点 击 蓝 字 关 注 我 们 2025年6月全国整体乘用车市场价格指数 轿车市场 CAM·06月轿车市场价格变化指数为 -2.97，市场成交价12.95万 一、 2025 CAM·整体价格变化指数—06月 CAM·06月整体市场价格变化指数为 -2.13，市场成交价15.52万 i. 本月市场整体成交价较上月下降1,959元，环比降低1.2% ii. 本月轿车市场成交价下降较为明显，其中，轿车市场（2.47%↓）、SUV市场（0.8%↓）、MPV （1.46%↑） 二、 2025 CAM·整体优惠变化指数—06月 CAM·06月整体市场优惠变化指数为 1.46，市场优惠幅度3.01万 i. 本月市场整体优惠幅度较上月提升497元，环比提升1.68% ii. 本月大类细分市场中，轿车市场优惠幅度持续增加，其中轿车（3.9%↑）、SUV（0.3%↓）、 MPV （0.4%↓） 三、 2025 CAM·各车身形式指数—06月 i. 本月轿车市场整体优惠幅度较上月提升1,183元，环比提升3.9% 本文全文共 2327 字，阅读全文约需 7 分钟 i. 本月轿车市场整体成交价较上月下降3,278元，环比降低2.47 ...

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The focus of the conference call is on the impact of additional tariffs imposed by the US on Japanese exports, particularly in the automotive sector, and its implications for Japan's economy and corporate profits [4][7][27]. Core Insights and Arguments 1. **Tariff Burden Distribution**: The question of who bears the burden of additional tariffs is crucial for market participants, affecting inflation trends in the US and Japan's export volumes and corporate earnings [4][6]. 2. **Decline in Export Prices**: Japan's passenger car export prices to the US fell by approximately 20% in April-June 2025, indicating that Japanese automakers are absorbing a significant portion of the 25 percentage point tariff [4][8][20]. 3. **Impact on Corporate Profits**: If the trend of absorbing tariffs spreads across various industries, it could lead to a decline in corporate profits and nominal GDP in Japan, potentially falling below forecasts [4][32]. 4. **Pricing Behavior Variability**: While passenger car prices have declined, no significant price drops were noted for auto parts, suggesting different pricing strategies and market dynamics within the automotive sector [4][21][27]. 5. **Limited Industry Impact**: The trend of exporters absorbing tariffs appears limited to specific industries, primarily passenger cars and iron/aluminum, while other sectors show only slight price declines that are statistically insignificant [4][25][27]. 6. **Future Price Adjustments**: There is uncertainty regarding whether Japanese exporters can fully pass on the tariff burden to US selling prices in the long run, with potential price increases expected as negotiations between Japan and the US progress [4][28][30]. Additional Important Points 1. **Economic Forecasts**: The June BOJ Tankan survey indicated a marked deterioration in the profit outlook for the auto manufacturing industry, contrasting with more stable forecasts for other sectors like chemicals [32]. 2. **Real GDP Impact**: The impact on Japan's real GDP remains uncertain, as the limited increase in US selling prices may help maintain export volumes, but corporate profit declines could reduce domestic demand [32][33]. 3. **Monitoring Future Trends**: Continuous monitoring of price trends is necessary to assess the long-term validity of the current pricing behavior and its implications for Japan's economy [29][39]. Conclusion - The conference call highlights the complexities of tariff impacts on the Japanese economy, particularly in the automotive sector, and underscores the need for ongoing analysis as conditions evolve.

Company Performance - Rivian Automotive (RIVN) closed at $13.39, down 2.73% from the previous trading session, underperforming the S&P 500's loss of 0.84% [1] - Over the past month, Rivian's shares have decreased by 12.97%, contrasting with the Auto-Tires-Trucks sector's unchanged performance and the S&P 500's gain of 1.44% [2] - The upcoming earnings disclosure is anticipated, with an expected EPS of -$0.65, reflecting a 46.28% growth year-over-year, and a revenue forecast of $1.29 billion, up 11.22% from the prior-year quarter [3] Annual Forecast - For the entire year, the Zacks Consensus Estimates predict an EPS of -$2.49 and revenue of $5.25 billion, indicating a year-over-year change of +38.37% for earnings and +5.66% for revenue [4] - Recent analyst estimate revisions for Rivian Automotive suggest positive short-term business trends, which are generally viewed as favorable for the business outlook [4] Industry Context - Rivian operates within the Automotive - Domestic industry, which is part of the Auto-Tires-Trucks sector, currently holding a Zacks Industry Rank of 176, placing it in the bottom 29% of over 250 industries [7] - The Zacks Industry Rank is based on the average Zacks Rank of individual stocks in the industry, indicating that higher-ranked industries tend to outperform lower-ranked ones by a factor of 2 to 1 [7]

