of 146 million yuan [8][9]. Business Development - The company continues to expand its SaaS offerings, with over 80,000 hotel clients and a renewal rate exceeding 90% [3]. - The Daylight PMS system has been successfully implemented in 629 hotels globally, with significant contracts signed with major hotel groups [4]. - The company is also enhancing its retail business through the acquisition of minority stakes in software firms, which is expected to strengthen its market position in retail management solutions [6]. Future Projections - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 3.665 billion yuan, 4.576 billion yuan, and 5.720 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding PS ratios of 6X, 5X, and 4X [7][8]. - The net profit is expected to recover significantly, reaching 579 million yuan by 2027, with a net profit margin improving over the years [9].