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Down 25%, Should You Buy the Dip on Bristol Myers Squibb?
The Motley Fool· 2026-02-21 19:00
Core Viewpoint - The pharmaceutical industry is facing significant challenges due to patent expirations, particularly impacting Bristol Myers Squibb, which is experiencing a steep patent cliff that is affecting its stock performance [1][2][4]. Patent Cliff Impact - Bristol Myers Squibb's stock is down over 25% from its peak due to the impending patent expirations of key drugs, leading to a potential decline in sales [2][4]. - The company anticipates a 48.9% drop in Revlimid sales to $2.9 billion and a 61.7% decrease in Sprycel sales to $493 million by 2025 [4]. - The patents for top-selling drugs Eliquis and Opdivo will expire between 2027 and 2029, which together generated $24.4 billion in sales in 2025, approximately half of the company's total revenue [4]. Growth Potential - Excluding Opdivo, Bristol Myers Squibb's growth portfolio saw a 23% increase in sales, reaching $16.3 billion in 2025 [5]. - Cobenfy, a new antipsychotic drug for schizophrenia, is in phase 3 trials for Alzheimer's-related psychosis, with potential annual sales of $3.4 billion by 2030 if approved [5]. Financial Metrics - Bristol Myers Squibb has a market capitalization of $124 billion, with a current stock price of $60.66 and a dividend yield of 4.10% [6][7]. - Analysts project a decline in total sales from $48.2 billion in 2025 to $45.2 billion by the end of 2027, with earnings expected to remain flat in 2026 [7][8]. Investment Considerations - The current dividend is considered safe, costing less than half of the company's earnings, which may provide stability during business contractions [8]. - The stock is trading at less than 10 times this year's earnings estimates, reflecting the market's awareness of the patent cliff [8]. - If Cobenfy succeeds, it could offset the lost sales from Eliquis and Opdivo, potentially leading to business growth and a rise in stock valuation [9].
Merck vs. Bristol Myers: Which Pharma Stock Is a Better Pick in 2026?
ZACKS· 2026-02-20 18:06
Key Takeaways Bristol Myers emerges as the stronger near-term pick over Merck.BMY's new drugs, label expansions and $2B cost-savings plan support 2026 margins.MRK faces Gardasil weakness, Keytruda exclusivity loss and a $2.5B generic headwind.Merck & Co. (MRK) and Bristol Myers Squibb (BMY) are major global drugmakers with expansive, diversified portfolios.Merck stands out for its leadership in oncology, complemented by strong positions in infectious diseases and vaccines.Bristol Myers, meanwhile, concentra ...
Cramer is looking to nibble on a software stock and bail on a health-care name
CNBC· 2026-02-18 17:00
Core Insights - Stocks increased on Wednesday, primarily driven by Big Tech, with Nvidia shares rising 2% following a multiyear partnership with Meta for data center chip usage [1] - WTI crude oil prices rose by 3.4% due to concerns over potential U.S.-Iran hostilities, impacting costs across various sectors [1] - Financial stocks rebounded after a previous decline, with a shift in perception regarding AI's role in enhancing productivity rather than replacing jobs [1] Company-Specific Summaries - Palo Alto Networks experienced a 7.3% decline despite exceeding quarterly expectations, as concerns about AI impacting market share persist; however, the CEO believes AI will ultimately benefit the company [1] - Bristol Myers' stock increased by 27% over three months, driven by the FDA approval of the heart medication Camzyos, but challenges in the Alzheimer's drug trials have raised concerns about future performance [1] - Jim Cramer is considering replacing Bristol Myers with Johnson & Johnson or another high-quality stock due to uncertainties surrounding the company's drug trials [1] Additional Stocks Mentioned - Stocks discussed in the rapid-fire segment included Western Digital, Palantir, Cadence Design Systems, and Analog Devices [1]
Guggenheim Raises its Price Target on Bristol-Myers Squibb Company (BMY) to $72 and Reiterates a Buy Rating
Yahoo Finance· 2026-02-09 13:33
Core Viewpoint - Bristol-Myers Squibb Company (NYSE:BMY) is recognized as one of the 10 Most Profitable Undervalued Stocks to Buy, with multiple firms raising their price targets following positive earnings reports and promising pipeline developments [1][3][5]. Price Target Updates - Guggenheim raised its price target on BMY to $72 from $62, citing a significant increase in the estimated probability of success for key drugs [1]. - Bank of America increased its price target to $68 from $64, highlighting strong fourth-quarter results and positive fiscal 2026 guidance [3]. - Wells Fargo raised its price target to $60 from $55, indicating potential upside if the growth portfolio exceeds current expectations [4]. - Citi lifted its price target to $64 from $60, maintaining a Neutral rating while emphasizing the importance of pipeline execution for future share upside [5]. Financial Performance - Bristol-Myers reported fourth-quarter revenue of $12.5 billion, surpassing the consensus estimate of $12.28 billion, indicating strong performance and momentum in its growth portfolio [6]. Pipeline and Future Outlook - The company is expected to have a data-rich 2026, with multiple pivotal pipeline readouts anticipated in the latter half of the year, which could significantly impact its growth trajectory [6]. - Analysts noted that the positive Phase 3 read-across from Bayer's SSP data helps to mitigate risks associated with the milvexian opportunity [3].
