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Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry and Company Overview - The report focuses on the **China & Hong Kong equity market** with a specific outlook for **2026** and investment strategies for **1Q26** [2][5]. Core Themes and Arguments 1. **Constructive Stance on MXCN/CSI300**: The report maintains a positive outlook on MXCN and CSI300, predicting further rallies in 2026 with targets set at **100** for MXCN, **5,200** for CSI300, and **16,000** for MXHK, based on consensus EPS estimates [2][7][9]. 2. **Investment Themes for 2026**: - **Anti-involution**: Expected to accelerate post-March NPC, improving margins and ROE for MXCN/CSI300 [5]. - **AI Infrastructure Growth**: Strong global capex in AI is anticipated to boost demand for computing power and localization plays in China [5]. - **Global Macro Support**: Positive macroeconomic conditions, including easing fiscal and monetary policies in developed markets, are expected to enhance overseas sales [5]. - **K-shaped Recovery in Consumption**: This will favor food & beverage and premium luxury sectors while negatively impacting mid-tier consumption [5]. 3. **Risks Identified**: - **Geopolitical Tensions**: Ongoing tensions between the US and China, particularly ahead of the US mid-term elections, and rising tensions with Japan [5]. - **Consensus EPS Growth Concerns**: Potential downward revisions in consensus EPS growth for MXCN from approximately **15%** to **9%** due to intense competition in quick commerce platforms [5]. - **Property Market Weakness**: Reports of declining luxury sales and price drops in mainland China may trigger policy changes [5]. Sector Recommendations and Top Picks 1. **Under-owned China Equity**: The report suggests that China equity is under-owned both domestically and internationally, indicating potential for increased allocation [6]. 2. **Sector Preferences**: - **Overweight (OW)**: Communication Services, IT, Materials, and Staples. - **Underweight (UW)**: Energy and Utilities [6][12]. 3. **Top Picks for 1Q26**: - **China**: Baidu, NetEase, Midea, MIXUE, PDD, Pop Mart, Trip.com, Tingyi, Futu, Innovent, CATL, COLI. - **Hong Kong**: AIA, HKEX, Futu, Galaxy, MGM China, Techtronic, Link REITs, MTR, China State Construction International [6][13][15]. Important but Overlooked Content - **Valuation Normalization**: Since September 2024, MXCN/CSI300 has shown a return of **29%/30%** in USD terms, indicating a shift from a valuation discount to a more favorable investment narrative [20]. - **EPS Recovery**: The report highlights a broadening recovery in earnings across various sectors despite weak headline EPS growth, with significant recoveries noted in Healthcare, IT, and Communication Services [41][42]. - **Quantitative Macro Indicator (QMI)**: The JPM China QMI indicates an expansion phase, suggesting positive momentum in the market [47]. Conclusion The report presents a comprehensive outlook for the China and Hong Kong equity markets, emphasizing potential growth areas, sector preferences, and the importance of monitoring geopolitical risks and market dynamics as 2026 approaches.

Core Viewpoint - Sohu.com Limited (NASDAQ:SOHU) has received a positive outlook from Jefferies, with a price target of $20, indicating a potential increase of approximately 27.06% from its current stock price of $15.74 [1][4] Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, Sohu reported total revenues of $180 million, representing a 19% year-over-year increase and a 43% quarter-over-quarter rise [2][4] - The company achieved positive net income for the quarter, highlighting its strong financial health and growth potential [2][4] Stock Performance - The current stock price of SOHU is approximately $15.46, reflecting an increase of about 7.93% or $1.14 [3] - Over the past year, SOHU's stock has experienced volatility, reaching a high of $16.45 and a low of $7.79 [3] - Sohu has a market capitalization of approximately $445.5 million and a trading volume of 44,611 shares on the NASDAQ exchange [3]

