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在加州租房好还是买房好?租房30年$92万,买房变现$380万,关键差距在哪?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-30 11:06
对许多加州家庭而言,"租或买"的争论本身就是一句空话。该州持续且陡峭的负担能力危机,使许多人根本无法跨越购房的门槛。由于高薪职位 推高了住房成本,普通工薪阶层的收入已难以负担,导致大量租房者(通常收入低于房主)面临住房成本超过家庭收入50%的"极端财务压力"。 这表明,虽然买房是财富积累的关键,但高昂的进入成本已将许多人挡在了创造长期财富的大门之外。 成本权衡:先苦后甜的购房路径 尽管房产的长期收益惊人,但购房者必须经历漫长的成本沉淀期。根据对一套90万房屋的模拟测算,在考虑房贷、税费、保险和维修费用的情况 下,租房(月租4,000)的总支出在近二十年内都比买房更具成本效益。不过,从30年累计总成本来看,购房最终会略低于持续租房的支出。此 外,房贷利息和房产税的可抵税优势也进一步抵消了购房的初期高昂成本。 难以逾越的门槛:普遍的负担危机 在加州,关于租房还是买房的争论已经不再是简单的成本比较,而是决定个人家庭能否实现长期财富积累的"门票"。一项基于30年期的金融模型 研究揭示了拥有房产在财富积累上的巨大且压倒性优势。 ...
国庆中秋深圳好房活动抢先看 近百优质楼盘邀您选新家
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-29 13:07
秋高气爽,置业正燃!深圳迎来置业黄金期。随着国庆、中秋双节临近,深圳多场高品质房产专场活动 已抢先启动预热,覆盖福田、罗湖、南山等核心区域,汇聚近百个优质在售楼盘,通过线上线下联动模 式,为市民打造便捷高效的置业平台,一场覆盖全市的 "宜居盛宴" 正式拉开帷幕。 本次系列房产活动,市、区携手深圳多家房企结合自身特点推出特色专场,旨在满足市民多样化安家需 求,助力房地产市场平稳健康发展。 收下这份超全的活动日历,标记你最心动的活动,快到现场来了解吧! 活动一:"活力深圳 宜居未来"假日专场 活动时间:10月1日-10月8日 活动地点:前海冰雪世界会展城地铁站C出口区域 参展项目:中建观玥名邸、鸿荣源·珈誉府、万丰海岸城·瀚府、阅臻府、保利瑧誉府、大靓华府、小梅 沙觐海府等近30个项目。 活动二:"聚势未来 与福同创"福田好房品鉴会 活动时间:9月29日 活动时间:10月1日—10月8日 活动地点:南山博物馆 参展项目:深业世纪山谷花园、天健湾时代府、观山海家园、地铁前海时代广场、深铁熙府、同乐公 馆、望海玥家园、湾啟紫荆府、绿景白石洲璟庭、翰熙典居、珑熙公馆、云启源境等南山在售项目。 活动四:"金秋好房 双节同 ...
以前贷款买房,现在贷款卖房!白送银行可以吗?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-24 22:48
有些事情感觉很讽刺,也感觉很不可思议,但现实就摆在这里,不得不去面对和接受,要不然该怎么办呢? 以前是贷款买房,卖房的时候多少也可以收到买家的钱,我在09年的时候买了一套房,总价30万,每个月贷款还1000块钱左右,然后又把这房子给租了出 去,每个月租金刚好抵了房贷,5年后我把这房子卖掉,除去还银行的贷款,我拿到手28万块钱,除去10万本金,我是不是在5年内赚到了18万块钱? 可现在就完全颠倒了,2021年买了一套房子,总价260万,贷款150万,2025年把这个房子卖掉,现在这个房子最多能卖150万,四年下来,这房子明面上刚 好亏了110万,算上4年的房贷50万,总共亏了160万。 他目前的房贷还有120万,现在房子只能卖80万,如果不把银行这个贷款还清,房子是不能过户的,他现在还需要去银行贷款40万,才能把这个120万的贷款 还清,才能过户。 朋友说,我不要房子了,这个房子我送给银行好了,可以吗? 不要这样做,我们已经试过了,疫情的时候断供,然后法拍了法院7折卖了,不够还贷款还差了5万,然后我们也没去管,他觉得5万块钱银行也不会来追 责。过了几年缓过来了,去法院查一下5万滚成了18万,现在还在分期中。 银 ...
