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【安泰科】单晶硅片周评-上下游僵持博弈 硅片价格持稳运行(2025年9月25日)
更新日期: 2025-09-25 价格根据 12 家企业 P 型 M10 单晶硅片、N 型 G10L 单晶硅片、N 型 G12R 单晶硅片、P 型 G 12 单晶硅片、N型 G12 单晶硅片的季度产量占比,通过加权平均整理所得(参与价格统计的 1 2 家企业 2025 年 2 季度产量占国内单晶硅片总产量的 92. 77%),均为含税价,波动根据前一 周价格比较所得。 本周硅片价格暂无明显波动。其中, N 型 G10L 单晶硅片 (182*183.75mm/130 μ m) 成交均价在 1.32 元 / 片; N 型 G12R 单晶硅片 (182*210mm/130 μ m) 成交均价在 1.40 元 / 片; N 型 G12 单晶硅片 (210*210 mm/130 μ m) 成交均价在 1.68 元 / 片, 各型号硅片价格较上周持平。 本周硅片订单成交较少,市场观望情绪增加。具体来看,供应端:在上游多晶硅价格持续 上行带动下,硅片厂商的生产成本增加构筑了硅片价格的底部支撑位置,硅片企业挺价提价 意愿较强。需求端:虽然海外需求持续,但是在终端需求不及预期的情形下,国内需求偏 弱,市场对高价订单接受程度较弱 ...
硅业分会:本周单晶硅片价格小幅探涨 成本端支撑下价格有望维持上行
智通财经网· 2025-08-28 07:49
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates that silicon wafer prices have slightly increased this week due to positive market sentiment, with various grades experiencing different levels of price hikes [1][2] - N-type G10L monocrystalline silicon wafer average transaction price is 1.25 yuan/piece, up 4.17% from last week; N-type G12R at 1.37 yuan/piece, up 1.48%; and N-type G12 at 1.57 yuan/piece, up 1.29% [1][3] - The supply side is influenced by rising polysilicon prices, leading manufacturers to have a bullish outlook and a strong willingness to raise prices [1][2] Group 2 - Downstream battery and module prices remained stable this week, with mainstream battery prices at 0.28-0.29 yuan/W and module prices at 0.65-0.67 yuan/W [2] - Future silicon wafer price trends will depend on the acceptance levels of downstream battery and module sectors; if wafer prices exceed expected psychological price points, high-priced transactions may be affected [2] - Despite weak terminal demand, the industry is in a supply-demand mismatch situation, but short-term support from high polysilicon prices suggests a low probability of significant price drops for silicon wafers [2] Group 3 - The overall operating rate in the industry remains stable compared to last week, with major companies operating at rates of 50% and 46%, while integrated companies operate between 50%-80% [1] - The data on silicon wafer prices is based on a weighted average from 12 companies, which accounted for 92.77% of the domestic monocrystalline silicon wafer total production in Q2 2025 [4] - The participating companies in the price statistics include major players such as JA Solar Technology, Trina Solar, and LONGi Green Energy [4]
硅业分会:单晶硅片价格整体持稳运行 市场观望情绪较为浓厚
智通财经网· 2025-08-14 08:16
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates that the silicon wafer prices remain stable this week, with no significant fluctuations observed in the market [1][2] - The average transaction prices for various types of N-type silicon wafers are as follows: N-type G10L at 1.2 yuan/piece, N-type G12R at 1.35 yuan/piece, and N-type G12 at 1.55 yuan/piece, all unchanged from the previous week [1][3] - The market sentiment is characterized by a cautious outlook, with weak trading activity and limited orders due to high raw material prices and the inability of the price increases to effectively transmit to the end component segment [1][2] Group 2 - Downstream battery prices remain stable, while component prices have slightly decreased, with mainstream battery prices at 0.28-0.29 yuan/W and component prices at 0.65-0.67 yuan/W [2] - The overall operating rates in the industry show no significant changes, with leading companies operating at rates of 50% and 46%, while integrated companies operate between 50%-80% [1] - Future price pressures on silicon wafers may arise if domestic component demand continues to be weak, compounded by the lack of export tax rebate policies and changes in overseas geopolitical situations [2]
硅业分会:上下游僵持博弈 单晶硅片价格持稳运行
智通财经网· 2025-08-07 07:35
Price Stability - The prices of monocrystalline silicon wafers have stabilized this week, with N-type G10L wafers priced at 1.2 yuan/piece, N-type G12R wafers at 1.35 yuan/piece, and N-type G12 wafers at 1.55 yuan/piece, all remaining unchanged from last week [1][2][3]. Market Dynamics - The silicon wafer market is currently in a stalemate phase, with downstream demand decreasing due to sensitivity to cost changes and a halt in battery inventory accumulation, leading to reduced procurement needs [1][2]. - On the supply side, manufacturers are reluctant to lower prices due to stable silicon material prices and low wafer inventory, indicating a strong willingness to maintain prices [1]. Production Rates - The overall industry operating rate remains stable, with two leading companies operating at 50% and 46%, while integrated companies operate between 50% and 80%, and other companies also range from 50% to 80% [1]. Future Outlook - The market sentiment is increasingly cautious, with expectations of short-term price fluctuations in the silicon wafer market, influenced mainly by downstream component market demand and battery purchasing rhythms [2].
