端到端的创新药开发能力，自免领域深度布局 荃信生物成立于2015年，作为国内少数几家专注于自身免疫及过敏性疾病研发的Biotech，公司已搭建 了从早研、生产到临床和商业化的端到端创新药开发体系。截至目前公司已构建了覆盖皮肤/风湿/呼吸/ 消化科四大协同治疗领域的全面研发管线，已拥有了1款获批产品，10款在研产品，以及20余项IND批 准。QX001S是国内首个获批上市的乌司奴单抗生物类似药，QX005N(IL-4Rα单抗)、QX002N(IL-17A单 抗)、QX004N(IL-23p19单抗)均已处于III期临床阶段，有望未来1-2年也将上市贡献业绩。 中金发布研报称，预计荃信生物-B(02509)2025~2027年EPS分别为1.61元、0.88元、0.55元。该行首次覆 盖给予跑赢行业评级，基于DCF估值，该行给予目标价33.0港元，较公司当前股价存在41.6%的上行空 间。该行认为公司现有成熟管线国内合作伙伴实力强劲，销售确定性强，双抗价值正逐步被海外药企所 认可。 中金主要观点如下： 潜在催化剂：QX005N III期数据读出及申报BLA，QX002N申报BLA，双抗产品逐步启动国内和海外临 床 ...

Core Viewpoint - CICC has initiated coverage on Zai Lab (02509) with an outperform rating, projecting EPS of 1.61, 0.88, and 0.55 CNY for 2025-2027, respectively, and a target price of HKD 33.0, indicating a 41.6% upside from the current stock price [1] Group 1: Company Overview - Zai Lab, established in 2015, is one of the few domestic biotech companies focused on the research and development of autoimmune and allergic diseases, having built an end-to-end innovative drug development system from early research to commercialization [2] - The company has developed a comprehensive R&D pipeline covering four major therapeutic areas: dermatology, rheumatology, respiratory, and gastroenterology, with one approved product, ten products in development, and over twenty IND approvals [2] Group 2: Product Development and Partnerships - Zai Lab has efficiently developed a series of long-acting bispecific antibodies (bsAbs) in the autoimmune field, with significant overseas licensing agreements for products QX030N, QX031N, and QX027N, indicating recognition from multinational corporations and investment institutions [3] - Potential catalysts for growth include the Phase III data readout and BLA submission for QX005N, BLA submission for QX002N, and the gradual initiation of domestic and overseas clinical trials for bispecific products [3]

Investment Highlights - Company is initiating coverage on Qianxin Biologics-B (02509) with an "outperform" rating and a target price of HKD 33.00, citing its end-to-end innovative drug development capabilities and deep focus in the autoimmune sector [1] - Established in 2015, Qianxin Biologics is one of the few domestic biotech firms specializing in the research and development of autoimmune and allergic diseases, having built a comprehensive drug development system from early research to commercialization [1] - The company has developed a pipeline covering four major therapeutic areas: dermatology, rheumatology, respiratory, and gastroenterology, with one approved product, ten products in development, and over twenty IND approvals [1] Product Pipeline and Collaborations - QX001S is the first approved biosimilar of ustekinumab in China, while QX005N (IL-4Rα monoclonal antibody), QX002N (IL-17A monoclonal antibody), and QX004N (IL-23p19 monoclonal antibody) are in Phase III clinical trials and expected to contribute to revenue in the next 1-2 years [1] - The company has efficiently developed a series of long-acting bispecific antibodies (bsAbs) in the autoimmune field, with overseas licensing agreements for QX030N, QX031N (TSLP/IL-33), and QX027N (TSLP/IL-13) signed with Caldera, Roche, and Windward, respectively, indicating recognition from multinational corporations and investment institutions [2] - The existing mature pipeline has strong domestic partners, ensuring sales certainty, and the value of bispecific antibodies is gradually being recognized by overseas pharmaceutical companies [2] Financial Projections - Earnings per share (EPS) forecasts for the company are projected at CNY 1.61, CNY 0.88, and CNY 0.55 for the years 2025 to 2027 [2] - The target price of HKD 33.00 represents a 41.6% upside potential from the current stock price, based on discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation [2]

Core Insights - In 2025, China's innovative drug BD transactions reached a record high, with a total transaction amount of $135.655 billion, including $7 billion in upfront payments and 157 deals, marking a significant milestone for the industry [1][14][17] Group 1: Transaction Highlights - December alone saw 15 overseas licensing deals with a potential total value exceeding $16 billion, concluding the year on a high note [1][14] - The trend of milestone payments is emerging, with several companies triggering these payments, indicating the strength of Chinese innovative drugs [4][19] - Notable milestone payments include $11 million from AstraZeneca for a joint therapy approval and $30 million from Instil for a clinical trial initiation [21][22] Group 2: Evolving Collaboration Models - The BD transaction landscape is diversifying, moving from "Newco" models to "Co-Co" (co-development and co-commercialization) partnerships, reflecting a shift in strategy among Chinese pharmaceutical companies [9][25] - A landmark deal between Innovent Biologics and Takeda, valued at $11.4 billion, exemplifies the "Co-Co" model, allowing shared development costs and profits [26][27] - The "Newco" model remains prevalent, with 9 such transactions recorded in 2025, showcasing the continued appeal of equity-linked collaborations [28] Group 3: Industry Implications - The increase in milestone payments not only alleviates cash flow pressures for companies but also signifies progress in global development efforts [5][19] - The successful execution of these transactions is expected to enhance global trust in Chinese innovative drugs, paving the way for more overseas collaborations [24] - The evolution of collaboration models indicates a growing confidence and negotiation power of Chinese pharmaceutical companies in the global market [10][27]

