Group 1: Market Performance - In August, the Hong Kong stock market experienced an overall increase, with the Hang Seng Index and Hang Seng Tech rising by 25.0% and 27.0% respectively compared to the end of 2024 [1] - The monthly average daily turnover (ADT) for the Hong Kong Stock Exchange reached HKD 279.1 billion, reflecting a month-on-month increase of 6.2% and a year-on-year increase of 192.1% [1] - Northbound trading ADT was HKD 322.8 billion, with month-on-month and year-on-year increases of 45.2% and 204.9% respectively, while southbound trading ADT was HKD 155.2 billion, with increases of 7.4% and 448.3% [1] Group 2: Derivatives Market - In August, the average daily volume (ADV) for futures was 627,000 contracts, showing month-on-month and year-on-year increases of 9.6% and 5.3% respectively [1] - The ADV for options was 962,000 contracts, with month-on-month and year-on-year increases of 2.1% and 34.5% [1] - As of the end of August, the ADT for structured products such as bull and bear certificates and derivative warrants was HKD 17.5 billion, reflecting increases of 11.9% and 58.6% year-on-year [1] Group 3: Initial Public Offerings (IPOs) - In August, there were 6 new IPOs in Hong Kong, with a total scale of HKD 5.4 billion, representing a month-on-month decrease of 73% but a year-on-year increase of 189% [2] - The number of newly listed derivative warrants and bull and bear certificates was 941 and 2,386 respectively, with year-on-year increases of 75% and 40% [2] Group 4: Investment Income and Economic Environment - As of the end of August, the HIBOR rates for 6 months, 1 month, overnight, and the US overnight bank funding rate were 3.27%, 3.30%, 4.00%, and 4.33% respectively, with month-on-month increases across the board [2] - The domestic economic environment showed signs of recovery, with the manufacturing PMI at 49.40%, indicating a slight improvement [3] - The overseas economic outlook suggests a strengthening of interest rate cut expectations, with the Federal Reserve expected to cut rates by 25 basis points in September 2025 [3] Group 5: Valuation and Future Outlook - As of the end of August, the company's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio was 37.02x, positioned at the 52nd percentile historically since 2016, indicating potential value for investors [4] - The company is expected to achieve revenues of HKD 30.3 billion, HKD 33.2 billion, and HKD 35.6 billion for the years 2025 to 2027, with corresponding net profits of HKD 19.4 billion, HKD 20.6 billion, and HKD 22.3 billion [4] - The projected PE ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 29.3x, 27.7x, and 25.4x respectively, suggesting a favorable investment opportunity [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [7] Core Insights - The company's PE ratio as of the end of August is 37.02x, positioned at the 52nd percentile historically since 2016, indicating a certain level of cost-effectiveness for allocation. It is expected that with the continuous enhancement of the mutual access policy in the Hong Kong capital market, liquidity in the Hong Kong stock market will continue to rise, leading to an increase in overall market activity and valuation. The company is projected to achieve revenues and other income of 30.3 billion, 33.2 billion, and 35.6 billion HKD for 2025-2027, with net profits attributable to shareholders of 19.4 billion, 20.6 billion, and 22.3 billion HKD, corresponding to PE valuations of 29.3, 27.7, and 25.4 times respectively [2][50]. Market Environment - The Hong Kong stock market continued its upward trend in August, driven by domestic policy support and expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. The Hang Seng Index and Hang Seng Tech Index increased by 25.0% and 27.0% respectively compared to the end of 2024. The average daily trading (ADT) for Hong Kong stocks in August was 279.1 billion HKD, reflecting a month-on-month increase of 6.2% and a year-on-year increase of 192.1% [10][15]. Business Segments - **Spot Market**: The overall Hong Kong stock market saw significant increases in trading activity, with the ADT for northbound trading reaching 322.8 billion HKD, up 45.2% month-on-month and 204.9% year-on-year. Southbound trading ADT was 155.2 billion HKD, reflecting increases of 7.4% month-on-month and 448.3% year-on-year [8][15]. - **Derivatives Market**: The average daily volume (ADV) for futures was 62.7 thousand contracts, with month-on-month and year-on-year increases of 9.6% and 5.3% respectively. The ADV for options was 96.2 thousand contracts, with increases of 2.1% month-on-month and 34.5% year-on-year [19]. - **Primary Market**: In August, the IPO scale in the Hong Kong stock market decreased month-on-month but increased significantly year-on-year, with a total of 6 new listings raising 5.4 billion HKD, a 73% decrease month-on-month but a 189% increase year-on-year [29][31]. Investment Income - As of the end of August, the HIBOR rates for 6 months, 1 month, overnight, and the US overnight bank funding rate were 3.27%, 3.30%, 4.00%, and 4.33% respectively, showing month-on-month increases but year-on-year declines for most rates [38].