Jim Cramer Discusses Bristol Myers’s (BMY) Cobenfy Drug
Yahoo Finance· 2026-02-07 15:08
Company Overview - Bristol Myers Squibb Company (NYSE:BMY) is one of the largest pharmaceutical companies globally, with shares increasing by 7.5% over the past year and 15.4% year-to-date [2]. Analyst Ratings - Piper Sandler raised its price target for Bristol Myers Squibb to $66 from $62 while maintaining an Overweight rating [2]. - Citi also increased its price target to $60 from $53, keeping a Neutral rating on the shares [2]. Drug Portfolio and Valuation - The company's drug portfolio is a significant factor in its valuation, particularly the loss of exclusivity for the Eliquis blood thinner medication [2]. - Jim Cramer highlighted the company's decision to maintain its dividend and mentioned the schizophrenia drug Cobenfy, indicating a level of trust in the company's future prospects [2][4]. - Cramer noted that Bristol Myers is trading at eight times earnings, which may attract more interest in the current market [4].
Bristol Myers Squibb Q4 Earnings Call Highlights
Yahoo Finance· 2026-02-06 09:27
Core Insights - The company reported flat total revenue of approximately $12.5 billion for Q4 year-over-year, with a growth portfolio revenue increase of 15% to $7.4 billion, representing nearly 60% of total revenue in the quarter [1][5] - The CEO highlighted strong fourth-quarter performance, with the growth portfolio up 15% year-over-year in Q4 and 17% for the full year, nearly offsetting a $4 billion decline in revenue from the legacy portfolio [2][5] - The company anticipates a "data-rich" 2026, expecting top-line registrational readouts for six potential new products and multiple pivotal oncology readouts [3][9] Financial Performance - The company guided for 2026 revenue of $46.0–$47.5 billion and non-GAAP EPS of $6.05–$6.35, forecasting a 12–16% decline in the legacy portfolio due to loss-of-exclusivity [4][13] - Eliquis is expected to grow 10–15% in 2026, but sales are projected to decline by approximately $1.5–$2 billion in 2027 [4][16] - The company ended 2025 with around $11 billion in cash and equivalents, having completed a $10 billion debt paydown ahead of schedule [17] Product Performance - Key products in the growth portfolio include Reblozyl, which exceeded $2 billion, and Opdualag, Breyanzi, and Camzyos, each surpassing $1 billion in 2025 [5] - Opdivo revenue rose 7% in Q4 to nearly $2.7 billion, driven by new indications and market share gains [6] - Breyanzi's Q4 revenue increased by 47%, supported by demand across approved indications, and it received FDA approval for additional cancer types [7] Pipeline and Future Outlook - The company expects significant pipeline activity in 2026, with potential new products including milvexian and admilparant, and anticipates pivotal readouts for Sotyktu and Cobenfy [9][10] - Management is focused on a $2 billion productivity program, having achieved about $1 billion in savings in 2025, with plans to realize the remaining savings in 2026 and 2027 [3][15] - The company is preparing for eight registrational studies expected to commence by year-end, including studies in non-small cell lung cancer [12]
We're increasing our price target on Bristol Myers after earnings and guidance top forecasts
CNBC· 2026-02-05 17:55
Core Viewpoint - Bristol Myers Squibb reported strong fourth quarter results and issued a 2026 forecast that exceeded Wall Street expectations, indicating potential for continued stock momentum in current market conditions [1] Financial Performance - Fourth quarter revenue increased by 1% to $12.5 billion, surpassing the expected $12.28 billion [1] - Earnings per share (EPS) fell 25% year over year to $1.26 but exceeded estimates of $1.12 [1] - Bristol Myers' shares rose over 1.5% despite a down day for the S&P 500, reflecting the stock's defensive nature [1] Product Performance - The new schizophrenia treatment Cobenfy has significant sales potential, although it is still in early stages [1] - Sales of the blood thinner Eliquis, the company's largest drug, increased by 8% annually, despite falling short of expectations [1] - Bristol Myers expects Eliquis sales to grow by 10% to 15% for the full year, contrary to analyst expectations of a 15% decline in 2026 [1] Cost Management - The company achieved a half percentage point of adjusted operating margin expansion due to cost-cutting efforts, with both research-and-development costs and overhead expenses declining year over year [1] - Bristol is on track to deliver approximately $1 billion in cost savings in 2025 and another $1 billion over the next two years [1] Future Outlook - Bristol Myers provided 2026 revenue guidance of $46 billion to $47.5 billion, better than the $44.16 billion expected [1] - Gross margin is projected to be 69% to 70%, below the FactSet consensus of 72.3% [1] - Adjusted earnings are expected to be between $6.05 and $6.35 per share, exceeding the $6.02 expected [1] - The company anticipates a busy year of trial readouts, with over 10 late-stage study updates expected, which could bolster investor confidence [1]