香港房地产_进入降息周期_评估对房屋销售的影响Hong Kong Property_ Entering the rate cut cycle_ gauging the impact on home sales
2025-09-23 02:34
Summary of Hong Kong Property Sector Conference Call Industry Overview - The conference call focused on the Hong Kong property market, particularly in light of recent interest rate cuts and their anticipated impact on home sales and mortgage costs [1][2][3]. Key Points and Arguments Interest Rate Cuts - The prime rate was reduced by 12.5 basis points to 5.125%, following a 25 basis point cut by the US Federal Reserve [1]. - The new residential mortgage rate is expected to decline to 3.375% from 3.5%, with projections suggesting it could further drop to around 2.7% by the end of 2026 [1][7]. - A cumulative 142 basis points cut by the Fed is anticipated through December 2026, which is expected to support residential transaction volumes [1]. Home Sales Projections - Historical data indicates that a 100 basis point cut in HIBOR correlates with an approximate 8% increase in home sales [2]. - With the expected decline in HIBOR to 2.2% by the end of 2025 and 1.6% by the end of 2026, home sales are projected to increase by an additional 14% over the next 12 months compared to the previous year [2]. Market Dynamics - Private residential transactions have increased by 13-15% year-to-date, with annualized volumes potentially reaching levels comparable to 2018-2019 [3]. - Despite the increase in transaction volumes, pricing remains subdued, with the CCL index largely flat due to high near-term supply [3]. - Buyers are hesitant to accept price increases, as evidenced by low sell-through rates for new projects launched at higher prices [3]. Developer Performance and Recommendations - Developers such as Sino, Henderson, and Kerry are expected to outperform peers like SHKP due to their favorable positions in the current market [4]. - Sino's price target has been raised by 14% to HK$11.20, supported by strong sales and a significant net cash position of HK$49.5 billion [4]. - The report suggests that property prices will likely remain stable in 2025, with a moderate recovery of 0-5% expected in 2026 as inventory clears [3]. Risks and Challenges - Key risks identified for the Hong Kong property sector include weakening macroeconomic conditions, an increase in new housing supply, and potential higher-than-expected US Fed rate hikes [30]. Additional Important Insights - The effective mortgage cost is projected to widen the positive carry from the current 20 basis points to approximately 100 basis points, based on the latest rental yield of 3.7% [1]. - Discounted projects are attracting strong interest, indicating a potential shift in buyer preferences towards more competitively priced offerings [3]. - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring macroeconomic indicators and housing supply trends as they could significantly impact future market dynamics [30].
2025年,买房如果不想踩坑,牢记这7字:“买旧、买大、不买三”
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-20 08:52
第一类:远离远郊房。 某些远郊板块的房价已经跌至谷底,但库存积压严重,去化周期漫长。远郊房最大的弊端在于配套设施匮乏,通勤时间过长,生活 不便,未来转手也难以找到合适的买家。 第二类:慎购公寓。 无论开发商如何鼓吹"买一层送一层",刚需购房者都要保持警惕。公寓的产权年限较短,水电费按商业标准收取,转手时税费高昂, 无疑增加了购房成本。 第三类:坚决抵制小产权房。 尽管小产权房的价格可能只有商品房的一半,但它缺乏合法的产权保障。一旦遭遇拆迁,购房者的权益将难以得到保障。 对于囊中羞涩,又急于安家的刚需购房者来说,如何在眼花缭乱的市场中避开陷阱,挑选到真正适合自己的房产呢?记住这七个字箴言——"买旧、买大、 不买三",或许能助你拨开迷雾。 首先,何谓"买旧"? 这里的"旧",并非指破败不堪的老房子,而是相对于新房而言的二手房。 如今,在北上广深等一线城市,二手房的成交量已然超越新 房。人们为何更青睐"别人住过的房子"呢?原因在于,新房,特别是期房,潜藏着太多的不确定性。 试想一下,一位朋友倾尽所有在远郊购置了一套期 房,本想着拥有一个温馨的家,结果却遭遇工地停工,每月不仅要偿还房贷,还要承担额外的租房费用,可谓是 ...
澳洲最新房产热区出炉!墨尔本这几个地方最火!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-20 07:19
富人区领涨 随着利率下行、拍卖成交率飙升至两年来最高水平, 澳洲房市在这个春季迎来一波买家回流潮。 不过,这些买家并非都盯着传统热门区。 最新报告显示,不同城市的购房热点各有不同。 Domain发布的春季房产报告指出: 各大首府城市的买家正在聚焦特定区域,形成了鲜明的 "区域热度图" 。 报告通过分析1月至8月期间每个住宅房源在平台上的平均浏览量,揭示了哪些城区最受欢迎。 Domain研究与经济主管Nicola Powell博士表示: 从数据中不难看出,不同城市目前所处的房产周期阶段差异显著, 而热门区域的选择正反映了买家行为模式的变化。 墨尔本:富人区领涨,市场进入复苏初期 在墨尔本,最受关注的是Stonnington-West地区, 包括Armadale、Toorak、South Yarra、Prahran和Windsor等高端城区, 该区域每套房源的平均浏览量几乎是全市平均水平的三倍。 该区域的独立屋中位价高达196万澳元,比全墨尔本的中位价(106.6万澳元)高出近90万元。 Powell指出: 这种热度显示出墨尔本房市正进入 "成熟复苏期" ,而高端区域通常是最早复苏的板块。 她说: 墨尔本的房价周 ...
