Core Viewpoint - Constellation Brands and Altria are both considered stable blue chip stocks, but Altria has outperformed Constellation significantly over the past three years, raising questions about future investment potential [1][2]. Constellation Brands - Constellation Brands generates most of its revenue from its beer business, with popular brands like Modelo and Corona, and a smaller portion from wine and spirits [4]. - The company faces three major challenges: declining beer consumption among younger consumers, decreasing sales of lower-end wines, and increased costs due to tariffs on imported Mexican beers [5][6]. - Analysts expect Constellation's revenue to decline from $10.2 billion in 2024 to $9.9 billion in 2027, while its earnings per share (EPS) is projected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 7% [8]. - Despite a low valuation at 14 times forward earnings and a forward yield of 2.5%, the lack of near-term catalysts makes it an unappealing investment [9]. Altria - Altria primarily generates revenue from its Marlboro cigarettes and has a strong domestic focus, which protects it from tariffs and foreign-exchange issues [10][11]. - The company has been countering declining smoking rates by raising cigarette prices, cutting costs, and expanding its smokeless product portfolio through investments and acquisitions [12]. - Following a setback with its investment in Juul, Altria acquired Njoy for $2.8 billion in 2023, which is expected to boost EPS starting in 2026 [13]. - Analysts predict Altria's revenue will dip slightly from $20.4 billion in 2024 to $20.2 billion in 2027, but its EPS is expected to grow at a steady CAGR of 5% from 2025 to 2027 [14][15]. - Altria's stock is considered cheap at 12 times forward earnings, with a substantial forward yield of nearly 7%, making it a more stable investment compared to Constellation [15]. Investment Recommendation - Altria is viewed as the better investment option due to its more stable business model, larger dividend, and lower valuation multiple compared to Constellation Brands [16].

Zyn-fluence: Cannadips cofounder Case Mandel says nicotine pouches have paved the way for THC-infused pouches to become the next big trend in cannabis. https://t.co/5wHDHTIxBT https://t.co/5wHDHTIxBT ...

Zyn-fluence: Cannadips cofounder Case Mandel says nicotine pouches have paved the way for THC-infused pouches to become the next big trend in cannabis. https://t.co/ZTj6HclkuX https://t.co/ZTj6HclkuX ...

Multi-year partnership brings innovative nicotine brand into the arena as official sponsor of Unleash The Beast series Ready to Ride: Cowboys Gear Up for Competition Lowriders team members sporting their distinctive FRE jerseys preparing for competition ahead of Kid Rock's Rock N Rodeo PBR Guests At The FRE Stadium Concourse Activation Three visitors in rodeo attire smile for the camera in front of the colorful FRE brand display, showcasing the company's nicotine product line Louisville, KY, July 02 ...

Core Viewpoint - Jami Dimon, CEO of JPMorgan Chase, warns of a potential "cracking" in the bond market due to excessive deficit spending and high debt levels, with the 10-year yield at levels not seen since 2007 [1] Group 1: Companies Resilient to Bond Market Cracking - Philip Morris International is well-positioned to thrive regardless of bond market conditions, primarily due to its international market focus and recession-proof tobacco products [4][5] - The next-gen products, including Zyn and IQOS, now account for over 40% of Philip Morris's revenue and gross profit, indicating growth potential despite a mature market [6] Group 2: AutoZone's Performance in Weak Economies - AutoZone demonstrates resilience in recessionary environments, benefiting from consumers opting for repairs over new car purchases [7] - The company's hub-and-spoke store model enhances its market performance by ensuring all stores are well-stocked, supporting its ability to thrive if bond markets weaken [8] Group 3: Dollar General's Economic Resilience - Dollar General is positioned to perform well during economic downturns as consumers tend to "trade down" to more affordable shopping options [9][10] - The company has a strong track record of success during past recessions, with a revenue model focused on consumer staples and a vast network of over 20,000 stores [11]

Core Viewpoint - The resurgence of tobacco stocks, particularly Altria Group, has been notable in 2025, with shares up nearly 17% and approaching $60, a level not seen since 2017, as investors seek safe-haven stocks during uncertain times [1]. Company Overview - Altria Group, owner of the Marlboro brand, primarily operates in the U.S. market and has faced significant declines in cigarette usage, which is expected to continue, particularly among young adults [3][8]. - The company has invested in diversifying its product offerings, including cannabis, nicotine pouches, cigars, electronic vaping, and alcohol, but has experienced muted success and notable failures, such as the $12.8 billion investment in Juul, which was written down to zero [4][12]. Financial Performance - The majority of Altria's revenue, approximately 88%, still comes from smokables, with new initiatives in vaping and nicotine pouches contributing minimally to overall revenue [5]. - Cigarette volumes for Marlboro declined by 13.3% year-over-year, a significant acceleration compared to historical declines of under 5% annually, indicating a major shift in the industry [8][10]. Dividend and Profitability Risks - Altria's ability to maintain profits has relied on increasing cigarette prices and reducing overhead costs, but this strategy is not sustainable long-term as the majority of its $11.6 billion in annual operating earnings is derived from cigarettes [9][10]. - The company faces risks to its dividend growth, which could be halted or slashed if profits decline without being replaced by new nicotine consumption [9][10]. Debt and Financial Strategy - Altria has accumulated $26 billion in debt, primarily to fund stock repurchases, which has not yet led to a dividend cut but poses risks for the future as the cigarette business deteriorates [14]. - The company has reduced its shares outstanding by about 10% over the last five years, which can benefit dividend per share but is being achieved through increased leverage [13][14]. Investment Outlook - The combination of a highly leveraged balance sheet, significant volume declines, and lack of successful diversification presents a challenging outlook for Altria Group, suggesting that investors should be cautious about purchasing the stock even with its attractive dividend yield [15][16].

