Key Takeaways Dell's commercial PC revenues rose 9% YoY, driven by strong demand across regions.Apple's Mac shipments jumped 21.4% YoY, lifting its global market share to 9.1%.Dell stock is up 11% YTD, outperforming Apples 10.1% decline, with cheaper valuation metrics.Dell Technologies (DELL) and Apple (AAPL) are leading personal computer (PC) makers in a market that is now expected to see year-over-year shipment growth of 4.1% in 2025, per IDC.  Global PC shipment volume is expected to hit 274 million in 2 ...

Summary of Global Switch Market Conference Call Industry Overview - The conference call discusses the global switch market, focusing on data center switches and campus switches, with an emphasis on the impact of generative AI on demand and specifications [1][2][10]. Key Points Market Growth Projections - The global switch market is expected to reach **US$54 billion** in 2025 and **US$66 billion** in 2026, with data center switches projected to grow **42% YoY** to **US$38 billion** in 2025 and **32% YoY** to **US$50 billion** in 2026 [2][10]. - Data center switch ports shipment is anticipated to increase to **93 million** units in 2025 and **144 million** units in 2026, reflecting a **50%** and **55% YoY** growth respectively [2][10]. Demand for High-Speed Transmission - The demand for switches is shifting towards high-speed transmission due to the adoption of generative AI, with **800G switch value** expected to grow **159%** in 2025 and **92%** in 2026 [1]. - Customized switch solutions are increasingly sought after to meet specific client needs across various AI application scenarios [1]. Campus Switches Stability - Campus switch ports volume is expected to remain stable, with a slight decline of **-1%** in 2025 and flat growth in 2026, primarily serving educational and small to medium business clients [11]. - The mix of switch types is projected to upgrade, with **25G** and **100G** switches increasing from **0.6%** and **0.2%** in 2024 to **0.7%** and **0.3%** in 2026 [11]. Revenue and Pricing Insights - Data center switch revenues are projected to grow significantly, with the average selling price (ASP) per port expected to rise from **US$186** in 2023 to **US$240** in 2026 [10]. - The overall revenue from switch ports is expected to increase from **US$39.7 billion** in 2023 to **US$66.4 billion** in 2026 [10]. Competitive Landscape - Key players mentioned include Ruijie, Huaqin, Hon Hai/FII, Arista, Dell, and Broadcom, indicating a competitive environment with various brands and technologies [3]. Additional Insights - The attach ratio of switch ports per GPU is projected to increase, indicating a growing need for high-performance computing solutions in data centers [16]. - The conference highlights the importance of adapting to technological advancements and client demands in the switch market, particularly in the context of AI and high-speed networking [1][10]. Conclusion - The global switch market is poised for significant growth driven by advancements in AI and high-speed transmission requirements, with data center switches leading the charge. The stability in campus switches suggests a mature market segment, while the competitive landscape remains dynamic with several key players vying for market share.

Summary of Conference Call Notes Industry Overview - The focus is on the Taiwan ODM/Brands sector, particularly companies involved in the AI servers and PCs supply chain, including Quanta, Wiwynn, Wistron, Gigabyte, ASUS, Inventec, Pegatron, and Compal [1][2]. Key Insights Revenue Projections - **Monthly Revenue Growth**: Expected average revenue growth for the 10 companies is projected at -4% in July, +2% in August, and +8% in September 2025. Apple's supply chain is anticipated to outperform with Hon Hai at +7% and Pegatron at +9% in July due to new smartphone models [3]. - **Year-over-Year Revenue Growth**: Projected average revenue growth for July, August, and September 2025 is +41%, +30%, and +26%, respectively. Wiwynn is expected to lead with +152% YoY growth in July [4]. Company-Specific Insights - **Hon Hai**: Expected to see 3Q25 revenues grow 4% YoY and 7% QoQ to NT$1,927 billion, driven by AI server ramp-up and new smartphone launches. June revenues were 3% below estimates due to declines in consumer electronics [17]. - **Quanta**: Anticipated 3Q25 revenues to grow 29% YoY and 9% QoQ to NT$548 billion, supported by AI server ramp-up. June revenues exceeded estimates by 9% [24]. - **AVC**: Expected 3Q25 revenues to grow 69% YoY and 9% QoQ to NT$32 billion, driven by rising liquid cooling penetration in ASIC AI servers. June revenues were 25% higher than estimates [38]. - **Wiwynn**: Projected 3Q25 revenues to grow 126% YoY to NT$221 billion, supported by demand for ASIC AI servers. June revenues were 28% higher than estimates [43]. Market Dynamics - **AI Server Demand**: The ramp-up of rack-level AI servers and increasing penetration of liquid cooling technologies are key drivers for revenue growth across the sector [1][4]. - **Consumer Electronics Impact**: The consumer electronics market is facing uncertainties due to tariff issues, affecting companies like Pegatron and Compal, which are expected to post negative revenue growth YoY [4]. Additional Considerations - **Risks**: Key risks include slower-than-expected ramp-up of AI servers, weaker performance in EV solutions, and increased competition in consumer electronics [22][42]. - **Earnings Revisions**: Companies like Wiwynn and Quanta have seen upward revisions in revenue and net income forecasts due to better-than-expected demand for AI servers [49][28]. Conclusion - The Taiwan ODM/Brands sector is poised for significant growth driven by advancements in AI server technology and new product cycles, particularly in the smartphone market. However, companies must navigate challenges related to consumer electronics demand and competitive pressures.

