Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a GAAP net income of $20.8 million for Q2 2025, which included a $3.36 million gain from the sale of a branch and various acquisition-related expenses [10][19] - The core net income, excluding non-core items, was $19.5 million, translating to an EPS of $0.66 [10][19] - The return on average assets (ROAA) was maintained at 1% [5] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total loans held for investment increased by 4.5% annualized, amounting to an increase of $66.7 million from Q1 [12] - New loan production was $432 million, with significant growth in commercial and industrial (C&I) loans and commercial real estate (CRE) loans, which increased by $98.8 million and $61.6 million respectively [12] - Total deposits decreased by $38.5 million, primarily due to a net decrease in interest-bearing deposits [13] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The weighted average cost of deposits decreased to 2.62%, down six basis points from the previous quarter [17] - Non-interest bearing deposits increased by $102 million or 7.8% on a linked quarter basis [14] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on maintaining a diversified loan portfolio while reducing concentration risk, particularly in construction loans [43] - A partnership with Progressive Bank, a $750 million community bank, was announced, which is expected to enhance earnings accretion [7][8] - The company is committed to improving operational efficiency through a core processing system upgrade, which is anticipated to facilitate future growth [6][54] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's ability to navigate through current credit challenges, with a focus on resolving non-performing loans [21][30] - The sentiment in the market is improving, with increased loan demand and a more optimistic outlook for the remainder of the year [70] Other Important Information - The company achieved a tangible book value growth of almost 15% annualized [5] - The net charge-offs remained low at 0.01%, indicating strong asset quality management [8] Q&A Session Summary Question: Excess liquidity related to core conversion - Management indicated that excess liquidity will be maintained until the core conversion with Oakwood is completed [26][27] Question: Credit migration and reserves - Management confirmed that the increase in non-performing loans (NPLs) was due to migration from substandard to non-accrual, with adequate reserves in place [28][29] Question: Expense outlook - The company expects a modest increase in core expenses in Q3, with a run rate in the low $50 million range [36] Question: Loan growth outlook - Management anticipates mid-single-digit loan growth for the remainder of the year, with a focus on maintaining discipline in lending practices [41][43] Question: Fee income growth - The company is optimistic about growth in fee income from SBA loan services and derivatives, with expectations for continued momentum [72][75]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The economic return for the quarter was negative 4.8%, consisting of a $0.34 dividend per common share and a $0.76 decline in book value per common share [7] - The debt to equity ratio decreased from 7.1x at the end of March to 6.5x at the end of June, indicating a more defensive posture due to elevated near-term uncertainty [7] - As of July 18, 2025, the estimated book value per common share is between $7.99 and $8.31, reflecting a slight recovery in performance [8][25] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The Agency RMBS portfolio decreased by 15% quarter over quarter as the company managed risk amid trade policy uncertainty [18] - The allocation to Agency CMBS increased from 15% at the end of Q1 to just over 17% as of June 30, 2025, due to the decline in the Agency RMBS portfolio [20] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Interest rates declined across the front end of the Treasury yield curve during Q2, while long-term rates increased, reflecting expectations for accommodative policy from the FOMC [6][11] - The two-year Treasury yield declined by 16 basis points, while the thirty-year yield increased by 20 basis points, leading to the steepest two-thirty spread in nearly 3.5 years [11][12] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company maintains a cautious near-term outlook but is optimistic about the long-term demand for Agency mortgages due to attractive valuations and stabilization in interest rate volatility [8][25] - The focus remains on specified pools with predictable prepayment behavior, particularly in lower loan balance collateral [18] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that financial conditions were volatile in Q2 but ended modestly accommodative, with expectations for two rate cuts by year-end and additional cuts in 2026 [5][25] - The company believes that further easing of monetary policy will lead to a steeper yield curve and a decline in interest rate volatility, supporting long-term demand for agency mortgages [25] Other Important Information - The company’s liquidity position is strong, providing a cushion for potential market stress while allowing for capital deployment as the investment environment improves [25] - The financing market for Agency CMBS remains robust, with no concerns about deterioration during a widening event [62] Q&A Session Summary Question: How does the company view the relative risk versus reward for high coupon RMBS? - The company believes that spreads reflect the risk accurately and has reduced exposure to higher coupon RMBS due to their sensitivity to interest rate volatility [29][30] Question: What is the company's comfort level on leverage? - The company is comfortable with its current leverage, which is lower than in Q1, and does not feel the need to increase leverage to meet return goals [33][34] Question: What is the outlook for swap spreads and the mix of hedges? - The company anticipates that swap spreads will widen, which would be beneficial, and is currently at maximum allocation to interest rate swaps [37][38] Question: What are the views on core earnings and dividends? - The company expects ROEs to remain attractive, supporting the current dividend without significant changes in the near term [41][45] Question: How does the company feel about CMBS spreads when the Fed cuts rates? - The company is comfortable with the financing market for Agency CMBS and expects