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3月电视面板行情: 短期供需博弈加剧, 面板价格呈结构性分化走势
CINNO Research· 2026-03-10 10:30
Core Viewpoint - The overall price of LCD TV panels has shown an upward trend due to the recovery of domestic and international demand and tight supply conditions in February. The demand is expected to remain supported in March due to pre-stock for the 618 promotion, although supply is becoming more relaxed, leading to a forecast of slight price increases for small and medium-sized panels while larger panels may stabilize in price [3]. Group 1: Price Dynamics - In February, the average prices for various sizes of LCD TV panels were as follows: 32" at $34.0, 43" at $66.0, 50" at $89.0, 55" at $113.0, 65" at $167.0, 75" at $220.0, 85" at $288.0, and 98"/100" at $425.0. In March, prices are expected to increase slightly, with 32" rising to $34.5, 43" to $67.0, 50" to $90.0, 55" to $114.0, and 65" to $168.0, while 75", 85", and 98"/100" remain stable at $220.0, $288.0, and $425.0 respectively [4][6]. Group 2: Market Conditions - The mobile panel market is entering a traditional off-season by January 2026, with brands reducing shipment targets to manage cost pressures, leading to a significant decline in overall demand for mobile panels [5]. - The a-Si panel market is experiencing increased competition due to reduced demand and the release of new production lines, which is likely to result in a continued downward trend in a-Si module prices [5]. - In February, despite some production cuts due to the Spring Festival, the overall capacity utilization rate remained relatively stable at 83.4%, with a year-on-year decrease of about 3.5 percentage points. The G10.5 production line saw a more significant decline, contributing to a tightening effect on supply and supporting a moderate price increase [5].
2月电视面板行情: 春节控产影响下,面板价格预计维持上涨
CINNO Research· 2026-02-24 10:31
Core Viewpoint - The TV panel market is experiencing a short-term demand recovery driven by international sports events and domestic subsidy policies, leading to a moderate price increase for most panel sizes in February, despite a decline in ultra-large panel prices [2][4]. Group 1: Demand Analysis - In January, the demand for TV panels was supported by preparations for international sports events like the World Cup and the continuation of domestic "trade-in" subsidy policies, resulting in a strong consumer market [5]. - Prices for mainstream panel sizes from 32" to 85" showed an upward trend, while ultra-large panel prices continued to decline, although the rate of decline has narrowed significantly [5]. - In February, some brands are preemptively stocking up for new product launches, contributing to sustained demand and price increases for mainstream panel sizes [5]. Group 2: Supply Analysis - Panel manufacturers increased production line utilization rates to meet the concentrated order deliveries, with the global average utilization rate reaching 86.4% in January [6]. - However, due to the Chinese New Year holiday, some production lines implemented production controls, leading to a forecasted decrease in average utilization rates to below 80% in February, with a projected 10.3% decline in panel shipments [7]. - The price forecast for February indicates a general increase of $1 for mainstream panel sizes, while ultra-large panel prices are expected to stabilize at $425 [7].
CINNO Research:短期需求持续回暖 预计多数面板价格将步入上行通道
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2026-01-06 23:49
Core Viewpoint - The panel market is experiencing a short-term demand recovery due to adjustments in U.S. tariff policies and domestic subsidy measures, leading to a stabilization and potential increase in panel prices in January 2026 [1][3]. Demand Side Summary - In late 2022, demand for panels increased as brands prepared for international events like the World Cup, resulting in a narrowing of price declines for sizes 32" to 85" [3]. - The continuation of the domestic subsidy policy for consumer electronics, particularly for energy-efficient products, is expected to support the market and stabilize prices for sizes 32" to 65" in January 2026 [3]. Supply Side Summary - Panel manufacturers are increasing production capacity utilization in response to concentrated orders, with global high-generation line utilization reaching an estimated 82.4% in December 2022, a significant year-on-year increase [4]. - In January 2026, the average utilization rate is expected to remain above 82%, ensuring smooth delivery of current orders and preparing for inventory needs ahead of the Chinese New Year [4]. - Price forecasts for January indicate a general increase of $1 for sizes 32" to 65", while prices for 75" and 85" are expected to stabilize at $218 and $285, respectively [4].