Core Insights - Dell's PC and hardware division, the largest revenue driver, has seen a decline in revenue for the past three years, with total CSG revenue at $48.6 billion in 2025, down 21% from its 2022 peak [1][8] - Jeff Clarke, the vice chairman and COO, will take on day-to-day leadership of the consumer solutions group (CSG) to accelerate decision-making and capitalize on the PC refresh cycle [2][14] - The company is undergoing a reorganization to modernize operations, including leadership changes, with Sam Burd appointed to lead corporate strategy [2][16] Revenue Performance - CSG's revenue has declined annually since 2022, while ISG revenue, driven by AI server demand, increased by 29% in the last financial year [8] - Dell's total annual revenue rose by 8% in the 2025 financial year, and the company's stock increased by 11% since January [9] Market Position - Dell has been losing market share to competitors like Lenovo and HP in consumer and commercial notebooks and desktops [9] - The company aims to lead in the commercial and consumer PC markets and is focused on the critical PC refresh cycle [10] Employee Sentiment - Dell's employee satisfaction score, known as the employee net promoter score (eNPS), fell to 32, a nearly 50% decline over two years amid workforce reductions and return-to-office mandates [13]

Core Insights - The total shipment volume of desktops, laptops, and workstations is projected to grow by 7.4% year-on-year in Q2 2025, reaching 67.6 million units [1] Summary by Category Laptops - Laptop shipments, including mobile workstations, are expected to reach 53.9 million units, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 7% [1] Desktops - Desktop shipments, including desktop workstations, are anticipated to grow by 9%, reaching 13.7 million units [1]

Investment Rating - Buy: Hon Hai, Wiwynn, Wistron, Gigabyte, ASUS, AVC; Neutral: Quanta, Inventec [8] Core Insights - The average year-over-year revenue growth for ten companies in the AI servers and AI PCs supply chain is expected to be +37% in June 2025, +27% in July 2025, and +18% in August 2025, driven by the ramp-up of AI servers and new product launches [1] - Rack-level AI servers are transitioning models, which may impact revenue growth in the second half of 2025 [1] - Geopolitical uncertainties are causing changes in end market demand, leading to a slower month-over-month growth forecast of -6% in June, -8% in July, and +2% in August 2025 [1] Company Summaries Hon Hai - Expected 2Q25 revenues to grow 17% YoY to NT$1,813 billion, driven by AI server demand and tariff-related consumption pull-ins [13] - May revenues were 6% below estimates, affected by slower customer pull-in momentum and negative exchange rate impacts [13] - Maintain Buy rating with a target price of NT$242 based on a 14.9x 2026E P/E multiple [15] Quanta - Anticipated 2Q25 revenues to grow 57% YoY to NT$488 billion, supported by AI server ramp-up [20] - May revenues were 13% below estimates, with a decline in notebook shipments [20] - Maintain Neutral rating with a target price of NT$273 based on a 12.8x 2026E P/E [23] Wiwynn - Expected 2Q25 revenues to grow 161% YoY to NT$202 billion, driven by strong demand for ASIC AI servers [38] - May revenues were 34% higher than estimates, reflecting continued strong demand [39] - Maintain Buy rating with a target price of NT$3,838 based on a 20.5x 2026E P/E [42] Wistron - Expected June revenues to grow 123% YoY to NT$198 billion, driven by AI server demand [47] - Strong revenue in May, up 162% YoY, supported by new product cycles [44] - Maintain Buy rating with a target price of NT$152 based on a 14.8x 2026E P/E [49] Gigabyte - Expected 2Q25 revenues to grow 32% YoY to NT$97 billion, supported by AI servers and VGAs [50] - May revenues were 79% above estimates, reflecting tariff-related pull-ins [51] - Maintain Buy rating with a target price of NT$344 based on a 14.0x 2026E P/E [55] AVC - Expected 2Q25 revenues to grow 67% YoY to NT$27 billion, driven by liquid cooling business [27] - May revenues were higher than estimates, reflecting the rising trend in liquid cooling [27] - Maintain Buy rating with a target price of NT$878 based on a 20.0x 2026E P/E [37] ASUS - Expected 2Q25 revenues to grow 21% YoY to NT$175 billion, supported by AI and gaming PCs [57] - May revenues were up 41% YoY, exceeding estimates [62] - Maintain Buy rating with a target price of NT$849 based on a 14.6x 2026E P/E [63] Inventec - Expected June revenues to be similar to May, supported by AI server ramp-up [65] - Maintain Neutral rating with a focus on AI server revenue contribution [65]