越秀地产附属以13.3亿元成功竞得杭州市拱墅区康桥地块
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-09-16 12:02
Group 1 - Company announced the successful acquisition of a land parcel in Hangzhou for RMB 1.33 billion on September 16, 2025, through its subsidiary, Hangzhou Yuelong Real Estate Development Co., Ltd. [1] - The acquired land in Gongshu District covers approximately 34,165 square meters with a total buildable area of about 98,001 square meters, of which the planned residential area is approximately 64,914 square meters [1][2] - The residential properties built on the land are intended for sale, and the development will include community facilities such as a childcare center, children's growth center, and community canteen, which will be handed over to the government upon completion [1] Group 2 - The land is strategically located in the central part of the Canal New City, close to the northern part of Yuhang New City, approximately 750 meters from the Grand Canal and 4.5 kilometers from the Gongshu District government [2] - The area is positioned as a northern urban sub-center, integrating residential living, business offices, trade logistics, tourism, cultural creativity, and headquarters economy [2] - The proximity to public transport, educational institutions, and healthcare facilities enhances the attractiveness of the location, with the nearest subway station about 550 meters away and various amenities within a 3-kilometer radius [2]
3.5万/平成交!牛奶厂业主,继续甩货…
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-13 00:16
Core Viewpoint - The recent sale of a property in the Jindi Tianhe Gongguan area at a price of 35,000 yuan per square meter indicates a significant decline in the real estate market, potentially lowering the price floor for the entire milk factory sector [2][4]. Price Trends - A recent transaction involved an 87 square meter three-bedroom unit sold for 3.05 million yuan, equating to 35,000 yuan per square meter, marking a new low for the milk factory sector [2][4]. - The property was initially listed at 3.5 million yuan but was reduced by 450,000 yuan to expedite the sale, highlighting the urgency among sellers in the current market [4]. - In 2021, similar units in the same area sold for as high as 76,000 yuan per square meter, indicating a price drop of approximately 53.17% over four years [6][9]. Market Dynamics - The increase in supply from new developments in the Tianhe East area has contributed to the declining prices in the milk factory sector, as more options become available to buyers [13]. - Recent new projects, such as the Poly Tianhui, are offering competitive pricing starting at 46,000 yuan per square meter, making it challenging for older properties in the milk factory area to maintain higher price points [13].
沈阳一环内20多年“烂尾楼”被夷为平地,地块近期或将出让,未来房价有望破1.5万/平!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-04 00:54
Core Viewpoint - The demolition of the "American Home" site, which had been abandoned for over 20 years, has garnered significant attention, with the community eager to know the future use of the land and its market entry timeline [1][5][7]. Group 1: Demolition and Land Details - The "American Home" covers an area of approximately 5,500 square meters, with a demolition area of nearly 15,000 square meters, indicating a relatively small scale [3]. - The site has been completely leveled, marking the end of a long period of neglect and deterioration [5]. Group 2: Community and Market Interest - Local residents express a strong interest in the future development of the site, anticipating its "rebirth" after the demolition [7]. - The site's prime location within the first ring road, close to the Zhongjie shopping district, has attracted attention from both residents and the real estate industry [7]. Group 3: Future Development Plans - Recent announcements indicate that the land may soon be available for sale, with a focus on residential development [10]. - The upcoming residential land is expected to be the former "American Home" site, which is anticipated to have a high value due to its location and surrounding amenities [10]. Group 4: Surrounding Amenities - The site is well-equipped with nearby facilities, including commercial areas, hospitals, and prestigious schools, enhancing its attractiveness for future residential projects [10][15]. - Notably, the site is adjacent to Shenyang No. 5 Middle School and within 300 meters of Shangpin School, both of which are highly regarded educational institutions [12][13]. Group 5: Market Pricing and Expectations - The land price is projected to potentially break records, with estimates suggesting a starting price around 7,000 yuan per square meter, and future housing prices could exceed 15,000 yuan per square meter [20]. - The competitive nature of the market is highlighted by the upcoming auction of the Beixing-2 plot, which may set a new benchmark for land prices in the area [18][20].
MSCI:第二季度亚太区商业地产投资额同比下跌19%至318亿美元
智通财经网· 2025-08-28 08:35
Core Insights - The MSCI report indicates a 19% year-on-year decline in commercial real estate investment in the Asia-Pacific region, projected to reach $31.8 billion by Q2 2025, due to rising macroeconomic and trade uncertainties [1] - Despite a slowdown in trading activities in some markets due to new tariffs, there are positive developments, particularly in the office market where investment levels have returned to long-term averages, with notable performance in South Korea and Japan [1] - Singapore's transaction volume increased by 51% in Q2, driven by strong interest from cross-border investors in hotel and residential properties [1] - Data centers showed exceptional performance, with Q2 transaction volumes surging over tenfold year-on-year to $3.5 billion, largely due to significant platform transactions [1] - The industrial real estate sector's leading momentum has slowed, prompting investors to adjust their allocations towards a more balanced approach in core sectors, with varying recovery rates across different property types [1] - A key trend for mid-2025 is the recovery of cross-border capital flows, with increased investments across major markets in all real estate categories except industrial [1]