【安泰科】单晶硅片周评--需求偏弱成交清淡 硅片价格小幅下跌(2025年6月19日)
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates that silicon wafer prices are under slight downward pressure due to weak terminal demand and significant declines in raw material prices, particularly polysilicon [1][2] - The average transaction prices for N-type silicon wafers have decreased slightly: G10L at 0.90 yuan per piece (down 3.23%), G12R at 1.04 yuan per piece (down 1.89%), and G12 at 1.25 yuan per piece (down 0.79%) [1][3] - The overall operating rates in the industry remain relatively stable, with major companies operating at rates between 50% and 80% [1] Group 2 - Downstream battery and module prices have remained stable, with mainstream battery prices at 0.24-0.25 yuan/W and module prices at 0.66-0.67 yuan/W, showing no change from the previous week [2] - Short-term demand in the downstream market is not expected to show significant recovery, which will continue to exert pressure on silicon wafer prices [2] - Companies are showing a strong willingness to reduce production to maintain prices amid widespread losses in the industry, suggesting limited downward space for silicon wafer prices if polysilicon prices do not decline significantly [2]
光伏产业链价格延续下行态势 部分环节考虑减产挺价
Group 1: Market Overview - The polysilicon spot market has seen limited transactions this week, with prices experiencing a downward trend. The average transaction price for N-type re-investment material is 40,300 yuan/ton, down 1.71% week-on-week; N-type granular silicon is at 38,000 yuan/ton, down 2.56%; and P-type polysilicon is at 33,000 yuan/ton, down 1.49% [1] - The market is currently in a stalemate, with buyers and sellers unable to reach a price consensus. Some silicon material companies are tentatively lowering prices for downstream buyers, who are rejecting orders due to unmet price expectations [1][2] Group 2: Production and Supply Dynamics - Crystal pulling manufacturers have approximately 1 to 1.5 months of silicon material inventory, leading to a strategy focused on inventory digestion and enhancing negotiation leverage. Smaller manufacturers may finalize a small number of orders by the end of April, while large manufacturers' negotiations will dictate bulk transactions [2] - In April, silicon material manufacturers have limited production increases, with some responding to production cuts, maintaining levels similar to March. The production situation in May is uncertain due to weak market conditions and accumulated inventory concerns [2] Group 3: Price Trends and Forecasts - The price of silicon wafers continues to decline, primarily due to a rapid drop in downstream component demand, leading to reduced battery production and weakened demand for silicon wafers. The market atmosphere is notably sluggish, with some wafer companies resorting to panic selling [3] - Despite the downward trend in silicon wafer prices, the supply in the industry has not shown significant changes. The outlook suggests that if terminal demand does not recover in the short term, silicon wafer prices will likely continue to decline [3] - In the battery segment, prices for 183N, 210RN, and 210N battery cells have dropped to 0.285 yuan/W, 0.28 yuan/W, and 0.30 yuan/W respectively. The price dynamics are influenced by intense negotiations and attempts by manufacturers to stabilize prices above cost levels [4][5] Group 4: Component Pricing and Market Competition - Component prices are experiencing a rapid decline, with centralized project components priced between 0.67 yuan/W and 0.71 yuan/W, while new orders have dropped to 0.68 yuan/W, with some negotiations even at 0.65 yuan/W [5] - The current inventory levels for components are healthy, but demand will depend on the initiation of domestic centralized projects in the second half of the year and the stability of overseas demand [5]
【安泰科】单晶硅片周评-下游需求明显降低 硅片价格继续下行(2025年4月24日)
本周硅片价格继续下行,其中 N 型 G10L 单晶硅片 (182*183.75mm/130 μ m/256mm) 成交均价在 1.12 元 / 片,周环比跌幅 8.20% ; N 型 G12R 单晶硅片 (182*210mm/130 μ m) 成交均价在 1.30 元 / 片,周环比跌幅 9.09% ; P 型 G12 单晶硅片 (210*210mm/150um) 成交均价在 1.63 元 / 片,周环比持 平; N 型 G12 单晶硅片 (210*210 mm/150 μ m) 成交均价在 1.46 元 / 片,周环比跌幅 4.58% 。本周下 游电池需求降低,硅片市场供大于求,价格呈现继续下跌态势,且其下行趋势暂未有好转迹象。 本周硅片价格保持下行态势,其主要原因是下游终端组件需求快速回落,导致电池排产下降,对 硅片需求大幅减弱,市场活跃度明显萧条,上下游成交氛围低迷。具体来看,市场在政策节点将至的 情形下,看跌后市,部分硅片企业恐慌性降价出货。同时,上游多晶硅价格大幅下跌,下游认为硅片 后续降幅空间增大,以及美国对等关税和美国对柬埔寨、马来西亚、泰国和越南东南亚四国的光伏产 品增加关税,这一系列因素带动 ...
【安泰科】单晶硅片周评-市场悲观情绪浓厚 硅片价格跌幅扩大(2025年4月17日)
本周硅片价格大幅下跌,其中 N 型 G10L 单晶硅片 (182*183.75mm/130 μ m/256mm) 成交均价在 1.22 元 / 片,周环比跌幅 3.17% ; N 型 G12R 单晶硅片 (182*210mm/130 μ m) 成交均价在 1.43 元 / 片,周环比跌幅 5.92% ; P 型 G12 单晶 硅片 (210*210mm/150um) 成交均价在 1.63 元 / 片,周环比跌幅 1.81% ; N 型 G12 单晶硅片 (210*210 mm/150 μ m) 成交均价在 1.53 元 / 片,周环比跌幅 1.29% 。本周 上下游看跌后市情绪较为浓厚,部分企业恐慌性低价出货,硅片价格继续下行。 本周硅片价格继续下跌,且跌幅较大,造成这一现象主要原因是需求减弱,供需关系反 转。具体来看,随着" 430 与 531 "抢装潮的第一个时间节点临近,终端组件的需求基本达 到最高点,下游备货接近尾声,后续需求会陆续下降。同时,本周开始以 210RN 为主的电 池端价格明显下行,直接影响电池端对硅片的采购。硅片厂商在终端需求减弱预期以及电池 跌价的双重压力下,去库意愿强烈,降价让利行为 ...