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SMCI vs. VRT: Which Stock Has an Edge in the Liquid Cooling Space?
ZACKS· 2025-07-11 15:46
Industry Overview - The data center cooling market is expected to grow at a CAGR of 12.8% from 2023 to 2030, driven by the demand for coolant architectures for AI and high-performance computing [1]. Company Analysis: Super Micro Computer (SMCI) - SMCI's server and storage revenues are significantly supported by its direct liquid cooling products, achieving a production volume of over 2000 DLC racks per month [3]. - The company launched DLC-2 technology in May 2025, which offers features such as water and space savings, noise reduction, and a potential reduction in electricity costs by up to 40% [4]. - SMCI is currently facing challenges, including delayed purchasing decisions from customers and margin contraction due to increased competition from established players like HPE and Dell Technologies [5]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for SMCI's fiscal 2025 earnings is $2.07 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 6.3% [5][6]. Company Analysis: Vertiv (VRT) - Vertiv has a robust thermal management portfolio, providing various cooling solutions that optimize performance and power utilization [7]. - The company is projected to achieve 24.91% EPS growth in FY25, driven by strong demand for AI cooling solutions [7][10]. - Vertiv continues to invest in research and capacity expansion to meet the growing needs of AI infrastructure, including the development of high-density cooling solutions for NVIDIA's platforms [9]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Vertiv's fiscal 2025 revenues is $9.52 billion, indicating year-over-year growth of 18.8%, with earnings estimated at $3.56 per share, reflecting a growth of 24.91% [10][11]. Stock Performance and Valuation - Year-to-date, shares of SMCI have increased by 65.2%, while VRT shares have gained 6.3% [12]. - SMCI is trading at a forward Price to Sales ratio of 1.01X, above its median of 0.83X, whereas VRT is trading at a forward sales multiple of 4.5X, higher than its median of 4.25X [13]. Conclusion - Both SMCI and VRT are benefiting from the growth in cooling technology due to AI workloads and high-performance computing [16]. - However, VRT's financial metrics suggest it is a stronger investment choice compared to SMCI, which currently holds a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) versus VRT's 2 (Buy) [16].
高盛:领益智造-2025 年第二季度前瞻-收入同比增 23%,毛利率回升;可折叠手机、服务器、人工智能眼镜组件业务扩张;买入评级
Goldman Sachs· 2025-07-11 01:13
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Lingyi, with a 12-month price target of Rmb11.40, indicating an upside potential of 28.1% from the current price of Rmb8.90 [18][13]. Core Insights - Lingyi's revenues are expected to grow by 23% year-over-year in 2Q25, reaching Rmb11.5 billion, driven by new project contributions and improved seasonality in the second half of 2025 [1][3]. - The gross margin (GM) is projected to improve to 15.7% in 2Q25, up from 15.2% in 1Q25, although still below the 2022/2023 levels of 20.7% and 19.9% respectively [1][3]. - Lingyi's diversification into foldable phones, servers, and AI/AR glasses components is expected to increase revenue contributions to 14% and 18% in 2025 and 2026 respectively [1][2]. Revenue and Earnings Estimates - Revenue estimates for 2025 remain unchanged at Rmb54.5 billion, with net income expected to grow by 43% year-over-year [3][9]. - Earnings revisions indicate a decrease in net income estimates by 11% for 2025, primarily due to lower GM from the automotive and server segments [3][7]. - The report anticipates a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 21% in revenues from 2025 to 2027 [3][9]. Financial Metrics - The report projects gross margins to expand from 15.8% in 2024 to 16.6% and 18.2% in 2025 and 2026 respectively [3][11]. - Operating profit margins (OPM) are expected to improve from 6.0% in 2025 to 8.1% in 2027 [3][11]. - The net margin is forecasted to increase to 4.6% and 5.7% in 2025 and 2026 respectively [3][11]. Market Position and Competitive Landscape - Lingyi is expanding its business in foldable phones, servers, robotics, and AI/AR glasses components to reduce concentration risk and capture a larger market share [2][3]. - The company has established partnerships to provide comprehensive manufacturing solutions, which are expected to lower the bill of materials (BOM) costs for clients [2][3]. Valuation - The target price of Rmb11.4 is based on a target P/E multiple of 21.2x 2026E EPS, reflecting a positive correlation between P/E and EPS growth among peers [11][17]. - Lingyi is currently trading at a P/E of 17x for 2026E, which is considered attractive [13][17].
Vertiv Moves Above 50 and 200-Day SMAs: Is the Stock a Smart Buy Now?