1月电视面板行情: 短期需求持续回暖,预计面板价格稳中有升
CINNO Research· 2026-01-06 23:29
Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the recovery of demand in the TV display panel market due to the impact of U.S. tariff policies and domestic subsidy measures, leading to a stabilization and potential increase in panel prices in early 2023 [5][6]. Demand Side Summary - In late 2022, demand for TV panels increased as brands prepared for international events like the World Cup, resulting in a narrowing of price declines for 32" to 85" panels, while prices for 98"/100" panels continued to decline due to weak demand [6]. - In January 2023, the continuation of the domestic subsidy policy for consumer electronics, particularly for energy-efficient products, is expected to support the market and lead to a gradual price recovery for 32" to 65" panels [6][9]. Supply Side Summary - Panel manufacturers are responding to the increased demand by raising production capacity utilization rates, with global high-generation line utilization reaching an estimated 82.4% in December 2022, a significant year-on-year increase of over 5 percentage points [7]. - In January 2023, the average utilization rate is expected to remain above 82%, driven by the need to fulfill concentrated orders and prepare inventory ahead of the upcoming Chinese New Year [8]. Price Dynamics Summary - In January 2023, the overall price of LCD TV panels is expected to stabilize and rise slightly, with most mainstream sizes projected to increase by $1, while prices for 75" and 85" panels are expected to remain stable at $218 and $285, respectively [9]. - The price for 98"/100" panels is anticipated to decrease further, but the decline is expected to narrow to $5, bringing the price down to $425 [9].
12月电视面板行情: 价格走势分化,中小尺寸企稳大尺寸续跌
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-04 11:25
Core Viewpoint - The LCD TV panel market is experiencing a mixed demand environment, with domestic demand slowing down while overseas markets show resilience due to upcoming sports events and year-end purchases by leading brands [2][9]. Demand Side Summary - Since December, domestic market demand has weakened due to the end of seasonal stocking, while overseas demand is supported by anticipated international sports events and brand purchases [2][9]. - In November, overall demand showed signs of fatigue, with prices for most panel sizes continuing to decline, except for 32" and 43" panels which remained stable [2][9]. - For December, mid-sized panel demand is expected to stabilize due to early procurement by brands for upcoming events, while large-sized panels are anticipated to continue their downward price trend due to weak demand [2][9][10]. Supply Side Summary - In November, the industry saw a mixed approach to capacity control among panel manufacturers, leading to an average utilization rate of approximately 80.5%, a year-on-year increase of 2.5 percentage points [2][9]. - The supply environment remains relatively loose, which has further pressured panel prices, with manufacturers expected to maintain high production levels in December to meet North American market orders [2][9]. Price Trends Summary - Price forecasts for December indicate a divergence in trends: 32" and 43" panels are expected to remain at $32 and $64 respectively, while 50" and 55" panels are projected to stabilize at $86 and $107 [3][10]. - Conversely, prices for 65", 75", and 85" panels are expected to decline slightly by $1-2, reaching $161, $216, and $282 respectively, while the price for 98"/100" panels is anticipated to drop by $10 to $430 due to insufficient demand [3][10].