Core Insights - The Canton Fair, established in 1957, is a significant biannual event that showcases the internationalization of China's trade [2][3] - The current edition has attracted nearly 43,000 exhibitors and around 250,000 visitors, covering an area of 1.55 million square meters [3][4] Global Reach and Promotion - The fair has expanded its international reach through promotional events in various cities, including Vienna, Budapest, and Amsterdam, as well as in African countries like Nigeria, Ethiopia, and Kenya [5] - The Canton Fair has been instrumental in helping Chinese brands, such as BYD, Huawei, Haier, and Lenovo, gain global recognition and market penetration [6] Opportunities for Businesses - The fair provides a platform for both large and small businesses to network and expand beyond major Chinese cities [8] - It accommodates a diverse range of sectors, with the spring fair focusing on electronics and home appliances, while the autumn fair emphasizes textiles and consumer goods [9] Changing Business Mindset - The participation of big companies aims to enhance international exposure and experience, reflecting a shift in the business mindset of Chinese exhibitors towards more proactive engagement in international trade [11][12] - The rise of Chinese fashion brands and designers illustrates the evolving outlook of Chinese enterprises in the global market [13] Cultural Appeal - The fair is complemented by the cultural attractions of Guangzhou, enhancing the overall experience for visitors [14] Future Prospects - The latest edition of the Canton Fair is expected to be larger and more impactful, aligning with the growing importance of international trading opportunities [15][16]

Core Insights - Dell Technologies (DELL) is well-positioned to capitalize on the strong demand for AI-capable PCs driven by the Windows 11 refresh cycle and enterprise upgrades [2][11] - The company is expanding its partnerships with major players like NVIDIA and Microsoft to enhance its AI capabilities and enterprise solutions [3][5][11] - Dell faces significant competition in the PC market from HP and Apple, which are also focusing on AI-enabled products [6][8] Group 1: AI and Market Demand - Dell's AI prospects are strong, with expansion from cloud service providers to enterprise deployments and edge computing [1] - The company reported CSG revenues of $12.50 billion in Q1 FY26, reflecting a 5% year-over-year increase, driven by strong demand in the commercial segment [2][11] - Dell's partnership with Lowe's aims to enhance customer experiences through advanced AI and PC technologies, optimizing inventory and streamlining operations [4] Group 2: Competitive Landscape - Dell faces stiff competition from HP, which is launching innovative AI PCs and expects 40-60% of all PCs to be AI-enabled within three years [6][7] - Apple's Mac business is thriving due to strong demand for its M4 chip products, further intensifying competition in the PC market [8] Group 3: Financial Performance and Valuation - DELL's stock has risen 1.1% year to date, underperforming the broader Zacks Computer & Technology sector's return of 1.6% [9] - The forward 12-month Price/Sales ratio for DELL is 0.77X, significantly lower than the sector's 6.36X, indicating a premium valuation [12] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Q2 FY26 earnings is $2.26 per share, reflecting an 11.5% increase in the past 30 days and a year-over-year growth of 19.58% [14]

