Core Viewpoint - Consumer staple companies may benefit from higher inflation due to their ability to pass on cost increases to customers, but consumer resistance to price hikes is a concern [2]. Group 1: PepsiCo - PepsiCo's second-quarter revenue increased by 2%, driven entirely by higher prices, which contributed 4 percentage points, while lower volume subtracted about 1.5 percentage points [5]. - Adjusted operating income for PepsiCo fell by 3%, indicating that price hikes were insufficient to offset rising costs [5]. - PepsiCo's share price dropped by 16.9% over the past year, contrasting with a 16.8% gain in the S&P 500 index during the same period [6]. - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio for PepsiCo increased from 19 to 26, which is still lower than the S&P 500's P/E of 30, suggesting potential for patient investors [7]. Group 2: Procter & Gamble - Procter & Gamble's fiscal third-quarter adjusted sales grew by only 1%, with higher prices accounting for the entire increase and volumes remaining flat [9]. - In the fourth quarter, adjusted sales increased by 2%, with higher prices and mix each contributing 1 percentage point, while volume remained constant [10]. - Procter & Gamble's stock price decreased by 7.9% over the past year, and its P/E multiple contracted from 28 to less than 25 [10].

Core Insights - Procter & Gamble (P&G) plans to cut 7,000 jobs over the next two years, representing about 6% of its workforce, as part of a broader restructuring strategy to navigate an uncertain spending environment influenced by US tariffs [1][4][13] - The company will exit certain product categories and brands in specific markets, which may include divestitures, to streamline operations and focus on core brands like Tide, Pampers, and Old Spice [1][9] - P&G anticipates a before-tax hit of approximately $600 million in fiscal year 2026 due to current tariff rates, which have been volatile [5][9] Job Cuts and Workforce Impact - The job cuts will account for roughly 15% of P&G's non-manufacturing workforce, with expected charges of $1 billion to $1.6 billion before-tax over the two-year period, a quarter of which is anticipated to be non-cash [13] - As of June 2024, P&G had about 108,000 employees [11] Market and Economic Context - The geopolitical environment is described as "unpredictable," with consumers facing "greater uncertainty," largely due to President Trump's tariffs affecting global markets and raising recession concerns in the US [4][6] - The ongoing trade war has resulted in at least $34 billion in lost sales and increased costs for companies [6] Strategic Adjustments - P&G's restructuring aims to simplify its organizational structure by broadening roles and reducing team sizes, which is seen as a way to free up cash for investment in core brands [9] - The company has previously exited markets such as Argentina and restructured operations in Nigeria, indicating a trend towards focusing on more profitable areas [10]