spreads to tighten as the Fed cuts rates [60][62]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported net income of $22.6 million or $1.39 per diluted share for Q2 2025, compared to $18.8 million or $1.17 per diluted share for Q2 2024, reflecting a strong year-over-year growth [13] - Net income for the first half of 2025 totaled $42.2 million or $2.6 per diluted share, compared to $40.3 million or $2.5 per diluted share for the same period in 2024 [13] - Interest income on loans increased by $3.1 million during Q2 2025 compared to the prior year, driven by strong loan growth [15] - Average loans grew to $4.7 billion in Q2 2025, a nearly 7% increase from $4.4 billion in Q2 2024 [14] - The net interest margin declined by 14 basis points in 2025 compared to Q2 2024, impacted by a 100 basis point decline in the federal funds rate [17] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Mortgage banking income increased by 23.4% in 2025 compared to 2024, with a significant reduction of $50 million in residential mortgages on the balance sheet [6][8] - Service charges on accounts grew by 18.1%, reflecting growth in the deposit base and increased activity levels [8] - Payroll services revenue increased by 15.2%, indicating a successful high-service model [8] - Credit and debit card income grew by 3.7%, while interest rate swap income recovered significantly in Q2 2025 compared to Q1 2025 [9] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company experienced a 13% increase in local deposits as of June 30, 2025, compared to the same date in 2024, which helped reduce the loan-to-deposit ratio from 107% to just under 100% [9] - The strategic partnership with Eastern Michigan Bank is expected to enhance deposit gathering activities and provide entry into new markets [10] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company announced a strategic partnership with Eastern Michigan Bank, which is expected to provide cost savings and enhance balance sheet liquidity [10][11] - The transition to a new core provider, Jack Henry, is scheduled for early 2027, with expected cost savings and improved service delivery [11] - The company aims to grow its loan portfolio, particularly in mortgage banking and larger commercial loans, leveraging the strengths of Eastern Michigan Bank [34] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in navigating the current economic uncertainty, with expectations of loan growth of 1% to 2% in Q3 and 3% to 5% in Q4 2025 [21] - The company is focused on maintaining a strong balance sheet and minimizing the impact of changing interest rates on net interest margin [18] - Management noted that customers continue to report strong results despite the challenging operating environment [8] Other Important Information - The company recorded a provision expense of $1.6 million in Q2 2025, reflecting increased allocations on specific financially stressed lending relationships [18] - The effective tax rate for Q2 2025 was about 13%, significantly lower than the projected rate of 19%, due to the acquisition of transferable energy tax credits [19] - The total risk-based capital ratio was 13.9% as of June 30, 2025, indicating a well-capitalized position [20] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you provide details on cost savings related to the core system change? - Management expects cost savings of approximately $5.5 million, with about 50% realized in 2026 and over 90% in 2027, following the core conversion [28][30] Question: What are the growth opportunities in the Eastern Michigan loan portfolio? - The loan book is of high quality, and management sees opportunities to grow in mortgage banking and larger commercial loans [34] Question: How does the company plan to manage deposit and loan growth? - The company aims for loan growth of 5% to 8% annually and will continue to focus on local deposit growth to support this [42][44] Question: What is the outlook for fee income in the second half of the year? - Management anticipates a step down in fee income from strong Q2 results, particularly in mortgage banking and interest rate swaps [54] Question: What is the expected timing for the closing of the Eastern Michigan Bank acquisition? - The acquisition is expected to close in the back half of Q4 2025, likely around November 30 or year-end, pending regulatory approval [55] Question: Are there additional M&A opportunities on the horizon? - Management remains open to pursuing additional M&A opportunities if they find a partner with similar strengths as Eastern Michigan Bank [64]

Core Viewpoint - Investors often focus on high dividend yields without considering the long-term sustainability of those yields, leading to potential misvaluations in stocks like AGNC Investment Corp, ARMOUR Residential, and Orchid Island Capital [1][2] Company Analysis - AGNC Investment Corp trades at a significant premium to its tangible book value, attracting investors primarily due to its high yield, which is not a thorough research approach [2][18] - The earnings of AGNC appear strong due to existing hedges from low interest rates, but these hedges are expiring, leading to an increase in the cost of funds [3][8] - Even if the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates, AGNC's cost of funds is expected to rise because most of its funding costs are locked in through swaps [4][5] - AGNC's hedge portfolio includes a substantial amount of interest rate swaps, with $47.8 billion in long positions, which are crucial for managing interest expenses [7][8] - The yield on AGNC's assets is increasing, but the cost of funds is rising faster, resulting in a declining net interest spread and lower coverage ratio for dividends compared to two years ago [11][14] Comparative Analysis - ARMOUR Residential and Orchid Island Capital are seen as less favorable compared to AGNC, with similar risks but poorer decision-making and performance [14][19] - Preferred shares and baby bonds in the sector are viewed as more stable investment options, offering yields of 9% to 10% without the volatility associated with common shares [16][17] Market Sentiment - AGNC's current price reflects a large premium over its tangible book value, which is unusual and may indicate potential future declines in share price and dividends [18] - ARMOUR Residential and Orchid Island Capital are trading close to their book values, which is considered expensive given their historical performance and frequent losses [19]