Summary of HP Inc. (HPQ) Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: HP Inc. (HPQ) - **Industry**: Personal Computers and Printing Key Financial Metrics - **F2Q25 EPS**: $0.71, missing Goldman Sachs (GS) estimate of $0.82 and consensus of $0.80 [2][3] - **Revenue**: $13.2 billion, in line with GS estimate of $13.2 billion but slightly below consensus of $13.1 billion [2][5] - **EBIT**: $961 million with a margin of 7.3%, missing GS estimate of $1.1 billion and consensus of $1.1 billion [2][9] - **Personal Systems Group Revenue**: $9.024 billion, above GS estimate of $9.019 billion [5] - **Printing Revenue**: $4.181 billion, below GS estimate of $4.221 billion [5] Guidance and Outlook - **F3Q25 EPS Guidance**: $0.68-$0.80, below consensus of $0.90 [6] - **F2025 EPS Guidance**: Lowered to $3.00-$3.30 from $3.45-$3.75, reflecting moderated demand and tariff impacts [2][7] - **Free Cash Flow Guidance**: Lowered to $2.6-$3.0 billion from $3.2-$3.6 billion [2][7] - **PC Industry Outlook**: Now expects low single-digit percentage (LSD%) unit growth year-over-year, down from mid-single-digit percentage (MSD%) [1][7] Performance Analysis - **PC Margins**: Weakness attributed to supply chain resiliency initiatives and competitive dynamics [1] - **Printing Margins**: Improved to 19.5%, above GS estimate of 19.0% [2][9] - **Cost of Revenue**: Increased to $10.481 billion, reflecting a 7% year-over-year increase [10] Risks and Challenges - **Demand Risks**: Slower-than-expected consumer demand and potential increases in hybrid work could negatively impact commercial PC demand [12] - **Pricing Pressure**: High levels of industry channel inventory and declining component costs may lead to lower margins [12] - **Market Competition**: Increased competition in both commercial and consumer printing markets [13] Strategic Initiatives - **Focus on Higher-Margin Products**: HPQ is shifting towards higher-margin hardware and ink subscription services to mitigate headwinds in the printing segment [13] - **Capital Allocation Policy**: HPQ aims to return 100% of free cash flow to shareholders through dividends and buybacks [14] Investment Thesis - **Neutral Rating**: Goldman Sachs maintains a neutral rating on HPQ with a 12-month price target of $27, indicating a downside potential of 4.7% from the current price of $28.34 [11][15] Conclusion HPQ's recent performance reflects challenges in the PC market due to macroeconomic factors and competitive pressures, leading to lowered guidance and expectations. The company's strategic focus on higher-margin products and commitment to returning capital to shareholders may provide some support in navigating these challenges.

Core Insights - Dell Technologies is set to report its first-quarter fiscal 2026 results on May 29, with expected revenues between $22.5 billion and $23.5 billion, indicating a 3% year-over-year growth at the midpoint of $23 billion [1] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenues is $23.10 billion, suggesting a 3.86% growth from the previous year, while the consensus for earnings is $1.71 per share, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 34.65% [2] Financial Performance - Dell Technologies has consistently beaten the Zacks Consensus Estimate in the last four quarters, with an average earnings surprise of 5.13% [3] - The anticipated revenue growth for the combined Infrastructure Solutions Group (ISG) and Client Solutions Group (CSG) is 6% year-over-year at the midpoint, with ISG expected to grow in the low teens and CSG revenues expected to remain flat [5] Market Dynamics - The ISG revenues are estimated at $10.379 billion, indicating an 11.2% year-over-year growth, while CSG revenues are pegged at $12.237 billion, suggesting a 2.25% year-over-year growth [6] - The demand for AI-optimized servers is expected to have positively impacted Dell's fiscal first-quarter results, driven by digital transformation and interest in generative AI applications [4][7] Competitive Position - Dell Technologies' leadership in AI-optimized servers, including the PowerEdge 9680, has contributed to its growth, with a reported increase of $1.7 billion in AI server orders in the previous quarter [7] - The company's shares have underperformed the broader Zacks Computer & Technology sector year-to-date, losing 2.7% compared to the sector's 3.6% return, attributed to macroeconomic challenges and trade tensions [8] Valuation Metrics - Dell Technologies shares are considered undervalued, with a Value Score of B and a forward 12-month price-to-sales ratio of 0.75X, significantly lower than the sector's average of 6.12X [11] Strategic Partnerships - Dell's expanding partner base, including collaborations with NVIDIA, Microsoft, and Meta Platforms, is likely to have driven growth during the fiscal first quarter [13][14][15] - The partnership with NVIDIA aims to accelerate enterprise AI adoption, which is expected to reflect positively in the upcoming quarter's performance [14]