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2 Beaten-Down Stocks Primed for a Comeback
The Motley Fool· 2025-10-05 18:30
The market is sleeping on these stocks, but you don't have to.Equity markets are said to be forward looking. However, sometimes they fail to look far enough into the future by reacting too harshly to the challenges some companies face in the present. The good news is that this often creates opportunities for astute investors to pick up shares of great companies with excellent prospects on the dip.And that's precisely what we have with Novo Nordisk (NVO 1.59%) and Vertex Pharmaceuticals (VRTX -1.40%), two le ...
Vertex Pharmaceuticals' Market Outlook and Challenges
Financial Modeling Prep· 2025-09-26 16:04
Stephens initiated coverage on NASDAQ:VERX with an "Overweight" rating, signaling a positive future outlook despite recent setbacks.Vertex faces significant challenges due to trial failures in its drug pipeline, notably in acute pain, diabetes, and neuropathic pain treatments.Despite these hurdles, strong sales from cystic fibrosis (CF) therapies and potential from new product launches suggest room for future growth.Vertex Pharmaceuticals, trading under the symbol NASDAQ:VERX, is a prominent player in the b ...
Why This Biotech Company Could Be a Growth Stock Powerhouse
The Motley Fool· 2025-09-17 09:10
Company Overview - Vertex Pharmaceuticals is a leading biotech company specializing in treatments for cystic fibrosis (CF) and has seen significant revenue growth since introducing CFTR modulators in 2012, with stock climbing approximately 190% over the past decade [5][13] - The company has successfully developed Trikafta, a treatment effective for up to 90% of CF patients, and recently launched Alyftrek, which addresses an additional 31 mutations, enhancing treatment efficacy [7][8] Revenue Drivers - Trikafta continues to be a major revenue driver for Vertex, while Alyftrek is expected to contribute significantly as it gains traction in the market [8] - Vertex has expanded its portfolio with the launch of Casgevy for blood disorders and Journavx for pain management, both of which are anticipated to become substantial revenue sources [9][11] Pipeline and Future Prospects - Vertex has four programs in pivotal development, including candidates for kidney diseases and type 1 diabetes, which are nearing regulatory review [12] - The company is well-positioned to expand its commercialized drugs and treatment areas, supported by the ongoing strength of its CF program, indicating strong potential for future revenue growth [13]
3 Absurdly Cheap Stocks to Buy for the Long Haul
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-12 11:30
Group 1 - The current market presents an opportunity for long-term investors to buy quality stocks at decent prices, particularly those that may not be performing well in the short term but have strong fundamentals [1][2] - Three stocks identified as potentially undervalued are Vertex Pharmaceuticals, United Parcel Service (UPS), and Comcast [2] Group 2 - Vertex Pharmaceuticals has experienced a 2% decline in value this year, with a growth rate of 7% to $5.7 billion in the first half of the year, primarily driven by its cystic fibrosis business [4] - The company has promising long-term growth opportunities, including the rollout of Casgevy for rare blood disorders and the approval of Journavx for pain management, along with access to povetacicept from its acquisition of Alpine Immune Sciences [5][6] - Vertex's stock is trading at a forward P/E of 20, compared to the S&P 500 average of 24, indicating it may be a bargain for long-term investors [6] Group 3 - United Parcel Service (UPS) has seen its stock fall over 30% this year due to a controversial decision to cut shipments with Amazon by 50% to improve profitability [7][9] - Despite recent struggles, UPS's long-term prospects remain promising, and the decision may lead to better margins in the future [9]
This Pharma Billionaire Is Developing A Cannabis Painkiller To Replace Dangerous Opioids
Forbes· 2025-09-12 10:00
Company Overview - Vertanical is a Munich-based pharmaceutical company developing a cannabinoid-based extract, Ver-01, aimed at treating chronic pain, with hopes for approval in the EU and the U.S. [1][4] - The founder, Clemens Fischer, has invested over $250 million of his own money into Vertanical since its establishment in 2017 [4][10]. Product Development - Ver-01 has successfully passed Phase III clinical trials in Germany, showing effectiveness greater than opioid painkillers with fewer side effects and no evidence of addiction [4][6]. - The company is awaiting marketing approval from German and Austrian authorities, with plans to apply for broader EU authorization and to launch Phase III trials in the U.S. by 2026 [4][10]. Market Potential - The U.S. cannabis industry is valued at $32 billion in 2024, but the focus for Vertanical is on the pharmaceutical approval process rather than the recreational market [3][6]. - The market for non-opioid pain relievers is significant, with 125 million opioid prescriptions written in the U.S. in 2023, representing a market worth approximately $20 billion annually [6][7]. Competitive Landscape - Vertanical aims to be the first non-opioid chronic pain treatment worldwide, competing with existing alternatives and addressing the urgent need for effective pain management solutions [5][6]. - Other companies, such as the Stanley Brothers, are also developing cannabis-derived drugs, indicating a growing interest in FDA-approved cannabis medicines [8][9]. Financial Projections - If approved, Ver-01 is expected to achieve blockbuster status, with projected revenues exceeding $2 billion within the first two years on the market [11][12]. - The average cost to bring a new drug through the FDA approval process is around $880 million, with a high failure rate, emphasizing the financial risks involved [10][11].