Summary of Tencent Holdings Ltd. 3Q25 Earnings Call Company Overview - **Company**: Tencent Holdings Ltd. - **Industry**: China Internet and Other Services - **Date of Call**: November 13, 2025 Key Financial Results - **Revenue**: - 3Q25 revenue increased by 15% year-over-year (YoY) to Rmb 192.87 billion, beating consensus estimates by 2% [6] - **Net Profit**: - Non-IFRS net profit rose by 18% YoY to Rmb 70.55 billion, slightly exceeding consensus by 4.9% [6] - **Gross Profit**: - Gross profit increased by 22% YoY to Rmb 108.80 billion, with a gross margin of 56.4%, up 1.3 percentage points YoY [6] - **Operating Profit**: - Operating profit reached Rmb 63.55 billion, a 19.2% increase YoY [6] Segment Performance - **Value-Added Services (VAS)**: - Online games revenue grew by 23% YoY, driven mainly by international games [6] - **Advertising**: - Online advertising revenue increased by 21% YoY, beating estimates by 1% [6] - **FinTech and Business Services**: - Revenue from this segment grew by 10% YoY, in line with expectations [6] Capital Expenditure and Buybacks - **Capex**: - Capital expenditures were Rmb 13 billion in 3Q25, down from Rmb 19.1 billion in 2Q25 [6] - **Share Buybacks**: - The company repurchased shares worth HK$21.1 billion in 3Q25, with a full-year buyback target of over HK$80 billion [6] Market Position and Valuation - **Market Capitalization**: - Current market cap stands at approximately US$782.97 billion [4] - **Price Target**: - The price target is set at HK$700, indicating a potential upside of 7% from the current price of HK$656 [4] Analyst Ratings - **Stock Rating**: - The stock is rated as "Overweight" by Morgan Stanley, reflecting a positive outlook on the company's performance [4] Risks and Opportunities - **Opportunities**: - Successful execution of new game launches, market share gains in social and short video ads, and resilience in social network competition [9] - **Risks**: - Regulatory uncertainties in the gaming industry, intensified competition in social networks, and tightened regulations amid US-China tensions [9] Conclusion - **Overall Assessment**: - The earnings call indicates a strong performance by Tencent in 3Q25, with significant revenue growth and profitability, despite a cautious outlook on capital expenditures and potential regulatory challenges. The company's strategic focus on gaming and advertising positions it well for future growth, while ongoing risks need to be monitored closely.

Core Insights - The market began 2025 positively but faced volatility due to tariff and geopolitical risks, with the Fed cutting rates by 25 basis points to 4.00–4.25% in September and signaling two more cuts for the year [1] - Despite inflation and rising unemployment, equities remain near record highs, driven by optimism over rate cuts, AI-driven earnings growth, and hopes for a soft landing [1] - Retail investors face challenges in stock selection amidst these conditions [1] Sales Growth as a Key Metric - Sales growth is preferred over earnings for evaluating stocks, as it reflects actual demand and provides visibility into a company's business model durability [3] - Companies that can grow revenues during economic downturns demonstrate pricing power and competitive advantages [3] - Constant sales growth leads to stronger cash flows, allowing for reinvestment, market expansion, or shareholder returns without excessive debt reliance [5] Stock Selection Criteria - Stocks with 5-Year Historical Sales Growth (%) greater than industry average and Cash Flow over $500 million are prioritized [6] - Additional metrics include P/S Ratio less than industry average, positive % Change in F1 Sales Estimate Revisions, Operating Margin greater than 5%, and Return on Equity (ROE) greater than 5% [7][8][9] Recommended Stocks - **Lamb Weston (LW)**: Expected sales growth rate of 1.3% for fiscal 2026, Zacks Rank 1 [12] - **Universal Health Services (UHS)**: Expected sales growth rate of 8.5% for 2025, Zacks Rank 2 [14] - **FirstEnergy Corp (FE)**: Expected sales growth of 6.6% in 2025, Zacks Rank 2 [14] - **NetEase, Inc. (NTES)**: Expected sales growth of 10.3% for 2025, Zacks Rank 2 [15] - **JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM)**: Expected sales growth of 2.1% in 2025, Zacks Rank 2 [16]

