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Goldman vs. Morgan Stanley: Which Stock Has Stronger Upside?
ZACKS· 2025-11-26 17:05
Core Insights - Global dealmaking activity is increasing, benefiting major investment banks like Goldman Sachs (GS) and Morgan Stanley (MS), raising the question of which stock has more upside potential [1] Strategic Shifts - Goldman Sachs is focusing on its core strengths in investment banking and trading while reducing its consumer banking presence, including divesting its Polish asset management firm and selling various consumer finance units [2][3] - Morgan Stanley is decreasing its reliance on capital markets for income by expanding its wealth and asset management operations through strategic acquisitions, which has diversified its revenue streams [4] Financial Performance - Both firms faced challenges in 2022 and 2023 due to a slowdown in deal activity, but 2024 showed a recovery with increased investment banking revenues [5] - Goldman Sachs reported investment banking fees of $6.8 billion, a 19% year-over-year increase in the first nine months of 2025, while Morgan Stanley's investment banking fees grew 14% in the same period [6][7] Capital Return Strategies - Both banks passed the Federal Reserve's 2025 stress test, allowing them to return excess capital to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases [10] - Morgan Stanley raised its quarterly dividend by 8% to $1.00 per share, while Goldman increased its dividend by 33% to $4 per share, with respective annualized growth rates of 20.35% and 21.85% [11] Stock Performance and Valuation - Over the past three months, Goldman shares increased by 7.6%, while Morgan Stanley shares rose by 11.4%, outperforming the Zacks Investment Bank industry, which was up 3% [14] - Goldman has a trailing 12-month price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 14.78X, compared to Morgan Stanley's 16.11X, indicating a valuation advantage for Goldman [15] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Goldman's 2025 and 2026 earnings suggests year-over-year increases of 20.6% and 12.2%, respectively, while Morgan Stanley's estimates imply increases of 22.7% and 5.8% [15][21] Final Analysis - Morgan Stanley is positioned for more attractive upside due to its strategic focus, earnings growth trajectory, and shareholder-friendly practices, while Goldman Sachs is more sensitive to capital market cycles [22][23]
Jim Cramer Says “Goldman Shouldn’t Do Something That Isn’t Exactly What is Right in Their Sweet Spot”
Yahoo Finance· 2025-11-25 13:15
The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (NYSE:GS) is one of the stocks Jim Cramer recently shed light on. When a caller inquired as to why the company is acquiring a majority stake in talent agency Excel Sports Management, Cramer commented: “You know, I wasn’t crazy about that. It’s funny you mentioned that because someone asked me about it the other day…. Why are they buying it? I said, you know what, I gotta tell you, it didn’t make a lot of sense to me. The stock reversed horribly today. It was up really nice at ...
Which Big Bank Stock is Set to Gain More From Rate Cuts: BAC or WFC?
ZACKS· 2025-11-25 13:06
Key Takeaways Falling rates reshape the banking sector, with BAC and WFC set to grow lending and stabilize margins.BAC aims for 12% earnings growth, stronger NII and expanded branch reach as rate cuts lift lending.WFC seeks deposit growth, selective lending and fee expansion after its asset cap removal aids flexibility.Falling interest rates are reshaping the outlook for major U.S. lenders, with investors looking closely at which banks stand to benefit the most. Bank of America (BAC) and Wells Fargo (WFC) , ...