Core Insights - Hong Kong Stock Exchange reported strong financial performance for the first half of 2025, with revenue and other income reaching HKD 14.076 billion, a year-on-year increase of 32.53%, and net profit attributable to shareholders at HKD 8.519 billion, up 39.1% [1] Revenue Breakdown - Revenue from trading and trading system usage fees increased by 49.12%, while listing fees rose by 12.55%, settlement and clearing fees by 48.47%, and custody and agency service fees by 23.25% [1] - Market data fees and investment income also saw growth, with increases of 6.20% and 14.04% respectively, contributing to a diversified revenue stream [1] Market Activity - Significant growth in trading activity was observed, with average daily turnover in the stock market increasing by 122.1% year-on-year, and daily turnover for Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect and Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect rising by 31.6% and 196.0% respectively [2] - Derivatives market trading fees grew by 13.8%, driven by increased activity in stock options and warrants [2] - The commodity market also saw a 3.8% increase in average daily turnover for LME metal contracts, leading to a 5.7% rise in trading fees [2] Listing and Investment Income - The number of new listings in the first half of 2025 reached 44, with fundraising amounts increasing by 716.4%, contributing to a 29.6% rise in listing fees [2] - Investment income from margin and clearing house funds increased by 13.02%, with net investment income rising by 15.87% due to increased fund size and favorable exchange rate movements [3] Future Outlook - The company is expected to benefit from ongoing connectivity policies, with projected revenues of HKD 28.344 billion, HKD 30.343 billion, and HKD 32.226 billion for 2025-2027, alongside net profits of HKD 17.618 billion, HKD 18.876 billion, and HKD 20.046 billion [3] - Corresponding PE ratios are forecasted to be 31.75, 29.63, and 27.90 times for the same period, indicating a positive investment outlook [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Limited (0388.HK) [2][9]. Core Views - The report highlights that the Hong Kong Exchanges has shown strong performance across various business segments, achieving record high mid-year results for 2025. The company reported revenue and other income of HKD 140.76 billion, a year-on-year increase of 32.53%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of HKD 85.19 billion, up 39.1% year-on-year [6][9]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of HKD 140.76 billion, representing a 32.53% increase year-on-year. The net profit attributable to shareholders was HKD 85.19 billion, reflecting a 39.1% year-on-year growth [6][9]. - Revenue breakdown by fee types shows significant growth: trading and trading system usage fees increased by 49.12%, listing fees by 12.55%, settlement and clearing fees by 48.47%, and market data fees by 14.04% [6][9]. Market Activity - The report notes a substantial increase in trading activity across various markets. The average daily turnover for stock securities rose by 122.1%, with the Stock Connect programs showing increases of 31.6% and 196.0% respectively [6][9]. - The derivatives market also saw growth, with trading fees increasing by 13.8% due to heightened activity in stock options and warrants [6][9]. Future Projections - The report projects that from 2025 to 2027, the company will achieve revenues of HKD 283.44 billion, HKD 303.43 billion, and HKD 322.26 billion respectively, with net profits of HKD 176.18 billion, HKD 188.76 billion, and HKD 200.46 billion [2][10]. - The expected price-to-earnings (PE) ratios for these years are 31.75, 29.63, and 27.90 respectively, indicating a positive outlook for the company's valuation [2][10].