生物医疗-一图胜千言-A picture is worth a thousand words
2025-09-08 06:23
Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The conference call focuses on the **Biopharma** industry in **North America** with a comprehensive analysis of the **US drug market** as per **IQVIA Rx** data [1][6]. Core Insights - The **Total Prescription Year-over-Year (YoY) growth** for the week ending **August 29, 2025**, was reported at **+1.7%**, a decrease from **+2.3%** the previous week and **+2.6%** over the past 12 weeks [1][2]. - The **rolling 4-week TRx YoY** change was **+2.3%**, while the **rolling 12-week TRx YoY** was **+2.6%** [2]. - The **Extended Unit (EUTRx)** weekly YoY growth was **+2.0%**, indicating stronger performance compared to the overall TRx YoY [2]. Company-Specific Developments - **Bristol Myers Squibb (BMY)**: The drug **Cobenfy** for schizophrenia was approved on **September 26, 2024**. The current weekly scripts are approximately **2,210**, up from **2,160** the previous week. To meet the 2025 consensus expectations, Cobenfy needs to achieve **~129K TRx** at a net price of **~$1,200** [3]. - **Vertex Pharmaceuticals (VRTX)**: The drug **Journavx** for acute pain was approved on **January 30, 2025**. Current scripts are around **7,280**, with hospital scripts making up about **35%** of total scripts. To achieve projected sales of **$78 million**, approximately **349K total scripts** are needed [4]. - **Gilead Sciences (GILD)**: The drug **Yeztugo** was approved on **June 18, 2025**. The latest total TRx is approximately **470**, up from **390** the previous week. Projections for achieving consensus estimates for the second half of 2025 are discussed, with a focus on gross-to-net pricing adjustments [5]. Market Trends and Comparisons - A comparison of launches between **GILD's Yeztugo**, **Descovy**, and **Apretude** is provided, highlighting the uptake among different patient groups and the anticipated growth trajectory [5][9]. - The **GLP-1 franchise** from **Eli Lilly** shows significant growth, with **Mounjaro** and **Zepbound** experiencing **+66%** and **+233%** YoY growth respectively [20][23]. Additional Insights - The call includes a detailed analysis of **key products** and their respective YoY performance, with notable declines in some established drugs like **Humira** (-39%) and growth in others like **Skyrizi** (+44%) [20]. - The **COVID vaccine** tracking and **biosimilar adoption** analysis are also mentioned, indicating ongoing trends in the pharmaceutical landscape [12][28]. Conclusion - The conference call provides a comprehensive overview of the current state of the biopharma industry in North America, highlighting both challenges and opportunities for key players in the market. The data reflects a mixed performance across various drugs, with some experiencing significant growth while others face declines.
Why Is Vertex (VRTX) Up 6.9% Since Last Earnings Report?
ZACKS· 2025-09-03 16:36
Core Insights - Vertex Pharmaceuticals reported strong Q2 2025 earnings, with adjusted earnings of $4.52 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $4.24, and a significant recovery from an adjusted loss of $12.83 per share in the same quarter last year [2][14] - Total revenues reached $2.96 billion, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.89 billion, marking a 12% year-over-year increase driven by higher sales of Trikafta/Kaftrio and contributions from new drugs [3][4] Financial Performance - U.S. revenues rose 14% year over year to $1.85 billion, while international sales increased 8% to $1.12 billion, reflecting strong demand and growth in cystic fibrosis (CF) treatments [4] - Trikafta sales were $2.55 billion, a 4.2% increase year over year, slightly missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.56 billion [5] - New drug Alyftrek generated $156.8 million in sales, showing a significant increase from $53.9 million in Q1 2025, with steady uptake among eligible patient groups [6][7] Product Developments - Casgevy sales surged 114.1% sequentially to $30.4 million, indicating strong adoption and progress in patient treatment [8][9] - Journavx generated $12 million in sales, with over 110,000 prescriptions written since its launch, and positive feedback from physicians and patients [10][11] Cost Management - Adjusted R&D expenses increased 25.9% year over year to $878.1 million, while SG&A expenses rose 28.2% to $359.4 million, reflecting investments in pipeline development and product launches [13] - Adjusted operating income was approximately $1.33 billion, a significant recovery from an adjusted operating loss of $3.15 billion in the previous year [14] Future Guidance - Vertex maintains its total revenue guidance for 2025 in the range of $11.85-$12 billion, indicating an 8% growth at the midpoint, driven by CF franchise growth and new product contributions [15] - Combined adjusted R&D, AIPR&D, and SG&A expense guidance for 2025 is projected between $4.9-$5 billion, with an expected adjusted tax rate of 20.5%-21.5% [16] Shareholder Actions - Vertex announced a new $4 billion share repurchase program, building on an existing $3 billion program, indicating a commitment to returning value to shareholders [17]
3 No-Brainer Stocks to Buy Right Now
The Motley Fool· 2025-08-31 10:45