Market Overview - The U.S. stock market is expected to experience volatility due to rising tensions between Israel and Iran, which have led to increased oil prices and concerns about a broader regional conflict [1] - Uncertainty surrounding the Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions amid these geopolitical risks is adding further pressure to the market [1] Investment Strategy - A curated portfolio of low-beta stocks is recommended as a strategy to navigate the uncertain market conditions [2] - Low-beta stocks such as VirTra Inc. (VTSI), Franco-Nevada Corporation (FNV), Elbit Systems Ltd (ESLT), and Philip Morris International Inc. (PM) are highlighted as potential investment opportunities [2] Stock Characteristics - Beta is a measure of a stock's volatility compared to the market, with a beta of 1 indicating movement in line with the market, greater than 1 indicating higher volatility, and less than 1 indicating lower volatility [3][4] - Stocks with a beta between 0 and 0.6 are screened for lower volatility, alongside other criteria such as positive price movement over the last month, average trading volume greater than 50,000, a price of at least $5, and a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy) [5][6] Company Insights - **VirTra Inc. (VTSI)**: The company is benefiting from the U.S. Army's Integrated Visual Augmentation System (IVAS) project, which enhances training for soldiers and positions VirTra favorably for military contracts [7][9] - **Franco-Nevada Corporation (FNV)**: Recently invested $1.05 billion in a royalty on the Côté Gold Mine, which is expected to close by Q2 2025, indicating strong revenue potential from significant gold resources [9][10] - **Elbit Systems Ltd (ESLT)**: The company has a substantial backlog of $23.1 billion, with 66% of its contracts coming from international markets, reflecting strong global demand for defense solutions [9][11] - **Philip Morris International Inc. (PM)**: Transitioning from traditional cigarettes to smoke-free products like IQOS and ZYN, while focusing on shareholder returns and cost-cutting measures [12]

Core Viewpoint - Altria Group, the largest cigarette maker in North America, is facing significant challenges due to declining cigarette volumes, despite rising earnings and dividends, raising concerns for investors [1][9]. Company Overview - Altria primarily focuses on cigarette production, with 14.2 billion cigarettes produced in Q1 2025, accounting for approximately 97% of its smokable products [3]. - Smokable products contribute around 88% to Altria's revenue, highlighting the importance of cigarettes to its business model [3]. Industry Trends - Cigarette volumes are declining, with a 13.7% decrease in production from nearly 16.5 billion in Q1 2024 to 14.2 billion in Q1 2025 [4]. - Historical data shows a significant drop from over 25 billion cigarettes produced in Q1 2020, indicating ongoing industry headwinds [4]. Company Strategies - Altria has attempted to mitigate the impact of declining cigarette demand through price increases, leveraging the addictive nature of nicotine to maintain some pricing power [5]. - However, recent trends suggest that price increases alone are insufficient to sustain revenue growth [6]. Financial Performance - Despite a year-over-year revenue decline of 5.7% in Q1 2025, generating approximately $5.3 billion compared to nearly $6.4 billion in 2020, Altria has managed to keep earnings and dividends rising [9]. - The company has reduced its share count from 1.758 billion in Q1 2024 to 1.69 billion in Q1 2025, primarily through stock buybacks, which has helped support earnings [7][10]. Future Outlook - While Altria currently offers a 6.7% dividend yield, the company must find alternatives to cigarettes to avoid a potential terminal decline [11].

A fresh wave of market uncertainty has been triggered by the U.S. trade court's ruling that President Donald Trump's global tariffs are illegal. Additionally, the Federal Reserve’s wait-and-see stance means the future direction of interest rates is uncertain.In this context, creating a curated portfolio of low-beta stocks is a prudent strategy. This provides a safeguard against the uncertain market, equipping investors to navigate volatility with greater resilience and foresight.Hence, stocks like Natural G ...

22nd Century Group (XXII) Q1 2025 Earnings Call May 13, 2025 08:00 AM ET Company Participants Matt Kreps - Investor RelationsLarry Firestone - CEO & Chair of the BoardDan Otto - CFO Conference Call Participants Andrew White - Analyst Operator Welcome to twenty second Century Group's First Quarter twenty twenty five Conference Call and Webcast. At this time, all participants have been placed in a listen only mode. It is now my pleasure to turn the floor over to Matt Kreps, Investor Relations for twenty secon ...