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong stock market showed significant growth in July, with high trading activity expected to continue, leading to anticipated performance growth for the Hong Kong Stock Exchange (HKEX) [1][2]. Market Performance - The Hong Kong stock market experienced an overall increase, with the Hang Seng Index and Hang Seng Tech Index rising by 23.5% and 22.0% respectively compared to the end of 2024 [1]. - The monthly average daily turnover (ADT) for HKEX reached HKD 262.9 billion, reflecting a month-on-month increase of 14.2% and a year-on-year increase of 166.6% [1]. - Northbound trading ADT was HKD 222.3 billion, with month-on-month and year-on-year increases of 36.5% and 86.0% respectively, while southbound trading ADT was HKD 144.4 billion, increasing by 19.5% month-on-month and 329.0% year-on-year [1]. Derivatives Market - The derivatives market saw a recovery in options trading, with average daily volume (ADV) for futures at 572,000 contracts, showing a slight decrease of 0.1% month-on-month and 3.7% year-on-year [1]. - Options ADV was 942,000 contracts, with month-on-month and year-on-year increases of 14.8% and 30.6% respectively [1]. IPO Market - The IPO market in Hong Kong saw significant growth, with 9 new stocks listed in July, totaling HKD 19.9 billion, which is a decrease of 34% month-on-month but an increase of 333% year-on-year [2]. - New derivative warrants and bull/bear certificates listed were 850 and 2,271 respectively, with year-on-year increases of 42% and 31%, and month-on-month increases of 11% and 14% [2]. Investment Income - Investment income rates for HKEX showed a decline compared to previous months, with the 6-month HIBOR at 2.27%, down by 0.11 percentage points month-on-month [2]. Macroeconomic Environment - Domestic economic conditions showed a decline in manufacturing activity, with the PMI at 49.30%, indicating contraction [3]. - The overseas environment is characterized by tightening liquidity due to the Federal Reserve's decision to pause interest rate cuts, with expectations of a 25 basis point cut in September 2025 [3]. Valuation and Outlook - As of the end of July, the company's PE ratio was 38.24x, positioned at the 58th percentile historically since 2016, indicating potential value for investors [4]. - Revenue and other income projections for 2025-2027 are HKD 28.4 billion, HKD 31.1 billion, and HKD 33.7 billion respectively, with net profit estimates of HKD 17.7 billion, HKD 18.7 billion, and HKD 20.6 billion, corresponding to PE ratios of 30.9, 29.2, and 26.4 times [4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6] Core Views - The company's PE ratio as of the end of July is 38.24x, which is at the 58th percentile historically since 2016, indicating a certain level of value for allocation. It is expected that with the continuous enhancement of the mutual access policy in the Hong Kong capital market, liquidity in the Hong Kong stock market will continue to rise, leading to an increase in overall market activity and valuation. The company is projected to achieve revenues and other income of 28.4 billion, 31.1 billion, and 33.7 billion HKD for 2025-2027, with net profits attributable to shareholders of 17.7 billion, 18.7 billion, and 20.6 billion HKD, corresponding to PE valuations of 30.9, 29.2, and 26.4 times respectively [2][52] Summary by Sections Market Performance - In July, the Hong Kong stock market continued its upward trend, supported by domestic policy drivers. The Hang Seng Index and Hang Seng Tech Index increased by 23.5% and 22.0% respectively compared to the end of 2024. The monthly average daily trading (ADT) for the Hong Kong Stock Exchange was 262.9 billion HKD, reflecting a month-on-month increase of 14.2% and a year-on-year increase of 166.6% [7][10][15] Derivatives Market - In July, the average daily volume (ADV) for futures was 572,000 contracts, showing a slight decrease of 0.1% month-on-month and 3.7% year-on-year. Conversely, the ADV for options increased by 14.8% month-on-month and 30.6% year-on-year, reaching 942,000 contracts. The ADT for structured products was 15.7 billion HKD, with a month-on-month decrease of 2.4% but a year-on-year increase of 48.0% [19][25] Primary Market - The IPO scale in the Hong Kong stock market saw a significant year-on-year increase of 333% in July, with 9 new listings totaling 19.9 billion HKD. However, this represented a month-on-month decrease of 34%. The cumulative number of new listings from January to July was 52, with a total scale of 128.7 billion HKD, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 610% [30][31] Investment Income - As of the end of July, the HIBOR rates for 6 months, 1 month, and overnight were 2.27%, 1.03%, and 0.19% respectively, showing a mixed trend with some rates declining year-on-year. The U.S. overnight bank funding rate remained stable at 4.33% [41][52] Macroeconomic Environment - The domestic economic sentiment has declined, with the manufacturing PMI for July at 49.30%, indicating a contraction. The overseas liquidity is tightening due to the Federal Reserve's pause on interest rate cuts, with expectations of a 25 basis point cut in September 2025 [44][46]