Bristol-Myers Squibb(BMY) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2026-02-05 14:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported total revenue in Q4 2025 was approximately $12.5 billion, flat year-over-year, while the growth portfolio revenue increased by 15% to $7.4 billion, representing close to 60% of total revenue in the quarter [14][15] - For the full year, the growth portfolio grew 17%, offsetting a decline of roughly $4 billion in revenue from the legacy portfolio [6][7] - Adjusted diluted earnings per share for Q4 were $1.26, and for the full year, it was $6.15, both figures including a net charge related to in-process R&D and licensing income [20] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Opdivo revenue grew 7% to nearly $2.7 billion in Q4, driven by new indications and share growth in first-line non-small cell lung cancer [15] - Reblozyl delivered 21% growth, reflecting solid uptake across first- and second-line MDS-associated anemia patients [16] - Breyanzi's revenue increased by 47% in Q4, driven by strong demand across its approved indications [16] - Eliquis revenue was nearly $3.5 billion in Q4, an increase of 6%, driven by demand growth and market share gains [16] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company anticipates 2026 revenue in the range of $46 billion to $47.5 billion, reflecting strong performance from the growth portfolio and a projected revenue decline for the legacy portfolio of 12%-16% [12][21] - Eliquis is expected to grow 10%-15% in 2026, driven by global demand growth and a recent price reduction [12] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to deliver industry-leading sustainable growth into the 2030s and beyond, focusing on executing its growth strategy and advancing its pipeline [11][23] - The company plans to introduce more than 10 new medicines and over 30 meaningful launch opportunities by 2030, with a data-rich period expected in 2026 [9][10] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's ability to deliver long-term value for patients and shareholders, emphasizing the importance of executing growth strategies and optimizing cost structures [23] - The company is focused on maintaining a strong say-to-do ratio and embedding this culture into its operations [11] Other Important Information - The company completed its targeted $10 billion debt paydown ahead of schedule and generated strong cash flow from operations of approximately $2 billion in Q4 [20] - The effective tax rate in Q4 was 22.1%, reflecting a one-time non-tax deductible in-process R&D charge related to the Orbital acquisition [19] Q&A Session Summary Question: Insights on pivotal catalysts for 2026 - Management highlighted the potential for over 10 phase III data readouts in 2026, with a focus on products like CELMoDs and Milvexian [25][28] Question: Eliquis dynamics for 2026 - Eliquis is expected to maintain strong performance with a 75% market share in the U.S., supported by recent pricing strategy adjustments [38][39] Question: Update on Milvexian and AFib study - The study is progressing well, with a focus on demonstrating non-inferiority to Eliquis while also aiming for a better bleeding profile [46][66] Question: Cost savings in 2026 - The company achieved over $1 billion in cost savings in 2025 and expects to continue reducing expenses while reinvesting in growth drivers [51][52] Question: Admilparant's hypotension risk - Management indicated that the hypotension risk observed in phase II was well managed in phase III studies, with ongoing monitoring [89]
Bristol-Myers Squibb(BMY) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2026-02-05 14:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Q4 2025, total revenue was approximately $12.5 billion, flat year-over-year, while the growth portfolio revenue increased by 15% to $7.4 billion, representing nearly 60% of total revenue [14][15] - For the full year, the growth portfolio grew 17%, offsetting a decline of roughly $4 billion in revenue from the legacy portfolio [6][7] - Adjusted diluted earnings per share for Q4 were $1.26, and for the full year, it was $6.15, both including a net charge related to in-process R&D and licensing income [20] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Opdivo revenue grew 7% to nearly $2.7 billion in Q4, driven by new indications and share growth in first-line non-small cell lung cancer [15] - Reblozyl achieved 21% growth, reflecting solid uptake across MDS-associated anemia patients [16] - Breyanzi's revenue increased by 47% in Q4, driven by strong demand across its approved indications [16] - Eliquis revenue was nearly $3.5 billion in Q4, up 6%, supported by demand