CINNO Research:12月电视面板价格走势分化 中小尺寸企稳大尺寸续跌
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-12-04 00:09
Core Viewpoint - The panel demand is expected to decline further in November due to the end of peak stocking periods, while supply remains relatively ample, leading to a continued decrease in panel prices. In December, demand in the North American market is gradually recovering, but large-size panel prices are expected to continue their downward trend, while medium and small-size panel prices may stabilize [1]. Demand Summary - Domestic market demand has slowed down since December due to the seasonal end of stocking, while overseas markets show resilience driven by upcoming sports events and year-end procurement by leading brands [3]. - Overall demand in November showed signs of fatigue, with prices for all sizes except 32" and 43" remaining on a downward trend [3]. - In December, some brands are expected to initiate early procurement for international sports events, providing temporary support for medium and small-size panel demand, while large-size panel demand remains weak due to conservative expectations for the first quarter of next year [3]. Supply Summary - In November, the industry saw a mixed approach to capacity control among panel manufacturers, leading to an average utilization rate of approximately 80.5%, which is a year-on-year increase of 2.5 percentage points [4]. - The overall supply environment remains loose, further suppressing panel prices, with LCD TV panel shipments showing a slight increase month-on-month [4]. - In December, major panel manufacturers are expected to maintain high production levels in response to orders from the North American market, with overall utilization rates projected to remain above 80% [4]. Price Summary - December LCD TV panel prices are expected to show differentiation, with 32" and 43" panel prices remaining stable at $32 and $64 respectively [4]. - Prices for 50" and 55" panels are expected to stabilize at $86 and $107, while 65", 75", and 85" panels are projected to decline slightly by $1-2 to $161, $216, and $282 respectively [4]. - The price for 98"/100" large-size panels is expected to drop by $10 to $430 due to insufficient demand [4].
12月电视面板行情: 价格走势分化,中小尺寸企稳大尺寸续跌
CINNO Research· 2025-12-03 23:50
Core Viewpoint - The panel market is experiencing a decline in demand following the end of the peak stocking period, with supply remaining relatively loose, leading to a continued decrease in panel prices [2][5][6]. Demand Analysis - In November, overall demand in the panel market showed signs of fatigue, with prices for most sizes continuing to decline, except for the 32" and 43" panels which remained stable [5][6]. - Entering December, demand for small to medium-sized panels received temporary support due to early procurement by brands in anticipation of international sports events, while large-sized panels continued to face weak demand [5][6]. - The domestic market remains cautious due to unclear policies regarding "national subsidies," leading to conservative stocking expectations for the first quarter of the next year [5][6]. Supply Analysis - In November, the industry saw a rebound in average utilization rates to approximately 80.5%, an increase of 2.5 percentage points year-on-year, as panel manufacturers adjusted production in response to demand fluctuations [6]. - Despite the overall supply environment being relatively loose, major panel manufacturers are expected to maintain high production levels in December to meet orders from the North American market, keeping utilization rates above 80% [6][7]. Price Trends - Price forecasts for December indicate a divergence in the LCD TV panel market, with 32" and 43" panels expected to remain at $32 and $64 respectively, while prices for 50" and 55" panels are projected to stabilize at $86 and $107 [7]. - Larger panels, such as 65", 75", and 85", are anticipated to see slight declines of $1 to $2, with prices expected to reach $161, $216, and $282 respectively; the 98"/100" panels are expected to drop by $10 to $430 due to insufficient demand [7].