Group 1 - The core point of the article is that Zai Lab Limited (荃信生物-B) has seen its stock price increase by over 5% following the announcement of a licensing deal worth up to $700 million for the TSLPxIL-13 dual antibody drug with a subsidiary of Windward [1] - This marks the third overseas transaction for the company this year, following previous agreements granting global rights for QX030N to Caldera and licensing QX031N to Roche [1] - Zhongyou Securities highlights that the company is a leader in the domestic autoimmune innovative drug sector, with a solid foundation in this field [1] Group 2 - The company's mature pipeline is entering a monetization phase, enhancing its capital-raising capabilities [1] - The continuous overseas licensing of innovative pipelines provides further assurance for the company's stable operations [1] - Huachuang Securities expresses optimism about the company's ability to maintain its leading position in the autoimmune sector [1]

Core Viewpoint - The stock of Qianxin Biopharmaceuticals-B (02509) has risen over 5%, reflecting positive market sentiment following the announcement of a significant licensing deal in the autoimmune sector [1] Group 1: Company Developments - Qianxin Biopharmaceuticals announced a licensing agreement with a subsidiary of Windward for the TSLPxIL-13 dual antibody drug, with a total potential value of up to $700 million [1] - This marks the third overseas transaction for Qianxin Biopharmaceuticals this year, following the global rights grant of QX030N to Caldera and the licensing of QX031N to Roche [1] Group 2: Market Position and Analyst Sentiment - Zhongyou Securities highlighted that the company is a leader in the domestic innovative drugs for autoimmune diseases, with a solid foundation in this field [1] - The company's mature pipeline is entering a monetization phase, enhancing its revenue-generating capabilities, while the successful overseas licensing deals provide further assurance for stable operations [1] - Huachuang Securities expressed optimism about the company's ability to maintain its leading position in the autoimmune sector [1]

Group 1 - Tianfeng Securities initiates coverage on Qianxin Biologics-B (02509) with a "Buy" rating, projecting revenue of RMB 3.22 billion, RMB 4.41 billion, and RMB 5.93 billion for 2025-2027 respectively, and sets a target price of RMB 36.85, equivalent to HKD 40.25 for 2025 [1] - The autoimmune disease biopharmaceutical market in China is expected to reach RMB 36.3 billion by 2024, with biologics' market share projected to increase to 65.6% by 2030. The psoriasis market is anticipated to reach RMB 30.65 billion by 2030, while the ankylosing spondylitis market is expected to reach approximately RMB 46.3 billion by 2030 [1] - Current first-line treatments for autoimmune diseases like psoriasis and ankylosing spondylitis primarily involve corticosteroids, immunosuppressants, and non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs, which have limitations such as short treatment duration and systemic side effects [1] Group 2 - The company has a robust pipeline in monoclonal antibodies for autoimmune diseases, with QX001S being the first approved biosimilar of ustekinumab in China, significantly improving accessibility for psoriasis treatment [2] - QX008N has completed Phase II enrollment for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, leading the domestic market, while QX005N has received breakthrough therapy designation and completed Phase III enrollment for nodular prurigo [2] - QX002N has completed Phase III trials for ankylosing spondylitis, with a BLA submission expected in H2 2025, and QX004N has shown significant efficacy and safety for psoriasis, initiating Phase III trials [2] Group 3 - The company is advancing differentiated long-acting bispecific antibodies and actively pursuing overseas business development and licensing collaborations [3] - The rabbit antibody development platform enables high-activity antibody screening and early commercial feasibility assessments, focusing on key signaling pathways in autoimmune diseases [3] - The company has multiple bispecific antibody pipelines, including QX030N, which has completed its first overseas New Co transaction, and QX027N and QX035N, which are set for IND submissions in China and the U.S. [3] Group 4 - The company is diversifying its commercialization efforts through strategic partnerships, including collaborations with Huadong Medicine for QX001S and QX005N, and exclusive licensing agreements with Hansoh Pharmaceutical and Health元 for various products [4] - An exclusive licensing agreement has been signed with Caldera Therapeutics for the global development and commercialization of long-acting bispecific antibody QX030N [4]

