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What's Next For Rigetti Stock?
Forbes· 2025-07-03 15:50
Core Insights - Rigetti Computing (NASDAQ: RGTI) has seen a significant stock price increase of 15% on July 2, contributing to a nearly 70% rise over the past four months, following Cantor Fitzgerald's initiation of coverage with an Overweight rating and a $15 price target, indicating a potential further increase of about 19% from current prices [2][3] Company Overview - Rigetti specializes in quantum computing, developing superconducting quantum processors and offering cloud-based Quantum Computing as a Service (QCaaS) [4] - The company is advancing its technology with the Ankaa-3, an 84-qubit system, and aims to transition to multi-chip modules, targeting machines with over 100 qubits and the 336-Qubit Lyra by 2026 [4] Financial Performance - Despite technological advancements, Rigetti is still in the research and development phase, with CEO Subodh Kulkarni stating that commercial demand is expected to be 3–5 years away, and widespread adoption could take up to a decade [5] - The company reported a 50% year-over-year revenue decline in Q1 2025, with revenue at $1.5 million and operating losses of $21.6 million [6] Competitive Landscape - Rigetti's end-to-end approach provides flexibility in chip design and cloud access, enhancing its competitive position against rivals like IBM, IonQ, and Google [7] - The partnership with Quanta is expected to bolster commercialization potential, although competition is intensifying with advancements from Google's Willow chip and Amazon's Quantum Embark program [7] Investment Considerations - Rigetti is well-funded with over $575 million in cash, supported by a $350 million equity capital raise and a $250 million partnership with Quanta, and has no debt [6] - The company's valuation is notably high, trading at 478 times the expected sales for 2025, indicating a speculative investment environment [6][8]
Rigetti Bets on In-House Manufacturing to Accelerate Quantum Advantage
ZACKS· 2025-06-27 16:31
Core Insights - Rigetti Computing (RGTI) is enhancing its competitive edge through deep vertical integration, with its Fab-1 facility now supporting the entire quantum chip lifecycle from design to packaging [1][6] - The company has nearly doubled Fab-1's capacity by adding 5,000 square feet of clean-room space and new testing capabilities, positioning itself for faster improvements in fidelity and scale [1][6] - Unlike competitors that rely on outsourced manufacturing, Rigetti's strategy focuses on hardware self-sufficiency, allowing for rapid prototyping and system-level customization [2][4] Competitive Positioning - Rigetti's in-house manufacturing differentiates it from cloud-led models, enabling it to meet the specific needs of research institutions and enterprises seeking customized solutions [2] - Competitors like IBM utilize external fabrication foundries, which limits their ability to iterate hardware quickly compared to Rigetti's integrated approach [3] - Quantum Computing Inc. (QUBT) focuses on software and remains asset-light, but this limits its performance tuning capabilities at the hardware level, contrasting with Rigetti's end-to-end control [4] Financial Performance - RGTI shares have decreased by 27.2% year-to-date, while the industry has grown by 14.1% [5] - The company trades at a price-to-book ratio of 15.39, which is above the industry average, and carries a Value Score of F [8] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Rigetti's 2025 earnings suggests a significant year-over-year increase of 86.1% [10]
Rigetti Computing (RGTI) FY Conference Transcript
2025-05-09 18:30
Summary of Rigetti Computing Conference Call Company Overview - Rigetti Computing is a pioneer in full-stack quantum computing, operating superconducting quantum computers since 2017 through a cloud services platform and selling on-premise quantum computers since 2021 [2][8] - The company developed the first multichip processor in the industry and manufactures superconducting quantum processing units (QPUs) in-house at a dedicated facility [2] Core Industry Insights - Quantum computing is an emerging technology that fundamentally differs from classical computing by using qubits instead of bits, allowing for exponential computing capabilities and lower energy consumption [5][6] - Rigetti focuses on gate-based quantum computing, which is expected to dominate the industry, while acknowledging niche applications for other modalities like annealing [12][14] Technological Advantages - The advantages of superconducting technology include scalability and gate speed, with Rigetti's gate speeds comparable to current CPU and GPU technologies [16][17] - Recent advancements have improved two-qubit gate fidelity to 99.5%, with a target of reaching 99.8% to enable commercial applications [24][25] Roadmap and Future Goals - Rigetti aims to demonstrate a quantum computer with over 100 qubits and maintain high fidelity in 2024, with plans to increase qubit count and fidelity in subsequent years [27] - The company is pursuing a modular chiplet architecture to facilitate scaling, which has shown promising results in initial deployments [28][34] Quantum Networking and Error Correction - Rigetti believes in a hybrid computing model where quantum computers coexist with classical systems, rather than requiring a separate quantum network [41][42] - The company is collaborating with Riverlane to develop real-time error correction codes, which are critical for future quantum computing applications [46][51] Strategic Partnerships - Rigetti has formed a strategic partnership with Quanta Computer, which includes a $35 million investment and a commitment of $250 million over five years for non-quantum hardware development [82][86] - This partnership is aimed at enhancing Rigetti's manufacturing capabilities and reducing R&D costs as the business scales [85] Government Funding and Legislative Updates - The National Quantum Computing Act is pending reauthorization, which is crucial for long-term funding and support for quantum initiatives [90][92] - Rigetti has secured funding from DARPA and the Air Force Research Lab, indicating strong government interest in quantum technologies [93] Conclusion - Rigetti Computing is positioned at the forefront of quantum computing technology, focusing on scalability, fidelity, and strategic partnerships to drive future growth and commercialization [95]