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光伏股集体走低 抢装潮落幕后装机连续创新低 市场关注产能出清节奏与后续装机需求
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-10-13 03:22
Core Viewpoint - The photovoltaic stocks have collectively declined, with significant drops in share prices for companies such as 福莱特 (Flat Glass), 信义光能 (Xinyi Solar), and 新特能源 (Xinte Energy) due to a slowdown in installation rates following an initial surge earlier in the year [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - 福莱特 (601865) glass shares fell by 7.24%, trading at 10.76 HKD [1] - 信义光能 (00968) shares decreased by 6.13%, trading at 3.37 HKD [1] - 信义玻璃 (00868) shares dropped by 5.38%, trading at 8.61 HKD [1] - 新特能源 (01799) shares declined by 4.18%, trading at 7.8 HKD [1] Group 2: Industry Trends - The "136 document" issued at the beginning of the year led to a "rush to install" photovoltaic systems, resulting in a year-on-year doubling of new installations [1] - However, this installation rush ended by the end of May, with June, July, and August seeing continuously low installation rates and increasing month-on-month declines [1] - 国信证券 (Guosen Securities) indicated that the future profitability of photovoltaic companies will largely depend on the pace of capacity clearance and the market-driven pricing of on-grid electricity [1] Group 3: Market Outlook - 南华期货 (Nanhua Futures) noted that the market has already priced in the lack of a photovoltaic storage platform as of September, but rumors suggest that such a platform may be established by mid-October [1] - Attention is required on upcoming photovoltaic conferences and market conditions [1] - As November approaches, the market will enter a concentrated cancellation period for polysilicon warehouse receipts, which may lead to significant pressure on the PS2511 contract if there is a lack of buying interest from bulls [1]