19 November 2025 Xiaomi (1810 HK) Equity Research Report Key takeaways from analyst call. Smartphone: Xiaomi expects pressure on smartphone's profitability in the near term due to the rising memory cost; the company is prioritising ASP improvement over shipment growth, expecting the continuous premiumisation strategy to help alleviate cost pressure. By lowering our gross margin forecast for Xiaomi's 2026e smartphone from 11.8% to 10%, we factor in a 15% memory cost hike. Smart EV: Xiaomi expects to attain i ...

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a strong performance in 3Q25, with adjusted net income exceeding expectations due to smart EV breakeven, investment disposal gains, and other income, while traditional business faces challenges from rising memory prices and IoT competition [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - 3Q25 revenue reached RMB113 billion, representing a 22% year-over-year increase, with gross profit margin (GPM) at 22.9%, up 0.4 percentage points quarter-over-quarter [1] - Adjusted net income for 3Q25 was RMB11.3 billion, beating expectations by 8-13%, primarily driven by investment disposal gains and other income [1] - The smart EV segment achieved its first profitable quarter with an operational profit of RMB0.7 billion and profit per vehicle exceeding RMB6,000 [2] Group 2: Business Segments - Smart EV revenue surged by 36.4% quarter-over-quarter to RMB29 billion, driven by the YU7 SUV, although GPM slightly declined to 25.5% due to initial ramp-up costs [2] - Smartphone revenue decreased by 3% year-over-year to RMB46 billion, with an average selling price (ASP) decline of 4% year-over-year [3] - IoT revenue declined by 29% quarter-over-quarter, primarily due to a 64.8% drop in smart large home appliance sales, but GPM improved to 23.9% [4] - Internet services revenue grew by 11% year-over-year to RMB9.4 billion, driven by a 17% increase in advertising revenue, with GPM at 76.9% [5] Group 3: Future Outlook - The company has adjusted its 2025 smartphone shipment target from 170 million-180 million to 160 million-170 million due to memory price pressures [3] - The company expects internet services revenue to reach RMB37 billion in 2025, reflecting a 10% year-over-year growth [5] - The new target price for the company remains at HK$71.14, with a reiteration of the BUY rating [6]

Core Insights - TELUS Corporation reported third-quarter 2025 adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of C$0.24, a decrease from C$0.28 a year ago, with total operating revenues remaining almost flat at C$5,106 million [1][8] - The company experienced total mobile and fixed customer growth of 288,000 during the quarter, with significant contributions from mobile phone and Internet customer additions [2] Financial Performance - TELUS' operating revenues from contracts with customers were C$5,067 million, slightly up from C$5,042 million in the same period last year [1] - TTech revenues decreased 3% year over year to C$3,877 million, with mobile network revenues declining 1% to C$1,755 million due to lower mobile phone ARPU [5][9] - Fixed data service revenues increased 1% to C$1,185 million, driven by an expanding subscriber base, while fixed voice services revenues fell 7% to C$167 million [9][10] - Health services revenues surged 18% year over year to C$516 million, supported by acquisitions and strong digital health solutions [13] Strategic Developments - TELUS finalized a partnership with La Caisse to form Terrion, enhancing national wireless connectivity and accelerating deleveraging efforts [3] - The company acquired full ownership of TELUS Digital, aiming to drive AI-powered transformation and achieve approximately C$150 million in annual cash synergies [4] Cash Flow and Guidance - TELUS generated C$1,493 million of cash from operating activities, with free cash flow increasing 8% to C$611 million [18] - For 2025, TTech operating revenue is expected to be at the lower end of the 2%-4% target range, with adjusted EBITDA growth projected at 3-5% [20][21]