Core Viewpoint - Tianfeng Securities initiates coverage on Qianxin Biologics-B (02509) with a "Buy" rating, projecting revenue of RMB 3.22 billion, RMB 4.41 billion, and RMB 5.93 billion for 2025-2027, respectively, and setting a target price of RMB 36.85, equivalent to HKD 40.25 [1] Group 1: Market Potential - The autoimmune disease biopharmaceutical market in China is expected to reach RMB 36.3 billion by 2024, with the share of biological agents increasing to 65.6% by 2030 [1] - The psoriasis market is projected to reach RMB 30.65 billion by 2030, while the ankylosing spondylitis market is expected to grow to approximately RMB 46.3 billion by 2030, with 3.9 million patients reported in 2022 [1] Group 2: R&D and Product Pipeline - The company has a robust pipeline in autoimmune monoclonal antibodies, including QX001S (IL-23p40), the first approved biosimilar in China for ustekinumab, enhancing accessibility for psoriasis treatment [2] - QX008N (TSLP) has completed Phase II enrollment for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, leading the domestic market, while QX005N (IL-4Rα) has received breakthrough therapy designation and completed Phase III enrollment for nodular prurigo [2] - QX002N (IL-17A) has completed Phase III trials for ankylosing spondylitis, with a BLA submission expected in H2 2025, and QX004N (IL-23p19) has shown significant efficacy and safety for psoriasis, initiating Phase III trials [2] Group 3: Strategic Collaborations - The company is advancing commercial partnerships both domestically and internationally, collaborating with East China Pharmaceutical on QX001S and QX005N for strategic market development [4] - An exclusive licensing agreement has been established with Hansoh Pharmaceutical for QX004N in Greater China, while a partnership with Health元药业 for QX008N focuses on respiratory indications in mainland China and Hong Kong [4] - An international licensing agreement with Caldera Therapeutics for the long-acting dual antibody QX030N has been signed, granting global exclusive rights for development and commercialization [4]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 40.25 HKD, based on a 26x PS for 2025 [6]. Core Insights - The company, established in 2015, focuses on autoimmune and allergic diseases, with a comprehensive product pipeline covering skin, respiratory, digestive, and rheumatic diseases. The founder has nearly 30 years of experience in biopharmaceutical research [1][14]. - The autoimmune disease drug market in China is projected to reach 363 billion CNY by 2024, with a significant increase in the share of biological agents, expected to rise to 65.6% by 2030 [2][29]. - The company has a robust pipeline of monoclonal antibodies targeting key autoimmune disease pathways, with several products in advanced clinical stages [3][50]. Summary by Sections 1. Company Overview - The company has established a strong presence in the autoimmune and allergic disease sectors, with a focus on innovative therapies and a fully integrated production capability [14][17]. - The company has successfully integrated R&D, production, and sales through strategic partnerships, enhancing its market position [14][25]. 2. Market Potential - The global autoimmune disease drug market is expected to grow from 833.7 billion CNY in 2019 to 1,260.2 billion CNY by 2030, with biological agents gaining a larger market share [29][30]. - The Chinese market for autoimmune disease drugs is also expanding rapidly, with projections indicating a market size of 1,355 billion CNY by 2030 [29][30]. 3. R&D and Product Pipeline - The company has developed a comprehensive R&D platform that includes high-throughput antibody discovery and dual-antibody design capabilities, which significantly shortens development timelines [42][43]. - The company’s lead products include QX001S, the first approved biosimilar of ustekinumab in China, and QX002N, which is in the final stages of clinical trials for ankylosing spondylitis [3][25][50]. 4. Clinical Progress and Collaborations - The company has made significant progress in clinical trials, with multiple products entering critical phases, including QX005N and QX004N, which are advancing in their respective indications [25][50]. - Strategic collaborations with major pharmaceutical companies have been established to enhance the commercialization of key products [5][25]. 5. Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company reported revenues of 206 million CNY, a year-on-year increase of 359.69%, although it recorded a net loss of 30.93 million CNY [1][25].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent share placement by Zhaoxin Biotech, focusing on fundraising and attracting long-term investors, highlighting the company's strategic partnerships and growth potential in the biopharmaceutical sector [2][3]. Group 1: Fundraising and Investor Engagement - Zhaoxin Biotech completed a placement of 5 million shares at HKD 20.0 per share, raising approximately HKD 100 million [2]. - TruMed Health Innovation Fund, a significant player in biopharmaceutical investments, participated in this placement, indicating strong industry influence and potential for future collaborations [2]. Group 2: Company Overview and Market Potential - Zhaoxin Biotech specializes in biotherapies for autoimmune and allergic diseases, with a pipeline covering skin, respiratory, digestive, and rheumatic treatment areas [2]. - The global market for autoimmune and allergic disease drugs is projected to grow rapidly, reaching USD 271 billion by 2030, with significant unmet clinical needs in China [2]. Group 3: Strategic Partnerships and R&D Focus - The company has formed strategic collaborations with leading domestic pharmaceutical firms to advance clinical development and commercialization of multiple products [3]. - Funds raised will be used for financial structure optimization and advancing R&D pipelines, including innovative dual-antibody projects [3]. - The placement will enhance the company's financial health and support ongoing research activities, ensuring sustainable development [3].