ZACKS· 2025-07-01 17:06
Core Insights - Vertiv (VRT) is showing strong upward momentum, trading above its 200-day and 50-day simple moving averages, indicating price stability and a long-term bullish trend [2][5] - The stock has gained 13% year-to-date, outperforming the broader Zacks Computer and Technology sector's increase of 6.1% and its closest peer, Eaton (ETN), which gained 7.6% [6] - Vertiv's extensive product portfolio and strong order growth, with organic orders increasing approximately 20% and a backlog of $7.9 billion, highlight its robust market position [7][9] Financial Performance - For 2025, Vertiv raised its revenue outlook to between $9.325 billion and $9.575 billion, with expected organic net sales growth of 16.5% to 19.5% [15] - The second-quarter 2025 revenue is projected to be between $2.325 billion and $2.375 billion, with organic net sales expected to increase by 19% to 23% [16] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Vertiv's 2025 revenues is pegged at $9.51 billion, suggesting an 18.71% year-over-year growth [18] Strategic Partnerships - Vertiv's partnership with NVIDIA is a key catalyst, enhancing its AI-ready cooling and power solutions for next-generation data centers [11][12] - The collaboration with Tecogen to offer advanced natural gas-powered chiller technology further strengthens Vertiv's portfolio [13][14] Valuation Metrics - Vertiv is currently trading at a trailing 12-month Price/Book ratio of 18.35X, significantly higher than the broader sector's 10.12X and Eaton's 7.53X [20] - Despite being overvalued, the company's strong portfolio and partner base justify its premium valuation [21]
高盛:台湾 ODM 品牌_3 个月前瞻_ASIC 人工智能服务器呈上升趋势;2025 年下半年机架级模型转换;关税拉动带来高基数
Goldman Sachs· 2025-07-01 02:24
Investment Rating - Buy: Hon Hai, Wiwynn, Wistron, Gigabyte, ASUS, AVC; Neutral: Quanta, Inventec [8] Core Insights - The average year-over-year revenue growth for ten companies in the AI servers and AI PCs supply chain is expected to be +37% in June 2025, +27% in July 2025, and +18% in August 2025, driven by the ramp-up of AI servers and new product launches [1] - Rack-level AI servers are transitioning models, which may impact revenue growth in the second half of 2025 [1] - Geopolitical uncertainties are causing changes in end market demand, leading to a slower month-over-month growth forecast of -6% in June, -8% in July, and +2% in August 2025 [1] Company Summaries Hon Hai - Expected 2Q25 revenues to grow 17% YoY to NT$1,813 billion, driven by AI server demand and tariff-related consumption pull-ins [13] - May revenues were 6% below estimates, affected by slower customer pull-in momentum and negative exchange rate impacts [13] - Maintain Buy rating with a target price of NT$242 based on a 14.9x 2026E P/E multiple [15] Quanta - Anticipated 2Q25 revenues to grow 57% YoY to NT$488 billion, supported by AI server ramp-up [20] - May revenues were 13% below estimates, with a decline in notebook shipments [20] - Maintain Neutral rating with a target price of NT$273 based on a 12.8x 2026E P/E [23] Wiwynn - Expected 2Q25 revenues to grow 161% YoY to NT$202 billion, driven by strong demand for ASIC AI servers [38] - May revenues were 34% higher than estimates, reflecting continued strong demand [39] - Maintain Buy rating with a target price of NT$3,838 based on a 20.5x 2026E P/E [42] Wistron - Expected June revenues to grow 123% YoY to NT$198 billion, driven by AI server demand [47] - Strong revenue in May, up 162% YoY, supported by new product cycles [44] - Maintain Buy rating with a target price of NT$152 based on a 14.8x 2026E P/E [49] Gigabyte - Expected 2Q25 revenues to grow 32% YoY to NT$97 billion, supported by AI servers and VGAs [50] - May revenues were 79% above estimates, reflecting tariff-related pull-ins [51] - Maintain Buy rating with a target price of NT$344 based on a 14.0x 2026E P/E [55] AVC - Expected 2Q25 revenues to grow 67% YoY to NT$27 billion, driven by liquid cooling business [27] - May revenues were higher than estimates, reflecting the rising trend in liquid cooling [27] - Maintain Buy rating with a target price of NT$878 based on a 20.0x 2026E P/E [37] ASUS - Expected 2Q25 revenues to grow 21% YoY to NT$175 billion, supported by AI and gaming PCs [57] - May revenues were up 41% YoY, exceeding estimates [62] - Maintain Buy rating with a target price of NT$849 based on a 14.6x 2026E P/E [63] Inventec - Expected June revenues to be similar to May, supported by AI server ramp-up [65] - Maintain Neutral rating with a focus on AI server revenue contribution [65]
Vertiv's Liquid Cooling Stack Gaining Adoption: Will the Tech Deliver?
ZACKS· 2025-06-30 16:06
Key Takeaways VRT expands liquid cooling for high-density AI data centers. iGenius win features NVIDIA-optimized prefab modules. Orders up 13%, backlog hits $7.9B in Q1 2025.Vertiv (VRT) is expanding liquid cooling solutions across its AI infrastructure portfolio to accelerate deployment and support large-scale data center growth. These advanced thermal systems, including heat rejection units and liquid distribution architecture, are being integrated into prefabricated modules, enabling faster rollout of ...