Core Viewpoint - The article identifies Pfizer, Summit Therapeutics, and Vertex Pharmaceuticals as strong investment opportunities in the pharmaceutical sector, highlighting their growth potential and current market conditions. Group 1: Pfizer - Pfizer is considered a top stock in healthcare due to its low valuation, high yield, and growth prospects, appealing to both dividend and growth investors [3][7] - Despite facing challenges this year related to tariffs and healthcare reform, Pfizer's underlying financials remain solid, with an adjusted EPS guidance increase to between $2.90 and $3.10 from a previous forecast of $2.80 to $3.00 [4] - The company has seen strong growth across major segments, including primary care (12%), specialty care (7%), and oncology (11%), and currently offers a dividend yield of around 6.7% [5] Group 2: Summit Therapeutics - Summit Therapeutics has experienced a significant stock increase of nearly 2,000% over three years, now holding a market cap of $18 billion [8] - The leading candidate, ivonescimab, has shown promising results in clinical trials for non-small cell lung cancer, potentially challenging the market leader, Keytruda [9][10] - Analysts project ivonescimab could generate approximately $4.4 billion in sales by 2030, indicating substantial future growth potential [11] Group 3: Vertex Pharmaceuticals - Vertex Pharmaceuticals' stock has declined over 20% due to recent pipeline setbacks, but it is viewed as a buying opportunity [13] - The company has three new products expected to drive significant sales growth, including Alyftrek for cystic fibrosis and Casgevy for rare blood disorders [14] - Vertex's new pain medication, Journavx, is gaining traction, and the company is investing in its sales and marketing efforts [15] - Vertex's PEG ratio is notably low at 0.58, suggesting it is undervalued relative to its growth prospects [17]
What's Wrong With Vertex Pharmaceuticals Stock?
The Motley Fool· 2025-08-20 08:14
Core Viewpoint - Vertex Pharmaceuticals has experienced a significant decline in its stock price, dropping 17% over the past year, despite previously strong performance and growth potential [1][2]. Financial Performance - In the most recent quarter ending June 30, Vertex reported a revenue increase of over 12% year-over-year, reaching just under $3 billion, and is on track to meet its full-year revenue guidance of around $12 billion, which would represent a 9% increase from the previous year [6]. - The company's net income for the last quarter was $1 billion, equating to a profit margin of 35% [8]. Product Portfolio and Market Position - Vertex is a leader in cystic fibrosis treatments, which account for nearly all of its revenue, but is expanding its portfolio with new products like Journavx and Casgevy [7]. - Journavx, recently launched, generated $12 million in revenue over the last three months, while Casgevy has brought in over $30 million [8]. Recent Developments - The stock price fell sharply following the announcement that VX-993, a treatment for acute pain, did not meet its primary endpoint in a phase 2 trial, leading to the decision not to proceed with further trials [4][5]. - Prior to this news, Vertex's stock was trading around $470 but has since dropped to approximately $396 [5]. Valuation and Investment Potential - Vertex's stock is currently trading at 22 times its projected future earnings, which is considered modest compared to the average S&P 500 stock trading at a forward price-to-earnings multiple of 24 [9]. - Despite the recent setback with VX-993, Vertex is viewed as a potential growth stock due to its expanding drug portfolio and strong profitability [10].
Is This Beaten-Down Stock a Buy on the Dip?
The Motley Fool· 2025-08-15 13:30
Core Viewpoint - Vertex Pharmaceuticals has experienced significant stock declines due to recent clinical and regulatory setbacks, but it may present an attractive investment opportunity for long-term investors [1][2]. Group 1: Recent Developments - Vertex's stock fell over 10% after disappointing regulatory and clinical news, marking the second significant drop this year [1]. - The company's pain treatment drug, Journavx, underperformed in a phase 2 study, leading to a decision to abandon further development for a specific indication [5]. - Another investigational therapy, VX-993, also failed phase 2 studies, contributing to the stock's decline [6]. Group 2: Financial Performance - Despite recent setbacks, Vertex reported a 12% year-over-year revenue increase to $2.96 billion in the second quarter, driven by its cystic fibrosis (CF) business [7]. - The company remains the only provider of drugs targeting the underlying causes of CF, indicating potential for growth in its core franchise [8]. Group 3: Diversification and Pipeline - Vertex has diversified its product lineup, including the approval of Casgevy, a gene-editing therapy for rare blood disorders, and positive launch indications for Journavx [9]. - The company is enrolling patients for phase 3 studies of Journavx in diabetic peripheral neuropathy, indicating ongoing efforts in the pain treatment market [10]. - Vertex has promising pipeline candidates, such as zimislecel for type 1 diabetes, which could be a functional cure, and inaxaplin for APOL-1-mediated kidney disease, a condition lacking approved therapies [11][12].