Overall Market Trends - In April 2025, the overall passenger car market price index decreased by 1.54, with an average transaction price of 156,100 yuan, reflecting a month-on-month decline of 651 yuan or 0.42% [3] - The overall discount index for the market increased to 1.06, with an average discount of 29,500 yuan, indicating a month-on-month increase of 1,179 yuan or 4.2% [3] Sedan Market - The sedan market price index was 0.68, with an average transaction price of 132,800 yuan, showing a month-on-month decrease of 457 yuan or 0.34% [7] - The overall discount index for the sedan market was -0.68, with an average discount of 29,000 yuan, reflecting a month-on-month increase of 1,717 yuan or 6.3% [7] SUV Market - The SUV market price index was -1.99, with an average transaction price of 168,700 yuan, indicating a month-on-month increase of 1,531 yuan or a decline of 0.9% [7] - The overall discount index for the SUV market was 1.17, with an average discount of 30,100 yuan, showing a month-on-month increase of 671 yuan or 2.3% [7] MPV Market - The MPV market price index was -3.62, with an average transaction price of 264,100 yuan, reflecting a month-on-month decrease of 8,713 yuan or 3.19% [7] - The overall discount index for the MPV market was 2.69, with an average discount of 27,700 yuan, indicating a month-on-month increase of 855 yuan or 3.2% [7] New Energy Market - The overall new energy market price index in April 2025 was -4.57, with an average transaction price of 155,500 yuan [8] - The overall discount index for the new energy market was 1.44, with an average discount of 12,400 yuan, reflecting a month-on-month increase of 1,120 yuan or 10.9% [9] New Energy Sedan Market - The new energy sedan market price index was -0.49, with an average transaction price of 119,700 yuan, showing a month-on-month decrease of 650 yuan or 0.5% [13] - The overall discount index for the new energy sedan market was 0.43, with an average discount of 9,700 yuan, indicating a month-on-month increase of 965 yuan or 11% [10] New Energy SUV Market - The new energy SUV market price index was -5.25, with an average transaction price of 182,400 yuan, reflecting a month-on-month decrease of 2,475 yuan or 1.3% [11] - The overall discount index for the new energy SUV market was 2.06, with an average discount of 14,600 yuan, indicating a month-on-month increase of 1,475 yuan or 11.2% [11] New Energy MPV Market - The new energy MPV market price index was -8.34, with an average transaction price of 306,900 yuan, showing a month-on-month decrease of 24,897 yuan or 7.5% [15] - The overall discount index for the new energy MPV market was 2.28, with an average discount of 21,400 yuan, reflecting a month-on-month decrease of 1,245 yuan or 5.4% [15]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the proposed revisions to mandatory national standards for passenger vehicle fuel consumption and electric vehicle energy consumption, emphasizing the need for stricter regulations to enhance energy efficiency and support carbon reduction goals [4][5][16]. Summary by Sections Introduction of New Standards - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology is soliciting opinions on four mandatory national standards, particularly focusing on the "Evaluation Methods and Indicators for Fuel Consumption of Passenger Cars" and "Energy Consumption Limits for Electric Vehicles" [4][5]. Changes in Fuel Consumption Evaluation Methods - The new standard replaces GB 27999-2019 and introduces a transition period of over six months, with implementation starting from January 1, 2026. It applies to M1 class vehicles, including various fuel types [5][7]. - Key changes include the definition of average fuel consumption for traditional energy passenger vehicles and average CO2 emissions for enterprises [7]. Determination of Fuel Consumption - The method for determining vehicle fuel consumption has been revised, with specific guidelines for different types of hybrid and electric vehicles, utilizing the Worldwide Harmonized Light Vehicles Test Procedure (WLTP) [8][9]. Fuel Consumption Targets and CO2 Emissions - The new standard sets a comprehensive target for passenger vehicle fuel consumption by 2030, with specific calculations for vehicles with different seating capacities. It also introduces a method for calculating average CO2 emissions for enterprises [10][11]. Annual Requirements for Average Fuel Consumption - From 2026, the ratio of average fuel consumption to target values will be strictly regulated, with decreasing percentages each year until reaching 100% in 2030 [11][13]. Calculation of Average Fuel Consumption for Traditional Energy Vehicles - The new standard includes a detailed calculation method for average fuel consumption of traditional energy vehicles, emphasizing stricter compliance with energy-saving policies [14][15]. Importance of Standard Revision - The revision is crucial for national energy security, supporting carbon peak goals by promoting advanced low-carbon technologies, and facilitating the automotive industry's transformation towards high-quality development [16]. Electric Vehicle Energy Consumption Limits - The new standard for electric vehicles replaces GB/T 36980-2018 and introduces significant changes, including the application and determination of type approval for energy consumption limits [17][18]. - It also establishes production consistency requirements and criteria for determining the same vehicle type [20][21]. Significance of Electric Vehicle Standards - The revised standards aim to promote energy efficiency and low-carbon development in electric vehicles, enhance technological advancements in the automotive industry, and curb the trend of vehicle size increase [22].