Group 1: Essential Utilities - Essential Utilities has a dividend yield of 3.50% and an annual dividend of $1.37, with a dividend increase track record of 32 years and a payout ratio of 58.80% [3][5] - The company reported a 35% year-over-year increase in GAAP EPS, driven by its gas and water businesses and operational efficiency, particularly in Texas [4] - Essential Utilities announced a 5.25% increase in its dividend, continuing its tradition of over three decades of dividend increases, indicating strong earnings growth potential [5] Group 2: Globe Life - Globe Life has a dividend yield of 0.77% and an annual dividend of $1.08, with a dividend increase track record of 20 years and a low payout ratio of 8.63% [7][10] - The company reported a net operating income of $271 million for the latest quarter, marking a 10% year-over-year improvement, and raised its full-year earnings guidance [8] - Globe Life has engaged in significant share buybacks, spending approximately $226 million in the second quarter and planning up to $650 million in repurchases through 2025 [9] Group 3: NetEase - NetEase has a dividend yield of 1.66% and an annual dividend of $2.27, with a payout ratio of 30.72% [11] - Despite facing potential downside of -9.5%, most analysts still view NetEase shares as a Buy, highlighting its successful games segment driven by popular titles [12]

Summary of NetEase, Inc. 2Q25 Earnings Call Company Overview - **Company**: NetEase, Inc (NTES) - **Industry**: China Internet and Other Services - **Market Cap**: US$86,501 million - **Stock Rating**: Overweight - **Price Target**: US$151.00, representing a 12% upside from the close price of US$134.90 on August 13, 2025 Key Financial Highlights - **Revenue**: - 2Q25 revenue increased by 9% YoY to Rmb27.9 billion, with online game revenue rising by 15% YoY to Rmb22.1 billion, exceeding Morgan Stanley's estimate by 2% [1][3] - **Gross Profit**: - Gross profit rose by 13% YoY to Rmb18.1 billion, with a gross profit margin (GPM) improvement to 64.7%, driven by a shift towards PC games [2][3] - **Operating Profit**: - Adjusted operating profit increased by 24% YoY to Rmb10 billion, also 2% above estimates [2] - **Net Profit**: - Adjusted net profit grew by 22% YoY to Rmb9.5 billion, slightly above estimates but below heightened market expectations due to increased sales and marketing expenses [3][6] Segment Performance - **Online Games**: - Revenue from online games was Rmb22.1 billion, reflecting a 15% YoY growth [1] - **Youdao**: - Revenue increased by 9% YoY to Rmb1.4 billion [3] - **Music**: - Revenue decreased by 4% YoY to Rmb1.97 billion [3] - **Innovative Business and Others**: - Revenue fell by 17% YoY to Rmb2.36 billion [3] Expense and Margin Analysis - **Sales and Marketing Expenses**: - The sales and marketing expense ratio increased to 12.8%, aligning with management's long-term target [2] - **Operating Margin**: - Operating margin for 2Q25 was reported at 35.9%, a 4.2 percentage point increase YoY [3] Market Outlook - **Growth Expectations**: - The company anticipates continued growth in the gaming sector, supported by strong contract liabilities, which are expected to positively impact 3Q performance [1] - **Investment Opportunity**: - Analysts suggest that any potential dip in share price presents a good opportunity for accumulation, given the long-term guidance of 13-14% growth [6] Risks and Considerations - **Market Risks**: - The company faces risks related to slower growth and limited overseas exposure compared to US/EU publishers [9] - **Performance Risks**: - Potential risks include weaker-than-expected margins and the performance of existing or new game titles [9] Conclusion NetEase, Inc. demonstrated solid financial performance in 2Q25, with significant growth in revenue and profit, particularly in the online gaming segment. The company is well-positioned for future growth, although it faces certain market risks that investors should consider.