growth and market share gains [16] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The U.S. market for Eliquis saw a 4% revenue increase, contributing to its overall growth [16] - Camzyos revenue grew 57% to $353 million in Q4, benefiting from global demand growth [17] - Sotyktu's global revenue grew 3%, with upcoming PDUFA dates for psoriatic arthritis and phase III readouts for lupus and Sjögren's disease [17] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to deliver industry-leading sustainable growth into the 2030s, focusing on executing its growth strategy and advancing its pipeline [11][23] - A multi-year plan is in place to rewire the company for long-term growth, with expectations to introduce over 10 new medicines and 30 meaningful launch opportunities by 2030 [9][10] - The company is expanding the use of AI to enhance operational efficiency and reinvest strategically in growth [11] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the growth portfolio's ability to drive revenue despite anticipated declines in the legacy portfolio due to ongoing LOE impacts [12] - The company expects 2026 revenue in the range of $46-$47.5 billion, with a projected decline of 12%-16% in the legacy portfolio [12][21] - Management highlighted the importance of maintaining a strong say-to-do ratio and delivering on commitments as part of the company culture [11] Other Important Information - The company completed a targeted $10 billion debt paydown ahead of schedule and generated strong cash flow from operations of approximately $2 billion in Q4 [20] - The effective tax rate for Q4 was 22.1%, reflecting a one-time non-tax deductible in-process R&D charge related to the Orbital acquisition [19] Q&A Session Summary Question: Insights on pivotal catalysts for 2026 - Management highlighted the potential for over 10 phase III data readouts this year, with a focus on products like Milvexian and Admilparant [25][28] Question: Eliquis dynamics for 2026 - Eliquis is expected to grow 10%-15% in 2026, driven by market share gains and pricing strategy adjustments [39] Question: Business development priorities - The company is focused on deepening its presence in existing therapeutic areas while remaining opportunistic for new opportunities [37] Question: Milvexian AFib study updates - The study is progressing well, with a focus on demonstrating non-inferiority to Eliquis and potential benefits in bleeding risks [46] Question: Admilparant's hypotension risk - Management indicated that the hypotension risk is being well managed in the phase three studies, with a focus on higher dosing [89]
Is BMY's Deep Pipeline the Key to Its Next Growth Phase?
ZACKS· 2026-01-22 15:16
Core Insights - Bristol Myers Squibb (BMY) showcased its promising pipeline at the 44th Annual J.P. Morgan Healthcare Conference, emphasizing multi-billion-dollar potential candidates [1][9] Pipeline Candidates - Key pipeline candidates include milvexian (oral factor XIa inhibitor), admilparant (LPA1 antagonist), pumitamig (PD-L1 x VEGF-A bispecific antibody), and iberdomide & mezigdomide (oral CELMoD protein degraders) [1] - Milvexian is being developed in partnership with Johnson & Johnson for atrial fibrillation and secondary stroke prevention, with data expected in 2026 [2] - Admilparant is under evaluation for idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis, with data from the ALOFT-IPF study anticipated later this year [3] - Pumitamig is being assessed for various solid tumor types and has received orphan drug designation for small-cell lung cancer, with eight registrational trials expected to start by year-end [4] - Iberdomide is being studied for relapsed or refractory multiple myeloma, showing significant improvement in minimal residual disease negativity rates in late-stage studies [5] Label Expansion and Market Strategy - BMY is expanding the label for schizophrenia drug Cobenfy, which has shown initial sales of $105 million in the first nine months of 2025, and is being evaluated for Alzheimer's-related psychosis and agitation [6][7] - The successful development of these pipeline assets and label expansions will significantly enhance BMY's portfolio amidst challenges from generic competition affecting legacy products [7] Competitive Landscape - BMY is focused on oncology, competing with major players like Merck and Pfizer, which have established oncology portfolios and are also developing bispecific antibodies targeting PD-1 and VEGF [8][10][12] Financial Performance - BMY shares have increased by 11.3% over the past six months, compared to the industry's growth of 16.3% [14] - The company is trading at a price/earnings ratio of 9.08x forward earnings, which is lower than the large-cap pharma industry's average of 17.74x [16] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 EPS has slightly decreased to $6.48, while the estimate for 2026 has increased [17]