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香港交易所(00388.HK)港交所1月跟踪:港股IPO预计延续强劲复苏态势 市场热度大幅提升
Ge Long Hui· 2026-02-17 21:47
Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong stock market showed strong performance in January, with high trading activity expected to continue, leading to anticipated growth in the performance of the Hong Kong Stock Exchange (HKEX) [1][2]. Market Performance - The Hong Kong stock market continued its upward trend, with the Hang Seng Index and Hang Seng Tech Index increasing by 6.9% and 3.7% respectively compared to the end of 2025 [1]. - The average daily trading (ADT) for HKEX in January was HKD 272.3 billion, representing a month-on-month increase of 46.4% and a year-on-year increase of 89.3% [1]. - Northbound trading ADT reached HKD 407.7 billion, with month-on-month and year-on-year increases of 77.5% and 122.6% respectively [1]. - Southbound trading ADT was HKD 121.3 billion, with month-on-month and year-on-year increases of 45.0% and 96.2% respectively [1]. Derivatives Market - The futures average daily volume (ADV) was 658,000 contracts, showing month-on-month and year-on-year increases of 27.3% and 11.9% respectively [1]. - The options ADV was 1,048,000 contracts, with month-on-month and year-on-year increases of 27.4% and 21.3% respectively [1]. - As of the end of January, the ADT for structured products was HKD 22 billion, with month-on-month and year-on-year increases of 47.7% and 91.0% respectively [1]. IPO Market - In January, the IPO scale in the Hong Kong stock market reached HKD 41.7 billion, with month-on-month and year-on-year increases of 58% and 598% respectively [2]. - A total of 13 new stocks were listed in January, with new structured products also seeing significant increases in numbers [2]. Interest Rates - Investment income-related rates for HKEX showed a downward trend, with the 6-month HIBOR at 2.89%, down 0.10 percentage points month-on-month [2]. Macro Environment - Domestic economic indicators showed a decline, with the manufacturing PMI at 49.30%, indicating a contraction [2]. - The U.S. job market showed improvement, with non-farm payrolls increasing by 130,000, which may affect interest rate expectations [2]. Investment Outlook - As of February 9, 2026, the company's PE ratio was 30.86x, indicating a reasonable valuation compared to historical levels [3]. - The company is expected to achieve revenues of HKD 30.1 billion, HKD 35.7 billion, and HKD 38.4 billion for 2025-2027, with corresponding net profits of HKD 17.7 billion, HKD 21.3 billion, and HKD 22.8 billion [3]. - The company is rated as a buy, with expectations of increased market liquidity and valuation due to ongoing policy support for the Hong Kong capital market [3].