Group 1 - The China Securities Banking Index fell by 0.5%, the China Securities Full Index Securities Company Index decreased by 2.3%, the CSI 300 Non-Bank Financial Index dropped by 2.8%, and the Hong Kong Securities Index declined by 3.5% [1] - The Hong Kong Securities ETF (513090) has seen over 10 billion in trading volume for 18 consecutive trading days, with a monthly increase of over 13 billion, reaching a historical high of 23.6 billion [1] - Changjiang Securities anticipates that the continuous enhancement of the mutual market access policy will boost liquidity in the Hong Kong capital market, leading to increased overall market activity [1] Group 2 - The Securities Insurance ETF tracks the CSI 300 Non-Bank Financial Index, which consists of 27 stocks from the CSI 300 Index related to capital markets, other financial services, and the insurance industry, with the insurance sector accounting for over 35% [4] - The Hong Kong Securities ETF follows the China Securities Hong Kong Securities Investment Theme Index [5] - The index includes stocks from asset management, custodial banks, investment banking, and brokerage industries within the scope of the Hong Kong Stock Connect, as well as the Hong Kong Stock Exchange [6]

Group 1 - The Hong Kong securities index rose by 0.4%, with a year-to-date increase of over 50% [1] - The Hong Kong Securities ETF (513090) has seen net inflows for 13 consecutive trading days, reaching a record size of over 21 billion [1] - Changjiang Securities expects that the continuous enhancement of the mutual market access policy will boost liquidity in the Hong Kong capital market, leading to increased market activity [1] Group 2 - The CSI All Share Securities Companies Index increased by 0.3%, while the CSI Bank Index decreased by 1.2% [1] - The non-bank financial index of the CSI 300 fell by 0.3% [1] - The market performance of various ETFs tracking different financial indices shows mixed results, with the securities ETF reflecting a valuation of 1.6 times its net asset value [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [2][6]. Core Insights - As of the end of June, the company's PE ratio stands at 37.51x, which is at the 55th percentile historically since 2016, indicating a certain level of investment value. It is expected that with the continued enhancement of the mutual access policy in the Hong Kong capital market, liquidity in the Hong Kong stock market will continue to rise, leading to an increase in overall market activity and valuation. The company is projected to achieve revenues and other income of HKD 27.4 billion, 29.9 billion, and 32.4 billion for 2025-2027, with net profits attributable to shareholders of HKD 16.8 billion, 17.6 billion, and 19.4 billion, corresponding to PE valuations of 32.2x, 30.8x, and 27.9x respectively [2][48]. Market Environment - The Hong Kong stock market continued its upward trend in June, driven by domestic policy support, with the Hang Seng Index and Hang Seng Tech Index rising by 20.0% and 18.7% respectively compared to the end of 2024. The average daily trading volume (ADT) for the Hong Kong Stock Exchange in June was HKD 230.2 billion, reflecting a month-on-month increase of 9.4% and a year-on-year increase of 106.9% [11][17]. - The IPO scale in June saw 15 new stocks listed, totaling HKD 27.9 billion, which is a significant year-on-year increase of 606% despite a month-on-month decrease of 51% [27][28]. Business Segments - **Spot Market**: The overall Hong Kong stock market showed high trading activity, with the ADT for the Hong Kong stock market reaching HKD 230.2 billion in June, up 9.4% month-on-month and 106.9% year-on-year. Northbound trading ADT was HKD 162.9 billion, and southbound trading ADT was HKD 120.8 billion, reflecting increases of 7.5% and 27.9% month-on-month respectively [8][17]. - **Derivatives Market**: In June, the average daily volume (ADV) for futures was 57.3 million contracts, down 2.4% month-on-month and 8.4% year-on-year, while the ADV for options was 82.0 million contracts, up 1.9% month-on-month and 9.7% year-on-year [21]. - **Commodity Market**: The LME daily average trading volume in June was 749,000 contracts, reflecting increases of 6.0% month-on-month and 11.2% year-on-year [24]. - **Primary Market**: The number of new listings in the Hong Kong stock market for the first half of 2025 reached 43, with a total scale of HKD 1,067 billion, representing a year-on-year increase of 688.6% [27]. Investment Income - As of the end of June, the HIBOR rates for 6 months, 1 month, and overnight were 2.38%, 0.73%, and 0.03% respectively, showing a month-on-month increase while year-on-year rates have decreased [36].