Core Insights - Cogent Communications' shares fell 28.5% following disappointing Q3 results, with revenue of $241.9 million, a 5.9% year-on-year decline, missing Wall Street forecasts [1] - The company's GAAP loss of $0.87 per share was narrower than expected, but the weak revenue overshadowed this [1] - Cogent also missed expectations for Adjusted EBITDA, raising concerns about its near-term business outlook [1] Market Reaction - The stock has shown significant volatility, with 16 moves greater than 5% in the past year, indicating a strong market reaction to recent news [3] - The recent drop is part of a larger trend, with Cogent's shares down 66.8% year-to-date and trading 70% below its 52-week high of $85.35 [5] Historical Context - The previous notable stock movement occurred 27 days prior, when the stock dropped 3.4% due to trade war fears related to tariffs on Chinese imports, impacting the tech sector significantly [4] - Investors who purchased $1,000 worth of Cogent shares five years ago would now see their investment valued at $473.66 [5]

Core Viewpoint - Chunghwa Telecom reported strong financial results for the third quarter of 2025, with total revenue reaching NT$ 57.92 billion, marking a 4.2% increase year-over-year, driven by growth in its core telecom and ICT services [2][4]. Financial Highlights - Total revenue increased by 4.2% to NT$ 57.92 billion [2][6]. - Consumer Business Group revenue rose by 2.2% to NT$ 35.18 billion [2][7]. - Enterprise Business Group revenue grew by 7.4% to NT$ 18.91 billion [2][8]. - International Business Group revenue decreased by 1.9% to NT$ 2.33 billion [2][9]. - Total operating costs and expenses increased by 3.6% to NT$ 45.82 billion [2][10]. - Operating income increased by 6.4% to NT$ 12.10 billion, with an operating margin of 20.9% [3][11]. - EBITDA rose by 4.0% to NT$ 22.11 billion, with an EBITDA margin of 38.17% [3][12]. - Net income attributable to stockholders increased by 4.8% to NT$ 9.44 billion, with basic earnings per share (EPS) at NT$ 1.22 [3][11]. Business Performance - The core telecom business showed strong performance, with a 5G subscriber share of 38.8% and 5G penetration among smartphone users at 44.7% [4]. - The Consumer Business Group experienced a 2.2% increase in revenue and an 11.4% rise in income before tax [4][7]. - The Enterprise Business Group achieved a 14.5% growth in ICT revenue, driven by IDC, cloud, and cybersecurity services [4][8]. - The US subsidiary reported a remarkable 70% revenue growth, attributed to AI supply chain projects [4]. Strategic Initiatives - Chunghwa Telecom holds Taiwan's largest portfolio of AI-related patents and recently established the InventAI subsidiary to monetize AI innovations [5]. - The cybersecurity subsidiary, CHT Security, completed its public listing, with plans for an upcoming IPO for International Integrated Systems [5]. - The company issued NT$ 3.5 billion in sustainability bonds to support biodiversity and electric vehicle initiatives, reflecting its commitment to ESG goals [5].

Group 1 - Verizon Communications has struggled with stock performance despite offering a high yield and low valuation, remaining flat this year while the overall market has risen [1][6] - The company is set to report its third-quarter earnings on October 29, raising questions about whether this could be a good time to invest in the stock [2] - Historically, Verizon's stock movements on earnings day have been modest, with the stock typically trading between $40 and $45 since 2024 [4] Group 2 - Verizon appointed Dan Schulman, former PayPal CEO, as its new leader on October 6, replacing Hans Vestberg, which led to a significant drop in stock price of over 5% [5][6] - The company's shares have declined by more than 30% over the past five years, prompting speculation about the need for change within the organization [7] - Management expressed confidence in Schulman as the right leader to guide Verizon towards increased customer focus and financial growth [8]

Core Viewpoint - Verizon Communications is facing challenges despite a low valuation and high dividend yield, with recent leadership changes and a flat stock performance amid a rising market [1][2][6]. Group 1: Earnings Report and Stock Performance - Verizon is set to report its third-quarter earnings on October 20, with expectations that the low valuation and recent news may present a buying opportunity [2]. - Historically, Verizon's stock movements on earnings day have been modest, typically remaining within a range of $40 to $45 since 2024 [3]. - The stock has not shown significant volatility in response to earnings reports, although a recent leadership change led to a notable decline of over 5% [5][6]. Group 2: Leadership Change - On October 6, Verizon appointed Dan Schulman, former PayPal CEO, as the new leader, replacing Hans Vestberg [6]. - The unexpected leadership change may have contributed to investor concerns, leading to a decline in stock price as investors anticipate potential troubling results in the upcoming earnings report [7][8]. Group 3: Business Stability and Investment Potential - Despite current struggles, Verizon operates a stable business model with essential products and services, generating strong profit margins of around 13% and offering a dividend yield of just under 7% [9]. - The stock trades at a price-to-earnings multiple of just over 9, significantly lower than the S&P 500 average of more than 25, suggesting potential for long-term investment [10].

