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电力设备新能源行业周报:3月排产数据向好,行业涨价信号明确
Guoyuan Securities· 2025-03-11 13:25
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" investment rating for the energy sector, specifically focusing on the new energy segment [6]. Core Insights - The report highlights positive production data for March, indicating a clear signal of price increases within the industry. The performance of the power equipment sector has outperformed the broader market indices, with specific sub-sectors such as wind power and battery equipment showing significant gains [2][11]. - The report emphasizes the recovery of the photovoltaic (PV) industry, with companies preparing for improved performance as they have adequately accounted for asset impairments. The report suggests focusing on companies with clear alpha potential and new technologies [4]. Weekly Market Review - From March 2 to March 7, 2025, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 1.56%, while the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 2.19%. The power equipment sector, represented by the Shenwan index, rose by 1.75%, outperforming the CSI 300 by 0.36 percentage points. Sub-sectors such as wind power equipment and battery equipment saw increases of 3.86% and 1.22%, respectively [11][2]. - The report notes that the production of silicon materials is expected to increase by approximately 5% in March, although overall market conditions remain influenced by high inventory levels across the supply chain [27]. Key Sector Tracking - The report tracks developments in the ternary lithium battery sector, highlighting the launch of a new electric vehicle model by GAC Honda, which features a customized 90-degree ternary lithium battery with a maximum range of 650 km [3]. - In the photovoltaic sector, the report details a significant tender by the China Datang Corporation for N-type TOPCon photovoltaic modules, with an estimated total procurement of 19.5 GW. The bidding prices ranged from 0.692 to 0.705 yuan/W [3][19]. Investment Recommendations - For the photovoltaic sector, the report suggests focusing on companies that have experienced sufficient price corrections and have clear alpha potential, such as Aishuo Co., Fulete, and GCL-Poly Energy. The wind power sector is also highlighted as having strong investment opportunities, particularly in offshore wind power [4]. - In the new energy vehicle sector, the report indicates a rapid growth trajectory, recommending a focus on companies benefiting from low upstream raw material prices, such as CATL and EVE Energy [4]. Price Data Summary - The report provides insights into the pricing trends of key materials in the photovoltaic supply chain, noting that silicon material prices are expected to stabilize between 39-41 yuan/kg, while the prices for N-type silicon wafers have shown an upward trend due to increased demand [27][28]. - The average price of P-type M10 battery cells has decreased to a range of 0.31-0.33 yuan/W, while N-type G12R battery cells have seen an increase to 0.30 yuan/W, driven by demand from distributed generation projects [32][36]. Company Announcements - The report includes significant announcements from various companies, such as a strategic cooperation agreement between Shida Shenghua and CATL for the supply of electrolyte materials, and the commencement of a new battery factory project by Envision Energy with an annual capacity of 20 GWh [21][17]. - Additionally, the report notes the approval of three wind power expansion projects in Yunnan Province, totaling 935 MW of installed capacity [19].