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快手-W(1024.HK):2Q业绩超预期 可灵B端商业化在即
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-23 02:51
Core Viewpoint - Kuaishou's Q2 performance shows a revenue increase of 13% to 35 billion, exceeding consensus expectations by 2% [1] - The company maintains a "buy" rating, anticipating continued growth in AI application penetration [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Q2 revenue reached 35 billion, with a year-on-year growth of 13%, surpassing consensus expectations [1] - Gross margin improved by 0.3 percentage points to 55.7% [1] - Adjusted net profit increased by 20% to 5.6 billion, exceeding expectations by 11% [1] Group 2: Business Segments - Revenue from live streaming, advertising, and e-commerce grew by 8%, 13%, and 26% respectively [1] - Advertising revenue is expected to grow by 13% in Q3, below the consensus of 16%, primarily due to regulatory impacts on overseas advertising [1] - E-commerce revenue accelerated to a 26% year-on-year growth, with GMV increasing by 18% [3] Group 3: Product and Market Development - The company is launching a 2B subscription plan in Q3 to enhance B-end commercialization [1] - Kuaishou's "Keling" product generated 250 million in revenue in Q2, with a positive gross margin [2] - The number of C-end creators reached 45 million, and over 20,000 enterprises and developers are covered on the B-end [2] Group 4: Advertising and Monetization - Q2 advertising revenue slightly exceeded expectations, with a year-on-year growth of 13% [3] - The internal advertising monetization rate is expected to improve significantly, with a 40% share of all-site promotion and smart management [3] - The company upgraded its AI marketing products, enhancing conversion rates by over 10% [3] Group 5: Future Outlook and Valuation - The company announced a special dividend of 0.46 HKD per share, equating to a 0.6% dividend yield [4] - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 have been adjusted upward by 0.2%, 0.3%, and 0.9% respectively [4] - Target price raised to 85.28 HKD based on SOTP valuation, reflecting expected contributions from Keling [4]