Mizuho seeks to expand investment banking business in India: report
Yahoo Finance· 2025-11-20 17:11
Core Insights - Mizuho Financial Group is exploring opportunities to expand its investment banking operations in India, leveraging its corporate advisory and finance experience from other regions [1][2] - The bank aims to focus on serving corporate and institutional clients rather than commercial clients, aligning its approach in India with its global strategy [2] - Mizuho has engaged in discussions to acquire a controlling interest in Avendus Capital, an Indian investment bank, although these negotiations are currently paused [2][3] Strategic Goals - Mizuho has set a target to become the leading investment bank in Asia within five years [4] - The acquisition of Greenhill & Co in 2023 is part of Mizuho's strategy to enhance its capabilities in cross-border M&A mandates [4] - The bank aims to transition from being a Japanese bank with international operations to a truly global bank, with nearly 40% of its gross profit coming from its global corporate and investment banking division [5] Leadership and Personnel Development - Suneel Bakhshi, the deputy president of Mizuho, emphasizes the importance of developing skilled personnel to achieve international goals, particularly by increasing the number of non-Japanese staff working abroad [6] - Thomas Hartnett has been appointed as head of fixed income activities across the Americas, Europe, Middle East, and Africa to support Mizuho's ambitions [5]
Is BAC Stock a Buy? A Deep Dive into Its Medium-Term Roadmap
ZACKS· 2025-11-07 14:56
Core Insights - Bank of America (BAC) has announced a medium-term plan focused on sustainable growth, digital scale, cost discipline, and capital efficiency [1][2] Financial Targets - BAC aims for 5-7% annual growth in net interest income (NII), over 12% earnings growth, and a return on tangible common equity (ROTCE) of 16-18% over the next three to five years, while maintaining a Common Equity Tier 1 ratio of 10.5% [2][10] - The medium-term ROTCE target is higher than Citigroup's 10%-11% and comparable to JPMorgan's 17% [3] Growth Strategy - The bank's growth strategy emphasizes responsible growth, balancing risk with investments in technology, capital, and talent, with over $4 billion allocated annually to technology [4][7] - BAC plans to achieve an efficiency ratio of 55-59% and expects loans and deposits to grow at CAGRs of 5% and 4%, respectively [6][10] Digital and Network Expansion - BAC is expanding its financial centers, having opened 300 new centers since 2019, and plans to open additional centers in six new markets by 2028, contributing $18 billion in incremental deposits [16][17] - The bank's digital initiatives aim to enhance client relationships and productivity through AI and data-driven insights [5][19] Shareholder Returns - BAC has a solid liquidity profile with average global liquidity sources totaling $961 billion as of September 30, 2025, and has raised dividends by 8% to 28 cents per share [20][21] - The bank has announced a $40 billion share repurchase plan, reflecting its commitment to shareholder returns [22] Investment Banking Outlook - BAC's investment banking (IB) business is expected to see mid-single-digit CAGR in fees, with a focus on integrating corporate and IB services and leveraging AI for growth [23][24] Asset Quality Concerns - The asset quality of BAC has been weakening, with significant increases in provisions and net charge-offs in recent years, indicating potential challenges ahead [25][26] Stock Performance and Valuation - BAC shares have gained 21.2% this year but have underperformed compared to peers like Citigroup and JPMorgan [27] - The stock is trading at a price-to-tangible book (P/TB) ratio of 1.94X, below the industry average of 3.19X, suggesting it is undervalued [33][35]
Here's Why Goldman Sachs (GS) is a Strong Momentum Stock
ZACKS· 2025-11-05 15:51
Core Insights - Zacks Premium offers various tools for investors to enhance their stock market engagement and confidence [1] - The Zacks Style Scores are designed to complement the Zacks Rank, aiding investors in selecting stocks likely to outperform the market in the short term [2] Zacks Style Scores Overview - Stocks are rated from A to F based on value, growth, and momentum characteristics, with A indicating the highest potential for outperformance [3] - The Style Scores are categorized into four types: Value Score, Growth Score, Momentum Score, and VGM Score [3][4][5][6] Value Score - Focuses on identifying undervalued stocks using financial ratios such as P/E, PEG, Price/Sales, and Price/Cash Flow [3] Growth Score - Concentrates on a company's financial health and future growth potential, analyzing projected and historical earnings, sales, and cash flow [4] Momentum Score - Targets stocks experiencing upward or downward trends, utilizing metrics like one-week price changes and monthly earnings estimate changes [5] VGM Score - Combines all three Style Scores to provide a comprehensive rating, highlighting stocks with attractive value, strong growth forecasts, and promising momentum [6] Zacks Rank Integration - The Zacks Rank leverages earnings estimate revisions to guide investors in building successful portfolios, with 1 (Strong Buy) stocks historically yielding an average annual return of +23.93% since 1988 [7] - The Style Scores assist in narrowing down stock selections among the numerous top-rated stocks available [8] Stock to Watch: Goldman Sachs - Goldman Sachs is rated 3 (Hold) on the Zacks Rank, with a VGM Score of B, indicating moderate potential [11] - The stock has a Momentum Style Score of B, with a recent price increase of 0.2% over the past four weeks [12] - Analysts have raised earnings estimates for fiscal 2025, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate increasing by $2.29 to $48.57 per share, and an average earnings surprise of +21.3% [12]
Jim Cramer Considers “JPMorgan as the Favorite” in the Trillion Dollar Market Cap Race
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-29 15:40
Group 1 - JPMorgan Chase & Co. is recognized as the largest bank in the U.S. with a market capitalization of $832 billion and is expected to be the first bank to reach a trillion-dollar valuation [1] - The bank is led by Jamie Dimon, who is noted for his effective management and the company's strong balance sheet, which enables it to thrive during financial stress [1] - Currently, JPMorgan's stock is considered undervalued, trading at 15 times this year's earnings estimates, with potential for multiple expansion to 17.5 times next year's estimates, indicating a favorable investment opportunity [1] Group 2 - JPMorgan Chase provides a wide range of financial services, including banking, lending, payments, investment management, investment banking, asset management, and advisory solutions [2]
Can JPMorgan's IB Business Momentum Continue Into 2026?