CINNO Research:短期内外需求同步走弱 预计11月面板价格将开启下行通道
智通财经网· 2025-11-07 05:52
Group 1 - The overall demand for panels is expected to decline in Q4, with manufacturers stabilizing mainstream size prices through coordinated production control [1] - The impact of domestic subsidy policies on the market is limited, and the easing of US-China tariff tensions may slow down the pre-stocking pace, leading to further weakening of short-term demand [1] - Panel prices are anticipated to enter a downward channel in November due to multiple factors, including the inability to maintain a unified production control rhythm among manufacturers [1] Group 2 - In October, as pre-stocking neared completion, order volumes gradually decreased, resulting in a 7.8% month-on-month decline in LCD TV panel shipments [2] - Major panel manufacturers responded quickly by controlling production capacity, maintaining an average utilization rate of around 75% for high-generation lines [2] - The average utilization rate is expected to remain around 80% in Q4, leading to ongoing supply-demand dynamics despite efforts to stabilize prices [2] Group 3 - In November, the overall demand for LCD TV panels is expected to weaken, with most panel sizes entering a general price decline [2] - Specific price forecasts for November indicate that 32" and 43" panel prices are expected to remain stable at $32 and $64 respectively, while mainstream sizes from 50" to 85" are projected to decline by $2 [2] - Ultra-large size panels (98"/100") are expected to see significant price drops, projected to decrease by $10 to around $440 [2][3]
11月电视面板行情: 短期需求走弱,多规格LCD TV面板价格普降
CINNO Research· 2025-11-07 05:17
Core Viewpoint - The demand for LCD TV panels is expected to weaken in November due to limited impact from domestic subsidy policies and a calming of the US-China tariff situation, leading to a downward trend in panel prices [1][2][3]. Demand Analysis - Overall demand for panels is declining in Q4, with manufacturers stabilizing mainstream size prices through coordinated production control. As of November, brand stocking has nearly concluded, shifting procurement from urgent to cautious [2][3]. - The domestic "trade-in" policy is also nearing its end, and while there may be some pre-stocking for the 2026 World Cup, the easing of US-China trade tensions has reduced the urgency for stocking [3]. - The comprehensive tariff on Chinese TV exports to the US has decreased to approximately 31.4%, further diminishing the need for urgent stocking [3]. Supply Analysis - As stocking winds down, order volumes are decreasing, prompting leading panel manufacturers to adjust production capacity, maintaining an average utilization rate of around 75% [4]. - The G8.5 and G10.5 production lines are primarily responsible for production control, with significant reductions in utilization rates, which has helped stabilize prices for sizes ranging from 32" to 75" [4]. - However, the G8.6 production line has seen weaker production control, leading to continued price declines for larger panels (85" and above) [4]. Price Forecast - In November, the overall demand for LCD TV panels is expected to weaken, with most panel sizes entering a general price decline. Specifically, prices for 32" and 43" panels are projected to remain stable at $32 and $64, respectively, while prices for sizes from 50" to 85" are expected to drop by $2 each [5]. - The largest panels (98"/100") are anticipated to see a more significant price drop of $10, bringing their price down to $440 [5].
10月电视面板行情: 控产成效显现,LCD TV面板价格预计持稳
CINNO Research· 2025-10-10 23:32
Core Viewpoint - The demand for LCD TV panels remains high due to brand manufacturers preparing for the year-end peak season, with panel prices stabilizing as supply and demand strategies align [4][5][6]. Group 1: Market Demand - In Q3, brand manufacturers increased procurement to meet year-end demand, leading to a rise in panel prices, which approached stabilization by September [5][6]. - Despite a forecasted slowdown in demand as inventory adjustments occur, promotional events like "Double Eleven" and "Black Friday" are expected to support demand in October [6][8]. - The overall demand for panels in October is projected to remain stable, with most panel prices expected to hold steady compared to September [8]. Group 2: Supply Side Dynamics - Panel manufacturers increased production capacity utilization to 82% in Q3, a nearly 3% increase from the previous quarter, resulting in a 7.6% year-on-year growth in LCD TV panel shipments [8]. - To address the anticipated demand decline, many panel manufacturers are adjusting production capacity in early October, expecting utilization to drop below 80% [8]. - This production adjustment strategy aims to control inventory and operational costs while alleviating potential supply-demand imbalances in the TV market [8]. Group 3: Price Stability - Price stability is expected for most panel sizes in October, with specific prices remaining unchanged from September: 32" at $32, 43" at $64, 50" at $88, 55" at $110, 65" at $165, and 75" at $221 [4][8]. - However, larger panel sizes like 85" and 98" may experience slight price declines due to insufficient demand, projected to drop to $290 and $455 respectively [8].