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Core Insights - Altria (MO) is positioned to potentially continue its earnings-beat streak in the upcoming report, having a history of beating earnings estimates, particularly in the last two quarters with an average surprise of 3.35% [1][2] Earnings Performance - For the last reported quarter, Altria achieved earnings of $1.23 per share, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.17 per share, resulting in a surprise of 5.13% [2] - In the previous quarter, Altria was expected to post earnings of $1.27 per share but delivered $1.29 per share, yielding a surprise of 1.57% [2] Earnings Estimates and Predictions - There has been a favorable change in earnings estimates for Altria, with a positive Zacks Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction), indicating a strong likelihood of an earnings beat [5] - Stocks with a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) or better have historically produced a positive surprise nearly 70% of the time [6] Current Earnings ESP and Outlook - Altria currently has an Earnings ESP of +0.42%, suggesting analysts are optimistic about its near-term earnings potential [8] - Combined with a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy), this indicates a strong possibility of another earnings beat in the upcoming report, expected on July 30, 2025 [8]

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Group 1: Company Overview - Altria's primary business involves selling nicotine products, with cigarettes constituting the majority of its revenue [2] - The company operates within the consumer staples sector, which typically includes products with consistent demand [2] Group 2: Financial Performance - Altria experienced a 13.7% year-over-year decline in cigarette volumes in the first quarter of 2025, indicating a continuing downward trend [4] - The company took a $900 million write-down in the first quarter to reduce the carrying value of its investment in NJOY due to a patent lawsuit [6] Group 3: Strategic Challenges - Altria has made multiple attempts to find alternative products to replace cigarettes, but these efforts have resulted in significant financial losses [5][9] - The company previously invested heavily in Juul and Cronos, both of which led to multi-billion-dollar write-downs and ultimately failed to deliver expected returns [8][9] Group 4: Investment Outlook - Despite a high dividend yield of 6.9%, the underlying business struggles raise concerns about the sustainability of this yield [1][10] - The lack of successful product replacements and ongoing challenges suggest that most investors may find the risk associated with Altria's stock to be unworthy [10]

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100mm Cigarettes Comprise Approximately Half the U.S. Market, Giving Even More Smokers a Familiar Choice as They Seek Ways to Change Their Smoking Behavior First FDA Submission Planned for Q4 2025 MOCKSVILLE, N.C.,, June 26, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- 22nd Century Group, Inc. (Nasdaq: XXII), the only tobacco products company that is leading the fight against nicotine by offering smokers a choice about their nicotine consumption, today announced the advancement of a 100mm VLN® reduced nicotine content cigarett ...

Launching New Pinnacle VLN and Moist Snuff Products in More Than 1,700 Stores Across 27 States MOCKSVILLE, N.C., June 24, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- 22nd Century Group, Inc. (Nasdaq: XXII), the only tobacco products company that is leading the fight against nicotine by offering smokers a choice about their nicotine consumption, today announced major updates to its Pinnacle product manufacturing and marketing agreement with its top-5 c-store chain customer, including the launch of four new Pinnacle SKUs, inclu ...

Core Viewpoint - The resurgence of tobacco stocks, particularly Altria Group, has been notable in 2025, with shares up nearly 17% and approaching $60, a level not seen since 2017, as investors seek safe-haven stocks during uncertain times [1]. Company Overview - Altria Group, owner of the Marlboro brand, primarily operates in the U.S. market and has faced significant declines in cigarette usage, which is expected to continue, particularly among young adults [3][8]. - The company has invested in diversifying its product offerings, including cannabis, nicotine pouches, cigars, electronic vaping, and alcohol, but has experienced muted success and notable failures, such as the $12.8 billion investment in Juul, which was written down to zero [4][12]. Financial Performance - The majority of Altria's revenue, approximately 88%, still comes from smokables, with new initiatives in vaping and nicotine pouches contributing minimally to overall revenue [5]. - Cigarette volumes for Marlboro declined by 13.3% year-over-year, a significant acceleration compared to historical declines of under 5% annually, indicating a major shift in the industry [8][10]. Dividend and Profitability Risks - Altria's ability to maintain profits has relied on increasing cigarette prices and reducing overhead costs, but this strategy is not sustainable long-term as the majority of its $11.6 billion in annual operating earnings is derived from cigarettes [9][10]. - The company faces risks to its dividend growth, which could be halted or slashed if profits decline without being replaced by new nicotine consumption [9][10]. Debt and Financial Strategy - Altria has accumulated $26 billion in debt, primarily to fund stock repurchases, which has not yet led to a dividend cut but poses risks for the future as the cigarette business deteriorates [14]. - The company has reduced its shares outstanding by about 10% over the last five years, which can benefit dividend per share but is being achieved through increased leverage [13][14]. Investment Outlook - The combination of a highly leveraged balance sheet, significant volume declines, and lack of successful diversification presents a challenging outlook for Altria Group, suggesting that investors should be cautious about purchasing the stock even with its attractive dividend yield [15][16].