点 击 蓝 字 关 注 我 们 本文全文共 3367 字，阅读全文约需 11 分钟 由于外部环境的剧烈变化，且出现超预期的普遍加关税的巨大外部变盘压力，消费心态也受到一定的影 响，但国家早有促进内需的政策导向，因此我们的发展靠"内、外需"共同推动的趋势日益明显，乘用车市场稳 内需的效果已经持续体现。随着一季度经济持续走稳，4月乘用车市场零售走势平稳向好。 3.2025年4月全国乘用车厂商销量平稳 乘用车： 4月1-20日，全国乘用车市场零售89.7万辆，同比去年4月同期增长12%，较上月同期下降9%， 今年以来累计零售602.4万辆，同比去期增长7%；4月1-20日，全国乘用车厂商批发99.3万辆，同比去年4月同 期增长14%，较上月同期下降12%，今年以来累计批发727.1万辆，同比增长12%。 新能源： 4月1-20日，全国乘用车新能源市场零售47.8万辆，同比去年4月同期增长20%，较上月同期下降 11%，零售渗透率53.3%，今年以来累计零售289.8万辆，同比增长33%；4月1-20日，全国乘用车厂商新能源批 发53万辆，同比去年4月同期增长23%，较上月同期下降7%，批发渗透率53.3%，今年以来 ...

Group 1: Market Overview - From March 1 to 23, the national passenger car market retail reached 1.154 million units, a year-on-year increase of 18% compared to the same period last year, and a month-on-month increase of 25% [1] - The wholesale of passenger cars during the same period was 1.321 million units, a year-on-year increase of 16% and a month-on-month increase of 33% [1] - The cumulative retail for the year reached 4.33 million units, with a year-on-year growth of 5% [1] Group 2: New Energy Vehicles - Retail of new energy vehicles from March 1 to 23 reached 622,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 30% and a month-on-month increase of 40% [1] - The wholesale of new energy vehicles was 670,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 35% and a month-on-month increase of 30% [1] - Cumulative retail for new energy vehicles this year reached 2.048 million units, with a year-on-year growth of 34% [1] Group 3: Sales Trends - Daily average retail for the first week of March was 40,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 14% and a month-on-month increase of 52% [3] - In the second week, daily average retail increased to 58,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 34% [4] - The third week saw a slight decrease to 55,000 units, with a year-on-year increase of 8% [5] Group 4: Manufacturer Performance - Daily average wholesale for manufacturers in the first week was 45,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 26% and a month-on-month increase of 84% [6] - The second week saw an increase to 67,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 24% [7] - The third week recorded 64,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 1% [8] Group 5: Inventory and Market Dynamics - As of the end of February 2025, national passenger car inventory was 3.08 million units, with a turnover of 51 days [9] - The inventory increased by 90,000 units from the previous month but decreased by 130,000 units year-on-year [9] - The overall inventory pressure is manageable, with a notable increase in new energy vehicle inventory [9] Group 6: Battery Market Analysis - In February 2025, lithium battery installations reached 34.9 Wh, a year-on-year increase of 94% [10] - The market share of ternary batteries decreased to 18%, while lithium iron phosphate batteries increased to 81% [10] - The competition in the battery market is dominated by CATL and BYD, with CATL holding a 47.5% market share [11] Group 7: Commercial Vehicle Insights - In February 2025, domestic commercial vehicle sales reached 240,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 63% [12] - New energy commercial vehicle sales reached 46,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 183% [12] - The penetration rate of new energy in commercial vehicles was 19%, with significant growth in buses and trucks [12]