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黄金价格剧烈波动,谁是背后推手?
3 6 Ke· 2026-02-04 04:06
此次行情剧烈波动的背景是贵金属的金融商品化的加强。2000年代初出现了以黄金现货为支撑的ETF 等,个人和机构投资家以低成本投资黄金的手段越来越多。资金在短时间内流入流出,这使得价格更容 易剧烈波动。 与此同时,将行情波动放大至2倍的杠杆型ETF的存在感也在增强。美国ETF巨头ProShares运营 的"ProShares Ultra Gold"的目标是,相对于与黄金期货连动的指数波动达到2倍。 该ETF在黄金期货创出历史新高的1月29日,交易额与1周前相比增至9倍以上。经由杠杆ETF等纸黄金 的资金的流动,已成为加剧价格波动的因素之一。 黄金的伦敦现货价格2月2日一度比最高点最多下跌21%。行情下跌后,等待时机的日本和中 国投资者等的买入集中出现。大阪交易所的黄金期货交易连日触发熔断机制。3日亚洲交易 时段金价重新大幅反弹。在此次行情剧烈涨跌的背后,存在ETF等交易的扩大…… 黄金价格2月3日快速反弹。相比前一天的大幅下跌明显反转,逢低买入的需求迅速升温。在日本大阪交 易所的黄金期货交易中,暂时中断交易的熔断机制(circuit breaker)继前一天之后再次被触发。在贵金 属市场出现的行情剧烈涨跌的背后 ...
黄金价格剧烈波动,谁是背后推手?
日经中文网· 2026-02-04 03:24
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the significant fluctuations in gold prices, highlighting a sharp decline followed by a rapid rebound, driven by increased buying activity from investors in Japan and China, and the impact of leveraged ETFs on market volatility [2][4][5]. Group 1: Price Fluctuations - On February 2, the London spot price of gold dropped to $4,403 per ounce, a decrease of up to 21% from the peak of $5,594 on January 29 [4]. - On February 3, gold prices rebounded, returning to the $4,900 range during Asian trading hours [4]. - The Osaka Exchange's gold futures triggered a circuit breaker due to a 10% increase, leading to a temporary halt in trading [4][5]. Group 2: Investor Behavior - Following the price drop, there was a surge in buying from Japanese and Chinese investors, indicating a strong demand for gold at lower prices [4]. - Market expert Rona O'Connell from StoneX noted that geopolitical risks continue to support gold prices, encouraging new investments [4]. Group 3: Market Mechanisms - The article explains the circuit breaker mechanism, which temporarily halts trading during significant market fluctuations to allow investors to make informed decisions [5]. - The presence of leveraged ETFs, such as ProShares Ultra Gold, has amplified price volatility, with trading volumes increasing significantly during market peaks [5][6]. Group 4: Retail Impact - Retail gold prices in Japan have been subject to frequent adjustments due to market volatility, with major retailers like Tanaka Kikinzoku experiencing increased customer traffic [7]. - Customers expressed urgency in purchasing gold, believing in its value amidst global economic uncertainties [7].