ZACKS· 2025-10-29 13:51
Core Insights - JPMorgan's investment banking business showed strong growth in the first nine months of 2025, with IB fees reaching $7.29 billion, a 12% increase year over year, driven by higher advisory and underwriting activities [2][11] - The recovery in deal activity is attributed to a more favorable interest rate environment, increased private equity transactions, and the reopening of capital markets [3][11] - Looking forward, 2026 is expected to continue this recovery trend, supported by moderating interest rates and a healthy advisory pipeline across various sectors [4][11] Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, JPMorgan's IB fees rose approximately 16% to around $2.6 billion, reflecting improved market sentiment and strong issuance volumes [2][11] - The bank's market share in investment banking stood at 8.7% as of September 30, 2025, benefiting from its extensive client base and product capabilities [3] - Year-to-date, JPMorgan's shares have increased by 27.4%, outperforming the S&P 500 Index's gain of 18.3% [10] Peer Comparison - Morgan Stanley reported IB revenues of $5.21 billion in the first nine months of 2025, a 15% increase from the previous year, driven by a rebound in M&A and financing activity [8] - Goldman Sachs achieved IB fees of $6.76 billion during the same period, marking a 19% year-over-year increase, with significant contributions from advisory revenues and M&A activity [9] Valuation and Earnings Estimates - JPMorgan's current price-to-tangible book (P/TB) ratio is 3.07X, slightly above the industry average [14][18] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate predicts a 1.9% rise in JPMorgan's 2025 earnings and a 3.9% growth in 2026 earnings, with upward revisions in estimates over the past 30 days [15]
UBS Group AG's Impressive Financial Performance in Q3 2025
Financial Modeling Prep· 2025-10-29 13:03
Core Insights - UBS Group AG reported strong third-quarter results with an EPS of $0.76, exceeding estimates of $0.48, and revenue of approximately $12.2 billion, surpassing the forecast of $9.7 billion [2][6] - The company achieved a net profit of $2.5 billion, reflecting a 74% increase from the previous year, driven by effective cost management and strategic acquisitions [2][6] Financial Performance - UBS's investment banking division experienced a 23% revenue increase, reaching $3.2 billion, while wealth management income grew by 5.5% to $6.5 billion [3] - A significant contributor to UBS's performance was a $668 million release from legal provisions, alongside strong client momentum [3] Strategic Moves - The strategic acquisition of Credit Suisse in 2023 resulted in $10 billion in cost savings, achieving over three-quarters of its $13 billion target ahead of schedule [4] - This acquisition has enhanced UBS's financial performance and strengthened client relationships, supported by fees from wealthy clients and increased corporate dealmaking activity [4] Market Metrics - UBS's financial metrics include a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of approximately 19.78, a price-to-sales ratio of about 2.44, and an enterprise value to sales ratio of around 2.84 [5] - The company has an enterprise value to operating cash flow ratio of approximately 0.78, an earnings yield of about 5.05%, and a debt-to-equity ratio of approximately 2.87, indicating financial leverage and investment attractiveness [5]
Wells Fargo's Mike Mayo on Citi: Still have best in class global payments business
Youtube· 2025-10-28 20:02
Core Viewpoint - Mike Mayo from Wells Fargo Securities emphasizes that Citigroup is his top pick due to a significant restructuring that he believes will yield long-term benefits for the company [2][4]. Citigroup - Citigroup is highlighted as having a strong global payments business that processes $5 trillion daily, alongside being a top player in investment banking and credit cards [3]. - Despite a year-to-date stock increase of approximately 44%, Citigroup still faces challenges with low returns and regulatory issues [4][5]. - Mayo expresses concern over CEO Jane Frasier receiving a retention bonus before achieving double-digit returns and resolving regulatory matters [5]. JP Morgan - JP Morgan is noted for its substantial market capitalization, already exceeding $800 billion, with expectations to reach a trillion [6]. - The bank's significant investment in technology, amounting to $18 billion annually, is compared to the total expenses of the fifth largest bank, underscoring its competitive advantage [7]. Bank of America - Bank of America is preparing for its first investor day in 15 years, with expectations to announce new return targets between 16% and 18% [8][9]. - The bank's stock has underperformed compared to peers due to weaker performance in its wealth management business [11]. - Mayo anticipates that the upcoming investor day will help Bank of America re-establish its position as a leading player in the market [12].