Industry Overview - The Internet-Software & Services industry is closely tied to the economy, with initial estimates declining due to anticipated negative impacts from tariffs, inflation, and interest rate decisions [1] - The industry is currently experiencing operating leverage, leading to improved margins as revenue has rebounded alongside capital investments [1] Key Companies - Companies like Globant (GLOB) and NetEase (NTES) are notable for their global operations, which spread revenue and risk internationally [2] - Both companies have established client retention systems through subscriptions and platforms, and are leveraging AI in their operations [2] Long-term Outlook - The industry is considered the backbone of the digital economy, with a diverse range of players contributing to its resilience [3] - Valuations have significantly decreased, making the industry attractive at current levels [3] Technology Adoption - The level of technology adoption by businesses is crucial for growth, with many companies enhancing their platforms for AI development [7] - The increasing demand for cloud-based software and services is driving infrastructure buildout, which raises costs and affects profitability [7] Market Performance - The Zacks Internet – Software & Services Industry has outperformed the broader Zacks Computer and Technology Sector and the S&P 500, returning 41.8% over the past year compared to 29% and 20.3% respectively [12] - The industry is currently trading at a median forward 12-month price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 22.15X, which is a 2.4% discount to the S&P 500 and a 21.3% discount to the technology sector [15] Company Highlights: Globant (GLOB) - Globant has shown impressive growth with a revenue CAGR of 28.3% from 2014 to 2024, while improving customer concentration [21] - The company is focusing on AI-related opportunities and has a subscription model that provides steady revenue inflows [20] - In the last quarter, Globant's revenue grew 7% year-over-year, but it missed the Zacks Consensus estimate by 5.7% [23] Company Highlights: NetEase (NTES) - NetEase focuses on diverse online services, including gaming and education, and has a strong in-house R&D team [27] - The gaming segment has shown significant momentum, with recent titles performing well [28] - NetEase's shares have gained 43.8% over the past year, with earnings for the March quarter exceeding estimates by 23.5% [29]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for Tencent Holdings with a target price of HK$670, implying an expected share price return of 28.6% and a total return of 29.5% [3][10]. Core Insights - Tencent's 1Q25 results exceeded expectations, with total revenues growing by 13% year-over-year (yoy) to Rmb180.0 billion, driven by strong performance in domestic games and online advertising, which grew by 24% and 20% yoy, respectively [1][2]. - Non-IFRS net profit for 1Q25 was Rmb61.3 billion, reflecting a 22% yoy increase, surpassing consensus estimates [1][2]. - The report highlights the ongoing benefits of AI integration across Tencent's business segments, contributing to higher margins and revenue growth [6]. Revenue Breakdown - Total Value-Added Services (VAS) revenues increased by 17% yoy to Rmb92 billion, with online games revenues at Rmb59.5 billion, up 24% yoy [1][2]. - Online advertising revenues rose by 20% yoy to Rmb31.9 billion, exceeding expectations [1][2]. - Fintech and business services revenues grew by 5% yoy to Rmb54.9 billion, driven by consumer loan services and wealth management [1]. Deferred Revenues - Total deferred revenues increased by 15% yoy to Rmb127.4 billion, with current deferred revenues up 16% yoy [1][2]. Capital Expenditure - Tencent's capital expenditure for 1Q25 was Rmb27.5 billion, representing a significant increase of 91% yoy [1][6].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Tencent Holdings Ltd. is "Overweight" with an attractive industry view [5][70]. Core Insights - The report indicates a modest upside and a modest revision higher in the earnings forecast, strengthening the overall investment thesis [2][7]. - Tencent's total revenues for 1Q25 reached RMB 180.022 billion, representing a year-over-year increase of 12.9% and beating consensus estimates by 2.6% [3][7]. - The gaming segment showed significant growth, with online games revenue increasing by 23.7% year-over-year, surpassing consensus by 7.6% [3][7]. - Gross profit rose by 19.8% year-over-year, with a gross margin of 55.8%, an increase of 3.2 percentage points compared to the previous year [3][7]. - Non-IFRS net profit increased by 22% year-over-year, also exceeding consensus expectations by 4% [3][7]. Financial Performance Summary - **Revenue Breakdown**: - Value-Added Services (VAS) revenue was RMB 92.133 billion, up 17.2% year-over-year, with online games contributing RMB 59.5 billion [3]. - Online advertising revenue was RMB 31.853 billion, reflecting a 20.2% increase [3]. - FinTech and Business Services revenue was RMB 54.907 billion, a 5% increase [3]. - **Profitability Metrics**: - Operating profit (Non-IFRS) reached RMB 69.320 billion, an 18.3% increase year-over-year [3]. - The diluted EPS for 1Q25 was RMB 5.1, a 16.9% increase year-over-year [3]. - **Future Projections**: - The fiscal year 2025 revenue is projected to be RMB 726 billion, with an expected EPS of RMB 23.30 [5][70]. Valuation and Price Target - The price target for Tencent Holdings Ltd. is set at HK$630.00, indicating a potential upside of 21% from the current price of HK$521.00 [5]. - The valuation methodology includes a discounted cash flow (DCF) approach with a 10% discount rate and a 3% terminal growth rate [8][9].