证券研究报告·策略报告·策略深度报告 策略深度报告 20250605 6 月港股金股：风偏或延续修复 2025 年 06 月 05 日 [Table_Tag] [观点Table_Summary] ◼ 我们对港股整体持谨慎乐观态度，港股外部风险仍在。 1、关税谈判仍有诸多变数。5 月 28 日美国国际贸易法院(CIT)宣布特朗普 "越权"，要求立即停止关税加征，次日美国联邦上诉法院暂时驳回 CIT 裁决。关税政策从全球普征逐步转向行业。短期内，关税政策料将反复。 2、美股重回 AI 叙事。美国科技股一季度财报相对乐观，市场重新关注美 国科技股。美国科技股一季度财报相对乐观，Mag7 中一半以上超过市场 预期，尤其是英伟达一季度财报超预期，市场重新关注美国科技股。目前 看，美股仍在震荡反弹过程中。 3、港股反弹还需增量资金和持续政策刺激。当前香港市场流动性充裕，利 于股市，但向上空间仍需新动能。 ◼ 我们相对看好 AI 科技、消费，同时建议配置部分高股息用作防御： 1、看好 AI 科技：一是，美股重回 AI 叙事，一定程度上对港股科技叙事 有所提振；二是，数据真空期，利好主题行情。 2、消费仍是全年主线。扩大消费 ...

2025 年 5 月 16 日 公司研究 核心业务表现良好，发放特别现金股息 4QFY2025 公司整体收入略逊于预期，主要由于剥离非核心业务如银泰、高 鑫零售等，公司核心业务表现仍较为亮眼： 淘天集团：4QFY2025 公司客户管理收入同比增长 11.8%，主要受益于 Take rate 的同比提升，公司通过技术服务费的收取和全站推营销工具的持续推广 提升对平台整体流量的变现能力。另一方面，平台核心客群稳健增长，88VIP 会员在 4QFY2025 末达到超 5000 万人，同比持续保持双位数增长。 云智能集团：4QFY2025 公司云智能集团收入增速进一步加速，同比增长 17.7%至 301.27 亿元，来自外部客户收入同比增长 17%。AI 产品仍然保持 强劲需求，公司 AI 相关产品收入连续七个季度实现三位数同比增长。公司在 2025 年 4 月推出新一代混合推理模型 Qwen3 系列，且所有 Qwen3 模型均 在魔搭社区、Hugging Face 等社区开源。同时，公司 AI 产品覆盖面更广， 除了互联网等新兴领域外，亦有制造业企业使用公司 AI 产品。 在股东回报方面，公司在 FY2025 以 ...

行 业 及 产 业 2025 年 05 月 11 日 港股互联网财报季将至，A 股游戏 行 业 研 究 / 行 业 点 评 证 券 研 究 报 告 证券分析师 林起贤 A0230519060002 linqx@swsresearch.com 袁伟嘉 A0230519080013 yuanwj@swsresearch.com 任梦妮 A0230521100005 renmn@swsresearch.com 夏嘉励 A0230522090001 xiajl@swsresearch.com 赵航 A0230522100002 zhaohang@swsresearch.com 研究支持 黄俊儒 A0230123070011 huangjr@swsresearch.com 张淇元 A0230124080001 zhangqy@swsresearch.com 联系人 林起贤 (8621)23297818× linqx@swsresearch.com 本期投资提示： 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 中庚基金 使用。1 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 传媒 25Q1 较多超预期 看好 ——互联网传媒周报 相关研究 - ...

证券研究报告·策略报告·策略深度报告 策略深度报告 20250508 5 月港股金股：关税阴霾渐退 2025 年 05 月 08 日 [观点Table_Tag] 3、港股反弹还需增量资金和政策刺激。当前增量资金主要以南向为主，香 港本地资金和海外资金还有增配空间。此外，尽管 5 月 2 日，美元兑港币 汇率触及 7.75 强方兑换保证，仍需继续观察外资流入情况。 ◼ 我们相对看好 AI 科技、内需，同时建议配置部分高股息用作防御： 1、看好 AI 科技：一是，美股科技业绩部分亮眼，一定程度上对全球科技 叙事有所提振；二是，业绩进入真空期，业绩干扰减少，利好主题行情， AI 科技东升仍是重点；三是，港交所和香港证监会推出"科企专线"，进 一步利好科创风偏。 2、考虑配置部分高股息：一是，整体海外风险还在，如果美股科技大跌可 能传导至港股科技；二是，二季度部分港股可能提前派息潮。为避免下半 年可能的在岸人民币压力，部分企业可能提前支付股息。三是，近期港币 流动性有宽松信号，若资金成本继续下降，进一步利好高股息。 3、内需消费仍是全年主线。4 月底政治局会议，明确表示要扩大消费，大 力发展服务消费，增强消费对经济拉 ...