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong stock market showed strong performance in May, with active trading and positive growth expectations for the Hong Kong Stock Exchange's (HKEX) earnings [1][2] Market Performance - The Hang Seng Index and Hang Seng Tech Index increased by 16.1% and 15.7% respectively compared to the end of 2024 [1] - The monthly average daily turnover (ADT) for HKEX was HKD 210.3 billion, down 23.4% month-on-month but up 50.4% year-on-year [1] - The monthly ADT for the Shanghai-Shenzhen Stock Connect was HKD 906.13 billion, down 6.9% month-on-month but up 22.4% year-on-year [1] - The monthly ADT for the Hong Kong Stock Connect was HKD 147.42 billion, down 22.9% month-on-month but up 50.1% year-on-year [1] Derivatives and Commodity Markets - In the derivatives market, both futures and options trading volumes decreased month-on-month and year-on-year [1] - The average daily volume (ADV) for futures was 586,000 contracts, down 30.3% month-on-month and 14.6% year-on-year [1] - The ADV for options was 805,000 contracts, down 19.8% month-on-month and 23.7% year-on-year [1] - The London Metal Exchange (LME) saw a decrease in trading volume, with a daily average of 707,000 contracts, down 19.7% month-on-month and 8.5% year-on-year [1] IPO Market - The Hong Kong IPO market experienced significant growth, with 10 new listings in May totaling HKD 55.8 billion, representing increases of 1830.4% month-on-month and 3150.6% year-on-year [1] Investment Income - Investment income rates for HKEX showed a decline month-on-month and year-on-year as of the end of May [1] - The 6-month HIBOR was 2.16%, down 1.86 percentage points month-on-month and down 2.66 percentage points year-on-year [1] - The 1-month HIBOR was 0.59%, down 3.37 percentage points month-on-month and down 3.89 percentage points year-on-year [1] - The overnight HIBOR was 0.03%, down 4.47 percentage points month-on-month and down 4.44 percentage points year-on-year [1] - The US overnight bank funding rate was 4.33%, unchanged month-on-month [1] Macroeconomic Environment - Domestic economic conditions showed signs of recovery, with the manufacturing PMI at 49.50%, up 0.50 percentage points month-on-month [1] - New orders and new export orders indices were at 49.8% and 47.5%, respectively, with increases of 0.60 percentage points and 2.80 percentage points month-on-month [1] - The manufacturing production index was at 50.7%, up 0.90 percentage points month-on-month [1] - Internationally, the Federal Reserve maintained its interest rate at 4.25%-4.50%, with expectations for rate cuts being postponed [1][2] Investment Outlook - As of the end of May, the company's PE ratio was 35.45x, positioned at the 44th percentile historically since 2016, indicating potential value for investment [2] - The company is expected to achieve revenues of HKD 29.8 billion, HKD 31.0 billion, and HKD 32.5 billion for 2025-2027, with net profits of HKD 17.9 billion, HKD 18.6 billion, and HKD 19.6 billion respectively [2] - Corresponding PE valuations are projected to be 29.2x, 28.0x, and 26.6x for the same period, suggesting a "buy" rating [2]