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9月下旬运力仍然维持高位 集运指数整体弱势难改
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-08-25 06:12
Core Viewpoint - The European shipping index futures experienced a significant increase, reaching a peak of 1379.4 points, with a closing value of 1365.5 points, reflecting a rise of 3.13% [1] Group 1: Market Outlook - Guotou Anxin Futures predicts that the shipping market is likely to continue a downward trend, with September initial quotes averaging around $2200/FEU, indicating increased market pressure [2] - Hualian Futures states that the current spot freight rates have not yet bottomed out, and the EC futures market is more likely to decline than to rise [2] Group 2: Price Trends and Analysis - The latest SCFI composite index has decreased by 3.07%, with the NCFI European line dropping by 8.83%, indicating a significant decline in freight rates, particularly for East and West US routes [2] - The main EC2510 contract continues its downward trend, with expectations of further declines in August and September, while the pressure point is noted at 1400 [2] - The EC2512 contract is seen as a preferred option due to potential support from year-end demand, despite limited declines, with a short-term trading range suggested between 1600 and 1800 points [2]