Core Viewpoint - Charter Communications, Inc. is facing a securities fraud class action lawsuit due to significant declines in internet and video customers, which were not adequately disclosed to investors, leading to a substantial drop in stock price [1][4][3]. Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, Charter reported a decline of 117,000 internet customers, compared to a decline of about 100,000 in Q2 2024, after adjusting for the Affordable Connectivity Program (ACP) impact [2]. - The company also experienced a decrease of 80,000 total video customers during the same period [2]. Stock Market Reaction - Following the release of the disappointing financial results, Charter's stock price fell by $70.25, or 18.5%, closing at $309.75 per share on July 25, 2025, which negatively impacted investors [3]. Lawsuit Details - The class action lawsuit alleges that Charter's management made materially false and misleading statements regarding the company's business operations and prospects, failing to disclose the adverse effects of the ACP ending on customer retention and revenue [4]. - Specific allegations include the inability to manage the impact of the ACP end, failure to execute broader operational strategies to mitigate customer declines, and misleading statements about the company's operational success and growth trajectory [4].

Core Viewpoint - A securities class action lawsuit has been filed against Charter Communications, Inc. for allegedly making materially false and misleading statements regarding its business operations and the impact of the Affordable Connectivity Program cancellation on its performance [1][2]. Allegations of Misconduct - The lawsuit claims that Charter failed to disclose the significant negative impact of the cancellation of the Affordable Connectivity Program (ACP) on its Internet customer base and revenue [2]. - It is alleged that Charter's management did not effectively address the operational challenges posed by the end of the ACP, leading to greater risks to business plans and earnings growth than previously reported [2]. - The complaint asserts that Charter's positive statements about its operations and growth trajectory were misleading and lacked a reasonable basis [2]. Lead Plaintiff Process - Investors in Charter have until October 14, 2025, to seek appointment as a lead plaintiff representative in the class action [3]. - The lead plaintiff will represent the interests of all class members and select legal counsel to direct the litigation [3]. Firm Background - Kessler Topaz Meltzer & Check, LLP is known for prosecuting class actions and has a reputation for recovering significant amounts for victims of corporate misconduct [4].

Core Viewpoint - A securities class action lawsuit has been filed against Charter Communications, Inc. for allegedly making materially false and misleading statements regarding its business operations and the impact of the Affordable Connectivity Program cancellation on its performance [1][2]. Summary by Sections Lawsuit Details - The lawsuit is on behalf of investors who purchased Charter securities, including call options and sellers of put options, between July 26, 2024, and July 24, 2025 [1]. - The lead plaintiff deadline is set for October 14, 2025 [1]. Allegations Against Defendants - The complaint alleges that Charter's management failed to disclose significant adverse facts about the company's business and operations, particularly regarding the cancellation of the Affordable Connectivity Program (ACP) [2]. - Specific allegations include: - The cancellation of the ACP was a material event that Charter could not manage effectively [2]. - The end of the ACP had a sustained negative impact on Internet customer declines and revenue [2]. - Charter's operational strategies were inadequate to compensate for the effects of the ACP ending [2]. - The decline in Internet customers and the failure of Charter's execution strategy posed greater risks to business plans and earnings growth than reported [2]. - Charter had no reasonable basis for claiming successful operational execution or optimistic long-term growth projections [2]. Lead Plaintiff Process - Investors may seek to be appointed as a lead plaintiff representative of the class by the deadline of October 14, 2025 [3]. - The lead plaintiff will represent all class members in directing the litigation and selecting counsel [3]. Firm Background - Kessler Topaz Meltzer & Check, LLP is known for prosecuting class actions and has recovered billions for victims of corporate misconduct [4].