建议关注国内生成式大模型龙头科大讯飞；AI 硬件有望成为应用落地的新载体，建议关注萤石网络、虹软科技 等；AI 相关功能打磨能够带动 C 端应用月活量、付费率提升，建议关注金山办公、万兴科技等。 风险提示 本周观点 投资建议 行业竞争加剧的风险；技术研发进度不及预期的风险；特定行业下游资本开支周期性波动的风险。 敬请参阅最后一页特别声明 1 4 月 29 日，阿里 Qwen3 系列模型开源发布，包含两款 MoE 模型（235B/20B）以及六款密集模型 （0.6B/1.7B/4B/8B/14B/32B），其中旗舰模型 Qwen3-235B-A22B 与 DeepSeek-R1、o1、o3-mini、Grok-3 和 Gemini-2.5-Pro 等顶级模型表现相当。Qwen3 的部署成本还大幅下降，仅需 4 张 H20 即可部署满血版，显存 占用仅为性能相近模型的三分之一。阿里通义已开源了 200 余个模型，全球下载量超 3 亿次，Qwen 衍生模型 数超 10 万个，已超越 Llama，成为全球最大的开源模型族群。本周，DeepSeek-Prover-V2 发布，是一款专为 「数学 AI 编程语言」Lean ...

Investment Rating - The report suggests a focus on leading domestic generative AI model companies such as iFlytek, and AI hardware companies like Yingshi Network and Hongsoft Technology, as well as companies enhancing C-end application engagement like Kingsoft Office and Wanjing Technology [2] Core Insights - The report highlights the significant advancements in AI models, particularly with Alibaba's Qwen3 series, which includes various models with reduced deployment costs and high performance, establishing itself as a leading open-source model family [4][11] - The report indicates that the short-term impact of Trump's tariff policy on computer companies is minimal, with domestic demand expected to benefit the sector, particularly in areas like domestic substitution and self-control [11] - The report identifies high and stable growth sectors for 2025, including the AI industry chain, smart driving, software outsourcing, and the Huawei supply chain, while also noting sectors with improving conditions such as data elements and industrial software [11][10] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The report discusses the release of Alibaba's Qwen3 models, which have shown competitive performance against top models and have a significant global download rate, indicating a strong market presence [4][11] - It emphasizes the potential for large internet companies to monetize their foundational models and computing power through existing applications and cloud platforms [11] Market Trends - The report notes that the computer industry index rose by 2.47% from April 28 to May 3, 2025, outperforming the CSI 300 index [16] - It highlights the increasing daily trading volume in the A-share market, which rose by 30% year-on-year, indicating a robust market environment [21] Sector Performance - The report categorizes various sectors within the computer industry, indicating that AI and smart driving sectors are experiencing high growth, while sectors like security and medical IT are also showing positive trends [10][19] - It mentions that the industrial AI sector is approaching a turning point, with significant projects being disclosed, indicating a growing market for AI applications in industrial settings [13] Future Events - The report outlines upcoming industry events, including the VR/AR Expo and Google I/O, suggesting potential investment opportunities in related sectors [29][30]

Market Overview - The A-share market showed a slight decline with major indices experiencing minor fluctuations, indicating a cautious market sentiment ahead of the May Day holiday [4][9] - The total market capitalization of the Shanghai Composite Index is 633796 billion, with a PE ratio of 11.61 and a PB ratio of 1.20, while the Shenzhen Component Index has a market cap of 209389 billion, with a PE ratio of 19.48 and a PB ratio of 2.04 [3] Industry Dynamics - In May 2025, China's battery production is expected to increase by 14.8% month-on-month, with energy storage cell production accounting for approximately 26% of total output [27] - The report highlights the growth in the AI application sector, particularly following advancements from major companies like Alibaba, which is expected to drive market interest in AI-related investments [10] Company Performance - CITIC Securities (600030.SH) reported a Q1 2025 revenue of 177.61 billion, a year-on-year increase of 29.1%, and a net profit of 65.45 billion, reflecting a 32.0% increase [28] - Zhejiang Rongtai (603119.SH) achieved a total revenue of 11.35 billion in 2024, a 41.8% increase year-on-year, with its new energy business contributing significantly to growth [31] - WuXi AppTec (603259.SH) reported Q1 2025 revenue of 96.55 billion, a 20.96% increase year-on-year, with strong performance in its chemical business [33] - Defang Nano (300769.SZ) faced significant losses in 2024, with a net profit of -5.16 billion in Q4, indicating challenges in the market [35] - Xingyuan Material (300568.SZ) reported a Q1 2025 net profit of 0.47 billion, a decrease of 56.39% year-on-year, despite a significant quarter-on-quarter increase [37]