SMCI's Margins Contracting: Is it Still Built for Profitable Scale?
ZACKS· 2025-06-30 14:56
Core Insights - Super Micro Computer's (SMCI) revenue is rapidly growing due to its innovative product offerings, particularly in direct liquid cooling (DLC) and server solutions, which are gaining traction among hyperscalers and AI customers [1][2] - Despite the revenue growth, SMCI's gross margin has been inconsistent and is currently on a declining trend, with a significant contraction noted in recent quarters [1][2] Financial Performance - In Q3 FY25, SMCI's non-GAAP gross margin decreased by 590 basis points year-over-year and 220 basis points sequentially to 9.7%, primarily due to rising costs associated with new products and high inventory reserves for older products [2][9] - The company has faced margin pressure attributed to an unfavorable product and customer mix, as well as increased costs from ramping up production for its DLC technology [3][4] Production and Capacity Expansion - SMCI is increasing its production capacity in Malaysia and Taiwan, which is expected to lower manufacturing costs in the long term due to economies of scale [5] - The company is also expanding its production capacity in California, aligning with U.S. government initiatives to boost domestic manufacturing, which is anticipated to positively impact gross margins in the future [5] Competitive Landscape - The server and liquid cooling market includes major players like Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) and Dell Technologies, with Dell reporting a backlog of $14.4 billion in AI server contracts despite the irregularities in product deployment [6][7] - HPE's server segment saw a 6% year-over-year sales growth in Q2 FY25, driven by strong demand for AI servers, indicating a competitive environment for SMCI [7] Stock Performance and Valuation - SMCI's shares have increased by 56.1% year-to-date, outperforming the Zacks Computer-Storage Devices industry, which grew by 6.7% [8] - The company currently trades at a forward price-to-sales ratio of 0.96X, which is lower than the industry average of 1.76X, suggesting potential undervaluation [10] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for SMCI's fiscal 2025 earnings indicates a year-over-year decline of 6.33%, while fiscal 2026 estimates suggest a growth of 27.54% [11]
3 AI Stocks That Could Be Hidden Gems
The Motley Fool· 2025-06-26 10:15
Chip designers and software giants tend to hog the spotlight in the artificial intelligence (AI) hyper-build. Yet beneath the surface of these household names, a robust ecosystem of less heralded companies is quietly laying the groundwork for AI's explosive growth. These are the "hidden gems" -- businesses with critical, often foundational, contributions that make the AI revolution possible.While many investors flock to the obvious players, shrewd eyes are turning toward those supplying the "picks and shove ...
SMCI Climbs 34.1% YTD: Should You Hold or Fold the Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-06-24 15:41
Key Takeaways SMCI stock is up 34.1% YTD, outpacing its industry's 9.1% return despite recent volatility. Strong AI server demand pushed SMCI's server revenues up 19% YoY, hitting $4.5B in Q3 FY25. Margin pressure from rivals and inventory write-downs weighs on SMCI's near-term outlook.Super Micro Computer (SMCI) shares have been volatile recently, yet it returned 34.1% in the year-to-date period. Its shares have outperformed the Zacks Computer- Storage Devices industry’s decline of 0.3% in the same time ...
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DT新材料· 2025-06-24 15:32
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the upcoming "2025 Liquid Cooling Industry Innovation and Application Forum" organized by DT New Materials, highlighting its significance in the liquid cooling technology sector and the participation of various industry leaders [3][10]. Event Details - The forum will take place from July 3 to July 5, 2025, in Dongguan, Guangdong [3][10]. - Over 300 industry professionals are expected to attend, with activities including product displays and report exchanges [3]. Agenda Overview - The event will feature a detailed agenda, including registration, opening activities, keynote speeches, and specialized reports on liquid cooling technologies [4][11]. - Notable topics include future technology trends in liquid cooling, applications of liquid cooling plates for high-power IGBT/SiC chips, and innovations in liquid cooling solutions for data centers [13][20]. Accommodation and Transportation - Various hotel options are available near the venue, with prices ranging from 180 to 350 RMB per night [6][8]. - Transportation details from major airports and train stations to the venue are provided, including estimated costs and travel times [9]. Registration and Fees - Registration fees are set at 2800 RMB for regular attendees and 1200 RMB for students, with on-site fees being slightly higher [32][33]. - Payment methods include bank transfer and Alipay, with specific instructions for registration completion [33].
SMCI's Server Demand Rising: Will Innovation Keep the Momentum?
ZACKS· 2025-06-17 15:06
Key Takeaways SMCI's server and storage system revenues hit $4.5B in Q3 FY25, up 19% year over year. Growth is driven by demand for DLC racks, new DCBBS modules and AI-optimized storage systems. Global manufacturing expansion aims to boost deployment and bypass geopolitical trade barriers.Super Micro Computer’s (SMCI) server and storage system segmental revenues grew 19% year over year in the third quarter of fiscal 2025, crossing the $4.5 billion milestone. The server and storage system segment, which ac ...